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Sabermetric and Prospect Analysis

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High School Baseball Notes 6/17/2017

Mahtomedi’s senior left fielder Lincoln Rock came just shy of a home run in batting practice on Friday, which would have been a first of his high school career. Now he can spend the rest of his life telling stories about how Jack Schwietz and Weston Shelander hit the ball farther than he did, proving that pitchers rake.   Another note from Mahtomedi: During legion ball, pinch runner Brandon Anderson was ejected for playing the game too hard. Farmington nearly came back to win what had been a 12-

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Mock Draft 4.0 - 2017 MLB Draft

http://www.the3rdmanin.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/2017-MLB-Draft.png   #1 Minnesota Twins – Brendan McKay – lhp – Louisville I have a suspicion that the Twins still prefer Wright, but if they take him I will be wrong with everybody else.   #2 Cincinnati Reds – Hunter Greene – rhp – California High School The Reds will take McKay if he is available here.   #3 San Diego Padres – MacKenzie Gore – lhp – North Carolina High School   #4 Tampa Bay Rays – Royce Lewis – of – California High School  

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Final Draft Board - 2017 MLB Draft

http://www.the3rdmanin.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/2017-MLB-Draft.png #1 Kyle Wright – rhp – Vanderbilt #2 J.B. Bukauskas – rhp – North Carolina #3 MacKenzie Gore – lhp – North Carolina High School #4 Pavin Smith – 1b – Virginia #5 Austin Beck – of – North Carolina High School #6 Brendan McKay – lhp – Louisville #7 Hunter Greene – rhp – California High School #8 Sam Carlson – rhp – Minnesota High School #9 Jake Burger – 1b – Missouri State #10 Alex Faedo – rhp – Florida #11 Royce Lewis – of –

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College Pitchers - 2017 MLB Draft

http://bloximages.newyork1.vip.townnews.com/stltoday.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/2/56/2561f1eb-f62a-58b8-85b3-1afa61473e6c/58dfc4e861e5d.image.jpg?resize=1200%2C800 Tanner Houck - Photo courtesy of Mizzou Athletics   Alex Faedo – rhp – Florida Faedo entered the year as a potential #1 pick in the draft, but has fallen off considerably in his junior year. His plus slider and low nineties fastball are still good enough to get him drafted in the middle of the first round.   Griffin Canning

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Mock Draft 3.0 - 2017 MLB Draft

http://www.the3rdmanin.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/2017-MLB-Draft.png   #1 Minnesota Twins – Kyle Wright – rhp – Vanderbilt At this point the Twins have narrowed down their potential picks to a few players, with Wright being the favorite. The dark horse who could unseat him? J.B. Bukauskas.   #2 Cincinnati Reds – Brendan McKay – lhp – Louisville McKay plays college ball close to Cincinnati, so their executives and scouts have had plenty of opportunities to see him. Hunter Greene could also be

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Hunter Greene - 2017 MLB Draft

Hunter Greene is a right-handed pitcher who plays baseball for Notre Dame High School in California. Greene is listed at 6’3” and 195 pounds, with a raw, athletic body.   Greene is committed to UCLA, but it is unlikely that he will attend college. He has received more hype than any other prospect in this year’s draft, although that is mostly due to marketing purposes. At the beginning of the year, he was considered the top prospect in the draft, but he has lost helium as the draft has gotten clo

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College Hitters - 2017 MLB Draft

http://www.the3rdmanin.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/2017-MLB-Draft.png   I have already profiled Pavin Smith, Jeren Kendall, and Brendan McKay this year, but now it is time to take a brief look at the other top college hitters available in the 2017 MLB Draft.   Jake Burger – Third Base – Missouri State Burger is one of the top hitters in the class, and he has put up monster numbers in the Missouri Valley Conference. He currently plays third, but will end up being a first base/designated hitter

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Mock Draft 2.0 - 2017 MLB Draft

http://www.the3rdmanin.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/2017-MLB-Draft.png     A lot has changed on the draft scene since my last mock. I will do a new version with notes next week.     #1 Minnesota Twins – Kyle Wright – rhp - Vanderbilt   #2 Cincinnati Reds – Brendan McKay – lhp - Louisville   #3 San Diego Padres – Hunter Greene – rhp – CA High School   #4 Tampa Bay Rays – J.B. Bukauskas – rhp – UNC   #5 Atlanta Braves – MacKenzie Gore – lhp – NC High School   #6 Oakland Athletics – Pavin Smith –

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Kyle Wright - 2017 MLB Draft

Image courtesy of Peter Aiken   Kyle Wright is a right-handed pitcher for the Vanderbilt Commodores who is one of the top players available in the draft. Wright is 6’4” and weighs 220 pounds, with the prototypical build that scouts love in pitchers.   Due to his strong commitment to Vanderbilt, he went undrafted as an Alabama high schooler and has since physically matured and added five miles per hour to his velocity. He got off to a slow start this spring, but he has turned that around in the l

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Sam Carlson - 2017 MLB Draft

http://www.the3rdmanin.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/2017-MLB-Draft.png   Sam Carlson is a right-handed pitcher out of Burnsville High School in Minnesota who is committed to the Florida Gators. Carlson is listed at 6’4” and 195 pounds, with a projectable body that will add a lot of strength as he gets older. Because his season started later than most, scouts have gotten a later look at him than some of the other top prep pitchers. Nevertheless, they have come away impressed with his calm prese

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J.B. Bukauskas - 2017 MLB Draft

http://s3.amazonaws.com/media.dth/28424_0412_baseballvsncstate_gargan196p.jpg   J.B. Bukauskas is a right-handed pitcher for the University of North Carolina who has the best pitching repertoire available in this year’s draft. Bukauskas is listed at 6’0” and 195 pounds, and with his delivery and pitch mix he reminds me of a smaller Matt Cain. A native of Virginia, Bukauskas played high school baseball for the Stone Bridge Bulldogs, where he quickly ascended draft boards during his senior year. I

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Brendan McKay - 2017 MLB Draft

Brendan McKay is a left-handed pitcher and first baseman who plays college baseball for the Louisville Cardinals. McKay is listed at 6’2” and 220 pounds, and has a body and delivery that reminds some of Jon Lester. The Pennsylvania native was overlooked in the 2014 draft, due to his commitment to Louisville and getting less exposure than prep players from states with warmer weather. Three years ago, the San Diego Padres selected him as a pitcher in the 34th round. There is little doubt that he

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Prospect Rankings - 2017 MLB Draft

http://www.the3rdmanin.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/2017-MLB-Draft.png #1 - J.B. Bukauskas – rhp – North Carolina #2 - Pavin Smith – 1b - Virginia #3- MacKenzie Gore – lhp – North Carolina High School #4 - Kyle Wright – rhp - Vanderbilt #5 - Hunter Greene – rhp – California High School #6 - Sam Carlson – rhp – Minnesota High School #7 - Brendan McKay – lhp/1b - Louisville #8 - D.L. Hall – lhp – Georgia High School #9 - Jake Burger – 3b – Missouri State #10 - Nick Pratto – 1b – California High

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Mock Draft 1.0 - 2017 MLB Draft

http://www.the3rdmanin.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/2017-MLB-Draft.png     #1 – Minnesota Twins – J.B. Bukauskas – North Carolina, rhp The talk for the number one pick has been centered around Hunter Greene and Brendan McKay, but with Bukauskas the Twins would get someone who has upside and could help the big league team soon. The Twins could also take Pavin Smith, Kyle Wright, or Austin Beck, but at this point they are lower down on draft boards.   #2 – Cincinnati Reds – Brendan McKay – Louis

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Pavin Smith - 2017 MLB Draft

http://files.shandymedia.com/styles/page_full/s3/images/photos/thefumble/ncaa-college-world-series-finale7.jpg Courtesy of Getty Images   Pavin Smith is a first baseman for the Virginia Cavaliers who is the best college hitter available in the draft. Smith is 6’2” and weighs 210 pounds, with a sweet swing that brings Jay Bruce to mind. The Florida native played baseball at Palm Beach Gardens High School and was drafted by the Colorado Rockies in the 32nd round of the 2014 draft, but he did not s

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Jeren Kendall - 2017 MLB Draft

http://www.the3rdmanin.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/2017-MLB-Draft.png   Jeren Kendall is a centerfielder for the Vanderbilt Commodores who is regarded as the top outfielder available in the 2017 draft. Kendall is 5’10’’ and weighs 180 pounds, and is often referred to as a smaller version of Jacoby Ellsbury. The Commodores’ outfielder played prep baseball at Holmen High School in Wisconsin and was drafted by the Boston Red Sox in the 30th round, but chose to attend college. Kendall bats left

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Early Draft Board - 2017 MLB Draft

Photo courtesy of UNC Athletics   Early 2017 draft board: #1 – J.B. Bukauskas – rhp – University of North Carolina Bukauskas has been on fire this spring, with a strikeout to walk ratio of 70/11 in 47 innings. Some scouts do not think he will be a starter because he is only 6’0”, but his pitching repertoire is better than any other in the draft class. Bukauskas’ upside is a top of the staff starter, and if he has to move into the bullpen he should become a great closer. If I were picking number

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2017 MLB Draft Update 1.0

http://www.baseballamerica.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/Alex-Faedo-0199.jpg Alex Faedo (All rights to Andrew Woolley)   Today I begin my coverage of the 2017 MLB Draft, which starts on June 12. I am going to provide some updates on the overall performance of the top players, prospect profiles, prospect rankings, and mock drafts, so have fun!   Jeren Kendall is a player that scouts have been watching for some time, and now that he is draft eligible he will be getting even more attention this sp

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Ten Bold Predictions for the 2017 MLB Season

Image courtesy of Jamie Squire/Getty Images   Chris Devenski will become an ace. Chris Devenski is the most underrated player in baseball, and I am on a mission to let everybody know who he is. After his rookie year with the Houston Astros last year he was still largely ignored, so let me give you a briefing. Devenski has one of the best changeups in baseball, and it is no small stretch to say that he can rival the changeup of Kyle Hendricks, and having a signature pitch that is one of the best

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Final Mock - 2016 MLB Draft

http://2080baseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/PlayerPic-Spring-2015-PukAJ-Tim-Casey-1050x700.jpeg Photo by Tim Casey   #1 Philadelphia Phillies - AJ Puk - lhp - Florida Mickey Moniak is really the only other player who is getting a lot of talk right here.   #2 Cincinnati Reds - Nick Senzel - 3b - Tennessee If Puk falls he will be taken here, with Kyle Lewis also in play.   #3 Atlanta Braves - Kyle Lewis - OF - Mercer A prep pitcher could go here as well.   #4 Colorado Rockies - Mickey Monia

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Hudson & Dunn - 2016 MLB Draft

http://image.cdnllnwnl.xosnetwork.com/pics33/800/QD/QDTZMERHGXBTJDM.20160225205201.jpg Dakota Hudson   Dakota Hudson is 6'5", 205 lb. right handed pitcher for Mississippi State who was drafted in the 36th round by the Texas Rangers in 2013, but he decided to attend college. Hudson has a great fastball along with a very good slider, yet his not having mastered a third pitch and his fringe command leads to some thinking that he will end up in the bullpen. The righty's ceiling would be a Michael Wa

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Final Board - 2016 MLB Draft

Mickey Moniak   Ask any questions in the comments, and I will be more than happy to answer!   #1 Nick Senzel - 3b - Tennessee #2 Braxton Garrett - lhp - Alabama HS #3 Mickey Moniak - OF - California HS #4 Jay Groome - lhp - New Jersey HS #5 Kyle Lewis - OF - Mercer #6 Riley Pint - rhp - Kansas HS #7 Alex Kirilloff - OF - Pennsylvania HS #8 Delvin Perez - SS - Puerto Rico #9 A.J. Puk - lhp - Florida #10 Corey Ray - OF - Louisville #11 Forrest Whitley - rhp - Texas HS #12 Nolan Jones - SS - Pennsy

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Forrest Whitley - 2016 MLB Draft

http://ww2.hdnux.com/photos/46/57/16/10154889/11/1024x1024.jpg Image courtesy of Tom Reel   Forrest Whitley is a 6'7", 225 lb. right handed pitcher from Alamo Heights High School in Texas. Whitley's repertoire consists of a fastball that reaches 97 miles per hour, a buckling curveball, an improved changeup, and an average slider. Forrest repeats his delivery well for someone of his size, and although there is some effort in it he should be able to hold up as a starter. If Whitley does have to ma

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Braxton Garrett - 2016 MLB Draft

http://image.al.com/home/bama-media/width620/img/sports_impact/photo/15362650-mmmain.jpg Image courtesy of Mike Kittrell   Braxton Garrett is a 6'3", 190 lb. pitcher from Florence High School in Alabama who is the second best prep lefty in the class, behind only Jay Groome. Garrett sits in the 91-94 miles per hour range with his fastball, a curveball which is the best in this year's draft, and an above average changeup. Braxton has an advanced feel for pitching, and his control is better than mo

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Draft Board 2.0 - 2016 MLB Draft

http://image.nj.com/home/njo-media/width960/img/njcom_photos/photo/2016/04/05/-d159a8207ee47d08.JPG Image of Jay Groome courtesy of Andrew Mills   #1 Nick Senzel - 3b - University of Tennessee #2 Jay Groome - lhp - New Jersey High School #3 Kyle Lewis - OF - Mercer #4 Braxton Garrett - lhp - Alabama High School #5 Mickey Moniak - CF - California High School #6 Delvin Perez - SS - Puerto Rico #7 Riley Pint - rhp - Kansas High School #8 AJ Puk - lhp - University of Florida #9 Corey Ray - OF - Loui

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