Richie the Rally Goat
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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat
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this exactly why so many of us are upset at the offseason-to-date “failure”...The Twins are on their way down the red carpet in a Canadian Tuxedo because they’re too cheap buy a Black one. The Twins could have made a black tuxedo starting 7-10 years ago, but that train has sailed. -
Kepler’s home runs per fly ball increased in part because he started pulling the ball more. Prior to 2019 he pulled fly balls 24% to 33%. In 2019 he pulled fly balls 41% of the time. Kepler’s average home run distance in 2019 was 392 feet. The right field fence is 328 feet. Even if he lost 5% of the distance traveled with a non-juiced ball 372 feet is plenty if he keeps pulling the ball 41%. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/max-kepler/12144/splits-tool?position=OF&splitArr=12&strgroup=season&statgroup=3&startDate=all&endDate=all&filter=&statType=player&autoPt=true&players=&sort=NaN,1 https://www.mlb.com/player/max-kepler-596146 I’m not convinced Kepler will be as heavily impacted as the OP states.
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hmmm math might disagree with you...
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assuming Donaldson goes elsewhere, the top free agents are off the board. What should the FO do next?
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mod note: Not only to the quoted poster, but the several other posters fighting the same tired old argument. Keep to OP. This thread is not about “why not the Twins” or “How much is too much” It’s about what to do next. Please discuss plans on what to do next.
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None of the free agent infielders are very appealing. Moreland or Thames seem to be the best bets, but .830 OPS.... not a huge upgrade over what you might get out of Rooker, just more reliable. From here on out, I’d look to swing a trade for a 3B and SP and plan on internal options as fallback options. Edit to add: could get creative and look at Rosario at 1b as well.
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Great article Nick! My feelings exactly!
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I think the last couple soft markets were telling us something, we (and maybe Falvine too) were just wrong in interpretation. Market corrections come in many different forms. It may be that several organizations had too much non-working inventory. Teams are looking to turn their inventory faster, or reprioritize different types of inventory
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We as fans don’t have the tools to expand the definition of assets beyond free agent spending. A number of posters quote trade analyzer websites and many posters disregard those sites as hogwash. I agree with your concept that this FO values liquidity very highly and for good reason. What’s not clear to me is the liquidity risk model being used. We talk about players as assets, but maybe better to be thought of as inventory. Turns as speed to commercialize inventory might be a metric/framework.
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This is a really good, well laid out post. Have you blogged this to flesh it out more? At face value I feel like there’s a feasibility argument to be made, but maybe there’s some research to fill in some blanks
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Individually these signings are “fine”. Add up everything and it’s all “fine”. I was just expecting more. There’s still time, but it really does look like it this is what we can expect.
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Go Direct to Viewer?
Richie the Rally Goat commented on JeromeTyleski's blog entry in Diamond Dollars
@JeromeTyleski Part of the reason the Twins TV deal is so low, is due to their trade off in the deal. The Twins got a poor deal (even at the time) and in exchange Pohlad companies received a stake in FSN. The Twins moved to Go 96.3 and got a lower radio deal than they would have gotten if they went to (then) ESPN 1500. The Pohlads launched Victory Sports and couldn’t get the cable distribution to make that work. With streaming the infrastructure isn’t nearly as difficult to obtain with MLB advance media already in place. This is exactly the type of move Twins ownership would make ahead of say the Yankees whose cable TV viewership is much higher. Good OP -
Current movies other than Star Wars
Richie the Rally Goat replied to Squirrel's topic in The Sports Bar
Saw Parasite recently. Lived up to the hype! Very very good. Funny, bitter sweet, lots of feels. https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/parasite_2019 Saw Knives out earlier this week. I want to invite Benoit Blanc to my next family reunion. Fantastic film! My favorite this year. https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/knives_out -
Fantastic! Merry Twinsmas!
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nope, he wasn’t available for everyone before he accepted the QO. Free agents don’t open up to the other teams until after the QO is rejected. Edit: I’ve been corrected twice below in the thread. I admit being wrong.
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Front Page: A Message To The Front Office
Richie the Rally Goat replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I’m totally with you on trades (and apparently the FO) if you can make occasional free agent moves to push you up a notch on competitiveness and hang on to prospects. With the rotation as it is, adding one big-pitcher to an already good rotation increases odds a lot. -
I do believe they have a plan. Time will tell if they can execute (or not) but there is a plan. I'm confident of it.
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Front Page: A Message To The Front Office
Richie the Rally Goat replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This! The window can’t get much wider. -
Dobnak and Smeltzer. Even if the FO swings a trade or signs Ryu, both Dobnak and Smeltzer will each get 10-20 starts at minimum. Injuries will happen, and Pineda is missing the first 39 games or something. With Berrios and Pineda under contract for 2021, both of those two need to take control of the middle of the rotation.
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Agreed, I don't think it was money that deterred the FO. It may be also that Doogie might have over reacted a bit to his source telling him they were in on Yamaguchi.
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Mod note: please keep to OP. We're talking about Yamaguchi.
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My Case For Chris Archer
Richie the Rally Goat commented on Cody Pirkl's blog entry in All Things Twins
Pittsburgh has a new manager and pitching coach. Wouldn't they want to see what Oscar Marin can do with him before cutting bait? I'm guessing the return will be higher than anticipated, being Pittsburgh gave up a ton to get Archer. -
can u-haul unload a bunch of that real estate for a good price and not take a massive tax hit? They have a terrible liquidity crunch on their hands... If they can squeeze through that itty-bitty window, and start flowing cash again there’s still a question of growth. Looking at the adjacent housing market, is now the time to exit self storage? Mortgage interest rates can only climb from here. Home prices are sky high and still climbing. With a decade of growth since the Great Recession, are moves as a result of home buying going to grow? I’m skeptical. If you can’t move to a bigger house, you need somewhere to store all your stuff. But self storage is a cash hog and saturated. I’m not buying it. I’m no investment pro, I’m sure they know things I don’t, but I just don’t get it. I’m not buying that recommendation
