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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    This is where I am. Plus, I expect Max can play nearly every day and I don't think Polanco can be healthy for more than half a season anymore.
  2. DJL44
    Max isn't getting a QO.
  3. DJL44
    I think his value at next year's deadline will be just about equal to what it is now.
  4. DJL44
    Kepler would be a great trade chit for a rebuilding Twins team but they should plan on winning the Central in 2024. Nick Gordon is barely worth a roster spot, not a real reason to trade your starting RF.
  5. DJL44
    Then he's not the next Pablo Lopez or Sonny Gray.
  6. DJL44
    If nothing else, the Twins should throw in a decent bid to drive up the price for the Tigers
  7. DJL44
    If they can get a #2 starter for a corner outfield bat they should make that deal every day. It's pretty easy to find a halfway decent bat in free agency for a reasonable price. It's nearly impossible to find a #2 starter for less than $25M a season.
  8. DJL44
    To me that looks like it is clear they were trying to get him as many reps at 2B in the minor leagues as possible so he could develop there as a fielder. I have been critical of the Twins for pushing players past their ideal position on the defensive spectrum and sticking with it way too long (Austin Martin is not a SS). In this instance they were able to get an adequate 2B by playing Julien there rather than moving him to 1B exclusively. Now the question of how to resolve the conflict of having two starting 2B comes into focus. In order to put both Polanco and Julien in the lineup every day one of them has to move to a different position or to a different team.
  9. DJL44
    Would rather get Trent Grisham from the cost cutting Padres. I think they still have a chance at Kiermaier, I'm not sure how much demand there will be for him in free agency. There aren't a lot of teams looking for a CF.
  10. DJL44
    You probably don't want to look at Kirilloff's numbers for the past 3 years.
  11. DJL44
    It's not a terrible idea. The Twins could use Polanco until Kirilloff is healthy or Brooks Lee is ready in the minors. Polanco's trade value will be nearly the same at the deadline next year as it is this offseason (assuming he's healthy at the trade deadline). More importantly moving either Julien or Polanco to 1B gets a bat into the lineup that is better than Kirilloff. Still, it probably makes more sense to trade Polanco for a 1B than it does to move him there while he can still play 2B.
  12. DJL44
    I think they could also trade him for some other team's overpriced veteran.
  13. DJL44
    United Properties redeveloped the Ford Center right next to Target Field. That's a Pohlad company. They also developed the RBC Gateway in the North Loop neighborhood. If the Twins get a loan I would be shocked if they didn't get financing from Northmarq or a similar Pohlad company. They would actually be pretty stupid not to funnel money to other companies by taking out loans and paying interest to themselves.
  14. DJL44
    Stole this from elsewhere on the internet
  15. DJL44
    I'm not certain but the inheritance in 2010 might have allowed them to claim depreciation on the team again. The Pohlads nearly ended up in court with the IRS over how they valued the Twins. Pohlad estate settles with IRS over disputed $250M tax claim - Bring Me The News Professional sports teams are really good tax shelters.
  16. DJL44
    Corbin Carroll was not 0 for the playoffs like Wallner. Wallner would have had more plate appearances but he was A) hitting lousy and B) replaced for defensive purposes. It's not good when your big bats get out-hit by Willi Castro. I expect Wallner to learn from this and hopefully improve but I doubt he was happy with his performance.
  17. DJL44
    Kepler wasn't great but at least he had a couple doubles. Jose Abreu and Yordan Alvarez of Houston show what an advantage it can be to have a big bat available.
  18. DJL44
    Right, but Wallner and Kirilloff aren't in the lineup for their defense like Taylor and Jeffers. LF and 1B need to produce offensively if the team is going to win in the playoffs.
  19. DJL44
    The Roster Depreciation Allowance: How Major League Baseball Teams Turn Profits Into Losses – Society for American Baseball Research (sabr.org) IRS provides safe harbor for professional sports teams trading personnel contracts and draft picks (thetaxadviser.com)
  20. DJL44
    And then he went 0 for 8 in the playoffs with 3 walks, 1 HBP and 5 strikeouts. How he did in September doesn't really matter when it comes to beating the Astros.
  21. DJL44
    That depreciation line is such a weird thing for baseball. They count player salaries in the baseball operating costs column and then get to double count them by depreciating them as assets. That accounting loophole is enough to push the team into a paper loss. No other business I know of gets to depreciate its employees. SG&A looks like $120M a year which is mostly executive salaries.
  22. DJL44
    I wonder how profitable the All-Star game will be. It is inevitable that they award one to Las Vegas.
  23. DJL44
    I don't either, but they have the conundrum that if they are able to fully exploit this market they'll be paying into revenue sharing rather than receiving it. The CBA discourages the Twins from maximizing revenue through subsidies and draft picks. Do they want to earn a few million dollars more each season or get a free 2nd round draft pick and more international bonus money? I'm hopeful the trends in television contracts lead to sharing ALL broadcast and streaming dollars into the central pool (like the NFL) and ending (or limiting) revenue sharing of locally generated revenue like ticket sales and concessions. That incentivizes MLB to get the best media deal they can get for all teams and gives them more bargaining power. It would incentivize the Twins to put teams on the field that attract fan interest. If they want to attract fans by winning or by copying the Saints formula that is up to the Twins. BTW - this source shows a 0.58 correlation between payroll and winning The MLB Has a Competitive Balance Issue, and It’s Related to Money and Payroll Inequalities - The Georgetown Voice another good article MLB’s revenue sharing problem, and how to solve it - Bless You Boys
  24. DJL44
    Correa was great in the postseason, not sure how you could ask more from him. I agree that Buxton might have helped but they got to the playoffs without him. They needed more offense from 1B than an injured Kirilloff and more from LF than an overwhelmed Wallner.
  25. DJL44
    Last year's team was .500 in the postseason and they beat the heck out of Texas in September. They weren't that far off, one or two players away.
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