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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Third base if the Sano experiment fails, second base if they trade Dozier, bench option if he's crap at short. Basically, he has to hit from the get-go to stay in the lineup with his defense. Escobar was a disaster last year but he looked pretty good - offensively and defensively - before that.
  2. gunnarthor
    I think Duffey will be a starter in AAA to start with. The new FO might let him have one more shot at starting before moving him to the pen.
  3. gunnarthor
    I'm not sure this is the big colossal problem people make it out to be. Polanco isn't a great option at short. That's been part of his scouting reports for years. He's a future second baseman and it's a reason some are concerned about the defense this year. At the start of last year, the Twins probably thought that short would be handled at the ML level by Escobar, Santana or Nunez and it was time for Polanco to focus on his actual position - second base. Turns out, Nunez did ok and Escobar had his worst season. I suppose you could argue that, come May, the Twins should have changed their strategy but I'm not sure since Dozier also looked DOA in May. I believe we had a few posts here saying it was time to promote Polanco to play second base over Dozier. In any event, I think Escobar will end up making more starts at short this year than Polanco.
  4. gunnarthor
    They've already made some pretty big changes by replacing Deron Johnson. Jay himself wasn't a bad pick and he had a lot of helium at the time, he certainly wasn't a reach. The rumors had the Twins on him, Carson Fulmer, Daz Cameron and Kolby Allard, IIRC. The Jay pick - like the Stewart pick - were high upside gambles. Jay arguably had the best stuff in the entire draft (Klaw specifically said so). Most observers thought he could make the transition to starter and his floor looked like a knock-out relief pitcher. The rub on Benintendi was his build - 5'10" - and weak arm.
  5. gunnarthor
    Surprised he's this low. I think pretty much every national ranking has him #1 in our system and for good reason. Not really much to say with him. He'll be 21 next year and in AA. He has a few things to work on - like every prospect - but he seems pretty likely to be a solid MLer.
  6. gunnarthor
    That video is two years old.
  7. gunnarthor
    He's an exciting prospect. I don't think it's too early to rank him this high - I believe a few places have him in our top 10. The fangraphs prospect guy said Javier has the most upside of anyone in the system and ranked him #6. Sickels had him #9 and also gushed about the possible tools.
  8. gunnarthor
    Why did Mejia only get 2 innings in the majors last year? That really bugged me. Unless he was hurt, the Twins really screwed up by not giving him a few spot starts down the line. I like Mejia. He is what he is but that's not a bad thing. Relatively high floor with that lower ceiling. I like having him in the pitching depth line over guys like Walters and Albers. Most of the national write ups on him have been relatively kind as well.
  9. gunnarthor
    This article also reminded me how excited I was for Burdi. sigh
  10. gunnarthor
    I guess Stewart is the one prospect I don't think there's really any reason to argue over. He's either going to improve his k-rate or bomb out in AA. There's no way he's getting through AA this year with a 4k/9. Sickel's write up mentions some of the concerns Thrylos mentions - erratic command. Hopefully, he puts it all together this year.
  11. gunnarthor
    I liked the Blankenhorn pick (and Cabbage). I agree that he's still too young and far away to get too excited about but it was nice to see him play well last year. But I don't necessarily think he's a bad pick for #9 in the org. Seems about right, actually.
  12. gunnarthor
    Feed em or free em. Both are good.
  13. gunnarthor
    I'm a non-profit attorney and we own tons of oil, gas and big banks. I figure my work offsets the damage to my soul. But we did balk at buying haliburtan.
  14. gunnarthor
    He's a pretty interesting prospect. A bit of a lottery ticket but a few lottery tickets have to hit, right?
  15. gunnarthor
    Ignoring ethics, I like oil right now. We paid off my law school loans because of an oil stock. We bought into some natural gas stocks a few years ago and made a second buy of the same stock as prices plummeted. Now we are starting to see them jump a lot. Keeping in mind that I'm just a dumb guy on the internet, I keep expecting oil to have another major dip before a real big spike. I very rarely try to time the market but I'm watching a stock named HP (Helmerich & Payne) pretty closely. We bought in 06 and sold it in 2014. If it falls into the 50s, I'll probably buy. It's an oil rig company with a great dividend and good leadership.
  16. gunnarthor
    They aren't recession proof but they bounced back pretty fast from the housing fiasco. The nice thing about Disney is that if the dollar gets weak, Disney World brings in a ton of international dollars as foreigners leap at the discount and things like their cartoons are always pretty popular. Parents buy those DVDs at Christmas time, recession or no recession. I'm still a little mad that I didn't buy into Disney a decade earlier when we really should have.
  17. gunnarthor
    I think the problem with Palka / Kiriloff comparisons is that Palka's weak spots - plate discipline - is a real issue that Kiriloff hasn't shown. Everyone knew Palka (and ABW) could hit the ball a mile. Frankly, the minors are full of hitters with plus or even plus plus power that never made it because they couldn't hit ML caliber pitching. I like Palka a lot and I think it was one of Ryan's sneaky trades. I'm actually optimistic on him and think he'll be a solid ML for a few seasons. But Kiriloff has the much higher ceiling, even if he's farther away. I think he's the better prospect.
  18. gunnarthor
    We own a bit of Disney. It's a good safe stock - I think my grandkids will be watching Disney cartoons 30 years from now. It has a nice dividend as well. We bought at 108 and 93, IIRC. I probably wouldn't jump in at 109 today if I overly cared about timing market (which I usually don't).
  19. gunnarthor
    I hope Morneau is the MVP of the tourney and gets a nice big league contract. Also, really exciting that Rodriquez made the PR team. Perhaps there's something there after all.
  20. gunnarthor
    Remember a few years ago when Tyler Kolek was extremely hyped HS RH pitching prospect? A lot of rumors that he'd go #1 overall but Houston took Aiken. Miami took Kolek, who is no longer on top 100 lists, and the White Sox took Rodon who is going to be a pain in the ass for Twins fans for a decade. Take the college arm.
  21. gunnarthor
    Nice. Still hoping for Faedo to have a big season but Greene is a pretty exciting prospect. Really hope we can get someone to fall at 35 and 37.
  22. gunnarthor
    So Trump is going to dismantle banking regulations. Buy big banks guys - at least until the next economic crisis the deregulation causes.
  23. gunnarthor
    Nice write up again, Seth. I hope he does well. He's young so it'll take some time but most of the scouting reports on him have been pretty fun to read.
  24. gunnarthor
    I think the new FO has made some pretty important changes but they are not on the playing field. Pickler in the dugout might be able to help Molitor. Molitor is a smart baseball mind but not a good player's manager. Maybe Pickler makes him keep starting May over Duffey or keeping D. Santana on the bench, though. They put Sean Johnson in charge of the draft. They gave Goins added resources. They've indicated that they'll platoon more. On the field there really wasn't that much they could do. Outside of catcher, the offense is more or less set and they got (arguably) the best defensive catcher for this staff that they could. They need Kepler and Buxton and Rosario to play. Rosario might be a fourth outfielder but it's too early to give up on him. The rotation is a mess but there isn't much in FA to fix it. Apparently they did try to trade Dozier but couldn't find a trade they liked. They should add some bullpen pieces before ST though. The rotation is what it is. They couldn't upgrade it much so we're stuck with it. Hopefully Berrios takes a step forward and Gibson pitches more like 2014-2015 Gibson. Longterm, I don't doubt that they know it's an issue but I'm not sure what else they could do about it.
  25. gunnarthor
    Yeah, my guess is they are in the 75 win range this season. How the youngsters play will have a lot of impact on how the 2018 season projects. I do want to see some improvement in the bullpen though. Right now, Pressly is basically the only arm in there I actually like.
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