They're artificially restricting supply before the biggest shopping day of the year. They also need to clear out a lot of Kasota Gold inventory. I guarantee you will be able to purchase a new jersey by Spring Training.
He's already controlled for 3 more years through arbitration. The reason to do an extension is to buy out a free agent year or two. That would mean a 4 or 5 year contract and/or some sort of team options.
I was trying to figure out a comp for Arraez. There are so few players like Arraez but John Kruk feels like a good comparable. Kruk had high batting averages, modest power, bad knees and was a short first baseman. He managed to play to age 34. I don't see a lot of risk locking up Arraez until age 30.
The Twins will lose leverage every season after this one. It's a lot easier to say "no" to an extension when you have $7M in your pocket than when you only have $2M.
5 years, $50M could be enough to get him to sign. His arbitration awards could go $5M/$10M/$15M - that's 3/$20M so you would be tacking on 2 years $30M. [Edit, That's actually 3 years $30M, 2 more years at $20M seems light] His lack of power and bad knees are going to keep him from getting paid silly money as a free agent.
The Twins were able to get Polanco and Kepler to sign for a lot less than I expected.
Athletic has a writeup on Julien. I'm not a subscriber so I can't see it.
Ten Arizona Fall League prospects scouts liked most, plus 5 who left mixed impressions - The Athletic
Maeda is dirt cheap. If he bounces back to 2020 form he will be in demand. Mahle was in demand at the previous trade deadline. Thielbar and Lopez will be easy to move.
Gray, Mahle, Maeda and Pagan are all on expiring contracts. Kepler, Thielbar, Lopez, Farmer and Polanco would be veteran trade bait. If this team is below .500 at the deadline I expect them to move nearly all of those veterans.
They still need another player who can play SS on the roster. Right now if Farmer gets hurt in spring training the opening day SS is probably Austin Martin. At that point you start the process of selling veteran players.
I disagree with pursuing Iglesias, I see him and Farmer as redundant. Most AAA backups are going to be worse than just playing Nick Gordon there. They need to find someone better than Farmer through free agency or by trade. If they miss out on the big 4 they need to be ready to trade for a SS replaced by the big 4.
Arraez is the only player on this list they should pursue a long-term contract with. Even then I think I'd do a Brian Dozier type deal that only buys out a year or two after arbitration.
He should get a Qualifying Offer of around $20M if he finishes the season healthy. That's not too much to pay for one season.
There is little incentive for the Twins to give him an extension right now or for Gray to accept. That decision will happen in the next offseason.
I agree that he will adjust but I'm not sure he ever gets back to the performance we saw in July. They know what he likes to hit and they aren't going to give it to him. If he can get back to an 800 OPS he should be a useful player.
They were better off playing Urshela at 3B last year but he's gone now so that's not an option.
Assuming they don't add a different player for third I would lean toward playing Arraez at 3B. He's a much better defender than Miranda so it makes sense to give him the more difficult defensive position.
#15 for Fangraphs. The description I saw said average fastball, good curve, minus changeup. If his changeup has improved his prospect stock would also rise.
Not sure which of Arraez and Miranda gets 3B, the other will get 1B.
I liked Urshela and I think they probably could have received just as much at the deadline. A little disappointed in this trade.