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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Seeing how the NFL, NBA and NHL all have salary caps that restrict the players from earning what they would be worth in a free market and none of them have lower ticket prices, reduced parking fees or affordable concessions I'm going to have to say you're utterly and completely wrong.
  2. DJL44
    Absolutely Lambeau Field sales tax still pays dividends for Packers, community 20 years later (greenbaypressgazette.com)
  3. DJL44
    Yes. Bill Freehan should be in, too. I'm definitely more of the "new school" voter but I think catchers are quite underrepresented in Cooperstown. I think they set the bar for catchers at about the right level in the 1940s when they elected Roger Bresnahan. If you're as good as Bresnahan you should be in.
  4. DJL44
    He's also a really nice guy, which has become more important to Hall of Fame voters. Especially for Era Committee voting they've been overlooking better players to select people they would rather spend time with at induction ceremonies. Mauer is like the opposite of Curt Schilling, for example.
  5. DJL44
    CBA would change its meaning from Collective Bargaining Agreement to Communist Baseball Association. Publicly owned teams would mean extorting MORE money from the public, not less. You're really not going to like the graph of CEO pay versus wage earners.
  6. DJL44
    I don't understand this. That would mean they made a trade for a good pitcher and got unlucky with health. I think it would actually make the front office look better.
  7. DJL44
    The NFL rarely has teams that are actively trying to lose like the Athletics. I'm not sure that's really a parity issue. It's more of how the rewards are structured. In the NFL teams have to try to win to sell out the stadium. In MLB the teams get so much shared revenue that the easy path to profits is minimizing payroll as much as possible. I don't think that gets solved without changing the incentives. You could force a minimum payroll and the Athletics would become the dumping ground for overpaid veterans as teams pay them to take on their bad contracts. You would see trades involving players like Stephen Strasburg to circumvent the intent of the rule. The NFL has a salary cap of $225M and a floor of $200M. They also have an $750k minimum salary and 53 players on the roster. To make MLB equivalent they would have to make the minimum salary $1.5M just due to the smaller roster size. In all it looks like MLB players are getting a much better deal. The NFL has revenue of $18.5B and the players get $4.75B for 26%. MLB has $10.5B in revenue has and the players are getting $3.8B in salary or 36%. This is evidence that MLB has a much stronger union than the NFL. If the NFLPA did as well representing their members every player would get a 40% raise. Instead they have a salary cap structure that is funneling billions to the owners as the players risk injuries that can cripple them for life.
  8. DJL44
    And the Diamondbacks were awful very recently
  9. DJL44
    The alternative is the money goes to multibillion dollar media companies and the billionaire owners of MLB. I'd rather the money goes to the players. At least they have an elite skill. The entertainment industry makes money by capturing your attention and selling it to advertisers. You are the real product here.
  10. DJL44
    2 WAR. He's being paid like a 2 WAR player so success for the Twins is Buxton providing 2 or more WAR to the team.
  11. DJL44
    The money paid out to players as a percentage of revenue declined over the previous CBA (30% increase in revenue, 6% drop in payroll: see MLB’s revenue sharing problem, and how to solve it - Bless You Boys). That is why the MLBPA pushed for a higher luxury tax limit. And it turns out they were right - the only way to get more money out of the owners was to let the large market clubs spend money. Revenue sharing gives small market teams less incentive to win because spending money to create a winning team only decreases their profit. A $1M minimum salary is long overdue. These players are putting on a 3 hour prime-time television program 162 nights a year. Actors would be paid at least $1M for that. That puts things in perspective - it's cheaper to hire actual baseball players to play in MLB than it would be to hire actors for a fictional baseball program that aired 3 hours daily, 162 nights a year.
  12. DJL44
    Simple, but wrong. The worst baseball teams generally win 40% of their games and the best ones 60%. The NFL has a much wider spread of outcomes. The Panthers have a .143 winning percentage - that would never happen in baseball. The worst WP% over the last decade in baseball is .450 (Rockies and Royals) and in the NFL is .397 (Commanders). Teams are more likely to make the playoffs in the NFL but that's because the NFL has a lot more playoff spots, to the point where teams with losing records make the playoffs. Finally, you can't ride one player to success in MLB. In the NFL you can just hire Tom Brady and make the Super Bowl. Well run small market teams routinely make it to the playoffs in baseball (see Tampa and St Louis). In the past 10 years Arizona, Kansas City, Cleveland and Tampa have all made it to the World Series. In the past 20 seasons the Yankees have only won it all once. There are some small market teams that really don't have a chance but mostly because their owners are not trying to win baseball games.
  13. DJL44
    Paige did have very large hands, which helped him spin the ball. Young Satchel Paige was clearly one of the best pitchers ever, though I have trouble believing nobody could ever duplicate his results. Old Satchel Paige was still a remarkably good pitcher for his age but probably wouldn't be able to pitch in today's MLB.
  14. DJL44
    Just based on results Paige might not even be the greatest Negro League pitcher ever (Joe Williams has a very strong argument). The Negro Leagues were a breaking ball (and spitball) league. There were very few pitchers with a great fastball and they all show up in the stats clearly ahead of their peers. Paige was amazing at his peak because of his dominant fastball. He was also injured in 1938 (his age 31 season) and had to completely re-invent himself as a pitcher. That's where all the offspeed pitches came from. Based on radar gun readings, spin rates and strikeout rates we are currently seeing the best pitching in the history of MLB. League average is better than Paige was in his MLB career.
  15. DJL44
    Knuckle ball pitchers aren't known for their strikeouts. They're known for inducing weak contact. There are dozens of Satchel Paige quality pitchers in any given season but very few with Satchel Paige longevity. Greinke might be the closest equivalent. I do think DiMaggio would have had more strikeouts if they hadn't banned Paige from pitching against him for most of his career.
  16. DJL44
    Tris Speaker Stats, Height, Weight, Position, Rookie Status & More | Baseball-Reference.com
  17. DJL44
    That's how many teams you would need if you ever want to see the Gophers make the playoffs. Even that might not be enough. The NCAA basketball tournament picks 68 teams and the Gophers routinely miss that playoff.
  18. DJL44
    Random thoughts Every one of these deals over the luxury tax increases the amount of money the Dodgers pay out to the rest of the league. The Twins are going to have a higher baseline payout that will more than make up for any drop in local TV revenue. All this spending by the Dodgers and I still think I like the Braves as the favorite in 2024. One thing interesting about this deal - Yamamoto becomes the favorite for Rookie of the Year and that will earn the Dodgers a draft pick bonus in 2025. There is probably at least one entire MLB team worth of talent remaining in Japan.
  19. DJL44
    One thing to remember about Julien's approach is he knows what pitches he can hit. He can't hit the ball pitched inside and off the plate worth a damn and knows he's better off taking that pitch. That led to several strikeouts looking when he didn't get the call from the umpire but the alternative was probably a strikeout swinging at a borderline pitch.
  20. DJL44
    So you want to emphasize changeups instead of sliders? Last season was one of the best Twins pitching staffs I've ever seen but I guess they could throw out what is working and try something else.
  21. DJL44
    He won't be a rookie next season which should help him get better calls from the umpires.
  22. DJL44
    You must have been thrilled watching Carlos Correa ground into double plays last summer.
  23. DJL44
    That is not even close to the same MLB. DiMaggio routinely faced pitchers throwing fastballs in the upper 80s and nobody had a slider above 90MPH.
  24. DJL44
    Yes. The Twins margin for error is very small because they refuse to spend any money on free agency.
  25. DJL44
    I'm all for blaming Calvin Griffith for ruining the relationship with the best player to ever wear a Twins uniform, then being forced to trade him for not much. I don't think that's something to ignore.
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