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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    I love everything I read about him. This Chattanooga team is going to be pretty exciting for a month or two - Buxton, Sano, Rosario, Walker, Berrios, Burdi, Polanco etc. Cripes, the former 1st round pick, middle infielder who put up a .390 OBP last year is an afterthought there. Weee!
  2. gunnarthor
    My guess is that they have some big regression from Santana and maybe a little less from Dozier/Plouffe. I think the Twins have the depth on the hitting side to still be a top 5 offense again but you could see the offense go off the rails in a few ways - like it turns out Vargas is a AAAA hitter, Hunter falls of a cliff, Mauer continues his decline, Santana and Escobar have miserable years, Dozier loses his power, Arcia plateaus, Suzuki suffers major regression while Pinto fails to improve, etc. I don't think all those things happen but it could be another 2011 season - which would suck.
  3. gunnarthor
    I think Meyer gets the 5th starter spot and Milone goes to the pen. So either we give back Graham (or work out a trade) or move Pelfrey. But, of course, injuries will impact all these decisions before April, anyway. But I don't see Meyer starting in AAA. He has nothing left to show there, Molitor says he doesn't want him in the pen, Ryan knows he has the most upside of any pitcher on the 40 man roster. Even though he has options, I think he stays up - just like Gibson last year.
  4. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I think there's a solid chance that this team is similar enough to the 2001 team that went from 69 wins to 85. This team has a few more veterans than that team but has more high-end prospects to rely on as well. We'll see. Should be a fun year, I hope.
  5. gunnarthor
    I think Hunter's best "intangible" facotrs would be making players comfortable so that they can succeed. He's not going to teach them to hit a slider in the dirt (although maybe he says "if it has a red dot, don't swing") but he might help them learn to deal with failure/life on the road/pressure of ml lifestyle that isn't directly related to coaching. Look at the yahoo.com article on Rasmus - he has all the talent in the world but something isn't kicking and the author suggested an inability to make adjustments and tuning out his coaches. Maybe a guy like Hicks needs a guy like Hunter around to just show him how to keep a bad at-bat out of his head or how to prepare for Verlander.
  6. gunnarthor
    Yeah, in the long run, I think this ends up being "Sano's team" from all I've read about him. He's loud (in a good way), popular with teammates, cocky (again, in a good way) and competitive both team-wise and individually (meaning, I think he'd be upset if the team had a 6-game losing streak). Hopefully, he gets healthy and starts crushing balls into TF soon.
  7. gunnarthor
    Yeah, my biggest worry with Hunter is his age. At a certain point, players just drop off the cliff. I'm hoping that doesn't happen to Torii this season but it could. I think the shift to TF and the shifting that Molitor will do will make his defense liveable if his bat is working. I also agree with kab - Hunter on a one year deal is blocking anyone and no other FA was really exciting alternative.
  8. gunnarthor
    I voted for Buxton. Sell the future.
  9. gunnarthor
    I like Graham a lot, actually (as my quixotic voting at TwinkieTown shows). Unless he looks broken, I think he makes the team. He and Pelfrey being the last two bullpen arms. (Unless injuries/trades change that).
  10. gunnarthor
    Good article. I think Harrison is a good bet to be a big riser on prospect lists a year from now. I think the hardest thing for prospects is to control the strike zone and Harrison showed huge improvement in that area. Hopefully, he carries that plate discipline up to AA this year.
  11. gunnarthor
    Baseball America has a small little video review of Gordon http://www.baseballamerica.com/videos/scouts-video-view-nick-gordon/
  12. gunnarthor
    Well, if nothing else, this reminded me of how much I loved Puckett.
  13. gunnarthor
    No, he's be eligible. I think he made the top 10 in a few team lists but no top 100 anywhere. He's not really the type of guy to get on a list at this point (although he was ranked before). Sickels ranked him #7 on our list and called him a darkhorse ROY candidate.
  14. gunnarthor
    I really like May and think he ends up leading the Twins in strike outs this year. I think he gets the #5 spot out of ST and makes 32 starts for us. I remember reading a few years ago a Reusse column where he asked someone in the FO if the Twins had any guys in the system that could just be an innings eating anchor - not another Johan, but a guy who constantly takes the ball and throws 200+ innings, year after year. He was told May was going to be that guy.
  15. gunnarthor
    I think the walk rates were one concern but IIRC he was dinged up a little in the second half - a skipped start or two? And the Twins were trying to give starts to Milone and May as well and they had a healthy Nolasco back so it was a bit of a crowded rotation. If he was healthy, I think they would have brought him up but his last start was pretty ugly and they just shut him down. That said, I still think he makes the team out of ST.
  16. gunnarthor
    Do you even read your own website?
  17. gunnarthor
    Before the draft, a lot of draft mock drafts had Burdi going to Detroit in the first round. A few had another team taking him but the consensus was that he was a first round talent. Hoey was a 13th round pick. While he could throw hard, he never excited prospect guys like Burdi has. Obviously, Burdi might not throw a pitch in the majors but I would bet a lot of money that he has a better ML career than Hoey.
  18. gunnarthor
    From a BP chat yesterday - Rick (St Paul): Stephen Gonsavles and Juan De Leon - how much is there with these young pitchers? Jordan Gorosh: Both interesting. Gonzalves is a long, lean 6'5 LHP with the potential for three average pitches or slightly above.
  19. gunnarthor
    Finding numbers like that isn't that hard. Alexander Smit as a 17 year old in rookie ball: 38 ip, 1.18era 40k. At 19, he struck out 140 in 95 innings between rookie and A ball. Gaby Hernandez put up similar numbers - 52ip, 1.03era, 64k at 18 in rookie and A ball. At 19, he dominated low A and was promoted to A+. Neither guy ever made the majors. And I wasn't hunting for them, I just randomly looked at GCL pitching leaders from 2003 and then 2004. Tons of guys have dominated that level. Did you read the link in my post? It's a good explanation for the different level of pitchers. And pitchers can play above their ranking. Radke was a #3 who had multiple ace level seasons. I really like Gonsalves, I'd rank him ahead of Kepler and think he's the Twins breakout guy this year. But his ceiling is a #3 and it's not crazy to like Kepler more. That's all I'm trying to say.
  20. gunnarthor
    http://data.whicdn.com/images/22695004/futurama-fry-meme-generator-not-sure-if-i-m-stupid-or-just-tired-098148_large.jpg
  21. gunnarthor
    I believe his mom was in ballot, not skating. Gonsalves seems to have a #3 ceiling, not a 1 or 2. He might have one plus pitch (and it might not be plus) and is developing other stuff to go with it. That's a #3 starter. And McDaniel, Sickels and Klaw (IIRC) all had Kepler ahead of Gonsalves. (Personally, I had Gonsalves ahead, too).
  22. gunnarthor
    I guess I mostly quibble with the Walker placement. Until/Unless he fixes his plate discipline, he doesn't project to get out of AA. That's a huge problem. I'd take all the guys in the 15-20 ranking above him right now. Hopefully he destroys AA pitching this year, but right now he is too big a question mark. Love Gonsalves, like many people, and I think he'll be the breakout pitcher this season. Hopefully he can get a solid breaking ball. It'll be interesting to see how Kepler progresses this year. He needs at bats to develop and the Twins have sent him to the AFL twice, so it seems they are still high on him. Big year for him.
  23. gunnarthor
    That's good to read and I sure hope you're right.
  24. gunnarthor
    This is a pretty strong 16-20. I guess I'm lukewarm on Duffey (maybe it's his name) but I really like Reed and Minier. Harrison and Turner aren't sexy but both could develop into solid parts. Really deep system.
  25. gunnarthor
    Right, and as some have shown, Parker's methodology is weak and his conclusions aren't really supported by his findings. That's the concern "our side" has. (And you're dismissal of Tobi's May/Meyer doesn't really hold. They were acquired b/c other teams valued the players the Twins picked in the draft. Flipping a second round pick into a 2 WAR pitching season is a good result of a draft).
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