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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    They will be if they blow the whole budget on Bednar.
  2. DJL44
    Clemens will be in the lineup every day
  3. DJL44
    1) Extensions for Keaschall, Bradley, Jenkins and Culpepper. 2) Sign a free agent second baseman (Arraez, Chisholm or Lowe) 3) Acquire a solid defensive catcher 4) Spend the rest on the bullpen (two or three pitchers) They would probably have $10-15M left to spend on those two or three relievers.
  4. DJL44
    Adding Bednar might get them to the 80 win threshold next season. They have 99 problems and a closer is only one of them.
  5. DJL44
    65 runs scored for Buxton, only 78 for Bell even though Bell had 223 more plate appearances. Buxton scored over half the time he was on base. All Bell had to do was single and Buxton can score from first base.
  6. DJL44
    You can’t drive in the lead off hitter from the #7 spot in the lineup.
  7. DJL44
    The only thing Lewis passes is the eye test. He’s a good athlete who makes the plays on defense and hits bombs when he connects. That’s why he keeps getting more opportunities.
  8. DJL44
    Coaching Georgia to 3rd place in the College World Series
  9. DJL44
    Team FIP is 4.23 and league average is 4.18. The pitching staff was a C grade overall. The defense was a solid D-.
  10. DJL44
    The best case scenario for the Twins is if Jeffers turns down the QO and signs elsewhere for $50M or higher. They can spend the money more wisely elsewhere.
  11. DJL44
    You seem unfamiliar with how a long tail in a distribution can skew the mean.
  12. DJL44
    Shelton’s old pitching coach is currently the bullpen coach for the Reds.
  13. DJL44
    There’s the dozen pitchers with D and F grades that you’re ignoring. They pitched too. Plus, the defense cost them a half a run in ERA this year.
  14. DJL44
    Any one of those players could have batted in Bell’s spot in the lineup. Someone else would have batted 9th, true, but they still would have driven in Buxton and Keaschall.
  15. DJL44
    This year felt like he hit his peak upside. I expect a Joe Crede level career.
  16. DJL44
    So you think he’s dumb. Maybe
  17. DJL44
    Jeffers, Caratini, Larnach, Roden, Lee, Clemens
  18. DJL44
    Assuming an average hitter in place of Bell gives us 78 RBI instead. That means Bell produced an extra 18 RBI compared to an average batter. Of course, if Bell doesn’t drive in those runners and doesn’t make the 3rd out, the next batter would have had a chance for the RBI, and we can assume they drive in 15%, which negates roughly 3 of those extra RBI. That means Bell drove in 15 more runs than an average batter in his situation. He is also really slow, so he is scoring runs at a less than average clip. He scores a -3 Rbaser, Subtract those from the total. That means his -1.4 WAA is pessimistic when you consider the actual luck he had driving in runners. Add back those extra 12 runs and he’s a -0.2 WAA player. A C- might be a little harsh. I’m willing to give him a solid C. The Twins probably finish 75-87 without him.
  19. DJL44
    I would say Roden is better than Jenkins right now, but I also think he won’t be able to say that by May of next season. I am less optimistic about Emmanuel Rodriguez. It will be hard for him to adjust his batting approach. I don’t think he is ready for a full time role in the lineup but his glove should get him playing time in late innings.
  20. DJL44
    The production was below league average, -1.4 WAA according to baseball reference.
  21. DJL44
    The 96 RBI are mostly due to batting 4th every day. He stayed healthy and had a lot of players on base ahead of him (which is where the credit should go). Keaschall and Buxton drove the offense, not Bell.
  22. DJL44
    Who is the “young man”? Tom Kelly is 76 and LaTroy Hawkins is 53.
  23. DJL44
    Except he’s a C- level player. They paid for C- production and he gave them what they paid for.
  24. DJL44
    Maki turned Gomez into a good MLB reliever and kept Prielipp healthy for a whole season. The “bad pitching” was mostly bad defense coupled with a lack of investment in the bullpen. Maki did a fine job. He will find another job quickly.
  25. DJL44
    I am guessing Shelton wants Oscar Marin as his pitching coach.
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