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Cap'n Piranha

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Everything posted by Cap'n Piranha

  1. Cap'n Piranha
    You threw out an assertion while offering no evidence. I responded with evidence, and called it silly to ignore that evidence (never called you silly). Rather than responding yourself with any kind of evidential rebuttal, or just letting it go, you chose to respond. I'm not sure what other conclusion I would draw from that, other than that you aren't interested in any kind of reasoned interchange, but simply want to talk for the sake of talking.
  2. Cap'n Piranha
    Yeah--gonna be tough to find enough dead weight in the bullpen to jettison.
  3. Cap'n Piranha
    Danny Coulombe--At 'em Ball Master.
  4. Cap'n Piranha
    For now. (pending further action).
  5. Cap'n Piranha
    With all the data and evidence you've presented here, I'm totally convinced.
  6. Cap'n Piranha
    This is true, but my point was that the Twins are not going to sever all ties with Thorpe right now, therefore there would not be a DFA. Thorpe will either sit on the MLB IL (and move to the 60 day as you noted if needed), or they will claim he's fine, and then option him. I imagine in the offseason is when the Twins will either release him, or try to convince him to sign a minor league deal.
  7. Cap'n Piranha
    TD posters: Why does the Twins FO keep their prospects around for so long? Also TD posters: The FO gives up on prospects too soon! Just look at Baddoo, Wade, and Ynoa!
  8. Cap'n Piranha
    He has a 102 wRC+ before today, and 127 wRC+ in 116 second half PA's, while maintaining a 30% k rate, and a 14% bb rate, and making over 50% hard contact and under 10% soft contact. He has a .919 OPS and a 135 wRC+ in high leverage situations. Sano is not the superstar we hoped he'd be in the early 2010's, and never will be, but the idea that he's not a perfectly acceptable 5-7 hole hitter is silly.
  9. Cap'n Piranha
    He still has an option, therefore he would not be DFA'd, just sent down. If the Twins are truly done with him, they would have to outright release him, at which point he would almost certainly be snapped up by a team and converted to a reliever immediately (which is probably what the Twins should have been doing with him this whole year).
  10. Cap'n Piranha
    This is one of those decisions that makes no sense--I would think an analytical front office would have done the math on the value of challenging in various situations. It's made even worse by the fact that the batter up is Miller, with his .437 OPS. Why focus on the runner at first? Just get the guy at home out.
  11. Cap'n Piranha
    Yeah, I think Buxton running full speed stays on his feet comfortably, maybe even is able to slow down the last couple of steps to not overrun.
  12. Cap'n Piranha
    On the Rooker question--two things can be true at once. It is true that the catch Rooker made was a great catch, and shows he has some defensive ability. It is also true that an average or better defender would not have needed to leave their feet to make that catch. Bad defenders make good or even great plays, and good or great defenders make bad plays. Saying this one catch proves Rooker is a good defender is as silly as saying Rooker can't make the occasional good defensive play, while being otherwise sub-par.
  13. Cap'n Piranha
    Cave--I'm not opposed to moving him out to let others play (although if neither Celestino or Buxton is on the ML roster, I'm not sure if more PA's for Refsnyder is totally worth it). That said, he had a wRC+ above 100 in both 2018 and 2019, and had a serious back injury this year which I'm sure contributed to his terrible numbers. He still has an option left, and with three years of arbitration (which will be very inexpensive), he's not a terrible depth option, until such time as Kiriloff, Larnach, Rooker, Celestino, and Martin are all ready to be everyday big league players. Simmons--I have no idea why we're not auditioning Polanco and Gordon at short. None. Donaldson--I don't think it's crazy to believe the market for him might be different in the offseason than it was at the deadline. Also worth noting that eating $40M to move him is more palatable if Miranda has 6 weeks of consistent playing time OPSing .900; sure it's not great, but you save $10M. Given that Donaldson clearly isn't healthy, I have no idea why you wouldn't IL him now, let him rest, and bring him back in September.
  14. Cap'n Piranha
    I have no problem with sending Larnach down, but color me confused as to why they wouldn't bring up Miranda instead of Gordon. Miranda has to go on the 40 man at the end of the year anyways, so why not make room now? I think we have a pretty good idea of what Gordon is at this point--a guy who can play a few different positions acceptably, and won't really hit, but has good speed. Sounds like a 25th man to me. Now, maybe with an offseason with no health issues, he can put on some weight, and become a better hitter, but playing him now won't do anything to test that hypothesis. On the other hand, if Miranda comes up and OPS's over .900, you can feel a lot more comfortable about moving Donaldson. If he comes up and OPS's .500, now you have to think long and hard about moving Donaldson. In short, there's still more to learn on Miranda, and it can be learned now. There may still be more to learn on Gordon, but it can't be learned now.
  15. Cap'n Piranha
    Ummm...this is the exact point jkcarew and I are making. The shift does not reduce the prevalence of LHB pull hitting. The same amount of LHB pull hitting happens whether there is a shift or not. The reason the shift has not reduced LHB pull hitting is because as the last decade has progressed, more and more teams have come to the determination that hitting homeruns is worth the lower batting average that results from more weak grounders to the right side. Thus, eliminating the shift will make no difference in the approach being employed by LHB's. If what we're after is more men getting on base, eliminating the shift won't make much of an impact, as it won't change the approach of any hitters, and probably not that many balls (maybe 1-2 a game?) are fielded by shifted defenders. Here's two rule changes that would results in more balls in play. Only 3 infielders. Now there will never be three players on the right side of the diamond, and in fact, there will be only the standard alignment. There will therefore be two large gaps on the left side, to both sides of the 3B, encouraging players to go oppo. Just in general, hitting the ball on the ground will be far more likely to produce a hit, making homeruns less relatively valuable Pitchers can only be the first defender to touch a ball if they do so while on the mound. Bunting now becomes much easier to do, as there's no longer a need to push the ball past the pitcher. This would force third basemen to play in more frequently, making the left side more open.
  16. Cap'n Piranha
    What's the difference in velocity, spin rate, and break on pitches in the last 30 years? Do hitters strike out more than they used to because they care less about strikeouts, as they seem them as a necessary evil in the pursuit of power, or do hitters strike out more because every team now features multiple pitchers who throw harder, with better breaking balls, than almost any pitcher from 30 years ago?
  17. Cap'n Piranha
    I don't think banning the shift makes for more entertaining baseball, unless your idea of entertaining baseball is weakly hit groundballs dribbling through the right side. Homeruns are far more entertaining, and far more valuable, so the idea that taking away the one disincentive for left-handers to sell out for power will in any way reduce the current mode of hitting is just silly. The only way to stop the shift is to make it more valuable for players to hit to all fields. The only way to make it more valuable for players to hit to all fields is to increase the value proposition of non-homeruns vis-à-vis homeruns. Artificially eliminating the shift through rule changes, as has been noted, will make launch angle-driven pull hitting more prevalent, not less, and therefore, doesn't fix the root cause of lack of action in the game.
  18. Cap'n Piranha
    You can say your dates have meaning, and I don't necessarily disagree with that, I'm just saying you did choose a random end date, simply because it coincided with the Twins worst winning percentage. As I mentioned in my first post, the Twins were not a materially better team the day after the end date you choose; they just happened to win that day. Nor were they a materially worse team the day before your end date. Unless you're going to explain why the Twins (or at least their record) improved after the date you choose, your dates are also random. Also, for what it's worth, in the US we use the Gregorian calendar, which was not finalized and adopted in Europe until 1582 at the urging of Pope Gregory XIII. So in one sense, yes, he was a Roman, but in a more accurate sense, he was Bolognese.
  19. Cap'n Piranha
    "You can't win the division in April, but you sure can lose it".
  20. Cap'n Piranha
    By definition, any dates that aren't the first or last day of the season are random. They are selected for an express purpose, and there is no reason to think that the day before or after would tell a vastly different story (absent significant changes in roster makeup/availability). The dates you chose are just as random as the 1st and 30th.
  21. Cap'n Piranha
    Good thing Jeffers didn't do that on a 3-0 pitch. That would be disrespectful.
  22. Cap'n Piranha
    Borderline Top 10 3B in all of baseball is not even close? Were you somehow confused, and though we had signed 1979 Mike Schmidt?
  23. Cap'n Piranha
    The definition of bust is a worthless thing. Not something that's mildly disappointing. No one writes articles about the players who signed big contracts who were 80% worth it. The articles are written about the players who completely flop. I think the word you're looking for is underachiever/underperformer. I do wish Donaldson had produced more to this point, but it's not like we didn't know about his injury propensity when he signed, so I won't blame him for not producing more since he's injured. Despite all that, he's 4th for batters on the entire team in WAR since the beginning of 2020. He is in no way a bust
  24. Cap'n Piranha
    Bust.
  25. Cap'n Piranha
    I'd love to see Miranda up, but there's no way Donaldson will be benched. For one thing, he's our third best hitter this year by wRC+ (if you exclude Buxton and Refsnyder). For another, a good way to ensure you don't sign free agents in the future is to put free agents you signed in the past who are producing on the bench.
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