Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

gunnarthor

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    13,019

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    20

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Just a reminder, while a lot of people were down on Stewart, he did make Klaw's top 100 this season.
  2. gunnarthor
    Of the names you mentioned, I like Melotakis the most. I do think that Kohl Stewart will have a nice season for us but I'm not sure if a former top pick is a "break out candidate."
  3. gunnarthor
    Maybe the obvious inferiority of the NL makes the projection system better?
  4. gunnarthor
    Over. I thought last years team was a .500ish team coming out of ST and this team is better so we should be able to top 79 wins.
  5. gunnarthor
    On wins, it's off, on average of 6-7 wins per year. Sometimes more. Supporters argue that 6 or 7 wins is as close as you can get on a projection system. I think that's a heck of cop out - basically a projected 81-81 record would be "correct" if the team won anywhere between 75 and 87 games. The second issue - projected final standings, I'm not sure about. Most people focus on the record. When I've looked at the projected standings, they are right around a third of the time but I'm not sure if that's an accurate representation of PECOTA. As mentioned above, last year they were 0-15 on projected standings in the AL.
  6. gunnarthor
    I have a theory, as yet proven, that Gibson's sinker doesn't sink in cold weather games and that's what he had all last April. When the weather was nice (like in ST), his sinker worked.
  7. gunnarthor
    I'm pretty sure they'll be off by about 7 games per team and their final standing projections will probably get about a third of the teams in the right place.
  8. gunnarthor
    I wouldn't overly worry about PECOTA projections. Last year, they were off, on avg, by over 8 games for each AL team and only within 5 games for 4 teams. And there were just as off on their final projected standings - 0-15 on placing the teams in their own divisions and only got two teams within one standing place of their actual, final spot. Last year you could have drawn teams out of a hat and crushed PECOTA.
  9. gunnarthor
    Yeah, something more in this neighborhood. He's gonna hit and come in second to Buxton in ROY voting.
  10. gunnarthor
    Rosters looks pretty solid actually. Should be an exciting season.
  11. gunnarthor
    He's wining ROY - .270/.340/.415 and leads the league in triples. And he'll be a lot better after the break than before it.
  12. gunnarthor
    Under, too much regression coming. I also think the AL West might be a bit more competitive this year.
  13. gunnarthor
    Yeah, Duffey is making this more competitive than I was hoping.
  14. gunnarthor
    Agreed, I like Pressley. But I think Tonkin would be released and sign elsewhere, correct?
  15. gunnarthor
    I hope I'm wrong but I think he puts up a .270/.335/.370 line in about 135 games. I've mentioned before that other great hitters like Joe Torre and Tim Simmons have had rebound years out of nowhere that were near their career peaks so maybe Joe has one more of those in him. So let's hope that happens.
  16. gunnarthor
    Actually, the Dodgers had 5 ROY in a row from 92-96 - Eric Karros, Mike Piazza, Raul Mondesi, Hideo NOmo and Todd Hollandsworth
  17. gunnarthor
    Fun article. Probably have Park at DH, too. I don't know enough about relief pitching prospects/closers of the other teams but I would imagine the Twins would stack up there pretty well.
  18. gunnarthor
    I'm ok with a "too much talent" problem.
  19. gunnarthor
    Anyone know, off hand, who are the expected impact rookies in the AL besides our three?
  20. gunnarthor
    It would so great if they actually all finished in the top 3 of ROY voting.
  21. gunnarthor
    Nice write up, Seth. I really like this guy and hope he wins a cy young down the road for us. Really looking forward to his debut.
  22. gunnarthor
    I think he's going to be a high avg, solid on-base guy but with only moderate power. Maybe a poor man's Joe Mauer. Something like .300/.360/.430 with 12-15 HR a year and solid defense. He won't be a star but he'd be a pretty good player.
  23. gunnarthor
    I think you're putting too much weight on minor league stat lines. What we should look for are the scouting reports, esp as an A ball player. This is mlbpipelines write up on him - "The first high school position player taken in the 2014 Draft, Gordon is the son of former big league pitcher Tom Gordon and Dee Gordon's younger brother. He more than held his own as one of the youngest regulars in the Midwest League in his first full season of pro ball, showing why the Twins took him No. 5 overall. Not known to have a ridiculously high ceiling, Gordon can do a lot of things well, with a higher floor than most high school draftees. He should hit for average, with a line-drive approach from the left side of the plate, and there should be a little extra-base pop as he adds strength. While he's just an average runner, he's an excellent baserunner who has showed some base-stealing ability. That speed gives him just average range, but he has terrific instincts, good hands and a very strong arm, leaving no question he can stay at shortstop long-term. The Twins never had much doubt Gordon would be a big leaguer one day. How he's begun his career has the organization more enthused about just how good of a player he'll be once he gets there." I'm certainly not trying to suggest he'll be an all-star - he might flame out in AA - but he looks like a guy who can make it.
  24. gunnarthor
    I'm the opposite of tobi. Going into the draft, everyone knew the Twins were going to nab Gordon and I was really happy with that pick. (It's also worth pointing out that the most commonly suggested pick was Alex Jackson who looks lost now). It looks like he can play shortstop at the ML level and be at least a league average bat. That's a really good player.
  25. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I remember these discussions. I was a little wary of Fulmer b/c of the height thing that we always hear on Berrios. I didn't like Benintendi at all - too small and I didn't think he'd stick in center and didn't have enough bat to be a corner guy. As I said, I liked Cameron. So we'll see those two become all-stars while Cameron flops in AA.
×
×
  • Create New...