This isn't Danny Santana who posted a BABIP over .400. The ML average is right around .300 and many players can get that consistently into the .320/.330 range. I agree that .357 a bit high, but that doesn't justify the idea that Terry Ryan was aiming low (which is what I was responding to). Regression may happen, but it isn't likely going to crush him like it did Santana last season. Considering also that you're talking about a guy who posted those numbers at age 24 in the majors, who has shown the ability to put up similar numbers in the minors while being quite a bit younger than his competitors, and a guy who is still yet in his prime, an OPS hovering around .750 is a very real possibility, and it's well above average for a major league catcher. Bottom line is this, Murphy was not some mediocre low upside pickup. He's got a very realistic shot at being an above average starter at a position of need for the next 4 years or so. This is a pickup similar to Eduardo Escobar, not Pedro Florimon. While the results may not end up as good as EE has been, Murphy will very likely contribute better than the league at his position.