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Major League Ready

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  1. Castro started slow like just about everyone else. However, since the win streak started (4/22) Casro's wRC+ is 143. That's certainly worthy of being a regular starter. It does, however, take away from the team's defensive flexibility. It will work out fine if he plays LF against LHP because Larnach can come in when Farmer goes out and Castro moves to 2B. The weakness is CF when Buxton is out.
  2. They probably make a move that buys them some time. IE. Send Julien or Kirilloff down to reset.
  3. I will be interesting to see if this power surge continues. 8HRs already this year compared to 10 all of last year. 19% K rate which is slightly less than last year so that's good. It will be telling if they move him to AA in the next month or two. Good chance he is ready when Vazquez's contract expires If that happens. Of course, the big question is if his defense is progressing. The stolen base number are a bit concerning.
  4. What are you thinking is behind all the rule changes if not sustaining the sport? I have worked with many very large corporations assessing various forms or organizational change and investment. Most of them emphasize return on investment over the course of an asset life or sustainable profitability. I suppose billionaires could be different than corporations but (just my opinion) I think perception is far different than reality in this case. Greed is best served by maximizing ROI and short-term thinking does not facilitate ROI.
  5. For starters, had they opted for no TV revenue, the decrease in revenue from 2023 would have been over $80M. I know people want to ignore the BAM money but the decrease would have required an even bigger cut. Had they required a MLB TV subscription the loss would have been $60m+ and all of the people watching through current sources would have been forced to pony up for MLB TV and they would be complaining.
  6. How much information do you suppose we have. I am pretty sure we don't have a lot of the information necessary to make a business decision or critique one. We have no idea what's going on behinds the scenes. We don't know what is being planned or what MLB has asked of the twins. We don't know what options were available, the economics of the alternatives or how the contractual / legal issues influenced the decision. We don't know a lot yet assume we know how to run their business better than they do. What if the team or league has a great long-term solution but that solution required a development period that made a current year solution infeasible?
  7. Where do you find tOPS+ by position. That's an interesting stat? I like the idea of Miranda getting DH bats while Jeffers catches more but who is getting cut when Lewis comes back? They would have to cut Margot or Farmer. I wouldn't sweat losing either one but I don't see it happening.
  8. This could be said about every group. The owners, players, Bally's, the carriers, and the fans who could have coverage but are unwilling or perhaps unable to pay the cost required for coverage. All of the outrage is not really that coverage is unavailable, it's that we have to pay to get it. The basic premise is that the owners should not care because they are rich. Hello, how do you suppose they became billionaires. If you expect a billionaire to operate their multi-billion dollar asset as a non-profit hobby you will be disappointed just as you would be disappointed if you expect players making more 10X per year what most fans make in a lifetime. All of this angst is because adults can't accept that MLB is a business. The industry and the options look significantly different next year. I am wondering if Fubo is planning a new offering as we speak. They could offer a package of regional sports and a handful of other channels for $40-50/mo and fill the void while attracting new subscribers. Those new subscribers are good candidates to expand their subscription. It's possible Bally's saw this potential and prohibited it contractually.
  9. Vazquez makes me cringe when he comes up. It would be great if Noah Cardenas takes off. That would tee him up to take over next year. Unfortunately, his offense has dipped with every level he goes up and he is trending downward of late.. They could eat the $10M if they had a good prospect to replace him. I have been expecting a trade that included a catcher for a while now. Of course, they are hard to come by. I was also hoping they traded Polanco for Harry Ford straight up or even added a prospect. That would have been ideal. He won't be ready until next year but it would be light at the end of the tunnel.
  10. My provider engaged in the same fight with Bally's and ended up dropping them. The Twins can't fix the problem between Comcast and Bally's and they can't offer an alternative mid-season. It's pretty simple. Switch providers. You can rectify the situation if you elect to do so.
  11. The decision to make Kepler a QO won't be based on if they are willing to pay him $20M next year. They will make the QO if they believe another team will make an offer he will accept instead of the QO.
  12. Hernandez got $23.5 from the Dodgers after producing 1.8 WAR in 2023 and 2,.9 in 2022. Max produced 2.9 WAR last year. He is on pace for 4 WAR this season. Let's say he produces 3.4 WAR. His previous 2 years is higher and he is trending up where Hernandez was coming off a bad year which is probably why he only got 1 year. If max produces 3+ WAR, there will be better offers than 1 year / $20M. Obviously, that's just my opinion but I believe someone is going to offer at least 2/35M and the qualifying offer will be rejected.
  13. It hasn't been good but neither has Rosario since the 1st half of 2018. He was not good at the end of his tenure here and he certainly was not a solution going forward. So why are you complaining about a bad player not being here. I am very glad we have not had to watch Eddie Rosario take up a roster spot for the last 3+ years. Go ahead and complain about LF production but complaining about Rosario being gone makes absolutely no sense.
  14. I was listening to Grant Paulson this weekend. He was talking about how AAA pitching is weaker this year as measured by Stuff+. Teams are apparently keeping more fringe arms at AAA for depth. Based on conversations he had been having with various team officials around the league, he thought this could result in players being kept at AA longer. He gave the stuff+ stats for AAA but not AA. It sounded like the pitching could be tougher at AA at this point? Anyway, it's a quirky development that might change how prospects are handled.
  15. I would not be so sure. It could be Miranda. They have a lot more INF depth than OF depth. Santana has been good his last 100 ABs so unless they are willing to cut Margot, Miranda is just as likely to go as Larnach.
  16. Why is Keaschall DHing every game? Is he nursing an injury? He has plus speed. Does not make sense they would give up on playing him in the field.
  17. We never replaced Puckett either. What does that have to do with the decision to let him go and would he have contributed since we let him go? Since Rosario left his wRC+ is 89 and it’s 77 this year. He has produced .6 WAR in 3.33 years. He has basically been a replacement level player. He is hitting 177 for the year and has negative WAR. Should regret not having lost a player who has sucked for over 3 years because he has had 2 good weeks? We continue to beat this dead horse because those of you who thought it was a horrible mistake ignore that he has sucked with the exception of a playoff run with the Braves. Why on earth would we want Eddie Rosario. Is it for the below average offense or the bad defense? Rosario only produced over 3 WAR in one year (2018). He was phenomenal the 1st half of 2018 and sucked after July 1st. His wRC+ for the 2nd half of 2018 was 70. His wRC+ since then is 93. That's how long it's been since Eddie Rosario was above average.
  18. These dominant games from SPs (Matthews / Culpepper / Nowlin / Festa and Raya) have been really encouraging. We just might finally produce a couple top of the rotation arms. Lopez, Ryan, and Ober are under team control until 2028 and SWR looking like he will stick as well. We are going to be good for a long time if some of these guys live up to their potential.
  19. Of course not. I am saying expecting ever player on the roster in every year to be an above average MLB player, including bench players is a great goal but a bit unrealistic. Margot should be a decent bench player but he is having a poor year. Lots of free agents perform below expectations. We should not expect to be immune. See Blake Snell / Jordan Montgomery or Carlos Correa last year or Javier Baez or many other examples. We can cut him but doing so without giving him a reasonable chance would not put this organization in a favorable light with future free agents. There are countless example of players starting poorly and having a great 2nd half. I think the rush to treat veteran players as disposable is impulsive and is likely to be resented by existing and would be free agents. They are a tight group that are going to have a very bias view of what's fair and reasonable.
  20. Not just the last three years, he is .687 for his career and the only year he has been under .675 was his 1st year in the league. He is above average against LHP which is only role he has in the playoffs. People keep saying they want a team constructed for a playoff run. There are better ways to build a team If we had the Dodgers budget but that's not the case. Expecting the twins to have bench players that are well above average players is a nice goal but unreasonable when it becomes an expectation. There is some merit in seeing what Keirsey can do. His defense and speed on the basis would be an asset if he can be a league average offensively. That certainly was not the case with Contreras or Stevenson but there is a chance Keirsey's swing holds up better against major league pitching than those two.
  21. The problem is that Margot has been used equally against LHP and RHP this year. Margot had a 665 OPS against LHP last year, 875 in 2022 and 753 in 21. Lewis will be back soon which means Castro will be used primarily in the OF. I guess it comes down to Larnach's turf toe. If Larnach can play the OF, Margot's role could/should be a platoon against LHP. That role would be at least as valuable as having Keirsey share time with Castro / Larnach.
  22. How do you get the most out of platoons if you get rid of all/most of your right-hand hitters? Sounds like your idea for getting the most out of platoons is to not have any. Where Margot is concerned, do you make a decision based on 45 ABs against LHP this year or do you look at career numbers?
  23. Sometime in June .... Lares to Cedar Rapids, Culpepper to Wichita, Ohl to St. Paul. Wichita is going to have one heck of a rotation. Let's hope that translates to STP having one heck of a rotation next year. Eeles to Cedar Rapids, Keaschall / Cespedes and Olivar all look ready for Wichita, and last but not least E-Rod to STP.
  24. I have been a Martin believer, but that belief is fading. He seems destined for a bench role. I would have SWR / Matthews / Culpepper and Keaschall above him. Maybe DeAndre as well.
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