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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    4 players for three positions would be 3/4 time. That’s more than Martin is playing today with Outman rotting on the bench. That would also have one fewer AAA outfielder to get every day plaything time with Gonzalez, Rodriguez, Fedko, and Jenkins also needing every day playing time. Because the Outman on the DFA shuttle can rot on the AAA bench too,
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    That’s the point. There’s a million and one Outmans that can get DFA’d and signed to minor league deals. That role doesn’t have to be on the active roster of a terrible team. Martin and/or Roden can give Buck a day off every 10 days. An Outman can get his contract selected at a moment’s notice and shuttle across town on the green line. Bell at 1, Roden R, Buck CF, Martin L, Larnach/Wallner at DH and 4th OF Clemens and his .560 OPS gets pushed to the bench with an actual 4 man outfield and the whole team gets better. Then, when the service time shenanigans are done, Roden can still be optioned, and there will still be an Outman in the DFA fodder
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    There’s 3 DH’s on this team, no SS, no 1B, and 2/3 of your primary outfield wear concrete shoes, but having Outman ride the pine is ok because he doesn’t block development of Emmanuel Rodriguez who is 23 years old and is now out of options?
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    100% agreed, for as bad as this team has been, what the hell is James Outman doing on this roster? Lee and Gray are in a 50/50 split I get that. Martin and Larnach are in a 60/40 split, but for a team that desperately needs hitting. Bell, Larnach and Wallner are 3 of the 4 best hitters and all need to be DH.
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    Tom was very public in the offseason, where Joe and Jim were not. We don’t really know what happens behind closed doors, but we saw the outcomes in Falvey and Zoll’s actions since the ill-timed 2023 payroll correction. Zollvine became even more passive than 2019-2022, until the 2025 trade deadline where they panic sold, then became passive again. That to me, reads like the third generation of Pohlads do not have a vision for the Twins and their investment is floundering as a result. Tom said it out loud is all.
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed @USAFChiefwe have the best (and best looking) posters in Twins Territory!
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    I have a confession to make. I was so confused when Sonny Gray purchased me at Barnes and Noble then brought me to the ballpark. Then after a couple weeks he forgot about me, left me here at TD… to be a pain in all your asses. No idea if he keeps his handle up, he won’t respond to my PMs. https://www.mlb.com/news/twins-wild-walk-off-propels-them-over-tigers?partnerID=mlbapp-iOS_article-share
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Target field is one of the few mlb ballparks where you can still do that.
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    In terms of semantics, wRC+ and OPS+ are qualitative not quantitative and are preferred as better predictors than batting average. Dusting off my college math, I think I’m getting at the parameter (the f) of the statistic. Y=f(x), the x would be plate appearances and y would be “how much value a hitter is predicted to have on the season” kinda crude WAR. Wallner falls about 80 plate appearances shy of TK index to hit sample size. Does he need those 80 plate appearances to make his career 130ish wRC+ statistically significant? Or is the ~30% above average not qualify?
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    wRC+ (FG) or OPS+ (BBR) are nearly identical, they are a convenient all encompassing stat of weighted inputs to run creation on a 100=league average scale. They are not the be-all end-all by any stretch, but they are good and convenient, much the way OPS was the nerd stat du sur 15 years ago. Clearly you know this, but its too early to use much statistical analysis this season. On Monday Wallner had a 200 wRC+ yesterday it was 95, today it’s 77, tomorrow it could be 50 or 150, wRC doesn’t matter. Clearly I’m a Fangraphs guy.
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    Larnach, Bell and Wallner are all bad fielders and there can only be one DH, but those are 3 of the 6 best hitters on this team and it drops off precipitously if Wallner can regain his 2023/2024 magic, I’d be thrilled, and I am optimistic his adjustments can get him headed in the right direction.
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    IKR!
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    No, Larnach’s numbers are not better than Wallner’s. Wallner has a better OBP (.344 to .327) and much better ISO (.261 to .169). This leads to a better wRC+ as Wallner is 33% above league average since 2023 while Larnach is 7% of league average. 133 puts Wallner 19th of all major leaguers in that time frame. Larnach is 111 out of 268 players with 900 PAs since 2023.
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    My Hope-O-Meter is way down. The phrase “Rudderless” gets used around here a lot lately and it fits. The ownership and FO have been in absolute disarray for years, and this offseason showed that the ownership finally understood that, but just threw gasoline on the fire.
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’m not saying he had a good season for his standards, but a 114 wRC+ is 14% better than average by definition. Wallner is strong enough that he doesn’t need to pull the ball to get it over the fence. Agreed with the OP he’s doing the right things. Optimistic the results follow the process.
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    Very funny Matt
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    ^And the FO^
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    The first signal looked like it was during his follow through, but looked like he could have been adjusting his hat
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    Dozens and dozens of fans at the ballpark!
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    3 Blewis!
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    I laughed, I cried, I laughed some more.
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    Why in the world does a guy with 700 PAs of .630 OPS keep getting brought up as a viable starting 3B?
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    correction - there was one RBI
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