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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    Yeah I agree. Fedko would need to "prove" he can crush AAA to be added. That would take at minimum one month of solid production and likely two. 40 man spots are valuable and they already have Roden, Gonzalez and Rodriguez taking up 40 man spots. Most of us felt they kept too many outfielders on the 40 man as is with Larnach being mentioned as movable in the offseason and Outman considered a potential DFA. I'd think the Twins will be prudent and make sure they feel good to great about Fedko before adding him. There is a lot to like about Fedko. He has plenty of power and the walk rate is good with solid K rates at about 20% through his career. There are a fair number of parallels between Fedko and Roden in my opinion. With Roden winning the K rate race at right around 10% instead of 20%. Fedko bats righty though which would help keep things balanced. It could be argued he is no worse than Outman, but I would still take a wait and see approach at this point as he is unlikely to be better than Rodriguez, Gonzalez and ultimately Jenkins so he needs to prove some things first even to be considered for that 4th outfielder spot.
  2. Dman
    I love a batter with a keen eye who can make a pitcher work and get on base. It is fun to watch when he is at the plate. As others have noted not making outs and finding your way to first base is an important skill. Still this game is primarily measured by OPS for good reason. We'll see how things shake out the rest of this year, but he is off to a very good start and if he can be a better than average player anywhere then I'm good with whatever his approach is.
  3. Dman
    Three home runs and a triple in one game for Fedko. What a game. Hopefully he is back on the HR track. If he finds some consistency maybe he could replace Outman? Langenberg continues to impress. He is looking like a legit arm. He has only given up one walk so far this year. 17 K's in just under 12 innings, Just needs to stay consistent to move up.
  4. Dman
    Man the Twins really needed to start hot with the fanbase on the sour side. Now if Atlanta can do us a favor and help us get into a tie for first place in the division that would be even better. Then at least we can say the Twins were in first place at some point this season. It has been a ton of fun watching this team the last week, but it seems like the baseball gods are giving this team a lift. I'm not complaining, but I'm still not a believer just yet. The way Morris came out in his first inning I could see him being a good bullpen arm. We'll see how he does as teams get more info on him, but he has to happy with his debut. Hoping for just as many wins next week.
  5. Dman
    Some players just aren't at their best in cold weather and it looks like St Paul has a lot of them, lol. As mentioned by others I am surprised by the mediocre play of the starters which was supposed to be a strength and most hitters haven't faired well either. I do think the cold plays into it, but for a team that on paper looked like a juggernaut this has been a disappointing start to the season. Nice to see Witchita getting some hits. They don't have a ton of great arms for starters and to have the bats cold as well could make that team tough to watch.
  6. Dman
  7. Dman
    I have been amazed at how well the umpires are calling games these days. Most of the calls I have seen missed have been by the sliver of the baseball. Just no way the human eye can get those calls right all the time IMO. Even some that are just half an inch off can be tough to see with the human eye. It feels like ABS is training the umps to be better. Catchers have the best view for strike and ball calls and even they are wrong at times about calls. I do feel like ABS has widened the zone especially the bottom of the zone. As if changeups and sliders aren't hard enough to battle now low fastballs get called as strikes as well. Still it seems most players have enjoyed that the zone is the zone. I haven't heard many complaints from the players. I think getting just two challenges helps make it so you can't challenge every close call. I like the system as it stands now and the challenges add a new dimension of the game as a check on umpires and the ability to make a wrong call right. It seems to be a rule change players and fans both are on board with and one that I think make the game better.
  8. Dman
    In a world where the only ripple effect would be swapping Correa for Lee then I would say Yes the Twins would be better off. In the reality of the Twins limiting payroll I think it's tougher to say. Correa was a notoriously slow starter in April with the bat. His skills were declining at short. The Twins are in position to get younger so I think they made the right decision trading a very good player away for more roster and financial flexibility. We'll never know now as things are what they are. In a world where the Twins can spend like the Dodgers I would be more upset about it.
  9. Dman
    Great debut by Quick. I assume they build him up at A ball before moving him up. Every hitter was late on his fastball as best I could tell. He is going to need better competition. Fort Meyers has really strong starting pitching. Ellwanger, Moring and Smith all have ERA's of zero right now with good K rates and low WHIP's. Could be several arms in line to move up sometime in May. Dameury Pena is off to a hot start. Last year I was beginning to wonder about his bat. Looks like maybe he has found a way to make better contact? Will have to wait and see. Normally guys get a high OPS using Slugging to get there. Pena has .600 OBP and only .400 slugging. Hard to keep a .500 batting average going with zero K's, but just nice to see him off to a good start. With the high K rate I was already thinking Young was going to be in A ball for while. Then of coarse he goes three for four. I just want to see him make contact and keep those K;s down. He has plenty of power already. Once he masters contact he could be a beast. So here's hoping he keeps those hits coming. Gonna have to keep my eye on Hidalgo again,. I kind of gave up on him after last years results. He has a tendency to give up runs so if he can reign that in his pitches have good movement so he has a chance to make it. Hill really looked rough last night. A solid first inning and then it felt like he couldn't reach back and throw strikes anymore. Was lucky to get as far as he got. Same for Bohorquez. He always seems to run out of gas by the third or fourth inning. Still early in the season so we'll see. Was just hoping for more from both those arms. Kendle is really looking good. The guy is built like tank, runs well and been a really tough out at the plate. Not exactly young at 24, but he looks a bit like a Fedko type player. Lots of good performances last night,
  10. Dman
    Just when I said he couldn't hit he is hitting like crazy tonight. I guess he wanted to shut me up.
  11. Dman
    He looks too slow to the ball in some of those at bats IMO. Man does he have some serious power though. The ball comes off his bat like a rocket. Given what I am seeing it is going to take quite a while to get that bat going. He's looked pretty good at short as well. The arm is strong as advertised. Still I just don't see that hand eye coordination in the batters box that gets him to MLB. He has time to improve, but it looks like a long road to me.
  12. Dman
    I think I'd be pretty disappointed if Quick and Ellwanger weren't at High A sometime in June. I'd probably include Moring and Reitz in there as well. I'm just looking at Gallagher from last year and the Cubs started him at High A. He skipped low A completely and made it to AA in his first pro season and he was a 6th round draft pick. I'm not saying the Twins need to be super aggressive with Quick or Ellwanger, but if they have decent control I don't think the competition at Low A is better than High for their development. I do agree the facilities at Fort Meyers are likely the best in the Twins system and I would keep them there through at least the cold month of April but would expect by mid May to June they get moved up. With Barr, Fang and Kaminska on the 60 day IL hopefully they would be ready to step in around June when those guys move on. So yeah for the college guys that are pitching well I'd move them up as fast as it makes sense. Gallagher made it AA his first full pro season. That is the bar I would be looking for from our top picks. Not saying they have to be pushed to AA, but that if things go well that is where they should be by the end of the year IMO.
  13. Dman
    Ellwanger and Moring have yet to give up a run to start the season and their stats are pretty similar. Moring with the better K rate and Ellwanger with the better ground ball rate. Ellwanger can sling it no doubt about that at 96\97 and looks like a fast mover as long as he keeps the walks under control. I have come away very impressed with Moring. He doesn't throw that hard, at least not yet, but he gets good movement on his pitches and works all over the zone. It is just a few games in and dominating A ball doesn't mean much for these college starters, but he looks like an arm that could be a difference maker. Nice to see Beltre making more contact to start the year. Very small sample, but if he takes off that would really help as the Twins don't have much for high end outfielders in the lower levels.
  14. Dman
    I'm happy with any of Lackey, Emerson or Flora. Lackey would be my first pick as having an arm that could control the running game as well as hit would be a really valuable asset that is incredibly hard to find. He is also athletic enough to play other positions as well. Emerson with nice contact skills and a big body might take a little more time, but looks like a unique talent as well. Feels like the Twins have a fair number of arms in the pipeline but if Flora is a top of the rotation arm sure wouldn't hurt to take the best pitcher in this draft at three. Feels like there should be an elite prospect at three no matter what.
  15. Dman
    Dominant game from Gallagher giving up only one hit. A little lucky as there were some deep fly balls and one really hard hit ball right at someone. Still his bendy stuff and ability to go high and low in the zone make him tough to hit when he is hitting his spots. Langenberg with 6 K's in a little over two innings. He came out really strong, but the stuff wasn't as crisp the more pitches he threw. Might need more time to build up but he looks like a classic relief arm to me. We'll see how things go. Nice to see him getting those K's though. Nice to see Gabby showing some power and helping the Saints grab a much needed win. Hoping more of those AAA bats warm up.
  16. Dman
    I have several thoughts. First the pessimist in me had the Tigers likely sweeping the Twins. When they won the first game I was relieved that we couldn't be swept. When they won the second one I couldn't believe the teams good fortune to touch Skubal for 4 runs. Getting past Framber seemed like asking for far too much and yet here in the upside down world the Twins live in it is the Tigers in danger of being swept and not the Twins. Go figure. The pen can be creaky, but so far they have gotten the job done for the most part. If you would have told me they would be trusting Cody Lawyerson as the setup man I wouldn't have believed it. He seems to have more trust from the manager than most of the other arms at least for the moment. Turns out the arm they tried to pass through but got claimed should have likely been kept. Fortunately he found his way back. After the way this team started, being at 6 and 6 seemed impossible three days ago. If they can hang around .500 in May they might see fans showing up at the park yet. This team seems like a house of cards, but winning these last three gives some measure of hope. Especially if the Blue Jays and Red Sox continue to play poorly.
  17. Dman
    Yeah I was one of those that had my concerns about Bradley. My first concern is the Rays don't usually give up on arms that are likely to work out better than expected in the future. They aren't perfect, but with Jax's likely dominance for what looked like a 5th starter or pen arm had me concerned. My second concern was looking at the stats from previous years it looked like he had peaked. He had that nice year in 2024 but it looked like teams had figured him out to some degree in 2025 and his second ERA with the Twins at 6.61 didn't help me see dominance was coming. I do think his refining of his splitter and so far not walking as many guys in key situations appears to have changed his trajectory to top of the rotation arm. It is very early but you look at 2024 and his solid numbers there and then see how he has built out his pitch mix and it looks like he has a strong chance to be a number one or two arm. It just goes to show that a new pitch and some confidence mixed with good talent can really change things in a hurry. We'll see if it lasts, but right now it looks like the Twins got a heck of deal for Bradley. I know the Twins got a steal of a deal for Ryan as well, but it seemed most experts were up in the air about a guy who threw so many fastaball's making it at the MLB level. He wasn't a sure thing either at the time. Kudos to the Twins and Ryan for expanding the arsenal to to build beyond the fastball and make him one the better arms in the league. I don't think either arm was a sure thing to turn things around. but have to give credit to the development staff for making it happen.
  18. Dman
    We've seen what dominant arms can do for teams. I think he will likely slot in around pick three in the end. The Twins getting the best pitcher in the class at number three seems like a good get to me. Still I would argue they need hitting worse than they need pitching as they have several potential top of the rotation arms in the system, but not much for hitters outside of AAA. I also would not mind Emerson or Lackey at three either. At any rate it's nice to know there is going to be an elite talent when they pick. Seems like it will be hard to mess this one up with so many good choices likely to be there.
  19. Dman
    I might have flipped places for Soto and Quick, but given Quick hasn't thrown a pitch this list looks good to me. That's 5 nice arms if everything clicks. Bohorquez could be another difference making arm as well.
  20. Dman
    I wanted to see what Ellwanger looked like so watched that game on MiLB TV. Ellwanger can throw hard as I heard them say he got to 97 and I wouldn't be surprised if he threw faster than that, but the control wasn't there. He was very lucky to work his way out of a couple of jams. Only one game, but it looks like he might be at A ball a while until he can throw more strikes. In that same game they turned to Moring and I expected him to likely have a rough debut. Here is what TD wrote when drafted "A righty out of UCSB who had limited innings in 2025. Moring had a 3.60 FIP, striking out 28% of hitters (great) and walking 16% (less great) in just 17.2 IP." So given the walk rate and limited innings I expected him to struggle especially in the windy conditions. Man was I wrong. It was utter domination. He had their hitters so off balance and swinging at air it was crazy. He was up in the zone and the bottom of the zone and throwing in curves literally and figuratively that had hitters baffled. That was an impressive debut. If he can keep that up the Twins might have something there. Jones had a great night as well. He couldn't match Moring's swing and miss stuff, but I think he broke like 5 bats or something and was throwing 94-96 all night. Actually I saw 96 in his last inning. Very efficient night for him going 5 innings in 54 pitches. We'll see if that stuff plays that well as time goes on, but it looks like he's got a heavy fastball and was tough to square up at least in the freezing cold in CR. While I do think Fort Meyers is going to be hit challenged this year they did have to face the Phillies number one, third and fourth round draft picks from last year in this series. Wood their number one pick was on the edges all game and looks like he will be moving up fast. I was kind of wondering if the Twins would take him where they picked Houston, but with some arm issues at the time I can see why they didn't. Still he looked too good for that level or maybe the Muscles hitters are just that bad? Not sure just yet. Young's body looks ready for the Majors right now. He is a big guy,, but he played well at short and when he hit his triple he ran well until his legs slowed down as he looked a little tired heading to third. His triple looked like it would be up in the air long enough to be caught, but he hit it so hard it went over the fielders head. He's got some big boy power. Not sure if he will be able to hit anything but fastballs though. April is a cold month for CR, St Paul and Wichita and some players play better in the cold than others. Lot's of hitters seem to struggle in the cold. Hopefully the weather warms up soon.
  21. Dman
    Happy to see DeBarge hit for some power. Getting the ball in the air was an issue for him last year. If his hit tool comes around he could be a nice option for the infield. Ross with a heck of a game. Hopefully he can finally crack AA pitching. Gallagher with an up and down outing. He didn't look as sharp I've seen him in the past. Betting he'll look better as time goes on.
  22. Dman
    I'm in on Lackey too. It is so hard to find elite defense with good offense. I know it's early and most sites have him around #5 right now, but here's one that thinks he can challenge for the number one pick., 2. Tampa Bay Rays – Vahn Lackey, C, Georgia Tech If there is any player in a position to push Cholowsky for 1st overall, it is Lackey. Coming into the year, he was highly regarded as one of the best athletes in the whole draft who just happened to also be a plus defender behind the plate. He has shown the ability to play multiple positions in the field while also stealing 18 bases last year. The main concern was the power output. With elite bat-to-ball skills, Lackey hit .347/.421/.500 with only six home runs and only 25 walks in 60 games. That aggressive contact-first approach would always limit his potential, but in 2026, something has shifted. Lackey already has exceeded his home run total from last season without any regression to his bat-to-ball skills. He has nine home runs through 20 games and is showing impressive plate discipline with 20 walks to 10 strikeouts while hitting .479. That success is backed up by the data, where he has an 88.3% contact rate, a 13% chase rate, and an impressive 93.7 mph exit velocity and 62.1% hard-hit rate. From a data and production standpoint, there is starting to be an argument that an elite athletic catcher with those batted-ball profiles is the better selection than Cholowsky. I don’t see it happening as of now, but if Lackey keeps it up, it will shock me to see him get past 2nd overall.
  23. Dman
    Right now Vahn Lackey would be my pick. A possible good to elite Defensive catcher who can hit would be a nice get at three to me. Does anyone know if Flora is a Skenesian like talent? If so might be hard to pass on an ace arm as well. I still like Emerson too. Could be tough to choose who take at #3. Might come down to who cuts a deal.
  24. Dman
    Happy to see Raya get off to a good start to the season. I feel like the more he stays away from his fastball the better. Breaking stuff has really good movement. Hopefully he throw them for more strikes. Really hoping he can be an elite pen arm in time. Will be interesting to see how things go for him this year out of the pen.
  25. Dman
    He's had a nice spring. Hopefully he keeps it up.
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