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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Fulmer is expected to be a reliever for two reasons - 1) Height (see all Berrios threads) and 2) a max effort delivery. Of all the guys in the draft, he was the one I was most frightened of drafting. Jay is a good pick. His stuff grades out well and scouts think he can start. Had he been a starter this year, we wouldn't have gotten him at 6.
  2. gunnarthor
    Well, that's a problem but it's also how you get a diamond in the rough. McDaniel noted "Cody came on down the stretch and there's buzz he could go in the top 30 picks to the right team.."
  3. gunnarthor
    Well, if it comes to that, they can trade pitching. That's usually pretty valuable.
  4. gunnarthor
    Over his last 15 games, he's hitting .305/.423/.373 with 10 walks against 13 strike outs. The power isn't showing up yet but it does look like he's getting more comfortable at the plate.
  5. gunnarthor
    I really liked the Cody pick. I was hoping he could pitch himself into the top 10 at the beginning of the year. McDaniel on him: "Cody is an enigma, as a massive righty that throws three above average pitches at times and can run his sinker into the mid-90's, but he was jerked around by his coaches this year, is a lower energy player that doesn't always respond well to adversity and the secondary stuff and command came and went at times. Cody came on down the stretch and there's buzz he could go in the top 30 picks to the right team." mlb.com, who ranked him #40, wrote: "As a huge right-hander who didn't experience much success in his first two years at Kentucky yet has a chance to become a first-round choice following his third, Cody is following Alex Meyer's career path. But while Meyer significantly improved his slider and command as a junior, Cody struggled for much of this spring before getting back on track in mid-May. A Wisconsin high school product drafted in the 33rd round by the Phillies in 2012, Cody had the highest radar-gun reading (97 mph) at the 2014 Cape Cod League All-Star game. His 6-foot-7, 245-pound frame allows him to generate velocity with little effort and maintain it deep into games. He usually works at 93-96 mph and uses his height to throw on a tough downhill plane. Cody has continued to impress with his velocity in 2015, but his lack of command has led to his fastball getting hit more than it should. He'll show flashes of improvement with his low-80s slider and some feel for his mid-80s changeup, but both secondary pitches remain inconsistent. He'll profile as a workhorse starter if everything comes together, and if not, his fastball could approach triple digits if he's used as a reliever."
  6. gunnarthor
    If he's there at 73, go for it. But I don't think he'll fall much further.
  7. gunnarthor
    BA on him: “The pitcher more scouts seem to believe in than ever is Illinois lefthander Tyler Jay. It is ironic to say the least that it’s the college closer in Jay—who leads the nation in ERA and ranks fifth in strikeout-to-walk ratio—whom most scouts believe can start, and the two starters scouts see as big league impact relievers in Fulmer and Tate. “If you’re going to take a short college pitcher,” one scouting director said, “and you compare Jay to Fulmer, Jay does it easier, does it cleaner. He throws as hard (92-96 mph), maybe not as firm as Tate but he’s no slouch. He has as good or better breaking ball (a devastating mid-80s slide piece). He’s shown a good changeup. He’s been extended. He’s as athletic. And he’s lefthanded.”
  8. gunnarthor
    I'm ok with the pick. I figure they'll put him in the pen for the rest of the year and then let him start next year.
  9. gunnarthor
    Lots of rumors about Cameron. Some suggest that the Astros can save enough money with their first two picks to nab him at 37 and still pay out a ton. Others say he doesn't drop past the Yankees or Braves, no matter what. Personally, I think he's high on the Twins wish list and could easily get picked by us.
  10. gunnarthor
    I think the Twins do what the White Sox did. Sign everyone else and then negotiate with Cameron. He's not going to college. The Twins will offer him a bit more than slot. He'll sign.
  11. gunnarthor
    Don't worry, it's the Astros - They'll figure out a way to **** it up.
  12. gunnarthor
    I read an article a few years ago on fangraphs or baseball analysts or somewhere about line-up construction. The first point is, it really doesn't matter much. Fans always overrate it. But the second point was you want your best hitters in the 1,2 and 4 spot. They said the 3 spot was overrated and you just want a guy who can get some RBIs and your 5th spot should be all power. Go for broke in the 5 spot, IIRC. So anyway, I think Molitor's line-up is about as good as it can be right now. The 3 best guys are in the 3 most important spots.
  13. gunnarthor
    Speaking of Gordon, I found this interesting. In the last BP chat, Rubio was asked which prospects will make the jump up into the top 50. "Mauricio Rubio: I think Nick Gordon, Kyle Schwarber and Nick Williams are going to make strong cases for jumping into the midseason top 50. Reynaldo Lopez should have a case as well, and I have a feeling Reese McGuire is going to make a big jump." I admit, I was really surprised to hear that but maybe scouts are hearing something beyond the box score?
  14. gunnarthor
    Coming into the year, I was really hoping he'd fall to us. Then there were a ton of rumors about the Astros being locked on him, although those aren't as strong anymore. I don't think we'll draft him and he's not the guy I hope we get. But I sure wouldn't be upset if he fell to us. He could easily end up the best player in this draft.
  15. gunnarthor
    A few months ago, I was really hoping Cody would pitch himself into the top 10 so getting him at 73 would be great, IMHO. I think that Tate is the best case scenario for The Twins and am really starting to hope he falls. Getting those two guys would make me pretty happy.
  16. gunnarthor
    Plouffe seems most deserving. Hunter is also among the top RF in the AL right now, too. I think Perkins makes it since the manager will want some shut down closers for the late innings.
  17. gunnarthor
    Nice article. I like that he has added a new pitch and has some success with it. Hopefully, it'll continue and he wins comeback player of the year.
  18. gunnarthor
    I agree but I also wonder if quantity in pitching might be better than we think. Obviously, we'd like both elite pitching and a lot of it. The reality is that a bunch of "crappy" pitchers have had some pretty good seasons for us over the years (Blackburn, Slowey, Baker, Radke, Duensing each had at least a 2 WAR season as a starter). If Duffey, Berrios, Rogers, Burdi, Milone etc can keep the Twins staff afloat, while elite bats come up, that might be good enough to keep the Twins in contention. Since the injury/washout rate to pitchers is so high - Dylan Bundy might need another surgery, Mark Appel, Meyer and Stephenson are struggling in AA, Jon Gray is struggling in AAA etc maybe quantity in pitching is more important than elite level whereas elite bats are safer and therefore more dependable?
  19. gunnarthor
    Any word on the Twins and Nikorak or Allard? I've seen some link the Twins with Allard (Klaw, McDaniel) but nothing on Nikorak. Have you heard anything more indepth on those two?
  20. gunnarthor
    I, like others, think the depth is key here. Some guys might not improve but we have real options behind them. Buxton, Santana, Sano, Meyer, Oliveras, Milone, Pinto etc could all come up this year and help in some capacity. I'm still a big believer in a healthy Arcia. I agree with others that it's time to put Escobar back at short and Santana in AAA for a bit. But this has been a fun team to watch, no question.
  21. gunnarthor
    Houston blogs really want them to take Tucker over Cameron, for whatever that's worth. I think I'd prefer Jay to Tucker but I really don't know enough about either to have a worthwhile opinion.
  22. gunnarthor
    I think skimping on the first pick to get more in later rounds doesn't makes sense when you don't have a 2nd round pick. Just get the BPA and go from there.
  23. gunnarthor
    Love the idea of Tate dropping to 6 but I still don't see that happening. Agree that if any of them are there at 6, grab them. Outside of those 3, Allard seems to be linked to us a lot.
  24. gunnarthor
    As to Meyer, I'm being stubborn but I want to see him fail as a starter in the majors before we give up on him as a starter. Even if he's failing as a starter in AAA. But considering how good he was (when healthy) last year, I think it has to be a mechanical issue and the Twins probably realize that.
  25. gunnarthor
    Actually, Turner is not the highest selected catcher since Mauer. That honor belongs to Jose Morales, taken #77 in the 2001 draft. He was a pretty good hitting catching but ripped up his knee in 07 and never really made it. Played a bit with Colorado. Anyhow, minor league ball did a list of the top 20 or so catchers in this draft. Weak as a group and a few are all bat but probably won't stick at the position. http://www.minorleagueball.com/2015/4/7/8357559/2015-mlb-draft-the-catchers A guy like Hickman could be interesting as a third round pick, I suppose.
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