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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    I still want Brandon Belt
  2. DJL44
    I'm pretty sure Willi Castro would be a better fielding 1B than Santana but 1B is not a glove-first position, it's a bat-first position.
  3. DJL44
    Doncon is basically equal to Miller as a prospect. Miller has a platinum glove and a lead bat.
  4. DJL44
    They're not going to use Keirsey as a RH platoon bat because he isn't one. They also need to stay with Martin long enough that he can learn a little on the job. You can't give a rookie two weeks, demote him for a different rookie who gets two weeks and repeat ad nauseum. Think of how much Julien improved over the course of the season last year. I don't think that would have been the case if they had demoted him whenever he had a bad game. I agree that Martin hasn't been good, but he also hasn't been that bad and he's not the worst performing OF on the roster.
  5. DJL44
    Keirsey could be a pretty good guy to have as a backup to Buxton. When Buxton is healthy Keirsey can play for the Saints and when Buxton is on the injured list Keirsey can play CF for the Twins. Handedness doesn't matter in that situation so much and Keirsey is the strong side of a platoon since he bats LH. Keirsey has 3 years worth of options remaining if the Twins want to use him that way for the next few seasons. I don't think this has much to do with Margot since they aren't using him in CF anyway. They aren't going to bring up Keirsey to play corner OF with Larnach, Kepler, Kirilloff, Castro, Martin and Wallner ahead of him on the depth chart.
  6. DJL44
    The unusual thing about the bullpen is how ineffective they all were. It's hard for that many people in a row to have a bad day.
  7. DJL44
    You shouldn't care about WPA. It completely ignores defense and assigns all of that value to the pitcher. It is a bad accounting system.
  8. DJL44
    It has to be hard for Varland. As a starter, he's not good enough to make the rotation but he's too valuable as depth to convert him to relief and keep him in the big leagues. I hope they're not wasting his best innings of his career in AAA.
  9. DJL44
    Also wrong here and would love to keep being wrong. Give some credit to Rocco, some teams would have fallen apart with a start like that.
  10. DJL44
    This is the time of year when AAA is mostly has-beens and AA has the real prospects. Injuries have depleted the pitching depth in AAA but teams are hesitant to move the younger guys up as they build up innings. If this is true it's important to take offensive numbers at AAA with a grain of salt. Drop 150 points from the expected OPS in the majors.
  11. DJL44
    Seems an odd question to ask since he's about to have enough innings pitched to leave prospect lists forever.
  12. DJL44
    Not bad for a #4 starter 😜
  13. DJL44
    I like Vazquez. He's still a good defender and clearly worth a major league roster spot. That said, the Twins are not getting $10M worth of value from him.
  14. DJL44
    The drop on offense from Miranda to Farmer has been substantial. There will be maybe one defensive play a game where I'd rather have Farmer but there will be 4 at-bats where I'd rather have Miranda. Jeffers is going to be the DH quite often vs. LHP. If they want Miranda's bat in the lineup he'll need to play the field.
  15. DJL44
    The odds that everyone on the roster is healthy at the same time are vanishingly small.
  16. DJL44
    People talk about Vazquez influence on Jeffers but I wonder about his influence on Pete Maki.
  17. DJL44
    Absolutely
  18. DJL44
    That's fine if you have one game left and you need to choose a pitcher but 4.50 ERA for 600 innings is definitely more valuable than 3.00 ERA for 100 innings if you're trying to play 3 seasons of baseball.
  19. DJL44
    Looking at pitching wins above average Joe Ryan has 1.1 - just slightly above average for 4 seasons. Slightly above average has to equal at least a #3 starter. Your scale does not match up with actual league performance - it would say that 2/3 of starting pitchers are below average.
  20. DJL44
    Like 100%. I agree that producing a steady supply of competent relief pitching is key to competing on a low budget.
  21. DJL44
    The Twins definitely outmanaged the Blue Jays in the first round last year. Not so much against the Astros.
  22. DJL44
    Doncon was an international free agent signing with a $500,000 bonus, so yeah pretty much.
  23. DJL44
    MAT also had more potential for playing time in Pittsburgh. He's a starter there, not a backup.
  24. DJL44
    They have a bunch of bullpen depth. Staumont would be in the majors on some teams.
  25. DJL44
    When Buxton is not on the IL, I would expect Keirsey to head back to AAA. Buxton does tend to spend time on the IL and there is no reason not to replace him with a LH hitter when he is injured.
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