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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. The roster feels much more like a collection of undervalued “assets” than a baseball team. Why does a team with a $100M payroll need a $5M backup DH?
  2. Caratini is another bat-first “value” signing. He will be the starting catcher when Jeffers is traded at the deadline. Crazy how much they spent on Caratini and Bell and they still don’t have a first baseman.
  3. Lack of understanding of the leaguewide value of defense and speed. Obsession with "value" and "being competitive" rather than trying to build a contending team. Poor use of limited resources when spending on the roster.
  4. The Twins have stated they think Keaschall is a future All-Star but they haven't tried to lock him up. They didn't extend Jeffers when it was an obvious decision. I have no confidence in this front office's ability to do anything except watch the waiver wire to "upgrade the floor".
  5. Ridiculous conditions for a game. When Royce Lewis looked up to find a pop up and saw only the rain pouring into his eyes they should have suspended the game. I am shocked there were no injuries. Lousy night for everyone, including the Kansas City fans who deserved a better experience for their ticket price.
  6. That’s true of almost every major league player. In high school they pitched and played SS, CF or C.
  7. If they already feel that Lee can’t beat out Tristan Gray they need to option him to the minors and either call up Culpepper or make a trade for a SS. Tristan Gray is a white flag of surrender.
  8. Shelton thinks it is better to play Larnach and Martin as a platoon in LF and Clemens and Caratini as a platoon at 1B.
  9. And that is probably the best choice defensively. A lousy 1B hurts the defense more than a lousy LF because 1B gets 4x more chances than LF.
  10. The bat they added is Bell. They added a DH when they needed a first baseman. They already had a DH.
  11. It is going to take a little while for the players to learn when to challenge. Can we be done with batting Kody Clemens in the lead off spot?
  12. It was clear that the game would be decided by the bullpens. Are you confident the Twins bullpen can protect a one run lead for 4+ innings?
  13. I misread the box score, but I’m still not willing to leap to the conclusion that Topa is hot garbage and doesn’t deserve an MLB job based on what happened yesterday. Spring training ERA is mostly useless as well. If they do cut Topa, the next man up is quite likely to put up an ERA over 5. Be careful what you wish for. You might get it.
  14. The situations yesterday were pretty typical so knowing the base rate is actually really useful. The pitcher wasn’t wild. The batters weren’t so bad that bunting makes sense. The weather wasn’t a factor.
  15. Baltimore’s “ace” is not anything special. Kudos to you for knowing in advance that the bats would be “cold”. The rest of us only found that out after the fact. Your ability to predict the future is remarkable. Play your favorite lottery numbers now before that wears off.
  16. Run expectancy Runners on 1st and 2nd and 0 out = 1.55 Runners on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out = 1.41 https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-run-expectancy-matrix-reloaded-for-the-2020s/
  17. Topa gave up one run because his outfielder threw to the wrong base. The game wasn’t tied, they were losing 1-0 at the time. If fans freak out every time a relief pitcher gives up a run it will be a long season.
  18. Leo Jimenez is roughly the same age but has hit better than Lee in the majors. He just got DFA by the Blue Jays.
  19. If you break down the players who are OFF the 26-man roster you have: 8 pitchers 4 outfielders (Rodriguez, Roden, Mendez, Gonzalez) Wagaman and Kreidler 0 catchers If Lee or Gray gets hurt, they will promote Kreidler. If a different infielder gets hurt, they will promote Wagaman. If a catcher goes on the 10-day IL, they need to release a player. I expect to see a lot of Wagaman this season and very little of Gonzalez. Fedko and Rosario will struggle to get consistent playing time in AAA.
  20. They have 10 outfielders on the 40 man roster and two more in AAA who could play in MLB this season (Fedko and Jenkins). Nobody can afford to devote that much of the active roster to outfielders. They won’t need that much depth. They have MLB ready talent sitting in AAA, some of it more talented than what they have in MLB, burning options while their development stagnates. That’s not good asset management. Paying Larnach $5M to be redundant is bad asset management. There is little information they will learn in April and May that they didn’t already know about the MLB veterans. There is no process to play out. We will continue to watch marginal veterans no other teams want get playing time while the rookies waste time in St Paul.
  21. I hope Jackson makes it through waivers. It will be useful to have him when they trade Jeffers.
  22. Toronto was in the World Series with George Springer, Daulton Varsho, Davis Schneider and Nathan Lukes on the depth chart ahead of Roden. It is a little different.
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