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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    He’s not having a mediocre season. He’s having a terrible season. Can you find even one player who struck out 45% of the time in low A, figured it out and had a career?
  2. DJL44
    But he has missed a ton of time. Your comp, Pete Alonso, routinely leads the league in games played. He’s missed 10 games over the past 5 seasons. Royce has missed 250 games over the last four seasons. What is “fair market” for a first baseman with a career 108 OPS who routinely misses 60 games a year? That’s not quite worth Ryan O’Hearn money. I think $10M is fair, but salary inflation could get that up to $12M by 2028. As far as his market value as a free agent, I think Josh Naylor is the best case scenario - if Royce can stay healthy. If he gets hurt again then he is probably looking at a 1 year contract. Guaranteed 2 extra years and $33M right now could be appealing. 4 years $48M would be my opening offer. Boras could come back with something ridiculous like 7 years $120M. If the Twins don’t extend him we will see weekly “trade Royce Lewis” articles at Twins Daily.
  3. DJL44
    Right, but he doesn’t have much of a choice but to take a discount in arbitration. His stats for the past two years suck. Plus he’s been injured a LOT so there is that factor that will depress his value on a free market contract. I think there is an opportunity this offseason, but only this offseason. Even a 3 year contract would be preferable to the 2 years of arbitration control they currently have.
  4. DJL44
    In 60 games. I don’t think he will catch more than 90 games, which would mean 10 caught stealing and 20 SB allowed. That is actually pretty impressive control of the running game.
  5. DJL44
    This offseason is the sweet spot for a Royce Lewis contract extension. His overall numbers will depress his arbitration award. Next offseason will be too late, he will go to free agency. I don’t see him getting more than $16M in arbitration for the next two seasons. Would he go for a guaranteed 4 years and $48M?
  6. DJL44
    They need a second baseman more than they need a DH. Add Arraez there (or Jazz Chisholm, Lowe, Torres, etc). I would love to see a “bench” of Martin, Kreidler, Clemens and Rodriguez with the DH spot open for one of the regulars to get a partial rest day.
  7. DJL44
    Good to see Emmanuel Rodriguez heating up
  8. DJL44
    The biggest reason for my pessimism is he’s had a year’s worth of practice and reps and the results don’t appear to be getting any better. He hasn’t improved his defense or his strikeouts. He’s a year older and not making progress. There are a lot of rungs he still needs to climb and he needs to make adjustments a lot quicker than this if he wants to climb all of them.
  9. DJL44
    Young is the same age as Fragoza with a very different trajectory
  10. DJL44
    Yes, he’s a short side platoon player, pinch runner and defensive replacement. He has played in 110 games but only started 71 of them. Of those 71 starts, he only finished 57.
  11. DJL44
    Alan Roden is getting 10 plate appearances a week. He has already taken a seat.
  12. DJL44
    He might not be a bust now, but he’s headed in that general direction. He’s clearly less interesting now than he was on draft day. He is striking out over 40% of the time and has been awful on defense. He will probably end up in Fort Myers for a 3rd straight season.
  13. DJL44
    They had an injury to a bench player and called up a bench player.
  14. DJL44
    It is not easy to make these decisions. Is Larnach struggling, or is it just a small sample size blip? Is Jenkins ready or did he just see a string of lousy AAA pitching? It takes about a month’s worth of plate appearances to really know. By the time they have enough data it will be September. A lot of this comes down to the manager. If Shelton won’t play Jenkins over Larnach, then they should keep him in AAA. If they wait long enough an injury will make the decision for them and they won’t have to stick their neck out.
  15. DJL44
    Young is currently following the Keoni Cavaco development path
  16. DJL44
    The Alex Jackson win streak continues. They can’t put him in a game until they lose.
  17. DJL44
    The Twins have the rights to Gomez for several more seasons
  18. DJL44
    Jeff Reardon was pretty good
  19. DJL44
    This isn’t just an MLB issue, this is all of college and professional sports. Gopher football could air on any of nine channels split across broadcast, cable and streaming. They won’t even tell you more than a month in advance which channel will broadcast the game or even what time the game will happen.
  20. DJL44
    Netflix shows three baseball events a year- Opening Day, the Home Run Derby and the field of dreams game. Why would I subscribe to Netflix for three baseball games? I saw all the video highlights on social media later. I watched the Saints play instead that night using the subscription I already paid for. I expect NBC in the future to air the first half of games over the air and the second half on streaming. This will probably happen in the playoffs. Subscribe if you want to see how the game ends.
  21. DJL44
    If they get more than 240 games combined from Buxton, Jenkins and Rodriguez they will have beat the odds. The Twins could have a very talented and very injury prone starting outfield in 2027.
  22. DJL44
    I am close to your roster, but I am guessing they use Wallner as the DH until he proves he can’t do it. Keaschall or Buxton is the DH vs LHP with Martin getting time in the outfield. There are several 2B available as free agents and a few others obtainable in trades.
  23. DJL44
    His spray chart has 8 hits, all to the pull side. He is going to need to learn how to take some pitches to the opposite field to unlock another level of performance on offense.
  24. DJL44
    He’s one of their best defenders. They can handle a 650 OPS to get his glove on the field.
  25. DJL44
    Do you think they can time things so the 80 games Buxton misses won’t overlap with the 80 games Jenkins misses?
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