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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    WAR overrates relievers by including a leverage index to their innings. If the Twins had kept both, they would have had to choose which one received the leverage opportunities. Combined they would have only been able to produce 5 WAR. Then you need to subtract the 1 WAR contribution by Rojas and Roden. That could have given them a solid 80-win season while finishing out of the playoffs in 3rd place. Is that the goal?
  2. DJL44
    I think that is mainly due to Vegas expecting a team in the Twins situation to sell at the deadline.
  3. DJL44
    Any GM would tell you it is a bad idea to build your team around a 30 year old utility player coming off a career year. If Kody Clemens is the team MVP, it just illustrates how bad this team is. A rebuilding team would look to sell high on Clemens. The Twins will keep him through arbitration the next three seasons and he will likely provide an overpriced stinker season in 2029 before retiring from baseball.
  4. DJL44
    Meets expectations. 2% raise.
  5. DJL44
    Yes, they’re average now. Buxton is no longer a gold glover and Jenkins doesn’t have the speed to become one. Houston is going to miss 1/3 of next season due to injury like Culpepper did this year?
  6. DJL44
    Keaschall is below average in RF. CF is only average. Culpepper looks merely average at SS. Catcher and second base are below average. Put that together and they’re below average up the middle, which is where it really counts. I wouldn’t count on Houston for next season. I would rather be pleasantly surprised that he’s ready than desperately hoping he arrives.
  7. DJL44
    They have moved the needle from “worst in MLB” to “below average”. They are still a ways from “fixed”.
  8. DJL44
    Which is crazy because he provided 2 WAR for $5M. That’s an incredible bargain. That’s a $15-20M cost in free agency.
  9. DJL44
    If they were the best defensive team in MLB it would bring team ERA below 4. Their FIP (which assumes average defense) is 4.22. That’s an extra 50 runs allowed because of the team defense.
  10. DJL44
    They are unlikely to find a free agent reliever for the amount Bailey Ober will get in arbitration who is significantly better than using Ober in the bullpen. Ober should want to move to the bullpen to regain a couple MPH and extend his career.
  11. DJL44
    Catcher and second base would be great places to add players who can play good defense. Carson Kelly should be quite affordable. Any of Arraez, Lowe or Jazz would improve defense at 2B. Jazz is the youngest and the fastest.
  12. DJL44
    Rooting for Texas and Houston to lose the rest of the weekend. I want to see a playoff team with a 79-83 record.
  13. DJL44
    Was Adler the guy who suggested filling the roster with DH and rostering a third catcher that they never use? If so, I’m glad he’s gone.
  14. DJL44
    I went twice this season. Once was the two free passes I received as a Twins TV subscriber. The other was a 4 tickets for $40 offer on dollar dog night. I think that whole evening was $100 including parking for 4 adults to attend.
  15. DJL44
    I would much rather read articles about the MLB playoffs than spend October on endless roster speculation. Since it’s Twins Daily, you could even frame it as a look at how former Twins are performing in the playoffs. Use the daily minor league report as a template. I know I won’t see every game due to time and streaming restrictions, but I would like to discuss them with this group of people.
  16. DJL44
    Contreras is not a free agent. The Brewers have a $15M option for 2027 which they will exercise.
  17. DJL44
    Considering the attrition pitchers have due to injury 12/20 is the minimum teams should draft every season. The 26-man roster is 50% pitchers.
  18. DJL44
    McNeil is definitely a rung below the others, but he also is the one likely to sign a one year cheap contract. He is more of a “raise the floor” player and would be my last choice. Lowe hasn’t played much 1B because he’s still a good defender at 2B. Jazz has a ton of utility, speed, defense and is the youngest guy on the list. Everyone here is very familiar with Arraez. Torres can still hit and he hits LHP especially well. That’s useful for the Twins.
  19. DJL44
    Culpepper didn’t play because he spent most of the season injured. The Twins should plan for at least one of their starters to be injured at all times.
  20. DJL44
    There are four good second basemen in free agency - Arraez, Chisholm, Lowe and Torres. There might be five if Jeff McNeil has his option declined. All of them are preferable to Ben Ross, Tristan Gray and Ryan Kreidler.
  21. DJL44
    I want them to spend some of the pile of money they have on a second baseman. If they somehow end up with too many good, healthy infielders (they won’t) they can trade one of the older players for more prospect depth. Gray, Arcia and Kreidler got 500 combined PA this season despite the planned debut of Kaelen Culpepper.
  22. DJL44
    Buxton plays a premium defensive position well and Bell doesn’t play defense at all. A DH is essentially a half-time player. Scoring runs is what wins games. Buxton scored 65 times and Bell scored 76 times. Bell also has 210 more plate appearances than Buxton.
  23. DJL44
    You have too much confidence in Houston. If he’s that good, they can make a trade to open a spot later. That’s no reason to make him plan A, B and C.
  24. DJL44
    Zero. The Phillies can cover $200M of their payroll with TV money.
  25. DJL44
    Just like Ben Ross
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