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Cap'n Piranha

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Everything posted by Cap'n Piranha

  1. Cap'n Piranha
    It behooves the Twins to start getting an idea on how many legitimate options we have for next years rotation. We have 3 locks in Santana, Berrios, and Mejia. Santiago is probably gone, and we shouldn't count on Hughes being able to ever start again. That leaves Gibson, Slegers, Jorge, Gonsalves, and Romero as guys who could potentially contribute next year. I think it makes sense to start finding out if the potential is real or not, rather than experiment with a bunch of has-beens, and never-weres.
  2. Cap'n Piranha
    Your strikeout is worse than a double play take is awful. Let's say 75% of the time a dp ball actually becomes a dp, 20% of the time, only one out is recorded, and 5% of the time, no outs are recorded. The expected outs for a ball hit at a middle infielder in a dp situation is therefore 1.7--which is obviously far worse than the worst case scenario of one out from the strikeout.
  3. Cap'n Piranha
    At this point, you can't really count on Santana to give you 5-6 ace-level performances in the playoffs. He's just not performing as a 1 right now. This team, while fun, is not ready to compete in the playoffs. I hope they prove me wrong, but if they do, I hope it's done organically. Next year is the year we start getting serious.
  4. Cap'n Piranha
    If it's Park, Palka, Murphy, Minier--or someone of that ilk, I'm good. If it's Jorge, Curtiss, Wade, Palacios--I'm not good.
  5. Cap'n Piranha
    I think you and I might have different definitions of contention. I'm inclined to believe the Twins aren't truly in contention for anything more than a division round loss at best, even with a trade upgrade. I don't want to dilute our system so we can lose to Houston in 4 games instead of 3.
  6. Cap'n Piranha
    True. However, making a trade MIGHT not improve the team today OR tomorrow.
  7. Cap'n Piranha
    I'm sure they care, I'm saying they shouldn't. Build a winner, and it will all work out. I would hate to think that our supposedly advanced and analytical front office is making moves to avoid negative media attention, rather than working to build a sustainable winner. Not sacrificing the system today makes the team better tomorrow, which should be the goal, since we're not, you know, a juggernaut currently.
  8. Cap'n Piranha
    I think in fairness just meant if you're going to make an error (which every player will), making one that doesn't cost you an out or a run in a game you're winning by 5 in the late innings is the best time to do it.
  9. Cap'n Piranha
    You didn't only say that, that's just the part I responded to. You said they would get blasted by the media, I said who cares? As for upsetting the players, while I care about that, I would hope our players would be savvy enough to understand that, according to fangraphs, we have a 17.3% chance to make the playoffs this year, but by buttressing our farm system, we can raise those odds in future years. I'm sure Altuve hated playing on 90 loss teams for 3-4 years, but I'm also sure that being on a team that currently has 99.9% odds to win its division, and will be around 90% odds to make the playoffs every year for the next 5-7 years makes up for that.
  10. Cap'n Piranha
    I think a good comparison here is a QB that heaves the ball towards the end zone from his own 40 yard line with 1 second left in the half, resulting in an interception in the end zone. It's clearly a throw he wouldn't make under other circumstances, and while it goes down as an interception, it doesn't really impact his team's chances to win. Grossman's error didn't turn an out into a non-out. It didn't allow a run to score. Therefore, in a game the Twins were winning by 5 in the late innings, it's not particularly harmful--unlike Polanco's error on Thursday that allowed the Astros to continue a rally that ultimately won them the game. Both were errors, but with vastly different impacts and importance.
  11. Cap'n Piranha
    Who's to say your best players don't perform terribly? What if bad Berrios shows up, and he exits in the third after giving up 7 runs? What if Sano puts up a 1 for 11 with 7 k's? We shouldn't base odds for postseason success on what-ifs and could-bes.
  12. Cap'n Piranha
    Who cares if they get blasted by the media? 5-6 years ago the media blasted the Astros for openly trying to lose games. Now they're one of the two best teams in the league, and the envy of 25ish organizations. The goal should be to build a team that has a sustained window of opportunity, not dump chips at queen jack suited, simply because you've been getting a lot of deuce seven.
  13. Cap'n Piranha
    Sell if you get the right offer, stand pat if you don't. I'm not interested in shortening the length of our window just to try to open it a couple inches more for a team that is not as good as it's record. Especially when you consider that it's not a guarantee whomever we trade for works out. If the kids can drag us to a playoff berth on their own, great. But this offseason is the time to make your moves, in an attempt to legitimately compete in 2018.
  14. Cap'n Piranha
    Buxton's OPS is now above .600, which means it's higher than Polanco's.
  15. Cap'n Piranha
    We have 4 hits, all for extra bases.
  16. Cap'n Piranha
    I can't blame Hughes for sticking around when he makes about $64k a day. But I do wish he would feel guilty about it, and give it back. Although there's obviously little guarantee ownership will choose to reinvest.
  17. Cap'n Piranha
    If Phil had any integrity, he'd negotiate a buyout and retire.
  18. Cap'n Piranha
    Rosario's overthrowing might allow a guy to take an extra base. With Granite's underthrowing, the guy will already have taken that extra base.
  19. Cap'n Piranha
    Assuming an L tonight, the Twins will be 0-4 against Houston, with a run differential of negative 25-35 runs. Oh, and 3 of those 4 games were started by Santana and Berrios. This just in: we're not a #3 starter and a couple of bullpen arms away.
  20. Cap'n Piranha
    I don't know why everyone is so worried about the Yankees--the last time they beat us was so long ago there was a different President of the United States.
  21. Cap'n Piranha
    Our short season teams are going to be a lot of fun to follow this year. Lewis looks like he wants an all expenses paid trip to beautiful Tennessee.
  22. Cap'n Piranha
    The Twins should look to be sellers, but not sell for the sake of selling. If this was a team like KC, with 6 of our top players hitting free agency, and a championship pedigree, I'd say go for it. If we were the Tigers from a couple years ago, with our core approaching the mid-30's, I'd say go for it. This is a young, and hopefully improving team. If we don't think our young core, combined with an above average farm system, and a balance sheet about to get much cleaner is capable of competing consistently for the next 3-5 years, than we should pull a Houston circa 2011, and blow it all up.
  23. Cap'n Piranha
    Jorge got ahead of Gonsalves and Romero by being on the 40 man, and not having injury/inning limit concerns.
  24. Cap'n Piranha
    Yes on Hand so long as it's a prospect outside the top 10. Otherwise I'd rather see what Hildenberger, Busenitz, Curtiss, Reed, and Melotakis can do. No on Neshek, unless it's a prospect outside the top 30, like Amaurys Minier.
  25. Cap'n Piranha
    Except that the Twins need a starter for Friday, which is Santiago's spot. If they're planning on calling a starter up, why bring Busenitz up for the two days when you have your best starters going, and you're already carrying 8 relievers? My guess is the Twins just decided to do a bullpen game on Friday--if not, it means they are just throwing darts at the wall in terms of call-ups.
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