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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Yeah, it's getting hit pretty hard. Over 20% in two days, or so. uff-da. Short sellers suck. If I had cash on hand, I'd probably buy some more at 90 but I don't.
  2. gunnarthor
    He's still relatively cheap so I'd expect he'd be back in a reduced role. I think part time DH/OF/bench bat works for him. He gets on base which is a good thing. I think Sano is going to get a lot of games as the DH next year.
  3. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I don't like that a short seller is causing the concern but I'm not completely sure their critiques aren't at least somewhat valid. But I'll hold for now.
  4. gunnarthor
    Yeah, that pissed me off. I knew he was gonna hit a HR after he didn't get run up. But it is what it is. I remember a Vikings playoff game years ago - 1990? - where we were on the road at SF and driving. Wade Wilson threw a pass for a huge gain or maybe even a touchdown but the refs called it back saying Wilson was "in the grasp" of the defensive player, who was literally only holding his foot. It was an egregious call. And the Vikings ended up punting, SF scored and the entire game changed and I was positive that that call changed the entire game. I was probably wrong but I still remember it. So, anyway, the Yankees were the better team and that means that the little things have to go our way. When they don't, it's a lot harder to upset them.
  5. gunnarthor
    Man, that loss hurt more than I thought it would. But good season.
  6. gunnarthor
    Twin fans deserve some karma. We got bounced year after year by PED loaded teams. We're due for a nice win that ****s over Yankee fans and to do that behind a pitcher with a PED suspension on his sheet would be perfect.
  7. gunnarthor
    I'm pretty sure everyone here thinks the Twins will lose in the WC round. But would I rather have Kintzler closing out games in the post season than have Tyler Watson in the system? Yes. Just because we got *something* for Kintzler doesn't mean it was a good trade for us. Watson has some upside - I don't hate it, he's a good sized pitcher with real upside - but I'd rather have the MLer. Some of it is hindsight but I'm also concerned about how the FO got to this decision.
  8. gunnarthor
    I'm pretty sure trying to compare the Yankees situation to the Twins will never work. There are far too many problems with that.
  9. gunnarthor
    See, it's ok for fans to support it. That's fine. But we're not supposed to be as smart as the FO. It wasn't that the Twins bats "came alive." It was that the young solid core got experience and started to show the high octane offense that many here thought they'd have before the season started. We lost a couple close games out of the break to the Dodgers and also faced the Yankees and Astros. It was supposed to be our hardest stretch of the schedule. We were still very much in it with winning records against most of the teams we'd need to beat and enough games against the Royals to make it up. And other teams had major pitching issues. It wasn't just us and the Orioles. Kyle GIbson could arguably be the Angels best starter this year. They certainly don't have anyone to hang with Berrios and Santana. KC had a near historic bad offense but we were supposed to sell because they won 8 straight against Chi and Det? And it's not like they traded Kintzler for a top 100 prospect. When we traded him, the Twins were just as in the hunt for the second wild card as anyone else.
  10. gunnarthor
    My concern is that they didn't know how to calculate the odds.
  11. gunnarthor
    We have no idea how open Jim is to stretching the budget but quotes by Lavine and the fact that he hired Falvey are pretty strong indicators that our payroll will remain quite low.
  12. gunnarthor
    Not having Kintzler might very well be the reason we stop moving. And I don't care that it's never happened before. The two team wild card is just a few years old now so that long history of the game doesn't really factor in. Baltimore was flawed, Tampa was flawed, KC was flawed We had winning records against the teams we had to pass. I want a FO who is smarter and not basing decisions on runs scored in April. We traded those two guys (and the Kintzler trade is the worse one) for people who are more likely than not to never make the majors and, if they do, most likely as a relief arm. There is some ceiling there, of course, but it wasn't a huge return.
  13. gunnarthor
    I think the jury is still out on them but they don't deserve too much credit of this team other than they let the young guys play and (perhaps) muzzled Molitor enough to make sure it happened. Good - 1) The Draft. Absolutely loved their draft and I really wanted a pitcher at 1/1. They got a lot of talent, used their bonus money well and brought in a swarm of young exciting players. I was ballistic after Lewis was picked but should have waited. They did good. Whether or not bringing Boras into our locker room is a long term issue is something to worry about down the road. 2) New coaches - not sure how much Rowson and Pickler are the FO's pick but I assume a lot. Both have been good. 3) Castro - he was the best catcher on the FA market (it was a bad market) and showed that they had a plan to improve defensively and they went to it. Good for them. Bad - 1) Trade deadline. I disagree that they didn't surrender. If they could have swung Santana, they would have. But the key problem is that these guys didn't understand how good their team was. Sure, things like fangraphs supported their moves b/c run differential but I want our FO to be smarter than fangraphs. The trade pissed off fans and players and didn't bring much back. And if Belisle blows a big save in the post-season we'll be hearing about it for a long time. 2) Dougie - there was a entire thread on this but basically my problem is that it showed the FO still does not understand the Twins fans or its history. Minor issue as long as we're winning but a stupid mistake that was insulting to many. 3) Garver - For some reason, they never got Garver up here to give him a legit shot as a back up. Perplexing because Giminez isn't exactly Bob Uecker. I think this offseason will be the big test to understand how good these guys can be. Generally, baseball is cyclical so the Twins should be good for a while. But whether they can keep a window of opportunity open for nearly a decade remains to be seen.
  14. gunnarthor
    I don't think many players get hurt on plays like that. Crashing into walls or each other, sure. But not a sliding catch on the grass.
  15. gunnarthor
    That was a fun game. Offense seemed a little uptight the first few innings but then it all came together. The Angels are in a nice little tail spin and the Rangers have actually caught them. I liked what we saw of Mejia tonight. He's not a perfect pitcher and health is a big issue for him but he's done enough so far this year that it looks like (IF healthy) he can be a real big league pitcher. Certainly not a front of the rotation pitcher but a big step up from some of what we've had to do over the last few years.
  16. gunnarthor
    Ah, gotcha. Then, no. I don't think the umps are purposefully helping the Yanks although I do think the tremendous pressure in places like Fenway and Yankee stadium helps the home teams b/c umps tend to help home teams. But that just means TF fans have to get rowdier.
  17. gunnarthor
    I actually do believe the allegations made by Selena Roberts when she uncovered ARod's PED use that people within the game were notifying certain star players (Yankees and Red Sox) of when they were going to be tested. The Mitchell Report cited to that as well, years earlier.
  18. gunnarthor
    I don't think Kepler's HR would have made it out of TF or many other parks for that matter. Anyone know for sure?
  19. gunnarthor
    In any given year, I'd probably take the field over Trout but not a specific player over him. So, clearly, no. But in Arod's peak you still had guys like Boone, Giambi and Suzuki who could claim to have been better in seasons. I see no reason to think that Buxton's peak is 100 OPS+ as a hitter. I think he can move into the group of 10 or so players who have a realistic shot, year in, year out, of being better than Trout.
  20. gunnarthor
    They're closer than Mike thinks. In mid April, by bWAR, Buxton was a slight negative (I think he 'peaked' at -0.4). Since then, he's risen all the way to 5.2 but considering he was a negative, he's been essentially (or at least close enough) to a 6 WAR player since that time. Trout on the season is at 6 WAR. Now, obviously, Trout missed nearly a month or his totals would be much higher and it's not really fair to ignore Buxton's horrid beginning or to assume that WAR calculations based on defense and baserunning are solid. (And fWAR is a completely different story). But, let's do that anyway. Assuming some continued improvement - he's hitting .278/.340/.465 since April 21st and .325/.372/.589 since July 1st, it's not crazy to think he could, over a full season, have a puncher's chance of leading the league in WAR in any given season even if he's not as good as Trout.
  21. gunnarthor
    Yes. Yes I do. What of it?
  22. gunnarthor
    I'm starting to think this team is winning despite the manager and FO. The FO waived the white flag at the deadline and has not been able to stop Molly from all these stupid bunts. Sure, they'll let him leave after the season but 51 sac bunts? That's terrible. On the plus side, the players are fun to watch generally.
  23. gunnarthor
    Dude, people posted that he wasn't smart enough to play ML baseball. There were lots of posts about him lacking mental toughness. And there were posts about replacing him with Kepler in CF. And that's just in one thread! Funnily, now that Buxton is hitting better than Kepler, no one is questioning Kepler's IQ. Wonder what the difference is.
  24. gunnarthor
    You know it was a four game series, right?
  25. gunnarthor
    Dave's trying to give too much credit to the new FO there.
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