CCHOF5yearstoolate
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Everything posted by CCHOF5yearstoolate
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Analyzing José Miranda’s Improved Swing
CCHOF5yearstoolate replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Their philosophy has always been to hit hard line drives. That's what "analytics" preaches, and its the same strategy that's been preached since Ted Williams' time. The results are definitely better, the philosophy is the same. -
Certainly should have been All-Star stuff...
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- simeon woods richardson
- christian vazquez
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Using apocryphal tales such as the Feller motorcycle experiment (just watch the clip, you can clearly see that the video is spliced together - and the motorcycle is "going" 86 mph) to say that he threw 107 is extraordinarily silly. There is zero proof that any of these guys threw 100. They threw hard for their day, that's not in question. Buy saying "they threw as fast as anyone today" without even a smidgen of actual proof is laughable, honestly, when the "proof" you're citing estimates that Feller was throwing 107. There's a zero percent chance Bob Feller threw harder than Aroldis Chapman as a starter. It's just obvious. Koufax did not throw 100, he was never timed above 93. Like I said before, there have been pitchers throughout baseball history with legendary fastballs. Johnson, Feller, Paige, Dalkowski, Ryan, etc etc. Absolutely legendary fastballs. But save for Ryan, none of them were ever timed at 100 mph or higher. We don't have to fabricate numbers out of thin air for them to be legends of the game.
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- byron buxton
- willi castro
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So memorable you can't find it, eh? I'd defy you to name more than 3 pitchers before the 90's who threw 100 mph. If you believe Nolan Ryan threw 108 mph I've got a bridge in Mankato to sell you.
- 39 replies
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- byron buxton
- willi castro
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Nolan Ryan was the only guy who definitely threw 100 before the steroid era. Maybe Bob Feller did, but that's pretty much it. I'd guarantee it's fewer than you think. There's a reason Bob Feller's fastball is legendary - he was one of extremely few guys who could throw that before the recent pitching revolution.
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- byron buxton
- willi castro
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Steer has no position because he's been an objectively bad defender everywhere he's played other than 1B - whoop-de-do. That's just a fact. And a foolish thing to say about OAA while you're citing UZR/150 because there's the same amount of data on Steer for UZR & OAA and UZR specifically mentions that you shouldn't make conclusions on less than 3 years of data. I'd love to see what sample size you're citing to say he's "acceptable in the infield." He's got many more infield innings and grades out awful there too. Ask anyone who seriously writes about baseball analytics what they think of UZR. You can think that but the reality is that Steer and CES could easily be 0 WAR or lower players in the next couple of years.
- 31 replies
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- tyler mahle
- sergio romo
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I'm not particularly sure that Varland needs a sinker in his repertoire, but I agree that the Twins have not had success adding that pitch to anyone starter's repertoire. It's been Pablo's worst pitch (.448/.484/.690), a bad pitch for Joe Ryan (.333/.368/.333) and Louie as detailed above. Team wide, it's the 2nd worst pitch they throw as a staff to the cutter with a .295/.358/.397 slash against and a miniscule 10.8% K-rate.
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Steer has been one of the worst defenders in all of baseball since he debuted. UZR/150 is not worth using (and even that says he's been bad/awful everywhere but 1B and in 8 innings of 2B this season). Both DRS and OAA have him far below average everywhere he's played - particularly so at 3B. It's a little early to call them both "everyday 2 WAR players" - particularly CES who has shown nothing at the MLB level.
- 31 replies
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- tyler mahle
- sergio romo
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His play on the field has certainly been worth the contract in 2/3 seasons so far. But like others have mentioned, his leadership of the clubhouse has been a huge boon that would be hard to quantify. He's a great 2-way player at the most glamorized position in baseball, and the fact that he's bilingual has to help. Any of the young players can come to him for anything, and he's been more than willing to share his wealth of experience. I have to imagine he's a not insignificant piece of the puzzle for the success that the young Twins players have had the last 3 years. A great leader makes everyone around them better.
- 29 replies
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- carlos correa
- corey seager
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Week in Review: Going Legit
CCHOF5yearstoolate replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
All the Twins have had shorter swings with 2 strikes all season. Nothing meaningfully changed before or after their winning streak. Those are just facts, which is why I'm asking for proof not your feelings. Simply citing standard baseball strategy (that the Twins have been employing all season) isn't very persuasive.- 29 replies
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- max kepler
- ryan jeffers
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Week in Review: Going Legit
CCHOF5yearstoolate replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Swing length is tracked now and hasn't changed in 2-strike counts. I just have yet to see actual proof of any kind of change from people who claim they've meaningfully changed the process they are taking. Just seems like cheap analysis.- 29 replies
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- max kepler
- ryan jeffers
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Week in Review: Going Legit
CCHOF5yearstoolate replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If the approach is to "hit the ball hard all the time" that didn't change. I still have yet to hear anyone actually describe what they mean by an "all or nothing" approach. Just seems like a buzzword (buzzphrase) for when they're slumping vs actually describing what they're trying to do at the plate.- 29 replies
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- max kepler
- ryan jeffers
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David Festa is an MLB-Ready Top 100 Prospect
CCHOF5yearstoolate replied to Jamie Cameron's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Do we dare call him part of a pitching.... pipeline? In seriousness, it's been pretty amazing to consider this organizations ability to develop late round pitchers. In both of their biggest draft and develop successes so far, Ober and Festa were lanky pitchers who threw relatively soft fastballs but had good changeups coming out of college and the Twins immediately added a few mph to their deliveries while helping them develop a better slider. Festa's fastball improvement is a real key to his development this season. 19.3" iVB (rise) is bordering on elite, that number would put him well within the top 10% of all MLB. The stuff is there, and it certainly seems like they've found something to get such a big leap in command in the last few starts. Excited to see him debut! -
Week in Review: Going Legit
CCHOF5yearstoolate replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Solid contact has always been the main goal, they're just doing a better job of actually making contact. There really hasn't been a change in their approach, but in my opinion it's been a change in their preparation to attack the individual pitchers' offerings.- 29 replies
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- max kepler
- ryan jeffers
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Julien is certainly an enigma, particularly in his approach at the plate. You don't want him swinging at anything close because then you lose what makes him Edouard Julien, the prospect who refused to have an OBP below .400. On the other hand, there's a lot of red in the heatmap of his looking strikeouts that are well within the strike zone. 7 of Julien's looking strikeouts have been on balls in the heart of the strike zone and 5 more were breaking balls that ended up as clear strikes at the bottom of the zone. Seems like a pretty valuable skill he should learn to at least be able to foul off those pitches, even if you don't want to swing and put them in play.
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Ahh who cares. Just another team on the schedule.
- 6 replies
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- didi gregorious
- alex rodriguez
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