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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    MLB trade rumors arbitration estimates Minnesota Twins (10) Anthony Banda (5.135): $2.3MM Dean Kremer (5.107): $6.5MM Bailey Ober (5.093): $6.9MM Joe Ryan (5.033): $9.6MM (current deal has $13MM mutual option for 2027 with $100K buyout) Trevor Larnach (5.014): $6.3MM Royce Lewis (4.139): $5.1MM Cole Sands (4.017): $1.3MM Tommy Nance (3.165): $1.2MM Kody Clemens (3.134): $3.6MM Taj Bradley (3.097): $4.5MM None of these are bad
  2. DJL44
    What does a Keaschall extension look like? Comps Lawrence Butler 7 years $65.5M Michael Harris II 8 years $72M Ke’Bryan Hayes 8 years $70M Myles Straw 5 years $25M Luis Lara 7 years $31M Somewhere between 5 and 9 million for 5-7 years. Keaschall is a Super 2 so he gets four rounds of arbitration. Guessing 2/5/9/16 for a total of $33M if they go year to year. I would offer Keaschall 6 years $45M with an $20M team option.
  3. DJL44
    Comps for Walker Jenkins Julio Rodriguez 12 years $209M Jackson Merrill 9 years $135M Roman Anthony 8 years $130M Pete Crow Armstrong 6 years $115M Corbin Carroll 8 years $111M $14-17M in average annual value. Offer him the Jackson Merrill deal and call it good.
  4. DJL44
    I think you need guarantee the $27M to get 2030 at $20M. 4 years, $48M with a $25M option for 2031. Another shot at free agency at age 31.
  5. DJL44
    Maybe for Jenkins. 5 years is enough for Bradley and 6 for Keaschall.
  6. DJL44
    The games may have been meaningless for the 2026 Twins but they aren’t for Culpepper.
  7. DJL44
    What do they predict for Arraez?
  8. DJL44
    Rising: Caden Kendle, Ben Ross Falling: Charlee Soto, Quentin Young
  9. DJL44
    Slowly, which is better than having him put up 2026 Wallner numbers.
  10. DJL44
    Based on past injury history I would assume one of Jenkins, Buxton or Rodriguez is injured and possibly all three at the same time.
  11. DJL44
    Tickets to Twins games are plentiful and cheap. They ran 4 for $40 specials all summer with dollar hot dogs and $2 snacks. It costs the same as a high school football game.
  12. DJL44
    This is true. He has 40HR in the minors in 1563 PA and that is boosted by 10 this year from the silly ball. They both fill out the roster pretty well as 4th and 5th OF because they can play defense but neither has the bat to be a DH. Platoon them and you can make a 2 WAR outfielder.
  13. DJL44
    For small sample sizes, the OBP. Nobody thinks slugging percentage is predictive based on 8 hits. SLG depends on HR. Walk rate becomes predictive after about 120 plate appearances. Strikeout rate after 60. XBH rate becomes predictive after 1610 plate appearances.
  14. DJL44
    Your numbers prove he wasn’t overmatched. A .419 OBP against the best teams is quite good.
  15. DJL44
    They control Connor Prielipp through age 30. No need to offer an extension.
  16. DJL44
    They could easily carry Rodriguez on the team and not play him. They did that with Outman and Keirsey.
  17. DJL44
    I hope so. That would be an awesome outcome for Rodriguez. I’ve been hoping for Kepler 2.0 and that seems optimistic.
  18. DJL44
    I don’t want either Ryan or Lopez at age 34. Lopez will have more value at the trade deadline than he has now because he will only have $8M left on his contract. I would shop Joe Ryan and sell Larnach for whatever I could get. I would trade Ober or put him in the bullpen but I wouldn’t cut him. Does Lewis have trade value? He won’t cost much on an arbitration contract. He should provide 1 WAR for $5M. That’s fine for a utility player. Keep.
  19. DJL44
    I don’t get the word “trust” here. The relationship I have with the Pohlads is transactional. I pay for TwinsTV and they give me access to Twins games on TV. I buy a ticket and I get a seat at a Major League Baseball game. They have never failed to give me a seat when I have bought a ticket.
  20. DJL44
    I think Rodriguez is going to spend a lot of time on the bench. His bat is going to need more time to develop.
  21. DJL44
    Spend in free agency on the areas where the value is highest and the downside risk is lowest. That’s a position player, not a closer. The Twins need to be developing relievers, not buying them at retail prices. The top reliever contracts are nearly all disasters: Edwin Diaz, Devin Williams, Tyler Rogers, Jordan Hicks, Tanner Scott, Ryan Helsley, Pete Fairbanks, Carlos Estevez. Small budget teams shouldn’t pay $15M for 50 innings of baseball.
  22. DJL44
    They will be if they blow the whole budget on Bednar.
  23. DJL44
    Clemens will be in the lineup every day
  24. DJL44
    1) Extensions for Keaschall, Bradley, Jenkins and Culpepper. 2) Sign a free agent second baseman (Arraez, Chisholm or Lowe) 3) Acquire a solid defensive catcher 4) Spend the rest on the bullpen (two or three pitchers) They would probably have $10-15M left to spend on those two or three relievers.
  25. DJL44
    Adding Bednar might get them to the 80 win threshold next season. They have 99 problems and a closer is only one of them.
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