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chpettit19

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Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. chpettit19
    Agreed.
  2. chpettit19
    I'll start by saying I think they need to DFA Pagan, but to be fair to him for last night he did follow up Correa's error with another groundout that Miranda threw low and Arraez couldn't pick. Back to back errors that lead to a run can't be put on the pitcher.
  3. chpettit19
    Other than Arraez, there's no hitter in the Twins lineup I'd rather have up when the team needs a big hit right now than Miranda. Kid looks to be figuring it out and setting himself up for a very nice career.
  4. chpettit19
    We have 2 office areas in our building and 1 is empty but there's been serious talk about making me sit over there by myself so I quit discussing the Twins, and baseball in general. Feels like workplace discrimination to me.
  5. chpettit19
    Oh, you don't have to worry about me sharing my opinions. I'll continue sharing them. Even the bad ones. Cuz what else should I be doing with my time? Actually working at work? Seems like a ridiculous idea!
  6. chpettit19
    Actually, the OP asked "How would you rank the names listed above? Does a different prospect make your top-5 list?" And my original comment responsed to the first question. Then another poster and I had a conversation that included more detail. It was quite cordial and productive. You then asked me a question so I answered it. That's generally how conversations on forums go. I apologize if I put too much thought into my answer to your question and will refrain from doing so in the future.
  7. chpettit19
    Tier 1 would be anyone with all star upside. I think those 2 are the only ones like that currently. After tier 1 I'd split up pitchers and hitters and there'd be tiers within those groupings. Example being likely relievers would have their own grouping and then it'd be tiered on back end, middle, mop up, non-major leaguer. Starters would be mid-rotation, back of rotation tiers. Hitters I'd break into position groups and it'd be tiered in those groups by major league regular, backup/utility guy, non-major leaguer. Something like that. I just don't think there's much value in saying "mid to back end of a rotation pitcher A should be ranked 6th in the system, but mid to back end of the rotation pitcher B should be 9th behind major league regular corner outfielder C and utility man D." Pitchers A and B are basically the same guy and you're just hoping 1 makes it so they should be grouped together while the 2 bats would fill different needs on the team so shouldn't really be compared to each other or the pitchers on a ranking list. People love to know what rank a prospect was in a team's system when they get traded. Receiving the 9th ranked prospect doesn't sound as good as receiving the 6th ranked prospect even though their spectrum of outcome possibilities are likely very, very similar. So to me what is important is what their spectrum looks like and not some arbitrary ranking they're given. I think grouping and tiers is more effective in representing spectrums and what a system really looks like instead of splitting hairs and comparing apples to oranges in an overall list.
  8. chpettit19
  9. chpettit19
    Yeah, I don't know if it's the issue or not, but I know that was their plan so it's a possibility. Mostly just trying to hold out hope that the kid can turn a corner.
  10. chpettit19
    Took me 21 days, but I got my 1 for the month.
  11. chpettit19
    There's a pretty bold take. I don't know that I'd argue super hard against it. It sort of feels like a Buxton situation to me and the best thing Martin can do for himself is just tune everyone out and build his swing the way he wants. That's all assuming his fall from grace is largely driven by the Twins trying to turn him into a power hitter and the swing/approach changes are driving his inability to hit for average now. I feel like the talent is still there to be a right handed Arraez-lite with speed. If he can be a .300 hitter who steals some bags and plays really nice defense in left I'd be quite happy. But he sure looks lost right now. I also think they need to put him in left and just let him be. You traded for his bat, not his glove. There was nothing hurt in seeing if he could stick at SS, but that possibility has passed and it's time to let him settle into a spot and focus on his bat. Put him in left and let him focus on getting his bat right.
  12. chpettit19
    It's your list, my friend, you can put him wherever you want! I'd pretty staunchly argue Lee being ahead of him, but I wouldn't put up much of a fight about how anyone orders guys behind Lewis and Lee.
  13. chpettit19
    Winder was 25 when he debuted, for what it's worth. To me it's splitting hairs with a lot of this stuff when it comes to ranking lists (it's why I'm not a big fan of ranking lists). I prefer groupings/tiers. I'd have my grouping of "Untouchables" that either position players or pitchers can be in. Then I'd break down my pitchers and position players into different groups with many factors instead of listing everyone together in a list. The difference between a pitcher ranked 8th and 12th in a system is basically nothing most of the time. They're likely both middle to back end of the rotation type arms and it's just a question of which one can put it all together. So to me the Twins have 2 guys with All Star upside in the system (Lewis and Lee) and then it's just a jumble of guys with similar likely ceilings.
  14. chpettit19
    Then I guess it's a good thing Miranda is a long term 3B and not 1B. He's got 1 OAA at 3B compared to -2 at 1B. Glad he's targeted to play 3B.
  15. chpettit19
    FYI Lewis (59), Winder (69), Rodriguez (85), and Steer (100) made Baseball America's updated top 100.
  16. chpettit19
    I'm more of a tiers guy so I'd just say Lewis and Lee are tier 1 guys while the other 3 are tier 2 guys for varying reasons while each have legit paths to jumping into tier 1 (back into tier 1 in Martin's case).
  17. chpettit19
    Do they think anyone from the Povich, Prielipp, Hajjar, Balazovic, Canterino, Varland, Henriquez, et al group of prospects will be ready by 2024? Do they think SWR or Winder are significantly better than any of those guys? I'd say they better have at least 1 of those arms ready by 2024 whether they keep Winder and SWR or not, and I don't think SWR or Winder are any more likely than that grouping to be front of the rotation arms. Unless they have a reason to believe Castillo is any more likely to get injured than any other pitcher or his performance will drop off dramatically in the next year and a half I do that trade. Give me Castillo, Ryan, Gray for the rest of this year and add Maeda back next year all on below market deals and I can build a pretty competitive rotation.
  18. chpettit19
    It's the same discussion we go round and round on every game thread and recap. Some people like the strategy, some don't. Someone will inevitably complain that Rocco has no feel for the game and needs to use his gut. Others will point out stats that show the strategy is largely successful and others will complain that if they didn't baby guys so much they'd be better and able to last longer. Others will point out that there's far too many variables that go into these decisions to whittle it down to 1 variable and say it's always just a 3rd time through decision. Somebody is going to say their numbers are so high because they're facing the top of the order on the 3rd time through so it's skewed. I just wanted to get the gut comment out of the way before we dive into the rest of the back and forth.
  19. chpettit19
    But what does your gut say about it?
  20. chpettit19
    How hard guys have hit his fastball and the shape of his off speed were the concerns he listed. And for reference he had Winder ranked 8th in the system coming into the year and said he'd have been in his top 100 were it not for his injury last year. So his concerns are based on what he's seen at the major league level this season.
  21. chpettit19
    Law gave it a "Maybe?" response, and listed his concerns about Winder not sticking as a starter so the package would actually be too light. The bigger thing I got from that article is that other teams can put together far better packages than the Twins without touching their #1 prospects (although the Padres suggestion included Hassell). The Twins don't have great buying power in the arms race of the next 2 weeks.
  22. chpettit19
    The Athletic had an article today where beat writers made trade proposals for Castillo and they had Keith Law (their prospect guy) rate the package. Dan Hayes suggested the Twins could send Steer, Winder, and SWR to the Reds. Law's response was: "Maybe? I’m concerned by how hard MLB hitters hit Winder’s fastball this year, and what we can see about the shapes of his other pitches, which might mean I was too high on him coming into the year. If this is really two relievers plus Steer, who has made himself into a potential regular with his breakout, it’s too light."
  23. chpettit19
    The debate that was happening there was the timing of gathering those price tags, not that the conversations happened or how they went. My point was that they weren't calling Prielipp during the draft to ask his number, they already had it.
  24. chpettit19
    I'm with ya. They should've added more that year, and they need to add this year. I think the goal every year should be to have 26 playoff worthy guys on your roster after the deadline with some prospects in the wings to fill in any holes that pop up as the last 2 months play out. The Twins tend to be happy with like 12 playoff worthy guys on the roster after the deadline.
  25. chpettit19
    Dobnak started because Pineda cheated. Not that they didn't need to add more arms, but if we're being honest here there were some second half events that changed that team drastically going into the playoffs.
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