If I'm totally honest, I'm trading both of them because I don't think that there is a path to being competitive in 2026. However, I tried to craft something that would be as close to competitive as I could reasonably get within what I think are realistic constraints - things the front office might actually do. In this scenario, I would be trading Ryan (better return than Pablo) for a lineup-worthy bat that can contribute immediately (plus prospects). I would want someone with more control than Ryan because whatever you think their chances are of contending in 2026, their chances are certainly better further down the road given where their roster currently sits. Because I believe the lineup needs more help than the rotation (any chance for competitiveness relies on a LOT of coin flips working in their favor on the position player side), I see this as a better allocation of resources that could help now as well as in the future.
Maybe the right partner isn't out there for this, but this trade of Ryan would have to be done in the offseason since that's when they could potentially find a partner willing to trade a major-league quality bat if they had a glut at a certain position and needed pitching - sort of how Arraez and Lopez were traded for each other. Strength for a strength. I don't think that trade works during the season because the contender that would be trading for Ryan isn't going be as willing to subtract from their lineup in the middle of a pennant race.
I was trying to keep it within the realm of what I think might actually happen. I'd love to see them pour $100MM worth of free agents into the roster, but that isn't realistic. Just as I don't think it's realistic for them to trade prospects for a reliever, or to retain their most valuable trade chips so their value withers away to nothing in the name of an unrealistic chance at contention. By trading Ryan for some immediate lineup help, they could perhaps walk that fine line. I admit it's a reach, but realistic contention next year, in my opinion, is a reach. They have no margin for error if they try to pull this off on the budget they'll likely have to work with