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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Hi all, Last year, Eddie Rosario hit .290/.328/.507 118 OPS+ and it was worth 1.7 WAR. This year he's hitting .294/.333/.498 OPS+ 121 and is already at 3.9 WAR. The main difference seems to be defense. Last year, his defense was worth -1.6 WAR, numbers that Josh WIllingham and Delmon Young would've been embarrassed to have. This year he's a positive. Kepler has slightly improved his defensive WAR as well. The main difference to me seems to be that Buxton isn't in CF. Years ago there were some articles that three good OFers are hard for the defensive stats to accurately measure so one is usually dinged. With Buxton playing so well last year in the OF, it seems like Rosario was perhaps unfairly undervalued. Does anyone have more insight into defensive valuation in cases like this? Do we think Rosario has significantly improved this year or does Buxton's absence make it easier to value his contributions?
  2. gunnarthor
    Yeah, managers you could easily do with five - Mack, Eddie Sawyer, Gene Mauch, Leyland, Mattingly
  3. gunnarthor
    I can do it with six. Pretty sure you can't do it with 5. Sam Crawford 1899-1917 Roger Hornsby 1915-1937 Phil Cavvarrettta 1934-1955 (no years lost to the war) Brooks Robinson 1955-1977 Dennis Martinez 1976-1998 Adrian Beltre 1998-Present
  4. gunnarthor
    Good luck to him.
  5. gunnarthor
    I think Kiriloff should have been moved to AA awhile ago. He isn't being challenged by pitchers there and I think the Twins should have sent him to a level where he'd struggle a bit. Lewis did struggle a bit at A+ and isn't anymore so they should've done the same for him.
  6. gunnarthor
    Happens all the time. Wilson Ramos fell from 60 to 95 or so the year we traded him. Aaron Hicks fell every year. There are hundreds of guys in the majors right now who went backwards on prospect rankings.
  7. gunnarthor
    Wow, Wells is second in whip. I hadn't realized quite how nice his season had been.
  8. gunnarthor
    Sure, but that's not the issue. Parole doesn't mean you always get it. It means you have a chance to get it. Review boards would look into a variety of factors before releasing someone. Many people aren't ever released. But a system that says "no release, ever" is broken. That's why I hate the three strikes laws (incredibly racist in practice) as well. Ideally, our criminal justice system would be far more effort into rehabilitation and less on punishment - especially in the drugs context.
  9. gunnarthor
    Shopify making money off of Canada's pot sales. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/introducing-newest-marijuana-stock-shopify-122100578.html
  10. gunnarthor
    Generally against it as well. There should be a system in place that reviews a person's progress at rehabilitation and make determinations about whether they should be released. There was some momentum on our side 10-15 years ago on this but the conservative Supreme Court isn't going to curtail LWP. And no politician wins on sensible criminal justice reform. So, we're stuck with it for now.
  11. gunnarthor
    He made 70 million in contracts over the years. Damn. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/08/brandon-mccarthy-to-retire-at-seasons-end.html
  12. gunnarthor
    Sure, he was trending down for some and up for others. He'll be on most top 100 lists next year.
  13. gunnarthor
    He's 22 and in AAA. He'll be on nearly all top 100 prospect lists next year. His struggles in the second half of the year and in AAA are worrisome but the rankers will still have him listed.
  14. gunnarthor
    Yep, absolutely loved this draft.
  15. gunnarthor
    I like Gonsalves but let's slow down a bit. His upside is probably a #4 type, similar to Mejia. He's walking nearly 5 guys per 9. He can't pitch deep into games - he's averaged less than 6 innings in his last 10 starts, for instance. It takes him 100 pitches to get through 6 innings in AAA. Right now, ML lineups will sit back, make him throw strikes and it'll make an Odorizzi start look fast.
  16. gunnarthor
    I'm pretty anti-death penalty. In law school I wrote a paper on how it was unconstitutional to execute 16 & 17 year olds and a few years later, the Supreme Court agreed. I'm still pissed that I only got an A- on that paper. In any event, there are lots of reasons to oppose the death penalty - it doesn't lead to less crime, it's costly, innocent people get killed by the state, it conflicts with the idea of rehabitation, it's racist in its use, etc - and only one reason to support it - revenge.
  17. gunnarthor
    Might be tired. I think he's approaching or already passed the most innings he's thrown.
  18. gunnarthor
    Gordon gets a couple of walks today. He's had a few nice games in a row. Good to see.
  19. gunnarthor
    It'll be nice to see Austin, I suppose.
  20. gunnarthor
    Fun little article with a nice mention of Mauer. https://www.mlb.com/news/who-can-reach-3000-hits/c-289546398 Also, it's been such a crap baseball season that I hadn't bothered to even notice what a big year Nick Markakis is having. I thought he was washed up.
  21. gunnarthor

    NERDS!

    gunnarthor replied to awinter's topic in Other Baseball

    It's ESPN. Their baseball coverage is a joke. The game will be fine.
  22. gunnarthor
    That's what I thought too. Nice to see Gordon have some nice games in AAA.
  23. gunnarthor
    All kidding aside, the FO has to make some changes next year. There is no reason Molitor should be manager any longer. If he's back, it's a really bad sign.
  24. gunnarthor
    Kiriloff actually lowered his krate in A+. Sure, he's walk rate is only 4% but if you're hitting .370, that's ok. I'd be worried if he was striking out 20% but it's only 15% so I really think the Twins should challenge him over the last month or so and push him to AA.
  25. gunnarthor
    Trump lawyers gif always cracked me up https://media.giphy.com/media/zz00w5nNFMnPq/giphy.gif
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