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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. If it is the Blue Jays, I'd be very surprised if Reid Foley isn't one of the pieces coming back.
  2. The offense really isn't that far away. (And I think they'd be closer if they had better coaching).
  3. Yeah, good point Vanimal. Abad played well for us and didn't complain. Best of luck to him in Boston.
  4. And now I'm just hitting refresh on mlbtraderumors ....
  5. I think that's probably a fair trade - Light might be sort of like Pressley was a few years ago? For a LOOGY, a hard throwing reliever with 6 years of control seems fair.
  6. Well, there's a 2 WAR difference between them on B-R and B-R WAR usually passes the smell test better than fWAR. And FIP is the same argument we use to say Nolasco doesn't suck. Stroman did have a good rookie season but since then he's been injured and this year he's putting up a Nolasco-like 85 ERA+ and sub zero WAR. Considering the question marks around him before, I think one can argue that his future is in the bullpen, not the rotation. I'm not sure if the Blue Jays will put him on the trade block but I also wouldn't want him back as the centerpiece for Santana.
  7. I hope they move Suzuki. Abad, Kinzler, Santana can all be moved in the offseason, if needed.
  8. The Twins do have the advantage of not needing to trade him. He's a good player - already worth 2 WAR this season - on a decent contract. He shouldn't be a salary dump. If they can't get a better package than Nunez', keep him. They certainly shouldn't dump him for another team's pu-pu platter.
  9. On their ML roster, Marcus Stroman is having a bad year. He's their version of Berrios, only shorter. 5'8". All the talk we heard of Berrios being too short applies to Stroman. He's already burned his 3 option years (I believe) and was injured last year (knee). Some thought he'd be best used as a reliever and, frankly, as a starter, he hasn't been that impressive yet. He'll be 26 next year. Santana would be a big upgrade over him for Toronto and Toronto might be willing to move him.
  10. I think any trade would have to include Sean Reid Foley, a starting pitcher prospect. He has some flags - strange mechanics and is still only in A+ ball. But he has ace upside and is having a tremendous year. His teammate Jon Harris is another guy to look at. Foley is #94 on mlb's list, Harris is unranked. Considering the returns we've seen in this market, I think the Twins could get 3 or 4 prospects from Toronto.
  11. MLBtraderumors mentioned that the Blue Jays were scouting Santana last night.
  12. I think 4th starter means two different things. 1) To scouts, it's a description of the player's stuff - John Sickels had a good discussion of that: http://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/8/7/3226335/defining-1-2-3-4-5-starters. A #4 starter won't have any plus pitches but should have solid command/control. But that's just the scouting line - a #4 can pitch above his expectations (or below). 2) And then I think people say "he's a #4" and they mean that they expect that he can pitch 180-200 innings at roughly 95-100 ERA+, 2ish WAR.
  13. Yeah, that sounds about right. He's a good get but he's likely a back of the rotation starter, which is nice but not a top 100 type. But let's hope he excels for us.
  14. Keep in mind that prospect ranking is an inexact science at best. MLB's scouts had him #7 while BA had him #3 and in the top 100. I tend to think mlb is better than BA but still, it's a solid get.
  15. Solid return. I actually thought the Twins were aiming for Mejia or Clevinger (Cle) with the Nunez rumors so I was pretty happy to be right for once. Good luck to Nunez in SF.
  16. My thoughts are that this should be divided a second time. The 08-11 period under Johnson and Smith and then the 12-16 period where Ryan and Radcliff had more input. And the draft pool thing came into effect in 2012, as well. I'm not sure how much budget affected the 08-11 drafts but we know there were pretty strong rumors it affected previous drafts. That said, Johnson certainly has some differences than Radcliff - we mainly see that with the type of pitchers he takes. He prefers fireballers whereas Radcliff focused more on control (this is an imperfect comparison as Johnson did draft Wimmers and Radcliff did take Garza and Durbin). But right now, the 08 draft (3 first rounders) was a big miss. And 11 was pretty rough, too. But 2012 could be an all-timer. I'm not sold on Johnson but the last few drafts have been a lot more exciting than his first few. Maybe he's learning, maybe there's more than we know. In a recent chat, Klaw had good things to say about the Twins scouting department so maybe there's more to know. I won't complain if the new GM replaces Johnson but I won't complain if he keeps him. I think there's just too much to this that I don't know.
  17. The few times we've known we'd need money in less than a year, we've just dumped into a CD. It doesn't make much money, really, but it's safe. The one exception was about a year ago. We dumped 10k into HSI thinking that the Court would uphold Obamacare and the stock would spike. It did but we held it hoping to hold for a year (so lower taxes) and it bottomed out. I think we technically lost about 200 dollars on that. So we just should have done the CD.
  18. We were kicking the tires on it but decided to hold our money. I do expect the economy to go down so we haven't invested (and the darn thing keeps going up) but we also might invest in some real estate so ....
  19. Anyone jump on Netflix?
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