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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. If he's there at 73, go for it. But I don't think he'll fall much further.
  2. BA on him: “The pitcher more scouts seem to believe in than ever is Illinois lefthander Tyler Jay. It is ironic to say the least that it’s the college closer in Jay—who leads the nation in ERA and ranks fifth in strikeout-to-walk ratio—whom most scouts believe can start, and the two starters scouts see as big league impact relievers in Fulmer and Tate. “If you’re going to take a short college pitcher,” one scouting director said, “and you compare Jay to Fulmer, Jay does it easier, does it cleaner. He throws as hard (92-96 mph), maybe not as firm as Tate but he’s no slouch. He has as good or better breaking ball (a devastating mid-80s slide piece). He’s shown a good changeup. He’s been extended. He’s as athletic. And he’s lefthanded.”
  3. I'm ok with the pick. I figure they'll put him in the pen for the rest of the year and then let him start next year.
  4. Lots of rumors about Cameron. Some suggest that the Astros can save enough money with their first two picks to nab him at 37 and still pay out a ton. Others say he doesn't drop past the Yankees or Braves, no matter what. Personally, I think he's high on the Twins wish list and could easily get picked by us.
  5. I think the Twins do what the White Sox did. Sign everyone else and then negotiate with Cameron. He's not going to college. The Twins will offer him a bit more than slot. He'll sign.
  6. Don't worry, it's the Astros - They'll figure out a way to **** it up.
  7. I read an article a few years ago on fangraphs or baseball analysts or somewhere about line-up construction. The first point is, it really doesn't matter much. Fans always overrate it. But the second point was you want your best hitters in the 1,2 and 4 spot. They said the 3 spot was overrated and you just want a guy who can get some RBIs and your 5th spot should be all power. Go for broke in the 5 spot, IIRC. So anyway, I think Molitor's line-up is about as good as it can be right now. The 3 best guys are in the 3 most important spots.
  8. Speaking of Gordon, I found this interesting. In the last BP chat, Rubio was asked which prospects will make the jump up into the top 50. "Mauricio Rubio: I think Nick Gordon, Kyle Schwarber and Nick Williams are going to make strong cases for jumping into the midseason top 50. Reynaldo Lopez should have a case as well, and I have a feeling Reese McGuire is going to make a big jump." I admit, I was really surprised to hear that but maybe scouts are hearing something beyond the box score?
  9. Coming into the year, I was really hoping he'd fall to us. Then there were a ton of rumors about the Astros being locked on him, although those aren't as strong anymore. I don't think we'll draft him and he's not the guy I hope we get. But I sure wouldn't be upset if he fell to us. He could easily end up the best player in this draft.
  10. A few months ago, I was really hoping Cody would pitch himself into the top 10 so getting him at 73 would be great, IMHO. I think that Tate is the best case scenario for The Twins and am really starting to hope he falls. Getting those two guys would make me pretty happy.
  11. Plouffe seems most deserving. Hunter is also among the top RF in the AL right now, too. I think Perkins makes it since the manager will want some shut down closers for the late innings.
  12. Nice article. I like that he has added a new pitch and has some success with it. Hopefully, it'll continue and he wins comeback player of the year.
  13. I agree but I also wonder if quantity in pitching might be better than we think. Obviously, we'd like both elite pitching and a lot of it. The reality is that a bunch of "crappy" pitchers have had some pretty good seasons for us over the years (Blackburn, Slowey, Baker, Radke, Duensing each had at least a 2 WAR season as a starter). If Duffey, Berrios, Rogers, Burdi, Milone etc can keep the Twins staff afloat, while elite bats come up, that might be good enough to keep the Twins in contention. Since the injury/washout rate to pitchers is so high - Dylan Bundy might need another surgery, Mark Appel, Meyer and Stephenson are struggling in AA, Jon Gray is struggling in AAA etc maybe quantity in pitching is more important than elite level whereas elite bats are safer and therefore more dependable?
  14. Any word on the Twins and Nikorak or Allard? I've seen some link the Twins with Allard (Klaw, McDaniel) but nothing on Nikorak. Have you heard anything more indepth on those two?
  15. I, like others, think the depth is key here. Some guys might not improve but we have real options behind them. Buxton, Santana, Sano, Meyer, Oliveras, Milone, Pinto etc could all come up this year and help in some capacity. I'm still a big believer in a healthy Arcia. I agree with others that it's time to put Escobar back at short and Santana in AAA for a bit. But this has been a fun team to watch, no question.
  16. Houston blogs really want them to take Tucker over Cameron, for whatever that's worth. I think I'd prefer Jay to Tucker but I really don't know enough about either to have a worthwhile opinion.
  17. I think skimping on the first pick to get more in later rounds doesn't makes sense when you don't have a 2nd round pick. Just get the BPA and go from there.
  18. Love the idea of Tate dropping to 6 but I still don't see that happening. Agree that if any of them are there at 6, grab them. Outside of those 3, Allard seems to be linked to us a lot.
  19. As to Meyer, I'm being stubborn but I want to see him fail as a starter in the majors before we give up on him as a starter. Even if he's failing as a starter in AAA. But considering how good he was (when healthy) last year, I think it has to be a mechanical issue and the Twins probably realize that.
  20. Actually, Turner is not the highest selected catcher since Mauer. That honor belongs to Jose Morales, taken #77 in the 2001 draft. He was a pretty good hitting catching but ripped up his knee in 07 and never really made it. Played a bit with Colorado. Anyhow, minor league ball did a list of the top 20 or so catchers in this draft. Weak as a group and a few are all bat but probably won't stick at the position. http://www.minorleagueball.com/2015/4/7/8357559/2015-mlb-draft-the-catchers A guy like Hickman could be interesting as a third round pick, I suppose.
  21. Do we have scouting reports on Meyer? Is he trying to do something specific, results be damned? Or is he just struggling so much with his command right now that he has to throw things over the middle of the plate?
  22. Yep, Twins aren't trading anyone unless they are out of the race.
  23. I'd hang onto Plouffe and hope that he moves down the batting order as guys come up. His play at third defensively is really good and his bat is good enough. A lineup where he's hitting 6th or 7th could be pretty deep. If they trade him, the other team will have to give up a ton and I don't think the Twins will trade him if they are still sniffing .500. (Although they could. Ryan traded Castillo mid season). But I don't think other teams will meet the Twins price for him. And the good teams that need 3B help the most, don't have good prospects to offer back.
  24. Someone else (willhammer?) posted the stats of LSU's catcher who is supposed to go somewhere in the 4th round area.
  25. BP has a little on draft prospect Swanson, more behind the paywall. "If there’s a player in this draft class who has locked up a top five selection, it’s Swanson, and this weekend was a prime example of why he’s liked by so many in the industry. The Commodore shortstop went 4-for-11 with two walks in the weekend series for Alabama, with two of the hits going for doubles, and zero strikeouts over the three games as well. “There are certain kids who just get it, and [swanson] just appears to get it," said an AL scout. “The hit tool is an easy plus for me, and I think there might be some power coming, especially if you can make some adjustments with the lower half."
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