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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    This year it is partly about somehow clustering hits (and errors by opponent directly leading to runs, not just runners). I don't recall last year. Also, Plouffe, Dozier, and Hunter can hit. But the number of runs is partly driven by clustering.
  2. Mike Sixel
    Except I'm not talking only about 1 stat, all of the offensive work matters, not just OBP. Compared to other 1B, he's been bad. I really don't know how that is even up for debate right now, so I'll probably just make this my last post on this in this thread.
  3. Mike Sixel
    Last year happened. Mauer's numbers are not fine, you can't just cherry pick 10 games. Just go to your favorite site, and compare him to other 1B for the last year plus. Offensively, compare him.
  4. Mike Sixel
    How long does something last before it is a trend-----it's over a year now? Also, the hitters after him can't drive him in if he's not base. You need to look at both sides of that run producing equation, imo.
  5. Mike Sixel
    Most people here agree most of the time.....and yet we yell at each other too much.
  6. Mike Sixel
    This is an issue with most humans, they really have a hard time accepting randomness being the absolute norm of existence. On the scale of activity we are looking at, each individual outcome is more random than we want to admit. People always look for someone or something to "blame" when a car accident happens, or when the economy goes up or down, or even a 1 day change in the stock market. But for most every THING that happens*, it is fairly random. *thing, not things. once we get enough things, we can reasonably well predict what is LIKELY to happen, but not what WILL happen. Luck and randomness really rule individual events. Like a hit ball missing the glove of an infielder by an inch, or a put lipping out, or an ump missing a call......all random. And, our brains don't like that.
  7. Mike Sixel
    That and I hate quoting super long posts, so it is 50/50 our issue. Have a great day, doc.
  8. Mike Sixel
    Was it not obvious I was replying to the post above, with a whole paragraph on luck.
  9. Mike Sixel
    I agree that is likely, Seth. Which is why I think it is reasonable to exclude it from the Molitor list.
  10. Mike Sixel
    Probably, yes. Orioles fans for years said they weren't lucky to win all those 1 run games.......and then the year they didn't win any, they ummmmm, they stopped talking at all. Dozens of years of baseball data exist, to deny that there is luck involved in most any outcome is just denial.
  11. Mike Sixel
    KLAW is not predicting he won't go in round 1, but he can't figure out which team will pay him.....
  12. Mike Sixel
    The Mauer thing is really going to cost this club in the coming years, unless they are much braver than I expect them to be. Of all the things you list, the Escobar one is the one I get the least. He has zero track record to rely on, to think he should be an everyday player. I really struggle to understand this one. Clearly I agree on the preference for veterans, just look at the bullpen.....which you didn't even mention (since it isn't clear if that is Molitor or Ryan, probably).
  13. Mike Sixel
    More that they are read, but don't generate much commentary. to the point of the article, very nicely written. Thanks.
  14. Mike Sixel
    Jeremy typed this: "We know what TR thinks." I was asking about that, nothing more or less.
  15. Mike Sixel
    we know what TR wants to do?
  16. Mike Sixel
    It is a terrible, terrible strategy. Not one person that used to work in a FO that is now on Fangraphs or ESPN or mlb.com or anywhere says anything but how bad of an idea this is. What if all those guys next year need TJ, and the draft isn't strong? How do you keep the pipeline of elite talent full, if you delay a year?
  17. Mike Sixel
    Only if you are willing to trade them......and do so before they lose value.
  18. Mike Sixel
    right.......which is going to be a problem (heck, I'd say it is a problem already this year)
  19. Mike Sixel
    I don't think he makes it to them. If he does, they should take him, and put him in Ft. Meyers.
  20. Mike Sixel
    This is going to really hurt the Twins over the next few years. Sano s/b your 1B right now, or soon. Vargas or Arcia or someone else should be your DH right now, or soon. In the mean time, you are stuck with a guy that I don't think they'll ever be brave enough to bench. He either retires, or they play a man short in the lineup. If only they had moved him off catcher sooner.....if only that had been an option.
  21. Mike Sixel
    it isn't, but they can't just ignore profitability, as much as I'd like them to. My issue with the Pohlad's approach was that, imo, you have to sometimes spend money to make it. It appears that is happening lately.
  22. Mike Sixel
    It is if you are running a business and need to make money. And, there just are no guarantees that either way works.
  23. Mike Sixel
    Or they could have sat still , and not made the playoffs the last two years, and have a super deep minor league system, and then in 5 years maybe be good if everyone worked out.
  24. Mike Sixel
    got it, sometimes we* do post across each other *we=all of us here
  25. Mike Sixel
    How would this happen? Will they keep him in the minors for 3 more years somehow? Or move Mauer? btw, I've been saying this also should be his future.....
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