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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Well, I'd be stunned if Lewis is really the pick and if he is, they better have something good at 35 planned. I don't want us to save money at 1 just to sign a bunch of 3rd or 4th round types after round 10.
  2. gunnarthor
    Didn't McKay's velocity drop coincide with him trying a new pitch? I thought he pitched pretty well down the stretch for Louisville regardless of his velocity and his secondary pitches are supposed to be pretty solid. A lefty can get away with slightly less mph than a righty.
  3. gunnarthor
    How many college guys in the top 15 or so picks didn't have big fastballs?
  4. gunnarthor
    That the Scouts like Lewis isn't surprising. He's the kind of guy Twins have targeted for decades - high upside tools to spare HS prospect. He'd be a normal years Twins pick easy. I'm more curious on why the analytics guys like McKay - I would imagine they like him as a pitcher (as reported).
  5. gunnarthor
    mlbpipeline and minorleague ball both have McKay above Wright. BA and fangraphs have Wright above McKay. So McKay isn't a horrible choice. He's either the best or second best college arm. Or the Twins might love his bat after they look at it in person.
  6. gunnarthor
    Well that won't happen.
  7. gunnarthor
    http://m.mlb.com/news/article/235886620/mock-draft-for-first-round-of-2017-mlb-draft/ Both Callis and Mayo have the Twins taking McKay with Lewis in consideration only if he's really cheap. 1. Twins Mayo: Brendan McKay, LHP/1B, Louisville - The Twins are still looking at multiple candidates, with Vanderbilt's Kyle Wright, and high schoolers Hunter Greene, Royce Lewis and MacKenzie Gore still being kicked around. But McKay looks like the odds-on favorite right now, and they would draft him as a pitcher. Callis: Brendan McKay, 1B/LHP, Louisville - Minnesota prefers McKay as a potential No. 2 starter but likely will give him the chance to both hit and pitch at the start of his career. California high school shortstop/outfielder Lewis appears to be Plan B, but only if he would cost significantly less than McKay, which won't happen.
  8. gunnarthor
    If the Twins take Lewis, then they have to have something planned at 35/37. Do we know who represents Lewis? I don't think it was Boras.
  9. gunnarthor
    Gordon is probably a top 30-40 prospect right now and we'll probably see that represented in the midseason updates that come out. Greene, Wright and McKay will all be top 20 prospects. I think Lewis will be in the 40-60 range. Gore could be anywhere from 20-60, IMHO, depending on who is viewing him. Whoever we get at 35/37 will certainly be in the Twins top 10. If we get lucky and someone falls, we might get a top 100 type at 35, although unlikely.
  10. gunnarthor
    Greene, Wright, and McKay would all be #1. Lewis would be #2 behind Gordon. Gore I could see either way.
  11. gunnarthor
    I'd be against that. A guy like Carlson or Romero or Enlow might fall on their own. If we're going to try and mess with the draft, we have to aim for a guy like Baz or Adell to fall. I'm fairly confident that a top 15ish guy on some list will fall to 35 independently. Buehler did it a few years ago, Hudson did it last year.
  12. gunnarthor
    Yep, he didn't sign. Travis Lee was the last one, I believe. But we also took Belcher 1/1 and he didn't sign either. I very much doubt that the new regime is going to want Boras clients in the locker room trying to get Sano and Buxton to change agents.
  13. gunnarthor
    He might be the best hitter. It's either him or Pavin Smith. He might be the best pitcher, too.
  14. gunnarthor
    I think I'm ok with any of the top tier guys although I lean toward Wright. I am curious on what McKay can do once he stops being a two way player and I think we're putting too much stock in his velocity. He's a stud. He's either the best college pitcher or the second best college pitcher. He's not Scott Baker. If they take Greene, is he fast to the majors like Berrios - meaning 2021 rookie season? If the Twins can take someone in that top teir at 1/1 and still save money for 35/37, great.
  15. gunnarthor
    This is off topic but HS pitchers - like Stewart - are risks. Stewart, Kolek, Aiken, Bell, Tate are just a few of the recent HS arms taken in the top 10 that look bad. It is what it is. Would people look at that draft differently if Stewart were the 4th rounder and Gonsalves the 1st rounder?
  16. gunnarthor
    I probably missed your post. What was your realistic return?
  17. gunnarthor
    This is pretty much how I feel.
  18. gunnarthor
    If you want to get rid of Santana to improve our pitching staff it means you think you can get a mini-Santana back in a trade that might be ready by 2019 or you're willing to accept some backend arms under team control like Montgomery. If you think Santana won't be good next year, why would a team trade for him?
  19. gunnarthor
    I don't think the Twins want to bring Boras clients into their locker room with so many young guys that will be looking for big paydays in the not so distant future. My guess is that Boras is a net negative in the drafting room. I could be wrong. We'll see but I doubt the Twins draft any of Boras' big clients on day one, including Romero. As for Gore, I'd prefer Wright. A lot would have to go right for Gore to be where Wright is in three years. I don't see why we should wait for that when the potential difference isn't that great. Wright is a darn good pitcher already. Take him and move on.
  20. gunnarthor
    Man, I realized I've been sort of combing Granite and Wade together for a few years now. Both are late round college guys, LH, OFers. I mean, I knew they were two different guys but I haven't really differentiated them.
  21. gunnarthor
    He didn't strike guys out.
  22. gunnarthor
    Kepler's really turning into an all around solid player. He does a bit of everything. He's a lot better than I thought he'd be, especially in the OF.
  23. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I don't think the idea that the Twins are slow on their pitchers is valid. Berrios got to the majors at 22. Both Stewart and Gonsalves were among the youngest arms at AA last year. Jay got to AA in a year. Romero was pushed to AA after TJ surgery etc. Really, except for injuries, the only thing slowing our minor league pitchers has been their performance. Brad Steil has done a good job pushing prospects up the ladder.
  24. gunnarthor
    If we think he's going to turn into a pumpkin, why would a team give up anything of value for him? Our offense is pretty well here. We're not waiting on some minor league guys. Pitching is a problem. I don't see how getting rid of a solid, cost-controlled, relatively cheap starter for 2017, 2018, 2019 helps us. Sure, if we get an insane deal, make the trade. The Twins should certainly listen. But a team that needs Santana probably doesn't have the pitching to send back to us, unless it's pitching that won't arrive until 2019. It's like not trading Dozier - if you don't get a deal you like, don't make the trade just to make a trade.
  25. gunnarthor
    I don't think trading Santana fixes those problems in the first place. I'm sure the Twins will listen and if the right deal comes by, great. But it probably won't.
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