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CCHOF5yearstoolate

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Everything posted by CCHOF5yearstoolate

  1. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    34%, which is terrible but doesn't round to 40. I looked up Julien's % of strikeouts looking and I am truly shocked. 26 of his 50 strikeouts this season are looking - 52%. Admittedly, the percentage last season was 42.2% but I never would have guessed over half his strikeouts have been looking. Since 2015, there have been 2804 player seasons with 50 or more strikeouts. Only 4 such seasons, including Julien's 2024, have a ratio of over 50% of looking strikeouts. Austin Barnes' 2018 at 53.7%, Julien's 2024 at 52%, Robbie Grossman's 2017 and Greg Garcia's 2019 at 50.6%. There are only 61 such seasons, 2.2% of the last 10 years, with a ratio over 40%. Julien owns 2 of those.
  2. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Specifically, what do you think changed about their approach? Are you saying there was a process change purely on the basis of a difference in results?
  3. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Not the greatest graphs ever created but they'll get the job done. Here's what we get from Statcast's bat tracking data 2 Strike Swing speed Before 4/19 vs After 4/19 (below the orange line means they are swinging softer since 4/19) 2 Strike Swing Speed vs 0/1 Strike Swing Speed (below the orange line means they are swinging softer w/ 2 strikes)
  4. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    The Twins are hitting fewer groundballs, more flyballs and more home runs since the offensive outbreak.
  5. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Always hard to project strikeouts, but given their career rates I'd say the improvement is fairly sustainable and couple possibly even improve some more. Of course, some of the older vets in this list may just be aging but it's interesting to see anyways. Julien - 34% in 2024 vs 31.4% in 2023 & projections from 30-31%. The backwards Ks have been a surprisingly big problem so far, if he can just cut down on those I bet his K% would improve down to around 30%. Vazquez - 28.9% in 2024 vs 18.9% career. He's clearly lost something at the dish, but this is a significant career worst K% so far. Kirilloff - 29.6% in May 2024 (yes, SSS) vs 23.8% career. Been a real slog for Kirilloff lately, including striking out more. Hopefully not any kind of reoccurrence of his prior wrist or shoulder injuries. Margot - 22.6% in 2024 vs 17.9%. His rate in May is already back down to 18.2% - I feel like I have to state that I'm not endorsing for more ABs from Margot. And yes, this doesn't include guys like Larnach and Jeffers on the opposite side of the coin. Both have improved their strikeout rates by 10% or more. Hopefully that is development and not luck!
  6. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Specifically what changed about their approach? I looked up the numbers from the start of the season and since the offensive breakout, the only real change is that they're making more contact, whiffing less. They're also hitting more flyballs (5th in MLB since 4/19) and fewer groundballs (7th lowest % since 4/19). Since April 19th their isolated power is up 58 points & is 2nd best in MLB, they're 1st in slugging %, 5th in home runs (previously 26th), etc etc etc since their breakthrough. Nothing about this suggests that they've changed their approach. They're just making more & better contact.
  7. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Well that sucked, but probably not as much as losing a 4-game series and possibly being swept by the White Sox would suck! Still half a game out. Bullpen needs a little reset, and really hoping Stewarts IL stint is the minimum (or close) since the MRI came back clean - just some inflammation. Alcala in a 1-inning role would be really nice. Scott Blewett ("coming in for the save, it's Blewett!") has had a nice season in St Paul, Brent Headrick too, Diego Castillo could be worth a look in the majors, maybe they actually bring up Caleb Boushley to pitch. Either way, Jay Jackson just isn't working out and I could see Funderburk working on control in St Paul.
  8. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Correa's arm is just a thing of beauty.
  9. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Only swing if it starts middle or higher, he could get so many called fastballs at the bottom of the zone but he just doesn't do it for some reason
  10. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Truly amazing how simple the scouting report is against Gausman.
  11. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Not that it's hard to clear a spot, but Balazovic isn't on the 40-man roster as of now.
  12. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Not sure why this always needs to be some kind of divisive allegation. I think most people agree that defense is important, but if you're hitting like Jeff Mathis or Drew Butera you're going to have to save just as many runs as you leave on the field. Everyone groans when he steps up to the plate with runners on. The Twins are in a good situation where they can maintain playing playing time for Jeffers using the DH spot. If they had a slugger they wanted to use in that spot, I'd bet we would see more of Jeffers catching.
  13. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    If anything he probably got unlucky with that Martin misplay leading to his only earned run on the day. He had a .187 xBA and a .217 xSLG on the contact he gave up today. No barrels, lowest hard hit % and average exit velocity of the season. And a 40% whiff rate to go along with the 10 strikeouts - his 19 whiffs tied for the 27th most of any start in baseball this season.
  14. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    How far we are from April 17th!
  15. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Since April 18th, they're pretty dang good I'd say.
  16. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    So much room for activities!
  17. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    1800's baseball names really were something else.
  18. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    How do you evaluate the trade?
  19. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    I just really do not understand the logic here. Polanco is a detriment to his team so far. The 2 prospects they traded for are off to great starts. Topa's knee is keeping him off the field, but all signs point to him returning at some point and providing medium leverage innings. Disco won't play for the Twins but he clearly wasn't the centerpiece of the trade.
  20. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    4 pitches from Funderburk to end the inning, FINALLY some efficient pitching
  21. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    ach, seeing-eye (I assume) on a good pitch. Great outing
  22. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    You can call me Nostradamus. Or maybe it will be Nostra-dumbass.
  23. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Give Pablo the 6th, if he can get out in 10 pitches I'd give him a short leash to start the 7th.
  24. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    Boys are doing everything they can to make Pablo's day harder, it seems
  25. CCHOF5yearstoolate
    hold on let me go get my Lebowski sweater...
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