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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    They all sound good. My guess is they hire someone else that we haven't heard of yet. Jim Pohlad seems to hear the fan complaints more than his father did so he'll hire outside the organization. But I also expect he'll try and save a few bucks so he won't hire a GM that will require a big salary - and most of these probably would. He'll hire someone who is willing to be the 30th highest paid GM in baseball and is comfortable with having the owner pick the manager.
  2. gunnarthor
    Nice write up Seth. My guess is that ownership will hire someone we haven't heard of. Jim Pohlad seems to hear the complaints of fans a lot more than his dad did. So he'll find a GM who is willing to live with Molitor.
  3. gunnarthor
    Worst case scenario. Balt GM: (to Antony) Look, we both know the Pohlads are going a different direction. Here's what I'll do. Send me Sano for Chris Lee and you can be my asst GM next year. Antony: Deal!
  4. gunnarthor
    Wouldn't the playing time/quick hooks on our younger players be on Molitor, not Ryan?
  5. gunnarthor
    I think it's actually pretty common. Off the top of my head you have Ned Colletti former Dodgers GM now the Senior Advisor and Doug Melvin, former Brewers manager who is now a senior advisor. Both were fired from their GM and managing duties.
  6. gunnarthor
    Some of the insular stuff should be taking down a notch. The Twins almost entirely cleared their organizational coaching staff since Ryan got back and hired the majority of new coaches from other organizations. True, they do have some long termed people but most orgs do. Seth can speak on it better but the minor league coaches under Smith are almost all gone. And Ryan created a new analyst department that didn't exist before and hired one of the younger farm director's in baseball in Brad Steil (who hopefully sticks around after the new GM comes in). He also hired away dozens of new scouts from other teams as well and added resources in Canada. Sure, Dave St Peter is still there but his impact on the baseball operations in nil.
  7. gunnarthor
    If that's true, the timing is strange. Unless the team doesn't expect to make any deadline moves?
  8. gunnarthor
    Yeah. The scary thing might be that ownership wants to lower payroll again (my guess is that was why Smith was fired). If we trade Santana for nothing but payroll relief, our rotation next year will be bad. And searching for a GM during the season strikes me as not the best way to do it. Wouldn't we want to wait until after the season to interview people connected with other teams?
  9. gunnarthor
    Wow. Well, best to Terry. He worked hard for this team for decades. I suspect the timing meant that he and the Pohlad family had a different view of what should happen at the trade deadline. I'm not sure what this means to Molitor, I always felt he was a Pohlad hire so I doubt he's gone. (Although I'm not a fan of this coaching staff). And Anthony is the logical interim GM. Nice to see that they will do a big GM search. And I would also assume that most people would look at the Twins GM job as a really nice prize.
  10. gunnarthor
    Romero has been really good sign by the international department. He signed for 260k in Oct 2011. mlbpipeline wrote this about him: "It's possible Romero would be talked about now as one of the better pitching prospects of the game if he hadn't gotten hurt. But the talented right-hander needed Tommy John surgery after just three starts in 2014, missing the rest of that and the 2015 season. Romero has a big arm when he's healthy, sitting in the 93-95 mph and touching the upper-90s. Romero's breaking ball has morphed a bit over time. It was more of a power curve two years ago before the injury, but it's turned into more of a slider and looked like it could be a plus one eventually based on how he was throwing it at instructs last fall. He has good feel for his changeup, giving him the chance to have three above-average pitches once he gets back to full strength. Romero is still learning how to pitch and there is certain to be some rust to shake off after nearly two years away from competitive pitching. If he can get back to where he was before the surgery, he has the chance to have among the best stuff in the Twins system."
  11. gunnarthor
    He was a 24th round pick out of Appalachian State which, I believe, isn't a great baseball program school but it's ok. His numbers so far are far better than what he put up in college. He's doing very well against younger competition and the Twins seem willing to move him up, which is good. He's probably a lottery ticket but he's a nice one to have.
  12. gunnarthor
    Probably time to bring up Berrios
  13. gunnarthor
    Nice start by Gonsalves. It doesn't mean much but with all the promotions, mlbpipeline updates its top 100 prospects and Gonsalves is now #98. Of course, that doesn't include recent draftees and it doesn't change the order for those above/below on how they've played but it is still nice to see.
  14. gunnarthor
    Sure, but the offense also pummeled Hamels, Manaea, Nola and Quintana. I do think the offense will certainly have some lows but they won't be the lows we saw in April.
  15. gunnarthor
    The Twins certainly have the pieces for a very good offensive team. Hopefully, we are starting to see that grow at last.
  16. gunnarthor
    Yeah, it looks like you timed that market really well. That always feels good. I was talking to my wife about that stock because you brought it up. We both are skittish around "technology" stocks b/c we don't feel like we know enough about the industry (as if I know enough about banking or oil, but whatever). So we haven't made many investments in 'tech'. Although we did buy up some Oracle stock in Summer '00.
  17. gunnarthor
    Mike - If you are looking for a nice dividend stock and want to take advice from some idiot on a baseball message board, I will say that one nice stock we owned was HP, the oil rig company. We bought it in 07 and sold it a couple years ago when we paid off a bunch of my student loans. We tripled our money on that investment and that's not even counting the really nice dividends we got. Oil's been knocked around a bit the last few years but it's starting to come out of it. I think it's priced a bit high - in the 60s - but if it slips into the 50s it's a bargain. IMHO. And the dividend approaches 5%. Since it's an oil rig company, it rises and falls with oil demand but the price will eventually get over 100 again.
  18. gunnarthor
    He signed last week.
  19. gunnarthor
    Ford has a great dividend but I'd stay away. I just don't trust it much over the longterm. I know it's improved but it always seem the last to the party on improving its cars. I might make a small investment in it but certainly not a big one. I think there are safer buys.
  20. gunnarthor
    I'm not a smart enough investor to know a lot about foreign markets but I'm sure there is money to be made there (and lost there). The only big foreign gamble we took was a 10k buy of TTM - a car company from India - about 10 years ago. It's annual gain is just under 10% for that period so it was a good investment but I bought it simply because an Indian friend of mine suggested it. We've kicked the tires of some other stocks and funds but never pulled the trigger. Mike's Mexico stock would have been a nice buy. I think if you did go there a fund like EWZ would be the best bet.
  21. gunnarthor
    Bit of both. We have an investment account with one of the big banks so we can get free reports on all sorts of stocks and have a guy there to talk about possible investments but he never initiates anything. It's usually us saying "is X good" and him usually giving us paperwork to decide for ourselves. Generally, we like dividend stocks but we're not that diverse. We tend to invest in 'safe' stocks - big banks, John Deere, index funds - but will occasionally make a 10% bet on a lesser stock. Mike's advice is pretty solid. My wife and I both max our 401k/pension accounts and put a crap load of our paychecks into two different savings accounts - a short term one for vacations/new car etc and the longterm investment account. I also think it makes sense to put some money in a 529 for your child's college if you can afford it but others disagree. In the investment account, a solid portion should be an index fund - ours is a vanguard fund that tracks the S&P 500. The general rule is your age should be X percent in index funds so if you are 30 and have 100k hidden away, 30K should be in index funds. But we have about 7 or 8 stocks we've held for years. When we buy stocks, we tend to hold them longterm. Generally that works but it did mean we got killed in 08 with the bank stocks. We had a lot of citi and wachovia. -sigh-
  22. gunnarthor
    Wow, so basically the entire A+ rotation is now in AA? Pretty good season for those young men. I assume Jay will put in the pen on an innings thing? Also, very good news on Palka. Hope he turns into something.
  23. gunnarthor
    Well, BA's tracker has the Twins with five guys - Wander Valdez, 3b, Dominican Republic, $495,000. Jesus Feliz, ss, Dominican Republic. $260,000. Stamy Gabriel Urena, ss, Dominican Republic. $130,000. Francisco Martinez, of, Dominican Republic Prelander Berroa, rhp, Dominican Republic Read more at http://www.baseballamerica.com/international/team-team-international-signing-tracker/#5jBQbeSk53HZuKcd.99 If the last two got around the same amount as Urena, they've probably already spent about a 1.15m. Looks like it might be a quantity year. Grab a bunch of guys and hope some develop type thing. I know so little about the group that I'll be happy so long as they spend all their money.
  24. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I agree. I think the Twins only have a handful of guys who have true FOR potential and Jorge isn't one of them. If they can include him in a package deal, that's fine.
  25. gunnarthor
    Very nice news on Balazovic signing. I really liked this draft class although it'll be a long time before we know how it shakes out. Sounds like Park is doing well against AAA pitching, which is good. Hopefully, he fixes his timing quickly and is back in the majors soon.
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