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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Shelton’s old pitching coach is currently the bullpen coach for the Reds.
  2. DJL44
    There’s the dozen pitchers with D and F grades that you’re ignoring. They pitched too. Plus, the defense cost them a half a run in ERA this year.
  3. DJL44
    Any one of those players could have batted in Bell’s spot in the lineup. Someone else would have batted 9th, true, but they still would have driven in Buxton and Keaschall.
  4. DJL44
    This year felt like he hit his peak upside. I expect a Joe Crede level career.
  5. DJL44
    So you think he’s dumb. Maybe
  6. DJL44
    Jeffers, Caratini, Larnach, Roden, Lee, Clemens
  7. DJL44
    Assuming an average hitter in place of Bell gives us 78 RBI instead. That means Bell produced an extra 18 RBI compared to an average batter. Of course, if Bell doesn’t drive in those runners and doesn’t make the 3rd out, the next batter would have had a chance for the RBI, and we can assume they drive in 15%, which negates roughly 3 of those extra RBI. That means Bell drove in 15 more runs than an average batter in his situation. He is also really slow, so he is scoring runs at a less than average clip. He scores a -3 Rbaser, Subtract those from the total. That means his -1.4 WAA is pessimistic when you consider the actual luck he had driving in runners. Add back those extra 12 runs and he’s a -0.2 WAA player. A C- might be a little harsh. I’m willing to give him a solid C. The Twins probably finish 75-87 without him.
  8. DJL44
    I would say Roden is better than Jenkins right now, but I also think he won’t be able to say that by May of next season. I am less optimistic about Emmanuel Rodriguez. It will be hard for him to adjust his batting approach. I don’t think he is ready for a full time role in the lineup but his glove should get him playing time in late innings.
  9. DJL44
    The production was below league average, -1.4 WAA according to baseball reference.
  10. DJL44
    The 96 RBI are mostly due to batting 4th every day. He stayed healthy and had a lot of players on base ahead of him (which is where the credit should go). Keaschall and Buxton drove the offense, not Bell.
  11. DJL44
    Who is the “young man”? Tom Kelly is 76 and LaTroy Hawkins is 53.
  12. DJL44
    Except he’s a C- level player. They paid for C- production and he gave them what they paid for.
  13. DJL44
    Maki turned Gomez into a good MLB reliever and kept Prielipp healthy for a whole season. The “bad pitching” was mostly bad defense coupled with a lack of investment in the bullpen. Maki did a fine job. He will find another job quickly.
  14. DJL44
    I am guessing Shelton wants Oscar Marin as his pitching coach.
  15. DJL44
    I’m not worried. He wouldn’t stick.
  16. DJL44
    Berrios could do it if he pitches until Verlander’s age. So could Sonny Gray. Logan Gilbert might surprise and last until age 40. Aaron Nola probably has the best odds with 1891 IP at age 33. MLB expansion is necessary to produce more 3000 IP guys. That and no work stoppages or pandemics.
  17. DJL44
    I hate that you can’t even make plans to watch games. The game might be over the air or it might be streaming or it might just be on cable. We won’t tell you until just before the game starts.
  18. DJL44
    Clemens isn’t strictly a second baseman. He allows the Twins to add the best player they can find. They can move Clemens around to fill the other slots.
  19. DJL44
    I wouldn’t worry about numbering starters. Teams need at least 8 starters to get through a season. Health and effectiveness will decide who gets the most innings.
  20. DJL44
    Trading away the players wasn’t the big issue. Refusing to sign a single decent free agent relief pitcher helped sink the 2026 season. This analysis assumes the Twins are prohibited from improving the team in free agency and can only use the draft and trades to obtain players.
  21. DJL44
    Taj Bradley is team MVP.
  22. DJL44
    There is very little difference between pick 7 and pick 11 in the MLB draft. One you are out of the top 3 it becomes a crapshoot.
  23. DJL44
    Kremer ends up with the 4th highest WAR of all pitchers on the team this season.
  24. DJL44
    WAR overrates relievers by including a leverage index to their innings. If the Twins had kept both, they would have had to choose which one received the leverage opportunities. Combined they would have only been able to produce 5 WAR. Then you need to subtract the 1 WAR contribution by Rojas and Roden. That could have given them a solid 80-win season while finishing out of the playoffs in 3rd place. Is that the goal?
  25. DJL44
    I think that is mainly due to Vegas expecting a team in the Twins situation to sell at the deadline.
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