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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Ouch. Lots of pain. Our portfolio has lost about 17% of its value in the last month or so. That really sucks.
  2. gunnarthor
    Small world - I'm going to be in Orlando for a legal training that weekend!
  3. gunnarthor
    Didn't Boggs or Winfield want to go in as a Devil Ray or Padre and the HOF over rode them? I can't remember but I thought I heard something like the Rays offered Boggs some stuff ....
  4. gunnarthor
    They think you're working on an abacus.
  5. gunnarthor
    Both played 12 seasons and compiled nearly the same amount of WAR although Koufax threw about 300 more innings. Both had 4 seasons of 7+ WAR. Both led all players in WAR one year while Santana led pitcher WAR 3x to Koufax 2x. Both led the league in WHIP 4x. While Koufax had the best two seasons, Santana wasn't that far behind.
  6. gunnarthor
    Obviously, part of this is peak v. longevity. Guys like Mauer, Santana, Utley, Nomar had amazing peaks and I think the HOF voters should like that more than longevity. I've complained about all the support Tim Raines is getting - he only had 6 4 WAR+ seasons and just played forever. Mauer, Santana et al had more/better 6 seasons. Why should Raines be considered a HOF for all those non-HOF caliber years?
  7. gunnarthor
    Sure, there are questions but on Perkins/Jepsen/May issues that you bring up, Bastardo isn't the answer. As I mentioned, I'd be happy if the Twins signed Clippard but I probably have more faith that one or two of our relief pitchers in the minors will pan out to be late inning guys.
  8. gunnarthor
    One thing to help Mauer will be that, by the time he's on the ballot, the HOF will have gone quite a while since it last inducted a catcher. (Assuming Pudge gets in within his first two years). Around the time he's on the ballot, there will be a strong push to put in Yadier Molina b/c "greatest defensive catcher" stuff but Mauer will look good in that comparison. A negative for him will be that the last few catchers inducted had a lot more longevity behind the plate.
  9. gunnarthor
    The Twins have a pretty good closer/set-up tandem already with Perkins, May and Jepsen. I think Burdi will pitch himself into that mix. Fien and Pressly can be solid guys. So really what they are looking for is a LH reliever and maybe a long man. The long man will probably be Nolasco. So, while another lefty would be nice, I think the Twins internal options are fine. I'd also be happy if we signed Clippard but I'm not going to freak out about not adding Bastardo.
  10. gunnarthor
    Yep, he did. He's wrong.
  11. gunnarthor
    I don't believe anyone suggested Hunter was a better candidate for the HOF than Edmonds (or Lofton). I certainly did not intend to suggest that, if it was me you think did that. I did say that on an uncrowded ballot, he might be able to stick around (unlike those two who were on crowded ballots). WAR is a bit interesting - by b-r it's about a 10 WAR difference while fWAR it's 25. I wonder if we'll ever move beyond WAR in grading our HOFers or move more toward it.
  12. gunnarthor
    I think if I had to rank their chances I'd go Mauer, Santana, Hunter, Nathan. I think Mauer's got strong support with voters who like WAR and his 3 batting titles will impress more traditional voters. But he really could use a rebound season or two. I've complained about this before but the HOF should be more about HOF seasons than career numbers and Santana had an absolute HOF peak, he should be in. He probably won't get in but he should. I think Hunter will stick on the ballot for 10 years. He got 50 WAR which is borderline but he was also seen as a leader and a good guy by most of the voters who might reward his intangibles. He also managed a crap ton of hits and had very few bad years. I suppose on a crowded ballot he could drop off like Edmonds and Lofton did but by the time he's on the ballot I think a lot of the logjams will be cleared up. I don't think Nathan makes it. He was dominating in the regular season but horrible in the post season and he played in an era where a lot of closers put up video game numbers.
  13. gunnarthor
    Yeah, Royals will still be the favorites but we'll see how their starting pitching goes. It could be just as bad or worse. Royals relief pitchers threw the 5th most innings last year in all of baseball (and first in the AL). They should be due for a bit of comedown just based on how good they were last year. But re-signing Gordon was really big for them.
  14. gunnarthor
    If healthy, I think they are ok. The backend of Perkins, Jepsen and May are pretty good. I doubt they blow that many leads, which is the important part. I like Pressly more than most and I love Burdi, who I think ends up as a major piece in the end. I think the pen is better than Chicago, Detroit or Cleveland. Sure, I'd love to add Clippard or another arm but the main issue is getting more IP from the starters.
  15. gunnarthor
    David Bromberg - I remember him. I used to have high hopes for him.
  16. gunnarthor
    The Twins aren't using stop gaps. They might give one or two spots to a bullpen reclamation arm. So what? It's not like there's only 8 spots in a bullpen. The Twins, like most teams, will use a bunch of arms next season. Their principle bullpen arms aren't going to be scrap heap guys. Right now, we're arguing about the opening day LOOGY. They'll be fine.
  17. gunnarthor
    Yeah, that could be true. I'm not going to be upset b/c we didn't get to pay 18m for Tony Sipp's age 32-34 seasons but I would be happy if he made a play for Storen or Clippard, too.
  18. gunnarthor
    Well, sure, if we're only looking at the scrap heap - most of those other bullpen pieces were added from our own farm system and in trades, but that wasn't what this discussion was about. From 99-07 (Ryan's first run), his bullpen's were pretty much always awesome. He has the tools to create a pretty good bullpen again, even if he doesn't spend 18m on an arm.
  19. gunnarthor
    The Twins got some pretty good seasons (at least as effective as Sipp's other years) out of bargain bin guys like Fien, Burton, Guerrier, Reyes, Boyer.
  20. gunnarthor
    Sure, but Clippard isn't signing for 6m/yr (at least I don't think he is). If you're going to lock up a relief pitcher on a 3/18 deal, I think I'd want a better track record than Tony Sipp.
  21. gunnarthor
    Doesn't Sipp himself contradict your argument? He sucked for years, Houston got him last year on a 1y/2.5m deal. Now he signed his big contract. There are a few bullpen arms that are constantly good but most relief pitchers can have some pretty good years followed by a pretty bad year, and vice versa. I don't think any of these 6m guys are necessarily sure things.
  22. gunnarthor
    I think we're worrying a bit too much about the pen. Even if they don't grab anyone, they have some nice parts. May, Perkins and Jepsen are solid. Chargois, Meyer and Burdi (not on the 40 man) could be big arms. They have a bit of a clog in the rotation so someone from the Hughes, Gibson, Santana, Milone, Nolasco, Duffey group will probably be in the pen - and maybe two if Berrios makes the team. I actually like Pressly. Sure, they could use another lefty and a guy like Clippard or Storen would make the pen a lot better. But they have a good backend already. As to Span, I'd be ok with him. It would probably mean Buxton starts at AAA but if he's hitting .400 in six weeks, Span would be a good insurance against a Santana-like drop off for Rosario or replace a failed Sano experiment in right field. And if everything is working out, well, then we have the too much talent problem, which is a good problem to have. Plus, I always liked Span.
  23. gunnarthor
    Let's ignore the PED debate. I've always been iffy on Raines. He had a great peak but it was really short. He only had 6 seasons that were really HOF worthy, I think. in 21 seasons, he had fewer 4 WAR seasons than Jack Morris and Keith Hernandez and same number as John Olerud, Brad Radke and Tony Oliva. I think his peak was just too short. That said, if you think Raines is a HOFer, I don't know how you could not vote for Nomar whose peak was much better - unless you're using the compiler method.
  24. gunnarthor
    Of the list, Gordon's the easy answer - during a chat last year, a BP writer gave him a future 70 value and other writers defended it. He can stick at short and should be a good hitter. I really like him. Jay will be fine. Stewart is the most interesting prospect we have this year, IMHO. I'm very interested to see how he does and if he can improve on his strikeout numbers. I think this year will answer a lot of questions, one way or other. I'm not nearly as high on Gonsalves or Walker as others. I think the Twins have 4 pitchers who could be a #1 or #2 starter (stuff-wise) if things broke right - Berrios, Jay, Meyer and Stewart. Walker needs plate discipline badly. Of those not listed, I actually like Thrylos' mention of Melotakis but I think Burdi is the pitching answer. He'll be a big weapon in the ML pen by July.
  25. gunnarthor
    The article addresses that a bit - "Inside-Edge credits major-league teams for saving 179 hits over what was expected with an excellent play as of Tuesday, while bad defense was blamed for allowing 156 hits that normally would be outs. But that seems like a drop in the bucket given that position players have had 76,112 total chances this season. Baseball’s best defensive team, the Houston Astros, has saved only 25 hits all season because of the skill of its defenders, according to Inside-Edge."
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