gunnarthor
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Everything posted by gunnarthor
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I'm certainly not ready to defend the new FO on this and you don't want to hear "it's early." But, it's early. In 2015, Sano hit .163/.299/.388 through the first week of May. Commentators here were saying that he was rushed back from his injury, they should move him back to A ball, etc. He was in the majors two months later and finished 3rd in ROY voting. Generally, you should trust the talent. Lewis is too good to be this bad. I'm more worried about guys like Enlow and the pitchers we picked up in the trade deadline the last two years. But Lewis and Kiriloff and Larnich will be good ML players. Rooker might end up being a Palka-like player but I think that's his floor.
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- jaylin davis
- zach neff
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To her credit, she talked to POC, campaigned in their cities and spoke with their community leaders. Bernie basically ignored them and seemed to be baffled why they weren't supporting his policies. Clinton did a lot of things wrong but her outreach in the primaries was not one of them.
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I'm ok with the pick. Wonder if they make a trade today.
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I don't think Clinton's problems are really reflective of most moderate democrats. Clinton was bogged down by being HRC. That's not fair but that was the reality. A lot of people just didn't like her. A lot of people were also not ready to vote for a woman. She was tied to the big banks by Bernie and that hurt her in the general election, for sure. But I'm not sure that Biden will be painted that way. Additionally, he has positives that Clinton lacked to push back on that. Lastly, HRC simply ignored the rust belt. Biden loves the rust belt. I also don't think turn out will go down with Biden. I posted an article from the Washington Post a few posts up that showed that young voter turn out in 2018 was record breaking and Trump wasn't even on the ballot. The base will show up. I'm sure there will be efforts to reduce turn out by social media trolls again but that will happen regardless of the nominee. Also, I'm not a baby boomer.
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Biden is beloved in the rust belt. He was called Pennsylvania's third Senator for decades. He can win the states like PA, WI, MI, OH, IA that Clinton lost. We don't need a candidate that can rack up the votes in the blue states. We need a candidate that can flip 36 EV off of this map. https://www.270towin.com/ Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin are going to be huge in 2020 and I want a candidate that can connect with the voters in those states. Biden can. That's the only thing that matters this time.
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Pretty sure he's not concerned about that rhetoric as much as other police misconduct behavior that has been spotlighted in the last few years. I suppose you can guess the difference.
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Cool story, bro.
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Disagree. I think he's the best candidate for the Dems to take on Trump. He seems to get that it's about beating Trump, not pushing policies that can be used to split voters. The election should be another referendum on Trump. That should be the bottom line - Trump wants to take away your health care, Trump wants to lock up children, Trump obstructs justice, Trump welcomes Russia attacks on our voting system. Seems pretty clear that Biden is able and willing to do that.
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Lewis is walking 16% of the time so it seems he's becoming more patient. His babip is a bit low (.264) and would expect it to improve a bit. It's too early to worry - he hasn't even had 70 at-bats yet. I think for most of these guys this early in the season, you don't really worry about the stats. If Lewis goes 4-4, it raises his avg nearly 40 points.
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USA Today is investigating police misconduct nationally. https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/investigations/2019/04/24/usa-today-revealing-misconduct-records-police-cops/3223984002/ "The Trump administration has backed away from more than a decade of Justice Department investigations and court actions against police departments it determined were deeply biased or corrupt. In 2018, then-Attorney General Jeff Sessions said the Justice Department would leave policing the police to local authorities, saying federal investigations hurt crime fighting." I've sued a handful of law enforcement agencies over the years. More light on the subject of police misconduct is strongly needed.
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/04/23/young-people-actually-rocked-vote-new-census-data-find/?utm_term=.18340fbc40f8
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That's horrible for him. Hope he gets back on the mound.
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Internet rumor is that the Night King is going to send some of his wights at Winterfell next episode but his main attack will be at King's Landing. I don't actually think that would happen (distances would make it impossible but that hasn't stopped the show before). Cercei becomes the Nights Queen for the future assault on Winterfell and would be killed by Jamie then.
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You didn't put those numbers in any context. The numbers of undocumented entries is far lower than it used to be. The increase in apprehensions between ports of entry is due to the administration preventing asylum seekers from entering as well as it's family separation policy. So, since these numbers are lower than they used to be and the increase in apprehensions between ports of entry is due to the administration's policy of not allowing asylum seekers into the US, why should we pretend that this is some crisis? Or tolerate Trump using language suggesting that asylum seekers are lying or that we are being invaded?
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I'm in the same boat. I found out that I was on the wrong re-payment program and, even though I was paying more than I would if I had been in the correct one (by $400/mth!), I couldn't get credited for those six years. That was a very bad day for me.
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There are already some student forgiveness plans out there. For example, law student loans may be wiped away if you work 10 years for a qualified non-profit (and meet a few criteria). These were put in place under Bush. A tax law professor who clerked for Scalia once explained why he thought student loans should be forgiven more (not necessarily wiped off the books but he wasn't opposed to that either). Basically, let's say you take out 100k in loans for law school. You get that 100k from other tax payers. But the return is that this creates a future high income earner who will pay more into the system. Additionally, he said that people don't save money. So the $850 monthly student loan repayment can go to the DOE or you can forgive it and the person will spend the $850 in the market and that money would flow out, as a combination of mortgage payment, car payment, entertainment purchases, etc. Forcing people to pay so much back in student loans hinders their ability to buy homes and start families. It also creates a discontented work force and creates generations of workers who think living paycheck to paycheck should be the norm. So, while the 100k payment to the law school would not be repayed, the money that the individual puts back into our economy more than makes up for it.
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If a top 10 talent is somehow sitting there, I'd nab him. Otherwise, I don't have any particular feel to this draft. We need help in the OL so I think that should be our priority but I have no idea who we should be drafting.
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Trump's racism is why he and others are vilifying those running from those countries.
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Of course it's why we got to this situation. Ignoring racism doesn't work but just encourages more of it. As a society, we need to shine a light on this and not let politicians get away with this type of behavior. For example, Joe Arpaio violated the rights of thousands of people because we ignored his racist agenda and accepted his excuses for far too long. We have to stop making those mistakes.
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https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-41-prospects-minnesota-twins/ A few high end guys but mostly just a lot of depth. Twins have 35 players tagged with a FV of 40 or higher. Most teams are in the mid-20s on that. Lastly, I thought this was interesting - "It’s incredible the system is as good as it is considering how little the Twins have done in the Dominican Republic over the last several years. Only two of the 40 FV or better players on here are original Twins signees from the DR. Indeed, they’ve done much better in odd places like Australia or Eastern Asia than in the Dominican. That may change now that they’ve made some personnel changes in International Scouting. They’ve also done very well in Venezuela despite abandoning their complex in 2016 due to the country’s ongoing turmoil. Let’s watch the next Twins draft to see if their 2018 strategy (two underslot college mashers early, then a bunch of overslot picks throughout the rest of the draft’s first two days) becomes a multi-year ideology."
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Wasn't Bruno our minor league hitting coach when Joe Benson and Chris Parmelee broke out? I think that was the reason for his promotion. I wasn't his biggest fan but I do remember that the team did change a bit and took a few more walks under him. I think Vavra was the better hitting coach (Kubel and Morneau both gave huge credit to him on their power output) but frankly, with 25 guys, it's unlikely that one coach is a good fit for all players. I'm glad the Twins are using two and Rudy Hernandez seems like a good fit with Rowson. Personality wise, I don't think Bruno was a good fit for the young Twins that were here in 2012-2016 but some older guys (Dozier and Plouffe) seemed to get better under him.
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Recognizing that Trump is racist is rationale. He is, he has a long track record. You can ignore it and demonize those who do not but that doesn't change the fact. As others have stated, Trump hasn't come up with a single rational idea about immigration, instead trying to scare and hype the issue for his base.
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https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-tigers-found-a-diamond-in-the-rough/ Nice article about Niko playing pretty well with Detroit.
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Agreed, this was a filler episode. Hoping tonight's show is much better.
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For anyone who cares, this article from CNN, and the links it highlights, are pretty good reading on the rise of white nationalism. Unsurprisingly, Trump is a factor. https://www.cnn.com/2019/03/16/politics/fact-checking-trump-on-threat-of-white-nationalism/index.html
