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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Sure, I think Chargois and Berrios have much better upside than others. Murphy? He's looked pretty bad for over a year now. A plus defender as a back-up makes more sense until Garver is ready. But Berrios isn't ready today. I would have put Chargois on the ML roster but I also didn't see him in ST. His numbers are pretty bad so maybe there is something to work on. But the reality is that the team is pretty young - especially the hitters - and they just need reps. Pitching side is worse off. I agree that many of these guys are stopgaps until Chargois, Burdi Duffey, Jay etc establish themselves in the pen. I hope that starts to happen this year since I fully thought it would happen last year. But the rotation is what it is. Behind those five we have Berrios (who didn't pitch much), Duffey/Haley (both in the pen) and some AAA vets. Could be a lot of 8-6 ball games this year.
  2. gunnarthor
    It's pretty clear they are trying to keep some players and they have a 25 man and 40 man roster crunch. Yes, we could just cut guys but that also kills our depth. We need Hector Santiago, for example, because pitchers (May) get hurt. (See what I did there?) Park isn't a sure thing but putting him back on the 40 man roster means cutting someone and giving him a spot that we aren't sure he can hold down. And it blocks Vargas if Vargas is the hot player in AAA instead.
  3. gunnarthor
    Well, as inexperienced as Falvey is, Lavine was a legitimately good hire for GM. Give him time. He can eventually construct a pretty good roster.
  4. gunnarthor
    Gardy was a hell of a lot better manager than Molly. And Molly is a close friend to the owner, so that's the reason he's still around. As for this FO seeming a lot like the old FO, well, two things: 1) It's still very early and 2) There really might not be a huge difference between "old school" and new school and $$$$ might still be very important to creating a baseball team.
  5. gunnarthor
    I'm not sure it's fair to say they got older. They have a roookie in the rotation and a rule v in the pen. And obviously they have a ton of young guys in the starting lineup. Most of the complaining is that 30 year old Park is in AAA and 26 year old Santana is in the majors. I don't think they have the 25 best players on the roster right now but it's not age that's the problem.
  6. gunnarthor
    Honestly, the one real problem (in my view) is Danny Santana. He got the most AB in ST and was awful. Pretty clearly a Molitor mandated move. I'd have removed him from the 40 man roster. But keeping Park in AAA for a month isn't horrible. He was hot last year in ST, too. Let's see how he is doing a month from now. And it also lets Grossman play more. If Grossman can be an on-base machine, we're ok. If he's not, they'll release him in a month. Nothing wrong with finding out what he can do. Duffey in the pen might be the best place for him although I'd probably have let him try starting in AAA one more year first. Haley needs to be kept. Mejia is a good addition. I hope the FO has a short hook for Hughes.
  7. gunnarthor
    I said before ST that he'd be an all-star this year. Wish his ST had been better but I'll stick with it. Something close to .265/.350/.520 with ok defense. Top 10 in homers, close to what Seth's prediction is.
  8. gunnarthor
    I did, actually. Bought in the low 40s. Been fun to watch.
  9. gunnarthor
    Well, we'll see. I do think that if he's running out a 5.00 ERA after ten starts (at the most), we'd see him moved/cut for Mejia. But I don't think we'd see another 20 starts like that like we had with Nolasco last year.
  10. gunnarthor
    Sure but he's right that the positive regression of guys like Gibson and Santiago should outweigh the negative regression Santana will have. Nolasco, Meyer, Dean, Milone and Albers combined for 45 starts last year. Duffey had another 26. That's a lot of new starts to be made by new pitchers this year.
  11. gunnarthor
    We don't have anyone - today - that has #1/2 potential but that's somewhat rare. Berrios was our last guy with that kind of ceiling and a lot of people had him pegged as more a #3 type. But Gonsalves, Romero, Stewart and Jay were all on somebody's top 100 list just this offseason. And even with Jay moving to the pen, they still have some upside there (plus Thorpe and some pretty young arms in the low minors that are too far away today). I'm bummed that Jay is being moved but at the same time I think the angst is a bit overblown. We know that not every draft pick will reach it's ceiling although we don't know which ones won't.
  12. gunnarthor
    Yeah, that's one worry I had. I wonder if it's just the player and his agent pushing something that gets him to the majors faster or if the FO really thinks the payoff for him being a reliever over the risk of trying to make him a starter is worth it.
  13. gunnarthor
    I like the idea of Vargas starting in AAA and letting the DH position move around a bit, with Grossman getting some platoon time there. Eventually, I think Park gets put back on the 40 man.
  14. gunnarthor
    The obvious reason they drafted Jay was that they thought he could make the transition to the rotation, as did many draft gurus.
  15. gunnarthor
    I'm not sure this is particularly insightful considering the last ten years covers a large group of prospects still in the minors and most of those were the high draft picks. I do agree that the Johnson drafts have been bad - particularly the stretch from 08-11 - but it's a bit early to really make any final decision (as you have) on, frankly, 2012 forward.
  16. gunnarthor
    Wow. Disappointing news to come back to.
  17. gunnarthor
    The Pohlad's aren't going to spend big in free agency. Until they do it once, I don't think we should give them the benefit of the doubt that they'll do it. The new FO - particularly Falvey - come from orgs that didn't really rely on free agency. It's not a surprise that the Twins wanted that in their FO. Our bigger worry is that they won't pony up the money to keep these young position players around in a few years.
  18. gunnarthor
    Well, I hope Castro really helps our pitchers. Should be interesting to see if Gibson, especially, gets some low strikes.
  19. gunnarthor
    Nice to hear about Berrios. 62 pitches for five innings is pretty good.
  20. gunnarthor
    Oh, wow, man. I mean, that was a tough chance with Dems in the White House. No chance at all now. We'd need another 2008 for that to happen.
  21. gunnarthor
    Well, yeah. Depends on how old you are. I'm in my early 40s so the short term ebb and flow of the market isn't too scary for me - but I also said that in 08 when we held a lot of Wachovia stock (remember them?) and citibank. Uff-da. So we're watching a bit more closely this time but generally I don't worry about timing the market so much as having a smart(ish) portfolio, meaning buying boring index funds when appropriate.
  22. gunnarthor
    Bukauskas is a pretty exciting guy but other places have noted some concern with his effort/delivery. With 35 and 37, it's also possible (likely?) that a pitcher slotted for the top 15 gets injured (like Giolito or Aiken) or has a crap season (Alec Hanson) and the Twins might be able to take a gamble that way, as well.
  23. gunnarthor
    Dang. Hope he comes back next year better than ever.
  24. gunnarthor
    Ahh, skimmed that. Well, let's hope so. I probably agree that Romero's upside is higher (I was pretty low on De Leon in the first place) but his floor is much, much lower.
  25. gunnarthor
    What De Leon statement? Did I miss something in this thread?
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