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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Obviously, the Vikings aren't a super bowl contender this year. That said, last nights game was winnable. The OL is horrible but Zimmer has to get a little more aggressive. Eventually, some coach is going to figure out that going for it regularly on 4th down is a good idea. With our defense, it would make sense for the Vikings to be that team. I think we'll still make the playoffs and if we're the top wildcard, that likely means a road game against the NFC East champ (right?) which we could probably win. Then a road game against the Rams, which we probably can't.
  2. gunnarthor
    We should maybe start thinking about going for it on fourth and short.
  3. gunnarthor
    This Bears team is going to be pretty easy to dislike.
  4. gunnarthor
    Our OL is a problem. It's got to get fixed next offseason.
  5. gunnarthor
    Rodriquez had a pretty solid 2017 - 150ip with a 3.12 era across all minors and AFL. That was a nice improvement over 2016, where he had also thrown 150 innings. He started pitching late so I think his age suggested no more improvement when we really should have seen more potential there. The Twins let a lot of players go for nothing last year and brought some others back but it was pretty clear that the talent we let go was superior to the talent they brought in. If that happens again this offseason, it's probably a good indication that the FO isn't evaluating talent effectively.
  6. gunnarthor
    Grienke is paid 35m for the next three years. He'll be 35 next year. He was a 4 WAR pitcher last year and a 6 WAR pitcher the year before. And Houston, Angels and Yankees are all interested in him. So he'll be expensive. Sounds like Arizona is willing to add some salary back in a trade (up to 15m/year) to increase his trade value so you're really getting Greinke at 20m/yr for three years. I'm not sure what Arizona is going to do but they are getting old at some positions and have some big players leaving through FA. They might decide to go the rebuild route and punt on next season, like every other team. I think the Dbacks would understand that Lewis and Kiriloff are off the table but Graterol (#70 on pipeline), one of Gonsalves/Romero and a lottery ticket (Alcala?) might get their attention. But it really depends on the money they'll eat. The Yankees could easily match the Graterol offer and/or take on more money. I don't think there's anyway the Twins get involved in Greinke.
  7. gunnarthor
    Politico reported another Orange County seat switched and it sounds like this woman is pretty liberal - "Porter, a law professor and consumer advocate, ran on a platform that included: Medicare for All, passing a ban on assault weapons, overturning President Donald Trump and the GOP's tax plan along and curtailing the amount of outside money in congressional races. She was also once a student of Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren." https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/15/california-elections-results-mimi-walters-katie-porter-995504
  8. gunnarthor
    Poz noted a few years ago that it's really hard to get into the HOF if you didn't have 8000 PA. Guys like Joe, Nomar, Oliva, Lynn, Holiday, Edmonds, Mattingly, Utley etc. Obviously, some of those names belong and some don't but all had HOF caliber seasons at a minimum.
  9. gunnarthor
    Tom mentioned this on the main page but I thought I'd post just this here. https://www.prospectslive.com/lists/2018/11/3/minnesota-twins-top-30-prospects Pretty good write ups on our system, esp Lewis and Kiriloff whom they love.
  10. gunnarthor
    ROKU isn't our normal buy. Usually we buy a stock or fund and plan on holding it for decades. I don't plan on holding ROKU that long but I saw the price drop and thought it was a good value. Naturally, I should have waited a week.
  11. gunnarthor
    I think it's possible she exaggerated some things but there's no way she made this stuff up.
  12. gunnarthor
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/11/mariners-accusations-derogatory-racist-remarks-dipoto-servais-mckay-lorena-martin.html or https://www.lookoutlanding.com/2018/11/13/18091764/dr-martins-allegations-demonstrate-fundamental-problems-within-the-mariners-organization-baseball "Dr. Martin alleged racist and sexist comments from Jerry Dipoto (GM), Scott Servais (Manager), and Andy McKay (Director of Player Development)." You can read more at https://www.lookoutlanding.com/2018/11/12/18089760/mariners-terminate-contract-of-dr-lorena-martin-director-of-high-performance-amid-controversy or https://www.thenewstribune.com/sports/mlb/seattle-mariners/article221571265.html Basically, nothing good is coming from this for Seattle. The GM and the manager were both named in examples of racist behavior toward players. Scott Servais told her Dominicans weren't smart enough to be baseball managers or catchers. McKay said they were too lazy to buy into her plans. Martin also said she reported these comments to HR and was fired as a result. Unless she's completely lying (which would be unbelievable), Seattle is going to have to make some serious changes. MLB is investigating.
  13. gunnarthor
    The white nationalists liked what they saw of Trump this mid-term. https://www.cnn.com/2018/11/12/politics/white-supremacists-cheer-midterms-trump/index.html
  14. gunnarthor
    Oh, I'm sure. But if he can make Ohio competitive, I'll live with it. I'm sick of watching Ohio and Florida ruin my country every four years.
  15. gunnarthor
    He was low on BA's list last year. Wait until all the lists come out to see how he's ranked. Sickels gave him a straight B, for example.
  16. gunnarthor
    I think Nelson Cruz should be our #1 priority. He's 38 so he won't cost us many years. I think we could easily do 2/35m or so. I'm not sure someone else wouldn't offer him 3 years but .... Cruz would fit in nicely. Generally, the Twins are going to need an infusion of talent as opposed to shuffling chairs around and there isn't a lot of talent on the FA market whereas there are a lot of chairs. Cruz isn't a chair, yet.
  17. gunnarthor
    Sounds like Brown is going to run for President. If he does, I think he'd be my #1 guy for the Dems. https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/12/sherrod-brown-considers-2020-run-983835
  18. gunnarthor
    I called this last year. Ownership says they can't spend now b/c they have to keep the payroll open for longterm contracts for Buxton/Sano etc and now they can't spend until they know if Sano and Buxton are worth building around. We have 25 years of history to work with. Don't expect ownership to be part of the solution. What was amazing about the Twins in the 2000s was the ability of the players and FO to keep them competitive without help from ownership. Falvey and Levine are going to have to show they can do the same. Expect another season with payroll in the bottom third of the league.
  19. gunnarthor
    Best of luck to him. It was nice that he got to go out on his own terms.
  20. gunnarthor
    Bryant would probably require something Sale-like, right? A couple top prospects (Lewis and Kiriloff) and then two more lottery ticket types so maybe a couple of the A-ball players we got at the deadline last year?
  21. gunnarthor
    His comments probably explain why owners are willing to collude to keep salaries down. It's easier to do that if you don't think the players deserve it.
  22. gunnarthor
    Not sure if this had been posted but I think this is genuinely frightening. The Trump administration is releasing doctored video of the altercation between a CNN reporter and a Trump staffer. They speed up his arm speed and edited out his “Pardon me, ma’am” to make the incident look different from what really happened. https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/sarah-sanders-promotes-an-altered-video-of-cnn-reporter-sparking-allegations-of-visual-propaganda/2018/11/08/33210126-e375-11e8-b759-3d88a5ce9e19_story.html?utm_term=.0ad51702b159
  23. gunnarthor
    Nope. Most of the Feehan ads I saw touted his military experience and the anti-Hagedorn ads I saw talked about taking away healthcare and his ties to special interest. No mention of bad GOP policies at all and no mention of family separation at all. I thought both would have had some impact here but clearly the Dems wanted a united message (healthcare). Not sure if that was the right strategy. Maybe it was.
  24. gunnarthor
    But they can win there though. In 2016, Walz, Peterson and Nolan all won Trump districts. For decades, the farmers were the backbone of the DFL in MN. Heck, Wellstone had strong support from rural areas in western MN and the iron range when he knocked off Boschwitz in 1990. If the Dems had a plan to improve rural economies and/or punish predatory lending that the banks got away with, they could get these voters back. I don't agree that these voters are just guns/gods/gays voters. First off, in 1992, we were hearing that Clinton would take away guns and he still won the majority of rural counties. Most conservatives have given up on the gay thing altogether. We straight up won that issue. And the god thing is patronizing in that it suggests Democratic voters don't have faith. The one issue that I do think still hurts us is abortion where we do see a lot of single issue voters but outside of that, we're really not far off. We just need to improve messaging. We can and should win these counties if we truly think that progressive policies can improve everyone's life.
  25. gunnarthor
    Rural areas still haven't gotten over the 2008 market crash and our side generally doesn't seem to care. I've read tons of liberals say things like 'farming is dead.' I harped on this back in 2016 before the election. While the Dems have certainly tried to make in-roads to the white educated woman they haven't come up wtih anything yet for rural America so I'm not surprised they didn't make any gains there. I really hope the DFL starts working on that in MN. I think Feehan would've been a good congressman for the 1st district down here. I think he was a smart, progressive voice that would have worked to find solutions. But he lost by a fraction of votes so instead voters get Hagedorn who won't do anything but blame immigrants. -sigh-
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