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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Yeah, he had a really nice homestand for us. Good to see.
  2. gunnarthor
    Yeah, the Twins have some nice exciting young pitchers down there. Kudos to the development group. I know Stewart and Jay were supposed to be studs but Jorge seems to be bouncing back from the disaster season he had a few years ago and Gonsalves was a 4th round pick (although maybe he fell b/c of some character issue? I don't think he was first round talent but maybe 2nd?). It's also nice to see Luke Bard pitching well after all those injuries. I hope he gets promoted to AA soon.
  3. gunnarthor
    On Gordon: Last year one of the BP guys put a 70 FV (future value) on him. That guy was a limb by himself but other BP guys defended the call, saying it wasn't crazy. The basis of the 70 grade (by one guy) was that Gordon had shown he'd be able to stick at short at the ML level and his bat was a plus bat for a shortstop. So you were looking at a strong defensive short stop who would hit among the top 5 at his position (less power, better on-base). Hence, the 70. Others (obviously) weren't as high on him but still, that's awesome.
  4. gunnarthor
    Two very nice starts by Stewart. Really encouraging. Nice write up.
  5. gunnarthor
    That's a really good point. Last year, I thought Mike Nikorak might be a nice sleeper pick for someone and he slid all the way to 27. There will be some nice talent at 15 although we might not nab the right guy. Should still be fun to watch.
  6. gunnarthor
    I hope they send down Rosario but I think it'll be Buxton.
  7. gunnarthor
    Out of curiosity, who does Klaw have at #15?
  8. gunnarthor
    Gordon's start is really encouraging. Hope he can keep this up all year.
  9. gunnarthor
    Yeah, they could, I suppose. The NL only has 9 teams trying this year. And they have a massive payroll advantage that should keep them in the hunt while the AL looks more even. But they won't make the playoffs 5x in 7 years. Only a handful of teams have been able to pull that off.
  10. gunnarthor
    You might be putting the cart before the horse. They had a good year last year but, like the Twins, they sucked until last year.
  11. gunnarthor
    Dang, mlb has to update their list .... So he's probably not going to be at 15 is what you're saying? While we're on the topic, anyone know how Kyle Cody and Funkhowsier are looking this year?
  12. gunnarthor
    Yeah, he also said it was a thin pool at the top. Reminds me of the 2000 draft, which sucked.
  13. gunnarthor
    Any thoughts on Nick Senzel (mlb #14) or Bobby Dalbec (mlb #15)? Both play third in decent colleges.
  14. gunnarthor
    Man, I bet Jed Hoyer probably had a say or two in the decisions ... I think Theo is a fine and I also think he's an overrated. He's had massive financial advantages that people seem to want to ignore. It's still probably a bit early to make a decision on these drafts. Since 2012, only 5 players (Bryant, Buxton, Schawber, Duffey and Zack Godley) have even had a cup of coffee in the majors from these drafts. But we're also getting off track.
  15. gunnarthor
    Actually, it's kind of an interesting comparison. Since the 2012 draft, and just going over the first five rounds, the two teams have picked (I don't think I missed anyone but I might have): HS pitchers Twins 3 Cubs 7 HS bats Twins 4 Cubs 2 College pitchers Twins 14 Cubs 7 College bats Twins 2 Cubs 6 Johnson seems to have changed the draft strategies that Radcliff had. The three HS pitchers (Berrios, Gonsalves and Stewart) have some upside and fans have been clamoring for that for years. Still not sure I'm sold on his college fire ballers approach but he's sticking to it. Cubs seem to be more even but ignore HS bats. (But, SSS and all). I think some of the picks (Buxton at 2, Bryant at 3) were pretty obvious picks but picks like Schwaber and Jay might tell us more about the teams draft strategies.
  16. gunnarthor
    Nice write up. I think a college bat who can play third would be nice to nab.
  17. gunnarthor
    Good list. I really like Cabbage and he'll start showing up on a lot of sleeper lists soon. I'd probably add his draft mate Blankenhorn to the list, as well. I really liked those two picks. I think Gordon could sky rocket up the top 100 lists this season. He can play short and his power should begin to show. I don't know if he'll break out but I'm really interested in seeing how well Turner can hit. He had a decent amount of walks in AA last year. Hopefully, he can be a bit more than Drew Buetera.
  18. gunnarthor
    Just a reminder, while a lot of people were down on Stewart, he did make Klaw's top 100 this season.
  19. gunnarthor
    Of the names you mentioned, I like Melotakis the most. I do think that Kohl Stewart will have a nice season for us but I'm not sure if a former top pick is a "break out candidate."
  20. gunnarthor
    Maybe the obvious inferiority of the NL makes the projection system better?
  21. gunnarthor
    Over. I thought last years team was a .500ish team coming out of ST and this team is better so we should be able to top 79 wins.
  22. gunnarthor
    On wins, it's off, on average of 6-7 wins per year. Sometimes more. Supporters argue that 6 or 7 wins is as close as you can get on a projection system. I think that's a heck of cop out - basically a projected 81-81 record would be "correct" if the team won anywhere between 75 and 87 games. The second issue - projected final standings, I'm not sure about. Most people focus on the record. When I've looked at the projected standings, they are right around a third of the time but I'm not sure if that's an accurate representation of PECOTA. As mentioned above, last year they were 0-15 on projected standings in the AL.
  23. gunnarthor
    I have a theory, as yet proven, that Gibson's sinker doesn't sink in cold weather games and that's what he had all last April. When the weather was nice (like in ST), his sinker worked.
  24. gunnarthor
    I'm pretty sure they'll be off by about 7 games per team and their final standing projections will probably get about a third of the teams in the right place.
  25. gunnarthor
    I wouldn't overly worry about PECOTA projections. Last year, they were off, on avg, by over 8 games for each AL team and only within 5 games for 4 teams. And there were just as off on their final projected standings - 0-15 on placing the teams in their own divisions and only got two teams within one standing place of their actual, final spot. Last year you could have drawn teams out of a hat and crushed PECOTA.
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