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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    Would you say the Twins are a bullpen arm away from the World series right now? Would you say it easier to find an elite starting pitcher than a reliever? Or an elite position player than elite reliever? Would you rather have Griffen Jax this year and a 4.23 ERA or Danny Coulombe and 2.30 ERA. Relievers that don't cost that much are found every year. Much harder at other spots. Twins can't afford 20M dollar relievers does that mean they have no chance at WS title?
  2. Dman
    They didn't have too, but given all the speculation and before the Correa trade it seemed very likely they would move at least one of them. To both reduce salary and trade from area of strength. They could afford to lose one high leverage arm if keeping Jax and or Varland. Ultimately they traded all three which seems dangerous IMO but here we are.
  3. Dman
    That's a really pessimistic take. This team before the deadline lost 2 out three to the Rockies, Dodgers, Nationals and Red Sox. That was with all those "great" players they got rid of. The team wasn't going anywhere and selling off guys that were gone at years end and some bullpen arms doesn't exactly seem crazy given the team hadn't performed well all year (other than one crazy winning streak that was an outlier). Maybe they win a few more games keeping the band together to the end of the year, but what's the point if they weren't making the playoffs anyway? This was a lottery team no matter what. They were going to trade one of Duran or Jax for sure. Jax had a 4.23 ERA this year. I don't think he was going to help down the stretch and they would have wanted to trade him in the offseason or at the end of 2026 at the latest as he was getting expensive. I hated to see Duran go and I think that is gonna hurt a bit, but hopefully the return makes it worth it. Again if your going to lose a player a bullpen arm seems better than most any other position. Why they Traded rubber armed Varland doesn't make sense to me given the years of control left, but hopefully that lefty is the real deal and makes me forget about it. At any rate bottom line they were in the lottery no matter what they did with a decent shot at a top 8 pick. The way things worked out they managed to get number 3 and a chance to pick an up the middle talent. Hopefully they don't screw it up. If they were going to trade players trading from the pen should hurt less than a starting pitcher or good position player. Hopefully some of the young arms they have step up and help make the pen a strength again.
  4. Dman
    I just don't see them trading Jeffers unless the return is substantial and it seems unlikely the return would be substantial. They made enough trades at the deadline for young arms that they really can't afford to carry anymore of them on the 40 man. Bats in the wings are Rodriguez, Gonazalez, and maybe Culpepper or Jenkins with a crowded 26 man outfield currently. What would they need more than catcher? So why trade a catcher who is currently a good value if they are planning on competing this year? I mean sure if your blowing things up why not get value for everything you can, but that's not what they say they are doing. I feel pretty confident they just hang onto Jeffers at least until the deadline. We'll see how this team looks then.
  5. Dman
    I tend to agree. The Mets just like to lowball teams. I can't see them giving up low cost pitching or anything approaching Ryan's real value. As others have stated teams are loathe to give up their top players. Twins couldn't get traction on Painter for Duran had to Settle for their fourth best prospect and and Abel who was heading down and out of top 100 lists. Mets will likely try and do the same thing. We'll have to wait and see, but I don't see the Mets getting Ryan. Maybe Lopez just because the Twins would be more inclined to shed salary.
  6. Dman
    Jamie thanks for the update! Always like to know where we are picking. Glass half full, in getting a later round comp B pick is we are just closer to our third round pick. Close to picking back to back. I'd love to see the Twins pick top 2 in this draft, but if they fall they fall. It would take some incredibly bad luck for them to pick 8th even 7th seems like a long shot. Still the further they fall the more likely they choose an arm over a bat and there are going to be good players in the top ten of this draft anyway. Looking forward to the board you come up with this year. Thanks for the best Twins draft coverage anywhere!
  7. Dman
    Yeah he was criminally underpaid for his production this year. For Qualified players he was top 9 in OPS. Judge, Ohtani, and Soto make three to four times as much as Buxton. Granted last year was the first time Buxton qualified I believe. Still if Schwarber who is a DH only is making more than Buxton who provides value on the field and on the bases that just seems out of line. IIRC he had stated that he would play for 15M with the no trade clause so if that is broken it would make sense to renegotiate the salary given it is so out of line with his performance when healthy. He still remains an injury risk but even at DH his bat plays. Hopefully he can find a way to get a bit more money if he agrees to move on.
  8. Dman
    Yeah don't know why they would trade him if not getting a top 100 prospect back unless he really, really wants to leave. Also don't forget that they can still get really promising players that are not in the top 100 right now, but could make it there in the future. Younger players and lot's of arms break into the top 100 later rather than sooner. I'd think one top 100 player and some promising young talent could get it done for a guy who stayed healthy all last year and was in the MVP voting. He has a power speed combo that is one of the best in baseball and a contract for All Star caliber play that any team would love. Yeah the injury history is risky, but he seems to have figured out what he needs to do to stay healthy. Personally I hope the Twins don't trade him as he is one of the few players I like to watch hit, run the bases and play the field. Still I get that if the Twins are truly in rebuild mode that it might make sense for both parties to move on. I'll always love Buxton for his loyalty, but the timing for him and where this team is at seems off. Would like to see him go out with a trophy, He gave the Twins everything he could even signing an incentive laden contract to stay. It might be time for Byron to do something for Byron. Whatever he decides I'll be fine with it.
  9. Dman
    The Twins have no Lefty starters so I could see them giving Prielipp more time. I'd think they see how he performs at AAA to start the year and depending on results and MLB team needs make that move later rather than sooner. Raya has seemed destined for the pen for a while. His pitches rate as elite yet he struggles with control and in the end giving up too many hits. The Twins have a lot of righty arms. Raya has a slim build and while they have kept his arm in good shape it just feels like the pen makes too much sense. Hey if he figures things out and becomes a dominant reliever they could always look at him as a starter again if needed.
  10. Dman
    I don't see the Twins making a Rule V pick this year. They have a lot of young talent as is and Rule V players are hard to carry and take up a 40 man spot. I would think any of the players they plan on dropping would be for free agent vets or possibly a waiver claim.
  11. Dman
    Gotta believe Foley isn't ready right now and would be questionable health wise this season. That's the only reason I can see the pitching needy Tigers just letting him go. If its a minor leagure deal to start I would be interested but not sure he would be my gamble on a 40 man spot. Moreta is interesting again why would the Pirates let him go? They need everything especially bullpen arms. Wondering if durability concerns or underlying numbers aren't what they should be.
  12. Dman
    It looks like it was down to Klein and CJ and they chose Klein which kind of made sense as he has been more durable and appears closer to ready to compete at the MLB level this year. Still hate to see CJ out there, but there are only so many young unproven arms you can add in any given year. I tend to agree they could have made room if they really wanted to as Keirsey seems like an easy drop from the 40 man. Still as others have noted Rule V's have to stay rostered all offseason and if they plan to add any free agents at all they are going to need some room to do that. Adding yet another Rule V arm would really put pressure on some of these young guys working out right away. If you are going to lose someone given how stacked they are on arms losing a guy in CJ who is most likely a reliever is probably the way to go. It kind of stinks they need to add Mendez earlier than he looks ready to be added but given his age and abilities I can see why he needed to be added. Rosario and Fedko are interesting players but given how hard it is for bats to translate at the MLB level it feels fairly safe to leave them off. They protected the arms they needed to protect other than maybe CJ so I think they chose well. This roster has a lot of young talent on it. Some of these arms are going to need to perform well right from the start or it could be a rough start to the season again next year. Still you have to be happy to see so many good young arms that need to be protected with another wave likely starting at High A next year. The other nice thing is that as things stand right now there are not many players that will need to be Rule V's next year unless of course the Twins make more trades and change things or add players early.
  13. Dman
    I've waffled back and forth on this one since the end of the season. If they full on sell and get rid of Buxton and Jeffers I'm not sure I can watch that lineup all year. Losing two stud pitchers would hurt too. Granted they pitched without Lopez most of last year as is. I don't know that you need to get rid of every vet on this team to do a rebuild, but I get that guys that have value likely should be traded if you aren't set to compete the next two years. Having a likely big labor dispute makes this even tougher IMO. So yeah half measures might just waste value in the end. This team does have a lot of young talent on it already though. If they trade for even more some of that talent might get away from them. Granted not every prospect makes it so it could in theory work itself out. We saw what the A's have done the last three years or so and they have hit on their draft picks as well as managing to get Rooker's bat going as a cheap acquisition. They look like they just need some arms to better compete and should be in the mix soon. So maybe the Twins do the same and go all in on the young talent. Play two years of ugly ball as that talent develops and hope you found some all star caliber players via those trades and the draft. Going all in on selling is just so hard to watch as a fan. It took the Twins a long time to get anywhere in there last rebuild granted their farm was bad and they didn't have any great players to trade last time and this time the farm is pretty stocked and they have good players to trade as well. So in theory things should happen faster this time. It's a tough call but they might be in the best spot to take that risk and strip it down to bring in a huge wave of young talent and see if they develop enough stars to compete with the big boys. If it fails you might have to deal with a double rebuild. If it works you might have a World Series caliber team.
  14. Dman
    We'll have to see how these guys do next year, but if the Twins have the number 1 or 2 pick I don't see them grabbing an arm. If the Twins fall further back I wouldn't mind seeing them double down on an elite arm. Have to wait and see how things shake out, but those are three nice arms to dream on.
  15. Dman
    Yeah I always have a tendency to over estimate who will be added. Still this is the most players I have seen in quite a while with a case to be added.
  16. Dman
    I am pretty high on MacLeod as well. The only reason he is a non-add for me is he seems more of a crafty lefty and I am not sure how that will translate. Still he could be a pretty good bullpen arm. Can he transition right away I guess is the question. Maybe I am over rating Klein but he seems like he has a bigger fastball and I think that plays better out of the pen. December is coming and then we'll know how the Twins feel about the plethora of arms they have on the bubble.
  17. Dman
    I don't see them adding a Rule V arm this year either. They have a ton of young talent at the AAA\breaking into the majors level as it is and they need some space for some vet arms or bats. There's just so much young talent I can't see them going the Rule V route.
  18. Dman
    Yeah I agree with you. Fedko has enough defensive versatility to play even center and good plate discipline so hopefully not lost at the plate at the MLB level if selected. He showed he has power this year. The only thing working against him is age to some extent. Most rule V picks are younger players unless relief arms. Rosario might be tempting but with little defensive versatility and while not horrible in the K department certainly would be worse at the MLB level and never having played beyond AA he seems like a pretty risky add for another team. I don't see Klein as a starter, but he could be one. He looks like he is on the Varland track to me though. I think he could have big fastball out of the pen. Still they could take their chances and leave him out there. It just seems given they brought in that arm from Philly with worse control problems it would seem a bit odd not to add Klein IMO. Still he is one the fence. I kind of thought Cardenas might get added based on defense and decent bat skills but I guess the bat is too light. At any rate should be and interesting Rule V.
  19. Dman
    Sorry yeah I wrote that poorly. That is what I meant. He got claimed so didn't make it make it back to AAA after being purged from 40 man.
  20. Dman
    I think the board here predicted most all of these roster moves. Some of us were concerned about Lawyerson getting picked off if dropped and it looks like that happened but the Twins have a ton of young arms on the way up so seemed like a worthy gamble to see if they could get him back to AAA. Miranda still might might make it to AAA. I don't know what happened to him, but I couldn't see him staying on the 40 man. Again lot's of young talent coming up and a lot of those can run better than he does and have more position flexibility. The other guys are pretty replaceable so no reason to keep them on there as they might make it through anyway, I liked Hatch and bet he gets picked up. Other than that none of those guys did much to impress. It will be interesting to see how Rule V shakes out. Still not enough room for all the adds I have on my list so it looks like some arms might have to out there and just hope they don't get taken. Hopefully they protect the right players,
  21. Dman
    I had Cholowsky and Emerson as 1 and 2 as well. The thing is we don't know where the Twins will pick just yet and I have this feeling it won't be at number one or two, but we'll see. Not sure that I'd be up for a prep arm this high in the draft. Twins need elite hitters in the worst way and finding an up the middle player would be best as once you move down in the draft it's hard to find those types of players as they are the first to go. If the Twins fell out of the top 5 I could see them going arm but more likely college arm We'll see how Lombard looks this year but betting on guys with swing and miss issues this high in the draft is not really appealing to me. Can't afford to miss if top 5. It's a deep draft which means getting that first pick right is going to be really important.
  22. Dman
    I had no idea DeBarge was that good defensively. If he can get that hit tool going he could be a really valuable weapon all around the field. Congrats on an award that is hard earned and a needed skillset in this system.
  23. Dman
    The pitchers really seemed to like Vasquez back there calling the game. I could see the Twins bringing him back for a lower salary. I like his saavy and defense back there, but am not sure I care too much one way or the other if they bring him back or not. Still I think they might.
  24. Dman
    Yeah I get that, but for not having the "stuff" he sure did better than those with supposedly better stuff. I only watched him twice and unfortunately those were not good games for him. He got hit hard and gave up home run type contact to several batters in a row in one of the games I watched him. Still he was very good early in the year and his over all stats as stated had him at the top of Twins prospects this year. Given what I saw in very small sample size I have trouble seeing him as a starter. Still he's been getting K's and keeping runs off the board for the most part. Seems like something has improved. I guess we'll see what the Twins think. They have a lot of young arms maybe they just take the risk. If I were another team I still think he'd be a guy I'd target just like the Twins targeted the Phillies pitcher although I think Klein has better control than Castellano.
  25. Dman
    I don't completely disagree. There are lot's of guys that throw 94-95 and have good frames. Still I don't think many of them had the season Klein did. For reference just look back at the Twins Daily article for best pitcher in 2025. Klein is number 2 (If not for Dasan HIll he would have been number one). If you are not protecting him why protect Rojas or Morris or Culpepper or Preilipp? He pitched better than all of them. Why would his projection be less than those other arms when he has better stats over all? That's the question I have for those that say he shouldn't be added. He has some warts in his profile as he is primarily a fly ball pitcher and I have noticed the last two seasons when his arms tires later in the year he tends to get pounded. He might not make it as a starter, but could be a good pen arm as a floor. Still there's a lot of potential there. They have developed a guy that wasn't even drafted into one the of the best pitcher's in their system. I don't think they will want to take a chance on Oakland or Tampa turning him into a viable starter via Rule V.
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