Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

DJL44

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    11,016

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    74

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    It's a contract for $750k. That doesn't prevent the Twins from adding someone else later and putting Garlick on waivers.
  2. DJL44
    fWAR works fine. WPA measures context, not performance.
  3. DJL44
    I'm going to guess the Twins are willing to take $100k for Helman whether or not it is in the Rule 5 draft.
  4. DJL44
    I think Urbina has the ceiling of a starter but I also think he's low risk for a team to stash all year given how few position players are on a team's bench.
  5. DJL44
    I would rather see the Twins sign a free agent lefthanded pitcher and put him on the roster instead of adding Headrick. I think that will help the team more over the next couple seasons.
  6. DJL44
    I agree with just Julien and Canterino. Is Headrick more useful to have on the roster than Danny Couloumbe?
  7. DJL44
    I think it's low class to pay a major league pitching coach less than he can make working at a college.
  8. DJL44
    Blayne Enlow is likely to end up in the bullpen. Heck, Louie Varland might contribute more as a reliever than as a starter before his big league career is over.
  9. DJL44
    For one, the old arbitration was already based on statistical data - just not as good at determining value as WAR. For another, the owners and players agreed on this new system together, nobody from Fangraphs or Baseball Reference had any say whatsoever in those negotiations.
  10. DJL44
    Disagree completely with this. WPA is a junk stat.
  11. DJL44
    The differences in WAR are philosophical. Everyone mostly agrees on offensive value. Replacement value can be calculated in different ways. Pitching value can start from runs allowed (bWAR) or from xFIP (fWAR). Defensive value has several systems to choose from. I'm actually surprised the players didn't suggest their own WAR system, considering it determines their pay.
  12. DJL44
  13. DJL44
    Larnach and Winder both graduated from prospect status.
  14. DJL44
    FTFY
  15. DJL44
    He's 26 and has a nagging shoulder injury. I think it's time to pivot.
  16. DJL44
    I think Winder could be quite successful in the bullpen. I think he was forced into starting because they didn't have enough starters to cover the innings they needed to cover.
  17. DJL44
    Kershaw and Verlander aren't "lights out" in the playoffs and they're two of the best pitchers of this generation.
  18. DJL44
    If Megill gets bumped to AAA to start the season that will be a good sign.
  19. DJL44
    Fangraphs expert estimates 10 years $300M. Crowdsource is 8 years $256M 2023 Top 50 Free Agents | FanGraphs Baseball The Twins should be in on the 8 year contract but not on the 10 year contract. I don't want the 2 years $54M for years 9 and 10.
  20. DJL44
    Don't be surprised if you see free agent prices rise dramatically this offseason. There are a lot of teams with money to spend and lots of certainty due to the signed CBA. The Edwin Diaz contract (5 years, $102M for a reliever) is just the start.
  21. DJL44
    Is this the Charley Walters strategy?
  22. DJL44
    2020 was a 60 game season. Perhaps you were unaware but there was a global pandemic in 2020 that shortened the season. 43 games played is a full season, minus one stint on the 10 day IL. He also played in all 7 playoff games for the Yankees that season.
  23. DJL44
    His age is correct but the rest of that is false. Urshela was the starting 3B for the Yankees 2019-21. In those seasons he had OPS+ of 133, 137 and 91. 2021 was a down year but he bounced back nicely in 2022 at 121 OPS+ which is right in line with his average production over the last 4 years. A simple Marcel projection for 2023 would have him basically repeating 2022.
  24. DJL44
    I can play the selective endpoints game too. Last 28 games Miranda .250/.318/.350 Urshela .381/.451/.485 Arraez .329/.365/.405 Miranda had a hot June and July, the league adjusted to him and he went cold. We will see if he can make the next adjustment. Urshela didn't really do anything out of the ordinary last season. He should be able to repeat. I hope Miranda out-hits him because considering his lousy fielding he will need to if he wants to contribute.
  25. DJL44
    They do if they don't have a place for them in the field. FWIW both Arraez and Urshela not only field better, they also hit better than Miranda did last year. If you can't hit or field better than the competition you aren't going to win the starting spot.
×
×
  • Create New...