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dbminn

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Everything posted by dbminn

  1. dbminn
    I agree with you Mike. I think Granite will spend more time in the minors. IMHO, the only way he stays all year is because of injury or trade. I just didn't want to stir the pot too much.
  2. dbminn
    Agreed. I was responding more to the idea that Rosario can be traded because he is blocking Granite. I'd be ok with moving Polanco or Gordon and other prospects if the Twins go after a Sonny Gray-type. Gotta give up something to get a talented SP. Esco can handle SS if Polanco is traded. But if the Twins trade Rosario mid-season they would be left with a rookie LF and no depth to cover injuries. If they have to add Rosario to get a deal done, so be it. But there is a good chance it would be a step back for the rest of this season. I'd rather give up Polanco/MiLB prospects or wait until the end of the season to make a big trade for a SP. The Twins will have a better idea about Granite after a few months in the majors.
  3. dbminn
    There is room for all five, at least for this season. There is no other depth at AAA if someone gets injured. All of the top teams have depth. They're giving Garver some time in the OF at AAA but he's not a full-time solution. In the meantime, Rosario has been very good since May 1 - .295/.338/.497. His K Rate has been down all season (19%). He still hasn't reached his peak, IMO. Granite is a superior fielder but we won't know if he can hit MLB pitching for a while (months, not weeks). If they do make a deadline trade, I'd rather see Grossman go than Rosario. Grossman has value as a bat for a contender and Vargas can hold down DH with Garver as a second option.
  4. dbminn
    I wouldn't trade prospects at the deadline for a short-term pitcher even if the Twins stay in the race. The premium will be too high. I'd continue to keep an eye out for veteran SP/RP that might be salvaged. There are a few players that could be traded if the Twins fall back. Utility players are usually in demand so Escobar could bring back extra mid-season value. Same with professional hitters. I could see Grossman traded at a premium as well. Grossman and Escobar are under 30 years old and relatively cheap. They could help the Twins if they make a serious run next year. I'd only trade them if we get near-ready pitching in return. Gimenez might have value if a contender loses a C to injury. He's kind of a favorite of mine but Garver is ready to step up. Santana and Kintzler are in demand but the Twins are already short on pitching. I think the Twins can contend next year so I'd only trade them this mid-season at a very high premium. Sign Kintzler for two years, if necessary. Bigger trades can be made in the offseason. The Twins may have to trade a young OF, Gordon and/or some of the very young prospects to get a controllable SP. Or maybe they could open the Pohlad pocketbook and sign FA Tyler Chatwood (28 years old).
  5. dbminn
    Three players reached base by K/WP for three different Twins affiliates and they all contributed to runs? Must be a new strategy decreed by Falvine.
  6. dbminn
    The Twins should bring up one of the AA prospects only if there is an injury, a trade, or they fall out of the running for a playoff spot. That means we should see at least one of them soon, since any of these three scenarios could happen in the next few weeks.
  7. dbminn
    Zack Granite has been incredible but Mitch Garver has been very good too. He's walking a lot and has improved his power. His slash is now at .276/.389/.488. Like Granite, it looks like he's ready for a call to the Twins if someone gets hurt or the team starts to slide in the standings.
  8. dbminn
    If Garver is going to replace Gimenez, he should have at least four relief appearances instead of four starts in LF.
  9. dbminn
    He also might be called up if the Twins fall out of contention and trades are made. Grossman and Escobar should be in demand as specialty pieces on a contending team.
  10. dbminn
    Here's a scouting report for Rooker from John Sickels: "Performance-wise, there’s nothing not to like here: his numbers are outstanding and the SEC is the premier circuit in college baseball. Lest you think the gaudy numbers are a result of the metal bat, Rooker has also hit very well with wooden bats in college summer ball, hitting .360/.413/.604 in the 2015 New England Collegiate League and .305/.335/.426 in the 2016 Cape Cod League. Wherever he goes, he hits."
  11. dbminn
    What's the report on Sean Poppen? His K rate looks good. Does he have any velocity/stuff or is he a Harvard kid outsmarting Class A hitters?
  12. dbminn
    Hah! Class of 78. We're all scarred.
  13. dbminn
    Seriously? Me too. Population slumped after the Great Otter Harvest of 1932.
  14. dbminn
    Too bad about Arraez. I was looking forward to following him this year. I wish him a complete recovery.
  15. dbminn
    Any news on Arraez?
  16. dbminn
    Gibson has a great sinker - if his back and shoulder are healthy. Sinker/Slider has been his most effective combo (2014 and 2015). Last year, he wasn't healthy - he lost a fair amount of horizontal movement on his FB, sinker and change up. HR went up and ground balls went down a lot. His 4-seam FB has never been great and last year it got hammered. I'm for an increased mix of pitches but his sinker will always be important. I hope you find a way to live with your sinkerball hatred, Nick. I have the same issue with mimes but I'm learning to deal with it.
  17. dbminn
    Pressley being used in a role like Andrew Miller. He's been brought in twice with multiple runners on base. Successful both times. Looks like he's the "high leverage" pitcher while Kinzler is the closer.
  18. dbminn
    Remarkable spring, almost like Greek tragedy. Falvey tries to exile two soldiers from the old regime. Surprisingly, Park and Wimmers not only clear waivers but each has an excellent spring. Falvey's hubris blinds him to their success and they are sent to the bush. Adrianze gets hurt, allowing his new favorite son DanSan to remain on the roster. Adrianze will be exiled for 30 days, after which Falvey may have him reinjured so that he remains in the bush. Falvey's lust requires a large harem of pitchers. Early on, Haley caught his eye. He paid a small price for him, though his previous owner required Falvey keep him nearby lest he be taken back. Usually, this means sending a different pitcher away. But Falvey loved pitchers, so he kept every one (except Berrios, the darling of the old regime and all the land). Field General Molitor is unhappy with the new regime. Falvey is aware of Molitor's anger but cannot remove him for one year. Instead, he hires his old friend, Lieutenant Gimenez, to guard the harem. But what will happen when the war begins? End of Act I Meanwhile at TD, the Greek chorus sings...
  19. dbminn
    From what I've seen, Mejia is a more polished pitcher than Berrios. Mejia has been locating his pitches and staying cool with runners on base. Berrios has remarkable stuff but still needs work in those areas. I'm optimistic about both of them but right now I'd lean toward Mejia as the 5th starter. From the TV games this last week, I thought Mejia looked a lot like a left-handed DeLeon.
  20. dbminn
    Kepler could play some 1B as well if Stubbs is on the roster.
  21. dbminn
    I'm very optimistic about Polanco's bat. He is definitely a candidate for the leadoff spot and I wouldn't complain if they put him there. I also like a scenario where Polanco protects Sano. He puts the ball in play a lot. That'll put pressure on the pitcher during Sano's AB if Mauer and/or Dozier have already reached base.
  22. dbminn
    The Twins don't have an ideal leadoff hitter. Let Dozier lead off until somebody else steps up. He likes hitting leadoff and is an elite baserunner (8th best in the majors from 2014 to 2016, according to Fangraphs). Mauer prefers not to lead off and got on base only two more times per 100 PA last year. Not enough to make up for the base running difference. Maybe Buxton moves up by the middle of the season. The Indians and Cubs don't have an ideal leadoff hitter either. In a couple of ways, their choices are a lot like Dozier. Santana is a superior OBP guy and Schwarber will probably get on base a lot. They both hit for power. The only difference is that they won't run the bases nearly as well as Dozier.
  23. dbminn
    Hopefully, the prospects pitch well enough to get a chance with the big league club. With a large pool of capable RP with options, the Twins can mirror the Yankees bullpen scheme. They run a shuttle between AAA and the MLB team. This strategy reduces the chance for too many appearances by any single reliever. IMO, the Twins are a prime candidate for this strategy since their SP rarely make it through the sixth inning. Just need to have available arms to make it work.
  24. dbminn
    I predict I'll enjoy watching the Twins as much as I'm enjoying the Timberwolves this season. Except more, because baseball is my favorite sport. The Twins lack depth and there will be bouts of inconsistency. There are holes in the roster. But there is a lot of young talent that I expect, on the whole, will take a big step forward this year. That will make them worth my time.
  25. dbminn
    Santana is the most likely to throw 200. Gibson has a chance if the nagging injuries have healed. Santiago has reached 180 each of the last two years (is that a good thing?). I'm more concerned with quality starts. The Twins had 59 in 2016 while league average was 76. To get to league average, the young pitchers are going to have to step up and Gibson has to return to form. May is going to be skipped sometimes and Hughes may not get many starts.
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