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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. while Lee is below average in hard hit rate and average exit velo, you’ve seen worse. Such as Carlos Correa
  2. Pablo’s whole outing was just nerve wracking. Super fun to watch him get in and out of jams. It’s a heck of a pitcher who looked more than a little off (to me) for 5 and 2/3, and only give up one run. Also, Sands has been fantastic, and still holds primary leverage situations even though Jax has been great too. what a fun game to take my son to
  3. Agreed, right now it’s not Clemens v McCusker, it’s more Bader/Kiersey/Whoevers DHing v McCusker. There’s plenty of room to get McCrusher at bats while Wallner is out, and probably even after he returns. This team isn’t exactly blowing the doors off in the batters box
  4. Ride that hot hand!
  5. Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?
  6. On pace for 24 complete games MLB wide! Unreal
  7. I was intending to compliment your work, while pointing out the challenge in answering the question of “How do I know if a GM is good?”. You limited your scope intentionally. Bean limited their scope intentionally. Scope must be limited, no one can distill the ocean.
  8. His 4.58 xFIP all of 2024 and 2025 to date ranks 75th among starters. That’s a good 5th starter
  9. A month ago I said something to the effect of “this needs to rattle off 10 wins in a row to make them relevant again, and I don’t think they have it in them” never so thrilled to be wrong
  10. I believe Falvey has been quoted something pretty similar.
  11. Agreed, but to bean’s rather curt/arbitrary point, every analysis has to be scoped in order to be relevant. There hasn’t been more comprehensive analysis than MLR’s, but even MLR’s is limited in scope and still so broad it’s really hard to come to any sort of conclusion. do a comparative to scope, evaluate, set a grade/standard, do another comparative evaluate, wash, rinse, repeat to develop a kpi dashboard and by the time you are done, Falvey was fired 5 years ago and data sets are stale.
  12. With the ad, I almost missed this gem: ”He then struck out against the pitching machine, which wasn’t even turned on yet.” So funny
  13. Like, Reinsdorf sprung for a new mop bucket?
  14. Good analysis and agreed that this team needs to get a lower percentage of WAR from free agents. What about Cleveland and Tampa who regularly trade major leaguers for prospects? The Twins didn’t do a ton of development with Ryan before calling him up, but his repertoire has continued to evolve. Falvey has done a great job of modernizing the Twins front office, and took the player acquisition and development a significant step forward from TR, but has hit a wall on the continuous improvement timeline. This FO still has a journey to take
  15. 139 runs allowed on the season 5th best MLB wide. Yes pitching, especially starting pitching, also this is a heavy flyball pitching team 44% ranked 3rd in MLB and has a MUCH improved outfield. I was skeptical of Bader, but happy he’s contributing well. Actually having left fielders with wheels in TF’s spacious LF is a good thing. More important than I have credit previously.
  16. It did in 2024 and 2023 (3.0 fWAR was a 4 way tie at 30, 31, 32 and 33 in 2023, in 2024 it was 37 and 38) If you want to go back to the 70s and 80s and compare that to today, you have to normalize on innings pitched to compare counting/cumulative stats. The game has changed.
  17. Exactly, top 30 out of 150ish pitchers who make a traditional start is a top quartile, statistically significant better than median starting pitcher. Maybe he’s 35, maybe he’s 25, it doesn’t really matter if it’s 31 or 32. He’s not a top 5% he’s not a bottom 2/3. Lots of value there.
  18. 2024 full seasons at 130 IP ERA 3.6 according to FG is ranked 38 FIP 3.44 ranked 25 xFIP 3.44 ranked 18 WHIP .99 ranked 7 2023 full season at 160 ip ERA 4.51 ranked 35 FiP 4.13 ranked 31 xFIP 3.76 ranked 19 WHIP 1.17 ranked 18 i never said he was a super star, or an ace, I said he was a top 30 starting pitcher, of which for two full seasons plus, he objectively has been. His first year of arbitration isn’t until 2026. I’m happy with that. There’s value with trading him. I don’t think they should, but there’s value.
  19. You were quoting ERA as gospel last week. His 2.93 ERA is ranked 25th. WAR ranked 31, WHIP ranked 4th. you should try watching baseball, it’s fun
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