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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/28025583/union-chief-rebuke-gm-heats-baseball-cold-war-free-agency Atlanta's GM says outloud what he shouldn't have said and the union didn't like it. My guess is we're going to get a pretty long fight after this CBA expires.
  2. gunnarthor
    Oh, I don't disagree. He shouldn't be extended and we should look to trade him in the right deal. But I don't agree that his defense is as bad as some of the WAR grades suggest.
  3. gunnarthor
    I don't remotely trust the dWAR grades for Rosario. In 2017 and in 2019, dWAR graded him at Josh Willingham and Delmon Young levels. In 2018, they graded him average. Fangrapshs defensive valuations were slightly different but followed the same pattern - horrible in 17 and 19, better in 18. What was the big difference in those years? An elite CF was missing in 18. An article a while back (either on fangraphs or BP?) noted a problem with defensive calculations when a team had three really good defenders. One of the OFers would get negative grades because the other OFers took over. I think this is what is happening to Rosario - in 17 and 19 he made 66 and 63 'out of zone' plays. In 18, in about 100-200 fewer innings, he made 77 OOZ plays. Having Buxton and Kepler in center field has hurt him but he's a solid enough OFer.
  4. gunnarthor
    That looks awesome!
  5. gunnarthor
    We've added Great Western Trail to our collection and it's fantastic.
  6. gunnarthor
    This is the type of loss we usually wait for the playoffs to do. Man, that was ugly. I know Cousins will get the blame but I thought he played ok. Elflein is becoming a problem but mostly it was the coaching, IMHO. This feels like a 9-7 or 10-6 wildcard team. If we play the NFC East champs we might get a playoff win but doesn't feel like a superbowl contender.
  7. gunnarthor
    I think the offense will be fine. They should have gone for it at midfield and the defense is being exposed again by a backup QB. I think we'll win but the coaching is not making me feel great about that prediction.
  8. gunnarthor
    Very nice that Travis is kind enough to answer questions. I'll just ask what was your favorite on the field memory as a baseball player? And did you excel at other sports in high school or just focus on baseball?
  9. gunnarthor
    The ball was juiced, pitchers pitch up in the zone more, change in hitting philosophy, better PEDS and a little luck. I think the Twins got some career years out of a few guys but they nucleus of talent was always highly regarded. Sano was expected to win HR titles, for instance.
  10. gunnarthor
    He had less than 100 at-bats in the majors that year and was coming off a 5 WAR season. The team made him play hurt early in the year, he didn't have that many at-bats in the minors either (less than 150) but had a .900+ OPS after July. Plus the Twins promoted worse players as injuries decimated our OF (Johnny Field, I believe). The Twins kept him down to get the extra service time, not because he hadn't earned the call up.
  11. gunnarthor
    I think both players got screwed and it made me like baseball a little less in both cases. I think the author is right that the next CBA is going to have to address this b/c that's probably the only way this will get fixed.
  12. gunnarthor
    I'm surprised but quite happy this guy was fired.
  13. gunnarthor
    Teams don't seem afraid to throw on Rhodes this year.
  14. gunnarthor
    I think TNF is insanely unfair to traveling teams which bodes well for us. I imagine we win pretty big.
  15. gunnarthor
    I don't hate the idea of Miley individually. He is what he is and he'd probably be better than Perez. But he's the 5 guy in the pen and we'd need to do better up front. I don't think Odorizzi is coming back but I like Pineda a lot, I think he'll come back. But we still need another good pitcher or two and I don't think we have him in-house right now. I'm honestly not sure how the Twins go about fixing the rotation. They aren't going to spend the money to bring in a guy like Cole or Strasburg. I also don't think they'd go more than 3 years on anyone which might stop them from even re-signing Odorizzi. I'm afraid we're going to do the bullpen thing but I don't know if we even have the pieces for that. For coming off a 101 win season, I'm surprisingly pessimistic about next year. I don't like that.
  16. gunnarthor
    Nothing too surprising here. They have the Twins nabbing Jose Iglases as a stop gap to Lewis and Wade Miley to fill into the rotation. Both make some sort of sense as low budget moves. Iglesias is a very good defender but would suggest a defensive arrangement of either Cron/Polanco/Iglesias/Sano with Arreaz squeezed out or we don't resign Cron and go with Sano/Polanco/Iglesias/Arreaz. Or, possibly, Iglesias is signed to more of an Adrianza role but I'm not sure he'd do that. They have Gibby going to KC, Romo back to Miami, Odorizzi going to Milwaukee, Schoop to Cleveland and Pineda going to Houston. I think of those guys, we're most likely to bring back Pineda or Romo but we'll see. https://www.si.com/mlb/2019/10/24/baseball-free-agent-rankings If Miley is the best starter we sign then the rotation would be either weak or maybe the FO expects a young arm to make a sizeable jump. Berrios Miley Graterol? Dobnak Bullpen game? That doesn't look good. So I'd expect at least one more FA signing or a trade of some kind.
  17. gunnarthor
    Twins don't have the payroll to do this.
  18. gunnarthor
    That sounds about right. I'd be very surprised if they moved any of our top 4 prospects (Larnich, Kiriloff, Lewis, Graterol) but they could move Balazovic in the right deal.
  19. gunnarthor
    We have three more years of Buxton and then he'll take over CF. I suspect Lewis will spend all of this season in the minors and the team will reevaluate what they have after next season.
  20. gunnarthor
    The o-line looks so much better these last few games, I can't even believe it. I liked seeing Elflin getting into fights at the end of the game with the Lions d-line. IF the line improvement is real, this offense is good enough. Defensively, Kendricks and Barr have been awesome. The secondary is a bit off but i think they can fix that. Hughes needs reps but I think he'll be ok in the long run. I was surprised on how little pressure we got Sunday, not sure how they fix that b/c Griffen and Hunter have looked good. But this looks like a playoff team now.
  21. gunnarthor
    Forgot to list mine WFC/USB are our two big bank stocks index funds tracking the S&P Shopify (thanks a million on that one) Coke Roku Disney John Deere We have others but those are all pretty substantial holdings. You certainly have a more tech centric holdings than we do.
  22. gunnarthor
    Out of curiosity, what are people's biggest holdings in?
  23. gunnarthor
    Always rough to lose a job. Good luck to him.
  24. gunnarthor
    In all seriousness, Twinkie Town is better.
  25. gunnarthor
    Really impressed with the Vikes yesterday. Seemed to have a nice attacking gameplan. I get that the other team's corner's were hurt and they were playing scrubs but it also felt like in the past we might have ignored that while trying to establish a running game. Good to see us go at a weakness like that. On defense, I thought Kendricks (especially) and Barr were really good for the most part. Barr got exposed (again) defending a running back but other than that, they were both all over the field. Nice win.
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