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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Gad, I hope not.
  2. gunnarthor
    Well, if you believe the reporting, that's already happened. ARod and other stars were warned ahead of time about upcoming tests but the owners didn't push on it when they could have and there were a lot of rumors (sparked by Skip Bayless, IIRC) that Jeter failed a test and mlb covered it up. I don't think it's that crazy to think that mlb has said that some players/teams might be out of bounds. We know that the Yankees and Red Sox were among the most roided up teams and they likely still are but mlb testing hasn't caught any of them since Matt Lawton in 2005. (They did catch a minor leaguer). MLB testing has caught more Twins than Red Sox and Yankee players combined. I'm not sure if that's a conspiracy or just not representative enough b/c of the very few players that actually get caught is enough to make a usable sample size. But it is odd.
  3. gunnarthor
    Yeah, the injuries and suspensions and rain outs and Molitor haven't helped things. But this team needs to start winning. There's a lot of season left but we're flat out bad right now. I do hope that Polanco (or Gordon) gives the team a real short stop.
  4. gunnarthor
    I agree with most of that but I'd point out that most players of his ability get some kind of insurance before they go to college to offset some of that risk. But our #20 pick is worth 3.1m and I'm sure the Twins could probably get that up toward 4m if they really had to. My guess is that they don't overpay since they lost two picks already but they could.
  5. gunnarthor
    http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/23650696/carlos-gomez-tampa-bay-rays-says-players-targeted-drug-testing Interesting article. Gomez says he's been "randomly" picked 7 or 8 times early in the season for testing. He thinks testing is done to target Dominican and older players. Obviously, he has no evidence but Dominican players have been caught more than US players - which could be testing or could be better masking agents or just random luck. In any event, I suspect his views are shared by many other players in the game.
  6. gunnarthor
    The last two years he's been a .240/.300/.420 hitter so over the course of a season so I would probably put that at his baseline for this year. He's just not as bad as he's playing right now. I don't know why he's this bad - I suspect he's putting a ton of pressure on himself which isn't helping. He has too much talent to put up a 20 OPS+.
  7. gunnarthor
    I'd pay, assuming I could use the Pohlads money. Of all the prep arms, I think he's the one that's gonna end up being the best one.
  8. gunnarthor
    Well, assuming the Twins were actually willing to trade him and a market opened up, I figure one backend top 100 type? I think if other teams heard that the Twins would be willing to move Buxton they'd have two thoughts: either "wow, what do they know that we don't?. Do we want to take a flyer?" or "Wow, they're nuts, we can fix that." If two teams think the second way, we'd probably get a low top 100 guy. Seattle moved Gordon back to 2B so they could use a CF in their large park. Maybe a small package around injured prospect Kyle Lewis? He's an OFer with some pop but probably a corner one. He's 22 and hasn't played much in two years due to injuries but he's still their best prospect. I assume Seattle would do that trade in a heartbeat even with Span. That said, you don't often see trades of former top prospects for a reason. Twins are going to stick with Buxton and he's got to get better. He's striking out too much and not walking enough but he also has a stupidly low babip.
  9. gunnarthor
    None of our starters is top ten in fWAR, bWAR, ip or era. On the hitting side, Mauer is 4th in OBP but hurt. Kepler and Rosario are both in the top 10 in doubles and Rosario is top 10 in fWAR among OFers. Frankly, after the top 4, the rest are all bunched together. You could make a claim that he's the fifth best OFer in the AL without looking too stupid (or tenth best). Given that he gives the AL a LH bench bat/pinch runner, I think he'll be the pick.
  10. gunnarthor
    Remember the threads we had when Profar was injured and blocked in the Rangers threads? Probably about that price or maybe a bit more since he's not hurt like Profar was. If I'm another team, I'd try to buy low on Buxton and assume better coaching/manager can fix it since he's been pretty good at every level in the minors and, at worst, plays strong defense. If I'm the Twins, I'd try to change managers before I changed the players but that's another thread.
  11. gunnarthor
    Yep, sometimes pointing and saying we won't tolerate that kind of talk is the best thing we can do. The people spouting that nonsense are probably beyond saving but others aren't.
  12. gunnarthor
    I certainly wasn't as down on him as you were but I thought he'd need more time to get his hitting back on track. Really impressive season so far.
  13. gunnarthor
    I'd imagine he'll be up fairly soon, actually.
  14. gunnarthor
    Agreed. Really hoping Rocker or Kowar drop to us.
  15. gunnarthor
    We'll see if the Pohlads will spend it. They've been a pretty low payroll team for quite some time. Even the modest investments they made - as a playoff team - didn't move them up the payroll that much if you compare it to other teams. I believe we're 18th in payroll to start the year after being 21st last year.
  16. gunnarthor
    Ugh. Not sure what to do at this point but something should be done. This season is going to fall apart soon, if it hasn't already.
  17. gunnarthor
    Well, we shouldn't assume the Pohlad's would eat money if they didn't have to so this isn't a big surprise. Villalobos seems like depth which is nice but the loss of the pick (and the pool money) will hurt us a bit in the draft.
  18. gunnarthor
    I think so. He's a big risk though. His upside is huge but shoulder injuries at 18? He doesn't have the other pitches yet. If he and and Kowar were available, I'd take Kowar.
  19. gunnarthor
    Klaw's been driving the Kepler bandwagon for several years. Hope he's right.
  20. gunnarthor
    pipeline has a new mock up - https://www.mlb.com/news/mock-draft-college-players-get-picked-early/c-278228058 They note that the Twins are looking at college pitchers and have us taking Jackson Kowar from Florida. I'd be ok with him. They also have a top 200 draft prospect list (Luke Heimlech (sp) is not on it). http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2018?list=draft
  21. gunnarthor
    I'd pass. He's posting a 88 OPS+ while playing in Fenway. He has a sub .300 OBP away from there. He's cooked. HanRam getting old makes me feel old. I remember when he burst onto the scene for Florida in 2006. Man, he was something.
  22. gunnarthor
    Q: Why isn't Garver playing more? A: Molitor is a bad manager.
  23. gunnarthor
    Very interesting. I really don't think the players "launch angle" approach was the reason for the increased home runs. That was BS. But less drag on the ball? That's something.
  24. gunnarthor
    I'm sure many have, actually. But it's really not the point, Buxton has to start producing and stay on the field. Start racking up all-star seasons and don't worry about the HOF nonsense.
  25. gunnarthor
    Couple high school kids looked good returning from injury. Both could have been top 10 picks. Likely that one or both is still around at 20. https://www.mlb.com/news/latest-2018-mlb-draft-news-from-callis-mayo/c-277888816
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