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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. USAFChief
    It's worse: the explanation for Garlic wasn't "RH pinch hitter." It was "we're facing a bunch of lefties in the next week." "A bunch" = 2, apparently. And I'm a guy that believes strongly in the platoon advantage/disadvantage. And to be fair, focusing on Garlic is focusing on one small tree and ignoring the forest. The forest is, Twins management seems incapable of putting together a good, consistent offense. They had the blip of 2019, when a juiced ball combined with career years for guys they didn't draft, develop, or sign. Outside of that, their talent seems to be assembling players who K too much, can't translate whatever minor league success they showed into MLB success, can't stay on the field, or all the above.
  2. USAFChief
    Really difficult to take seriously a team putting Donovan Solano in the 4 hole. Against a RHer no less.
  3. USAFChief
    You missed the point, though. The plan to DH Buxton needs a center fielder that helps win games. That's not MAT. There's a reason he could be had for nothing special. He's a good enough fielder, but he's long proven himself a liability in the lineup. I dont like Buxton at DH, but that seems to have always been the plan. Particularly on this team, which was always going to be offensively challenged, any plan to take Buxton out of CF needed a better plan than one that trades a real bat for MAT's.
  4. USAFChief
    I said the same in the game thread. Every team in MLB has a CFer who catches that pop fly, with ease. Except us, who have Willi Castro in CF.
  5. USAFChief
    "Making Buxton's latest swoon even tougher to stomach is the growing inconvenience of his situation and its collateral implications." Some of us have been saying this all year. Making Buxton a full time DH hurts the team, rather than making it stronger. It has the effect of making MAT your full time DH. And it's made even worse when Buxton is turned into Rob Deer. One tool, rather than 5.
  6. USAFChief
    One of the worst trades in Twins history, and that's before you take into account the results. Murphy wasn't in the same talent league as Hicks. Not even close. Really awful use of resources. You can't be that far short on the balance of talent scale on a trade.
  7. USAFChief
    WPA is 100 percent context driven and a terrible way to determine how much impact a given player would have had on another team. Meaningless, even. Arraez has 184 PAs of .424 OBP. That would be valuable to any offense, including the Twins. Lopez has given the Twins 60 IP of 111 OPS+ starting pitching. Also valuable. It's fair to both recognize both the value AND cost of the Lopez trade. There's no need to try to justify the trade by minimizing Arraez. He's been good. Really good. Better than every Twin except Kirilloff.
  8. USAFChief
    Nitpic, but I don't think most people consider Dave St Peter to be the "front office." I mean, in normal business terms he absolutely is. But in baseball, most would consider Falvine to be "the front office." But yeah, St Peter surely said what he said, and without looking I'd guess they're off to an even worse start with attendance so far this year.
  9. USAFChief
    That might be the worst managed ballgame I've ever seen.
  10. USAFChief
    Concur. Strikeouts are NOT like any other out.
  11. USAFChief
    And Arraez .914. You're right, we don't need either of them.
  12. USAFChief
    Again, tough to take you seriously. Trout's MLB average OPS since 2011 is .998. That's a middle of the order hitter
  13. USAFChief
    I've been sending Falvey 2 emails a day telling him to ignore you. "Dude's using snail mail, ferpetesakes. I mean, come on."
  14. USAFChief
    Get back to work, before your boss reads this.
  15. USAFChief
    I think a reasonable hope for Correa is something like last year. OPS in the low to mid .800s. Certainly valuable, especially at SS, but not something that should be your best hitter. Hopefully we get something similar from Lewis. That'd help. We don't have any really good hitters. Consistent .950 OPS guys.
  16. USAFChief
    Concur. I'd say they are missing 2 middle of the order bats, not 1, but that's a nitpic. We better hope the starting pitching holds up.
  17. USAFChief
    Actually, across MLB in 2023 here's the numbers with bases loaded: .259/.307/.430 https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/split.cgi?t=b&lg=MLB&year=2023
  18. USAFChief
    I'd say Pagan is a bad example of them liking a guy despite our pitchforks.
  19. USAFChief
    Games with 3 runs or less: Here's some comparisons, 2023 to date: TX 13 LAD 15 ClE 28 MN 21 CWS 26 I'm too lazy to go team by team at BBRef and I can't find the data already assembled. But at least on first glance, good offenses don't get shut down as often. Which makes intuitive sense to me.
  20. USAFChief
    Not exactly an answer, but here's part of it...I found some of what I was looking for the other day: what's the magic number in MLB? It's 5. Score 5, and you win more than lose. Score 4, and you lose more than win. Obviously, scoring less than 4 gives you an even worse record. This data is 2023, but it holds up https://stathead.com/baseball/inning_summary.cgi?request=1
  21. USAFChief
    Short version: need luck, because there's nothing very intriguing in the system.
  22. USAFChief
    I don't accept either of those statements as facts. I believe a MLB manager can find room for all three on most days.
  23. USAFChief
    The actual antidote to GIDPs is to hit the ball in the air. Two strikeouts still leave you scoreless.
  24. USAFChief
    It's hard to take you seriously when you make claims like this. One can be in favor of the Lopez trade while still understanding how much the Twins offense could use Arraez.
  25. USAFChief
    I guess I don't understand sending Lopez out for the 7th if you're going to pull him after 1 hitter. Either he was spent, in which case you start the inning with a reliever, or Lopez gets the opportunity to pitch to at least 3 hitters, which would be what you ostensibly sent him out to do. In any case, pretty dismal road trip, with seemingly every Twins weakness costing them.
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