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Cody Christie

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  1. The Twins have acquired veteran center field options to serve in a backup role over the last two seasons. How has that plan served the team, and is another veteran on the team’s free-agent wish list? Image courtesy of © Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images Byron Buxton’s immense talent has always been paired with an equally imposing injury history. While he has shown flashes of brilliance, playing over 100 games in 2024 and evolving into a power-hitting force, the Twins have had to prioritize a reliable backup plan for center field in recent seasons. In 2023, that role was filled by Michael A. Taylor, who provided Gold Glove-caliber defense and some unexpected pop. In 2024, Manuel Margot was brought in to serve in a similar role but failed to meet expectations. As the Twins prepare for 2025, Buxton remains a critical piece of the lineup, but his track record suggests the team must again find a high-quality insurance policy in center field. Enter Harrison Bader, a free agent who could prove to be an upgrade over Margot. What Harrison Bader Brings to the Table At his best, Bader is one of the premier defensive center fielders in baseball. The 30-year-old has long been lauded for his range, quick first step, and ability to make highlight-reel plays look routine. Statcast metrics consistently rank him among the top outfielders in Outs Above Average (OAA). Last season, he posted an OIAA in the 92nd percentile of the league. His glove could immediately provide value to the Twins' pitching staff, especially in Target Field's spacious outfield and with the pitchers' collective lean toward fly balls. Bader’s offensive contributions are more of a mixed bag. In 2024, he posted a .236/.284/.373 slash line, with 12 home runs, 19 doubles, and 17 stolen bases across 143 games. While those numbers are not overwhelming, his ability to contribute some power and speed makes him a valuable bottom-of-the-order presence. He was clearly in the lineup for his ability to impact the game defensively, and the Mets were fine with his limited offensive value. How Does Bader Compare to Margot? Margot was brought in to serve as Buxton’s backup in 2024, but the team quickly realized that he wasn’t going to be a regular option in center. Margot struggled offensively, slashing .238/.289/.337 with a 76 OPS+ in 129 games. He posted a negative rWAR total for the first time in his career and set the all-time record for hitless at-bats as a pinch-hitter, ending the season with an 0-for-30 record in those situations. Bader’s defensive upside alone makes him a compelling upgrade over Margot. Offensively, Bader’s numbers in 2024 were superior to Margot’s, and his ability to swipe bases adds an element of aggressiveness to the lineup that the Twins sorely missed last season. Margot was also atrocious in the outfield with -5 OAA, so Bader could provide a significant upgrade. If Bader can remain healthy (a concern that mirrors Buxton’s), he offers a higher ceiling than Margot, both at the plate and in the field. Why the Twins Need a Strong Backup Buxton’s role with the Twins is as unique as it is precarious. Despite his relatively good health in 2024, Buxton’s true value lies in his ability to patrol center field. When healthy, few players can impact the game as he does, but the Twins cannot afford to leave their roster exposed if injuries strike again. The Twins are hopeful that a healthy offseason will help Buxton be better prepared for the rigors of a 162-game season. Having a player like Bader allows the Twins to manage Buxton’s workload without sacrificing defensive excellence in center field. Moreover, Bader’s skillset aligns perfectly with Minnesota’s pitching and run-prevention focus. Target Field’s outfield demands elite defenders, and Bader can provide that while giving the Twins flexibility to move Buxton to designated hitter when needed. He can also cover more ground in center when the Twins use corner outfielders with less range like Trevor Larnach and Matt Wallner. Bader represents an ideal insurance policy for Buxton in 2025. His elite defense makes him a clear upgrade over Margot. While the Twins will likely explore other options in free agency or trade, Bader stands out as a player who can address their needs without breaking the bank. However, he was paid $10.5 million last season, and the Twins currently have little to no payroll for free agents. Presumably, his relatively tough season will bring down his price, but will it be by enough? With Buxton, the Twins know they are playing a high-risk, high-reward game. Adding Bader could help tilt the odds in their favor while adding an elite defender. Is Bader a good fit for the Twins roster? Are there any internal options to help in center field? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
  2. The Twins have built a roster where speed and taking extra bases aren’t priorities. So, were there any surprises with Statcast’s release of a new baserunning metric? Image courtesy of Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports Statcast has provided fans with an inside look at some of the metrics teams have had access to in recent years. Defensive metrics, batted-ball data, and movement profiles on pitches have helped to bring deeper baseball conversations to the forefront for everyone from diehard to casual fans. Obviously, some fans don’t care about the game’s minutiae, but it’s reassuring that more fans have access to the data if they want to find it. Earlier this week, Statcast released a new baserunning metric called Baserunning Run Value. It goes far beyond just stealing bases and taking an extra base on a hit to the outfield. So, how does Statcast describe its new metric? According to Baserunning Run Value (BRV), the Twins had three positive runners in 2024, with Byron Buxton leading the team (3 BRV), followed by Austin Martin (1) and Manuel Margot (1). All three runners earned their value by taking extra bases, as none provided any net value from stolen bases. Buxton isn’t a surprise to anyone as the team’s best baserunner, but Martin and Margot are slightly surprising guys to find near the top of the team’s leaderboard. On the opposite end, there were eight players with negative Baserunning Run Value for the Twins. José Miranda had the lowest total, with -2 runs via extra bases taken and -1 runs via stolen bases. Kyle Farmer and Christian Vázquez finished with -2 Baserunning Run Value, which shouldn’t come as a surprise based on their player type. However, there were some surprises on other parts of the leaderboard. Willi Castro was a revelation on the bases during the 2023 season, his first with the Twins. He stole a career-high 33 bases, and he and Buxton joked about how many bases they would steal during spring training last year. Instead, Castro struggled on the bases in 2024, going 14-for-23 in stolen base attempts. His BRV was -1, with -3 runs tied to his stolen base attempts. During the 2023 season, Castro finished in third place on the Twins with 3 BRV, with only Michael Taylor (4 BRV) and Buxton (4 BRV) ranking ahead of him. Royce Lewis is another surprising player, because of the type of player he was in the minor leagues. When the Twins drafted Lewis, he was one of the organization’s fastest players, and many envisioned him as a top-of-the-order hitter who would be a baserunning threat. After two ACL surgeries, Lewis bulked up, which slowed him down. He provided -1 BRV on taking extra bases and stolen bases in 2024. Some other injuries hampered him, and he’s working to be more loose this winter. MLB’s Statcast Era stretches back to 2015, painting a more extensive picture of the team’s baserunning highs and lows during that time. Buxton is by far the team leader in BRV, with four times as many runs (28 BRV) as the next-closest Twins player. Brian Dozier (7), Jorge Polanco (5), Taylor (4), and Eddie Rosario (3) round out the team’s top five. Miguel Sanó is the team’s worst base runner in the Statcast era, with -10 BRV. Others at the bottom of the leaderboard include Vázquez (-6), Nelson Cruz (-6), Carlos Correa (-6), and Joe Mauer (-5). The majority of these negative runs are tied to players attempting to take extra bases. Minnesota’s front office has clearly focused on a specific player type when building a big-league roster. The Twins have favored players who hit the ball hard, and that often comes by sacrificing speed. Buxton has been the lone exception during his career, but even he is a different player type than Twins fans imagined when he was drafted over a decade ago. Baserunning Run Value points to some of the team’s flaws from last year, and where they can improve in 2025. Which runner’s ranking is most surprising? Who can improve the most in 2025? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
  3. Statcast has provided fans with an inside look at some of the metrics teams have had access to in recent years. Defensive metrics, batted-ball data, and movement profiles on pitches have helped to bring deeper baseball conversations to the forefront for everyone from diehard to casual fans. Obviously, some fans don’t care about the game’s minutiae, but it’s reassuring that more fans have access to the data if they want to find it. Earlier this week, Statcast released a new baserunning metric called Baserunning Run Value. It goes far beyond just stealing bases and taking an extra base on a hit to the outfield. So, how does Statcast describe its new metric? According to Baserunning Run Value (BRV), the Twins had three positive runners in 2024, with Byron Buxton leading the team (3 BRV), followed by Austin Martin (1) and Manuel Margot (1). All three runners earned their value by taking extra bases, as none provided any net value from stolen bases. Buxton isn’t a surprise to anyone as the team’s best baserunner, but Martin and Margot are slightly surprising guys to find near the top of the team’s leaderboard. On the opposite end, there were eight players with negative Baserunning Run Value for the Twins. José Miranda had the lowest total, with -2 runs via extra bases taken and -1 runs via stolen bases. Kyle Farmer and Christian Vázquez finished with -2 Baserunning Run Value, which shouldn’t come as a surprise based on their player type. However, there were some surprises on other parts of the leaderboard. Willi Castro was a revelation on the bases during the 2023 season, his first with the Twins. He stole a career-high 33 bases, and he and Buxton joked about how many bases they would steal during spring training last year. Instead, Castro struggled on the bases in 2024, going 14-for-23 in stolen base attempts. His BRV was -1, with -3 runs tied to his stolen base attempts. During the 2023 season, Castro finished in third place on the Twins with 3 BRV, with only Michael Taylor (4 BRV) and Buxton (4 BRV) ranking ahead of him. Royce Lewis is another surprising player, because of the type of player he was in the minor leagues. When the Twins drafted Lewis, he was one of the organization’s fastest players, and many envisioned him as a top-of-the-order hitter who would be a baserunning threat. After two ACL surgeries, Lewis bulked up, which slowed him down. He provided -1 BRV on taking extra bases and stolen bases in 2024. Some other injuries hampered him, and he’s working to be more loose this winter. MLB’s Statcast Era stretches back to 2015, painting a more extensive picture of the team’s baserunning highs and lows during that time. Buxton is by far the team leader in BRV, with four times as many runs (28 BRV) as the next-closest Twins player. Brian Dozier (7), Jorge Polanco (5), Taylor (4), and Eddie Rosario (3) round out the team’s top five. Miguel Sanó is the team’s worst base runner in the Statcast era, with -10 BRV. Others at the bottom of the leaderboard include Vázquez (-6), Nelson Cruz (-6), Carlos Correa (-6), and Joe Mauer (-5). The majority of these negative runs are tied to players attempting to take extra bases. Minnesota’s front office has clearly focused on a specific player type when building a big-league roster. The Twins have favored players who hit the ball hard, and that often comes by sacrificing speed. Buxton has been the lone exception during his career, but even he is a different player type than Twins fans imagined when he was drafted over a decade ago. Baserunning Run Value points to some of the team’s flaws from last year, and where they can improve in 2025. Which runner’s ranking is most surprising? Who can improve the most in 2025? Leave a comment and start the discussion.
  4. Over the last 40 years, the Pohlad family has been synonymous with the Minnesota Twins, overseeing the construction of Target Field and building a reputation for their philanthropic efforts. Whispers in the sports business world suggest that the franchise could be poised for a significant shift. Justin and Mat Ishbia, the owners of the Phoenix Suns, have reportedly expressed interest in purchasing the Twins. If this happens, the Ishbias would bring a mix of innovation, ambition, and controversy to Minnesota. A Visionary Approach to Broadcasting In 2023, Mat Ishbia made waves in the NBA with a groundbreaking TV approach for the Phoenix Suns. As cable subscriptions decline and blackout restrictions frustrate fans, the Suns’ ownership opted for a bold solution. Rather than prioritize the bottom line, they aimed to maximize fan engagement. As Peter Labuza wrote at the time, “The idea is simple: fewer and fewer households have cable, and various fights over retransmission fees have even blacked out those who do. So rather than prioritize profits, the plan is to get as many eyeballs onto games as possible.” According to ESPN, "The shift could cost the Suns tens of millions in guaranteed money per year in the short term, but it will boost the number of households the games are available in from around 800,000 to more than 2.8 million." The Ishbias offered fans free HDMI-connected antennas to ensure games could reach as many households as possible. Explaining their decision, Mat Ishbia called the move “the biggest no-brainer of them all” and emphasized his commitment to the community: “It’s the right thing to do, and that’s our job as stewards of the organization.” This radical approach has been celebrated for its emphasis on accessibility. For years, Twins fans have dealt with a confusing array of blackout rules and limited streaming options, making it difficult for many to watch games. If the Ishbias bring this model to the Twins, it could revolutionize how fans in Minnesota connect with their team. However, bold moves like these come with financial risks. The Suns’ decision to forgo guaranteed revenue from traditional cable contracts isn't guaranteed to generate enough new fans to justify itself. For a small-market team like the Twins, which relies heavily on revenue sharing and local broadcast deals, such a strategy might be more complex to implement without impacting payroll. Would the Ishbias be willing to sacrifice some of their profit margin to prioritize fan engagement? A Mixed Legacy in Business While the Ishbias have earned praise for their innovative sports management, their business dealings haven’t been without controversy. Earlier this year, a class-action lawsuit was filed against United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) and Mat Ishbia, alleging a scheme to cheat borrowers. The lawsuit claims that UWM violated federal laws, including the RICO Act, by incentivizing mortgage brokers to prioritize UWM’s interests over their clients’ needs. Although the case is ongoing, it raises questions about Ishbia’s ethics and long-term priorities. Twins fans may wonder: will a focus on innovation and community come at the expense of transparency and trust? While Justin, not Mat, is the prospective principal owner in this reported scenario, the brothers are close and their habits of business are both likely to affect any team they purchase together. Hands-On Ownership Group The Ishbias' tenure as owners of the Phoenix Suns has been defined by Mat's high-energy, hands-on approach, which has garnered praise and criticism. The pair's active involvement in the team’s operations has revitalized the franchise’s image, particularly in the wake of the turmoil under previous owner Robert Sarver. Minnesota’s current ownership group has taken a very hands-off approach and trusted the people in the highest positions to make critical decisions. In Phoenix, the brothers have injected new life into the Suns organization, from their visible enthusiasm during games to bold decision-making in reshaping the roster. Their presence has been a breath of fresh air for fans and employees who value an owner deeply invested in the team’s success. However, this same approach has sparked concerns about over-involvement and potential micromanagement, particularly regarding the autonomy of the front office and coaching staff. While their involvement underscores their ambition and willingness to take risks, it also raises questions about the balance of power within the organization. The Suns fired their head coach, Frank Vogel, after a first-round playoff loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Minnesota has already announced that Derek Falvey will be stepping into a role where he oversees the baseball and business sides of the Twins. Will new owners want to keep current employees like Falvey and manager Rocco Baldelli? This dynamic may create tension, especially if decisions are perceived as owner-driven rather than team-driven, potentially complicating the collaboration needed for sustained success. Critics of the brothers' style point to the potential pitfalls of micromanagement in professional sports. Owners who blur the line between leadership and operational control risk undermining the expertise of their staff. While Mat’s involvement has been primarily celebrated during his early tenure, there is concern that a continued pattern of heavy-handedness could stifle the creativity and decision-making of the front office. Autonomy is often critical for building a cohesive strategy, particularly in high-pressure situations like the trade deadline or free agency. If staff feel constrained by ownership directives, it could hinder the team’s ability to adapt and make independent decisions that align with long-term goals. On the other hand, supporters of Ishbia’s approach argue that his passion and accessibility set a positive tone for the organization. His hands-on leadership style, while unconventional, can inspire employees and players alike, by demonstrating a deep commitment to excellence. In some ways, his micromanagement tendencies may reflect a desire to right the wrongs of the past, ensuring that the team operates with accountability and transparency. However, striking the right balance between active involvement and allowing professionals to lead remains a critical challenge for Ishbia as he continues to guide the Suns. Whether his hands-on style fosters long-term success or leads to friction will depend on his ability to trust his team while maintaining the enthusiasm that has already made an impact. The Bottom Line for Twins Fans The Ishbias' interest in purchasing the Twins represents an exciting opportunity and a significant gamble. Their tenure with the Suns has demonstrated a commitment to bold ideas, such as prioritizing accessibility over short-term profits. A similar approach in Minnesota could make Twins games more widely available than ever before, reconnecting the team with fans who have felt left out of the fold in recent years. On the flip side, questions about their financial practices, micromanagement, and the risks associated with their TV model leave room for skepticism. Would the Ishbias’ approach lead to a brighter future for the Twins, or could their boldness backfire in a market where financial stability is key? For now, the idea of the Ishbias owning the Twins is purely speculative. But if their bid becomes reality, Twins fans could be in for a fascinating new chapter. It is shaping up to be as promising as it is uncertain. Should their ownership approach worry fans? Leave a comment and start the discussion.
  5. Few fan bases outwardly praise their ownership group. In some corners, though, Mat and Justin Ishbia have been an exception to that rule. For what have the brothers come in for celebration and blame during their time owning the Phoenix Suns? Image courtesy of © Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images Over the last 40 years, the Pohlad family has been synonymous with the Minnesota Twins, overseeing the construction of Target Field and building a reputation for their philanthropic efforts. Whispers in the sports business world suggest that the franchise could be poised for a significant shift. Justin and Mat Ishbia, the owners of the Phoenix Suns, have reportedly expressed interest in purchasing the Twins. If this happens, the Ishbias would bring a mix of innovation, ambition, and controversy to Minnesota. A Visionary Approach to Broadcasting In 2023, Mat Ishbia made waves in the NBA with a groundbreaking TV approach for the Phoenix Suns. As cable subscriptions decline and blackout restrictions frustrate fans, the Suns’ ownership opted for a bold solution. Rather than prioritize the bottom line, they aimed to maximize fan engagement. As Peter Labuza wrote at the time, “The idea is simple: fewer and fewer households have cable, and various fights over retransmission fees have even blacked out those who do. So rather than prioritize profits, the plan is to get as many eyeballs onto games as possible.” According to ESPN, "The shift could cost the Suns tens of millions in guaranteed money per year in the short term, but it will boost the number of households the games are available in from around 800,000 to more than 2.8 million." The Ishbias offered fans free HDMI-connected antennas to ensure games could reach as many households as possible. Explaining their decision, Mat Ishbia called the move “the biggest no-brainer of them all” and emphasized his commitment to the community: “It’s the right thing to do, and that’s our job as stewards of the organization.” This radical approach has been celebrated for its emphasis on accessibility. For years, Twins fans have dealt with a confusing array of blackout rules and limited streaming options, making it difficult for many to watch games. If the Ishbias bring this model to the Twins, it could revolutionize how fans in Minnesota connect with their team. However, bold moves like these come with financial risks. The Suns’ decision to forgo guaranteed revenue from traditional cable contracts isn't guaranteed to generate enough new fans to justify itself. For a small-market team like the Twins, which relies heavily on revenue sharing and local broadcast deals, such a strategy might be more complex to implement without impacting payroll. Would the Ishbias be willing to sacrifice some of their profit margin to prioritize fan engagement? A Mixed Legacy in Business While the Ishbias have earned praise for their innovative sports management, their business dealings haven’t been without controversy. Earlier this year, a class-action lawsuit was filed against United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) and Mat Ishbia, alleging a scheme to cheat borrowers. The lawsuit claims that UWM violated federal laws, including the RICO Act, by incentivizing mortgage brokers to prioritize UWM’s interests over their clients’ needs. Although the case is ongoing, it raises questions about Ishbia’s ethics and long-term priorities. Twins fans may wonder: will a focus on innovation and community come at the expense of transparency and trust? While Justin, not Mat, is the prospective principal owner in this reported scenario, the brothers are close and their habits of business are both likely to affect any team they purchase together. Hands-On Ownership Group The Ishbias' tenure as owners of the Phoenix Suns has been defined by Mat's high-energy, hands-on approach, which has garnered praise and criticism. The pair's active involvement in the team’s operations has revitalized the franchise’s image, particularly in the wake of the turmoil under previous owner Robert Sarver. Minnesota’s current ownership group has taken a very hands-off approach and trusted the people in the highest positions to make critical decisions. In Phoenix, the brothers have injected new life into the Suns organization, from their visible enthusiasm during games to bold decision-making in reshaping the roster. Their presence has been a breath of fresh air for fans and employees who value an owner deeply invested in the team’s success. However, this same approach has sparked concerns about over-involvement and potential micromanagement, particularly regarding the autonomy of the front office and coaching staff. While their involvement underscores their ambition and willingness to take risks, it also raises questions about the balance of power within the organization. The Suns fired their head coach, Frank Vogel, after a first-round playoff loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Minnesota has already announced that Derek Falvey will be stepping into a role where he oversees the baseball and business sides of the Twins. Will new owners want to keep current employees like Falvey and manager Rocco Baldelli? This dynamic may create tension, especially if decisions are perceived as owner-driven rather than team-driven, potentially complicating the collaboration needed for sustained success. Critics of the brothers' style point to the potential pitfalls of micromanagement in professional sports. Owners who blur the line between leadership and operational control risk undermining the expertise of their staff. While Mat’s involvement has been primarily celebrated during his early tenure, there is concern that a continued pattern of heavy-handedness could stifle the creativity and decision-making of the front office. Autonomy is often critical for building a cohesive strategy, particularly in high-pressure situations like the trade deadline or free agency. If staff feel constrained by ownership directives, it could hinder the team’s ability to adapt and make independent decisions that align with long-term goals. On the other hand, supporters of Ishbia’s approach argue that his passion and accessibility set a positive tone for the organization. His hands-on leadership style, while unconventional, can inspire employees and players alike, by demonstrating a deep commitment to excellence. In some ways, his micromanagement tendencies may reflect a desire to right the wrongs of the past, ensuring that the team operates with accountability and transparency. However, striking the right balance between active involvement and allowing professionals to lead remains a critical challenge for Ishbia as he continues to guide the Suns. Whether his hands-on style fosters long-term success or leads to friction will depend on his ability to trust his team while maintaining the enthusiasm that has already made an impact. The Bottom Line for Twins Fans The Ishbias' interest in purchasing the Twins represents an exciting opportunity and a significant gamble. Their tenure with the Suns has demonstrated a commitment to bold ideas, such as prioritizing accessibility over short-term profits. A similar approach in Minnesota could make Twins games more widely available than ever before, reconnecting the team with fans who have felt left out of the fold in recent years. On the flip side, questions about their financial practices, micromanagement, and the risks associated with their TV model leave room for skepticism. Would the Ishbias’ approach lead to a brighter future for the Twins, or could their boldness backfire in a market where financial stability is key? For now, the idea of the Ishbias owning the Twins is purely speculative. But if their bid becomes reality, Twins fans could be in for a fascinating new chapter. It is shaping up to be as promising as it is uncertain. Should their ownership approach worry fans? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
  6. As the Minnesota Twins continue to shape their roster for 2025, they find themselves at a crossroads in deciding which veteran presence could best serve their team. Two names stand out: Carlos Santana and Justin Turner. Each offers unique skills and challenges, forcing the Twins to weigh their options carefully, considering their owner-imposed payroll limitations. The Case for Carlos Santana Santana joined the Twins in 2024 and made his mark with Gold Glove-caliber defense at first base. Reports have the Twins interested in a reunion with Santana, if the price is right. While his offensive output was underwhelming (.238/.328/.420 with a 109 OPS+), his ability to anchor the infield defense helped stabilize the team, especially with Alex Kirilloff battling injuries (which eventually led to his retirement). Santana’s leadership and familiarity with the clubhouse make him a known commodity for Rocco Baldelli and his coaching staff. However, Santana won’t come as cheaply this time around. His defensive value and intangibles might command a deal for more than the $5.25 million he signed for last season. The Twins are already navigating a tight budget. Re-signing Santana would limit their ability to address other roster needs, such as finding a right-handed outfielder or bolstering the bullpen. The Case for Justin Turner Turner brings an entirely different profile to the table. At 40 years old, Turner continues to defy Father Time with his bat, slashing .259/.354/.383, with a 114 OPS+ in 139 games. His season ended on a high note, as his OPS+ rose from 107 in Toronto to 128 in Seattle after a midseason trade. Over the last four seasons, he has averaged a 117 OPS+, which is 20 points higher than Santana's during that same period. His offensive production could help the Twins lineup, but there is also a good chance his age will slow him down. Turner’s defensive skills, however, are limited. While he has experience at third and first base, he’s far from a defensive stalwart with -1 OAA last season. The Twins would likely use him primarily as a designated hitter, but that would prevent Baldelli from rotating other hitters through the DH spot, which the manager prefers to be able to do. Turner signed a one-year, $13 million deal last season, and he will likely make significantly less than that this year because his age and defensive limitations make him a riskier bet. The Payroll Crunch The Twins’ financial situation looms large in this decision. Minnesota’s projected payroll already sits north of $140 million when all arbitration salaries are decided, which is $8-10 million over their owner-imposed limit. The team needs to maximize every dollar spent this offseason, especially in the suddenly competitive AL Central. Santana’s familiarity and defense might justify a higher price, but Turner’s offensive production could provide value, especially if the team is confident in its internal options to cover first base defensively. Who Fits Best? This decision ultimately comes down to roster construction. If the Twins prioritize run prevention and wish to maintain stability at first base, Santana is the logical choice. He provides superior defense and is a known leader within the organization. On the other hand, if the Twins believe their offense needs an upgrade, Turner’s bat could provide a boost. His ability to extend at-bats, hit for power, and get on base would deepen a lineup that often went cold in critical situations during the 2024 season. For what it's worth, he's also widely renowned as one of the game's good guys, both in clubhouses and in the community, so off the field, relatively little would be lost by pivoting from Santana to Turner. The front office must decide if the elder of two superannuated veterans is a good fit, when both players will likely see a slight overall decline in 2025. Santana and Turner bring unique strengths, but their weaknesses reflect the Twins’ broader challenges this offseason. Payroll constraints mean that every decision will have ripple effects across the roster. If the Twins can find affordable defensive depth elsewhere, Turner might provide the offensive spark they need. However, Santana remains the safer choice if they want to maintain defensive consistency and leadership. Ultimately, this decision will reveal the Twins’ priorities for 2025: will they double down on defense and familiarity or gamble on an aging but productive bat? Either way, Minnesota’s front office must thread the needle carefully. Who is a better fit for the 2025 Twins? Santana? Turner? Leave a comment and start the discussion.
  7. The Twins saw what Carlos Santana could bring to the team during the 2024 campaign. Does a reunion with the first baseman make sense, or is another veteran a better option? Image courtesy of © Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images As the Minnesota Twins continue to shape their roster for 2025, they find themselves at a crossroads in deciding which veteran presence could best serve their team. Two names stand out: Carlos Santana and Justin Turner. Each offers unique skills and challenges, forcing the Twins to weigh their options carefully, considering their owner-imposed payroll limitations. The Case for Carlos Santana Santana joined the Twins in 2024 and made his mark with Gold Glove-caliber defense at first base. Reports have the Twins interested in a reunion with Santana, if the price is right. While his offensive output was underwhelming (.238/.328/.420 with a 109 OPS+), his ability to anchor the infield defense helped stabilize the team, especially with Alex Kirilloff battling injuries (which eventually led to his retirement). Santana’s leadership and familiarity with the clubhouse make him a known commodity for Rocco Baldelli and his coaching staff. However, Santana won’t come as cheaply this time around. His defensive value and intangibles might command a deal for more than the $5.25 million he signed for last season. The Twins are already navigating a tight budget. Re-signing Santana would limit their ability to address other roster needs, such as finding a right-handed outfielder or bolstering the bullpen. The Case for Justin Turner Turner brings an entirely different profile to the table. At 40 years old, Turner continues to defy Father Time with his bat, slashing .259/.354/.383, with a 114 OPS+ in 139 games. His season ended on a high note, as his OPS+ rose from 107 in Toronto to 128 in Seattle after a midseason trade. Over the last four seasons, he has averaged a 117 OPS+, which is 20 points higher than Santana's during that same period. His offensive production could help the Twins lineup, but there is also a good chance his age will slow him down. Turner’s defensive skills, however, are limited. While he has experience at third and first base, he’s far from a defensive stalwart with -1 OAA last season. The Twins would likely use him primarily as a designated hitter, but that would prevent Baldelli from rotating other hitters through the DH spot, which the manager prefers to be able to do. Turner signed a one-year, $13 million deal last season, and he will likely make significantly less than that this year because his age and defensive limitations make him a riskier bet. The Payroll Crunch The Twins’ financial situation looms large in this decision. Minnesota’s projected payroll already sits north of $140 million when all arbitration salaries are decided, which is $8-10 million over their owner-imposed limit. The team needs to maximize every dollar spent this offseason, especially in the suddenly competitive AL Central. Santana’s familiarity and defense might justify a higher price, but Turner’s offensive production could provide value, especially if the team is confident in its internal options to cover first base defensively. Who Fits Best? This decision ultimately comes down to roster construction. If the Twins prioritize run prevention and wish to maintain stability at first base, Santana is the logical choice. He provides superior defense and is a known leader within the organization. On the other hand, if the Twins believe their offense needs an upgrade, Turner’s bat could provide a boost. His ability to extend at-bats, hit for power, and get on base would deepen a lineup that often went cold in critical situations during the 2024 season. For what it's worth, he's also widely renowned as one of the game's good guys, both in clubhouses and in the community, so off the field, relatively little would be lost by pivoting from Santana to Turner. The front office must decide if the elder of two superannuated veterans is a good fit, when both players will likely see a slight overall decline in 2025. Santana and Turner bring unique strengths, but their weaknesses reflect the Twins’ broader challenges this offseason. Payroll constraints mean that every decision will have ripple effects across the roster. If the Twins can find affordable defensive depth elsewhere, Turner might provide the offensive spark they need. However, Santana remains the safer choice if they want to maintain defensive consistency and leadership. Ultimately, this decision will reveal the Twins’ priorities for 2025: will they double down on defense and familiarity or gamble on an aging but productive bat? Either way, Minnesota’s front office must thread the needle carefully. Who is a better fit for the 2025 Twins? Santana? Turner? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
  8. Royce Lewis is at a critical juncture in his professional career. He has shown flashes of brilliance, but injuries and inconsistent performances have clouded his trajectory. With four years of team control remaining, the Twins should consider offering Lewis a contract extension now, which could benefit both the player and the organization. 1. Injuries Have Limited Lewis’ Early Career Lewis’ path to the big leagues has been anything but smooth. His injury timeline reads like a horror novel, especially with the high expectations surrounding him as the number-one overall pick. He tore his ACL in February 2021 and missed 186 games. Just 12 games after returning to the Twins, Lewis tore his ACL again in May 2022 and missed 189 games. In July 2023, Lewis missed 36 games with an oblique strain and another 11 games in September with a right hamstring strain. Last season, he left Opening Day with a quad injury that cost him 60 games. He had an abductor injury in early July and missed 17 games. His extensive injury history could help the Twins sign him for a more team-friendly deal. 2. Poor Performance in 2024 Despite these setbacks, Lewis returned to the field in 2024 and showcased his resilience, but his campaign ended on a sour note. His offensive numbers slumped in the second half (.620 OPS), and questions about his defensive future persisted. In September, his performance was particularly rough. In his final 22 games, he went 12-for-80 (.150 BA) with 21 strikeouts and a .406 OPS. Baseball-Reference pegs his WPA during this stretch as being worth -1.63 wins. Extending Lewis now allows the Twins to lock in a player who could still develop into a star while accounting for the inconsistencies in his overall performance. 3. The Uncertain Defensive Future Once projected as the Twins' shortstop of the future, Lewis has seen his defensive assignments shift. Carlos Correa’s presence has pushed Lewis to third base, and discussions have been held about moving him to second base for 2025. While he has shown versatility, he hasn’t excelled defensively at any position. He was worth 2 OAA at third base last season and -1 OAA at second in minimal action. There were concerns about his throwing mechanics at third base and a shift to second might be the team’s best long-term option. Minnesota had Lewis start working out at second base, and he was vocal about not wanting to switch positions in the middle of a division race. He started one game at second and combined for eight innings at the new position. These factors create an opportunity for the Twins to approach Lewis with an extension at a time when his market value might be lower than it could be after a healthy and productive season. Why an Extension Makes Sense for Lewis Coming off a subpar finish to 2024 and with an injury history, Lewis might be open to financial security through an extension. While most Scott Boras clients opt to test free agency, there are exceptions. Recent deals for players in similar situations demonstrate the value of an early extension. Ke’Bryan Hayes (Pittsburgh Pirates): In 2022, Hayes signed an eight-year, $70 million deal with the Pirates, securing financial stability despite questions about his offensive upside. Lewis, whose potential offensive ceiling is higher, could sign a comparable or slightly larger deal to reflect his talent. Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): While Franco’s extension (11 years, $182 million) represents a higher tier of talent, the Rays prioritized long-term control early in his career. Franco has faced off-the-field issues that will prevent him from earning this contract. The Twins could offer Lewis a scaled-down version, perhaps seven years, $90 million, to account for his injury history. The Boras Factor Scott Boras’ clients are known for seeking maximum value in free agency. Yet, extensions are not unheard of under his representation. Stephen Strasburg’s $175 million extension with the Nationals before free agency demonstrates that Boras’ stance is negotiable under the right circumstances. It could appeal to both sides if the Twins offer Lewis a deal that secures his financial future while allowing him to hit the market while he's still young enough to get a longer contract offer. Why the Twins Should Act Now The Twins have built their roster around a mix of veterans and young talent. Locking up Lewis could help solidify their core and send a message of commitment to winning. Additionally, early extensions often come at a discount compared to the contracts players receive closer to free agency. Offering Lewis a deal now before he fully breaks out could save the Twins significant money while providing stability for the player. Lewis has the talent to be a cornerstone player for the Twins. By offering him a contract extension now, the team can mitigate the risks associated with his injury history while securing a potential bargain on a high-upside player. The timing is ideal, as Lewis might value financial security more than ever, and the Twins can ensure he remains a key part of their future plans. Whether or not Boras and Lewis entertain the idea, it’s a conversation the Twins should start sooner rather than later. How much should the Twins offer Lewis? Is the time right to offer him an extension? Leave a comment and start the discussion.
  9. The Twins and Royce Lewis are coming off a disappointing end to the 2024 season. Here are three reasons why now might be the right time for the two sides to work on a contract extension. Image courtesy of Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports Royce Lewis is at a critical juncture in his professional career. He has shown flashes of brilliance, but injuries and inconsistent performances have clouded his trajectory. With four years of team control remaining, the Twins should consider offering Lewis a contract extension now, which could benefit both the player and the organization. 1. Injuries Have Limited Lewis’ Early Career Lewis’ path to the big leagues has been anything but smooth. His injury timeline reads like a horror novel, especially with the high expectations surrounding him as the number-one overall pick. He tore his ACL in February 2021 and missed 186 games. Just 12 games after returning to the Twins, Lewis tore his ACL again in May 2022 and missed 189 games. In July 2023, Lewis missed 36 games with an oblique strain and another 11 games in September with a right hamstring strain. Last season, he left Opening Day with a quad injury that cost him 60 games. He had an abductor injury in early July and missed 17 games. His extensive injury history could help the Twins sign him for a more team-friendly deal. 2. Poor Performance in 2024 Despite these setbacks, Lewis returned to the field in 2024 and showcased his resilience, but his campaign ended on a sour note. His offensive numbers slumped in the second half (.620 OPS), and questions about his defensive future persisted. In September, his performance was particularly rough. In his final 22 games, he went 12-for-80 (.150 BA) with 21 strikeouts and a .406 OPS. Baseball-Reference pegs his WPA during this stretch as being worth -1.63 wins. Extending Lewis now allows the Twins to lock in a player who could still develop into a star while accounting for the inconsistencies in his overall performance. 3. The Uncertain Defensive Future Once projected as the Twins' shortstop of the future, Lewis has seen his defensive assignments shift. Carlos Correa’s presence has pushed Lewis to third base, and discussions have been held about moving him to second base for 2025. While he has shown versatility, he hasn’t excelled defensively at any position. He was worth 2 OAA at third base last season and -1 OAA at second in minimal action. There were concerns about his throwing mechanics at third base and a shift to second might be the team’s best long-term option. Minnesota had Lewis start working out at second base, and he was vocal about not wanting to switch positions in the middle of a division race. He started one game at second and combined for eight innings at the new position. These factors create an opportunity for the Twins to approach Lewis with an extension at a time when his market value might be lower than it could be after a healthy and productive season. Why an Extension Makes Sense for Lewis Coming off a subpar finish to 2024 and with an injury history, Lewis might be open to financial security through an extension. While most Scott Boras clients opt to test free agency, there are exceptions. Recent deals for players in similar situations demonstrate the value of an early extension. Ke’Bryan Hayes (Pittsburgh Pirates): In 2022, Hayes signed an eight-year, $70 million deal with the Pirates, securing financial stability despite questions about his offensive upside. Lewis, whose potential offensive ceiling is higher, could sign a comparable or slightly larger deal to reflect his talent. Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): While Franco’s extension (11 years, $182 million) represents a higher tier of talent, the Rays prioritized long-term control early in his career. Franco has faced off-the-field issues that will prevent him from earning this contract. The Twins could offer Lewis a scaled-down version, perhaps seven years, $90 million, to account for his injury history. The Boras Factor Scott Boras’ clients are known for seeking maximum value in free agency. Yet, extensions are not unheard of under his representation. Stephen Strasburg’s $175 million extension with the Nationals before free agency demonstrates that Boras’ stance is negotiable under the right circumstances. It could appeal to both sides if the Twins offer Lewis a deal that secures his financial future while allowing him to hit the market while he's still young enough to get a longer contract offer. Why the Twins Should Act Now The Twins have built their roster around a mix of veterans and young talent. Locking up Lewis could help solidify their core and send a message of commitment to winning. Additionally, early extensions often come at a discount compared to the contracts players receive closer to free agency. Offering Lewis a deal now before he fully breaks out could save the Twins significant money while providing stability for the player. Lewis has the talent to be a cornerstone player for the Twins. By offering him a contract extension now, the team can mitigate the risks associated with his injury history while securing a potential bargain on a high-upside player. The timing is ideal, as Lewis might value financial security more than ever, and the Twins can ensure he remains a key part of their future plans. Whether or not Boras and Lewis entertain the idea, it’s a conversation the Twins should start sooner rather than later. How much should the Twins offer Lewis? Is the time right to offer him an extension? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
  10. MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred has introduced many ideas during his tenure that have changed the game. From the pitch clock to bigger bases, baseball is trying to grow its audience by altering the on-field product. Recently, Matthew Lenz explained the Gold Batter rule and explained that it could be something that breaks traditional baseball fans. In that piece, he said, “In short, the idea is that a team could send their best hitter to the plate regardless of where their spot was in the batting order once a game. So instead of (say) Christian Vázquez being forced to hit in a crucial at-bat, the Twins could use their ‘Golden At-Bat’ and have Royce Lewis get the chance instead.” Here are some of the most significant Twins moments seen through the lens of revisionist history. How could the “Golden Batter” rule alter the team’s biggest games? 1965 World Series, Game 7 Bottom of the 5th, 1 Out Frank Quilici doubled with one out in the inning to bring the tying run to the plate. Rich Rollins was used as a pinch hitter against Sandy Koufax and worked the count full before drawing a walk and putting two runners on. Zoilo Versalles was up next, and there is no way the Twins would use the Golden Batter rule for the man who won the AL MVP that year. He hit a hard liner to third base for the second out of the inning. However, the man batting after him was Joe Nossek, a batter who posted a .556 OPS during the regular season and might have provided the team with the perfect time to get back in the game. The season was on the line, and Harmon Killebrew and his mighty swing could have used the Golden Batter rule to step in and change World Series history for the Twins. He had already hit one home run early in the series and was getting on base over 44% of the time in the seven-game set. Killebrew had ten plate appearances against Koufax in his career and went 4-for-9 (.444 BA) with one walk and one strikeout. It could have provided a Hall of Fame moment for the two players who eventually ended up in Cooperstown. 1987 World Series, Game 7 Bottom of the 5th, 1 Out The Twins ran into multiple outs during the bottom of the fifth inning as the team tried to take the lead in a winner-take-all Game 7. Greg Gagne knocked a one-out single to get the inning started before Kirby Puckett drove him in with a double. Gary Gaetti followed with a walk to put two base runners on with one out. In the game, Don Baylor was batting, and Puckett was thrown out while trying to steal third. Baylor singled later in the at-bat, but Gaetti was thrown out trying to score from second. The scoring opportunity died on the bases, and the Twins had to find other ways to score in the late innings. Since Danny Cox, a right-handed hitter, was on the mound, the Twins could have used the Golden Batter rule to allow Kent Hrbek to bat in place of Baylor. Baylor had a tremendous World Series, going 5-for-13 (.385 BA) with a home run. However, the Twins could have played the platoon advantage with Hrbek, who hit a grand slam in Game 6. Perhaps using the Golden Batter rule would have stopped the Twins from running their batters into the outs during that inning. 1991 World Series, Game 7 Bottom of the 2nd, 2 Outs Game 7 of the 1991 World Series is arguably one of baseball’s greatest games. However, the Golden Batter rule could have changed the outcome in favor of either team. It was only going to take one run to win this game, so both teams would have used the Golden Batter rule at some point. Some of Minnesota’s biggest moments in the game came in the bottom of the 8th or the bottom of the 10th inning. However, one moment earlier in the game might have produced a golden opportunity. In the bottom of the second inning, Brian Harper and Shane Mack had back-to-back singles with two outs in the frame. Third baseman Mike Pagliarulo, the number eight hitter, was due up next and the Twins could have substituted another hitter in his place. Minnesota could have played the platoon advantage or sent up their best hitter. Puckett had his signature moment in Game 6 with the walk-off home run, but this would have given him an opportunity in Game 7. Tom Kelly could use the Golden Batter rule and never look back from the team’s second World Series title. Game 163 (2009) Bottom of the 9th, 2 Outs The Twins were going to send the Metrodome out with a bang, and that happened in one of the most dramatic ways. The Twins and Tigers battled back and forth for twelve innings before Minnesota came out on top. Alexi Casilla drove in Carlos Gómez with a single in extra-innings, and over 50,000 Twins fans exploded as Gómez slid headfirst into home plate. However, the Golden Batter rule could have saved some late-inning heroics. Minnesota had a chance to win the game in the bottom of the ninth with two outs. Nick Punto had walked to start the inning before moving to second on a Denard Span bunt. Joe Mauer was intentionally walked with first base open, so Gómez stepped up with a chance to end the game. It would be interesting to see how this rule could be used in this situation. It would make the most sense for the Twins to have Mauer bat again since he was the eventual AL MVP. Minnesota only needed a single to let Punto score from second. Bring Mauer up to end the game. Many lifelong baseball fans will be trepidatious about any rule change. However, it's fun to look back at Twins history and see how moments could have changed with a different batter at the plate. What other moments from Twins history would have been altered by this rule change? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
  11. The Minnesota Twins have a storied history, but MLB’s proposed “Golden Batter” rule could have altered some of their greatest moments. How would this one not-so-simple rule have changed the team’s history? Image courtesy of © Leon Halip-USA TODAY Sports MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred has introduced many ideas during his tenure that have changed the game. From the pitch clock to bigger bases, baseball is trying to grow its audience by altering the on-field product. Recently, Matthew Lenz explained the Gold Batter rule and explained that it could be something that breaks traditional baseball fans. In that piece, he said, “In short, the idea is that a team could send their best hitter to the plate regardless of where their spot was in the batting order once a game. So instead of (say) Christian Vázquez being forced to hit in a crucial at-bat, the Twins could use their ‘Golden At-Bat’ and have Royce Lewis get the chance instead.” Here are some of the most significant Twins moments seen through the lens of revisionist history. How could the “Golden Batter” rule alter the team’s biggest games? 1965 World Series, Game 7 Bottom of the 5th, 1 Out Frank Quilici doubled with one out in the inning to bring the tying run to the plate. Rich Rollins was used as a pinch hitter against Sandy Koufax and worked the count full before drawing a walk and putting two runners on. Zoilo Versalles was up next, and there is no way the Twins would use the Golden Batter rule for the man who won the AL MVP that year. He hit a hard liner to third base for the second out of the inning. However, the man batting after him was Joe Nossek, a batter who posted a .556 OPS during the regular season and might have provided the team with the perfect time to get back in the game. The season was on the line, and Harmon Killebrew and his mighty swing could have used the Golden Batter rule to step in and change World Series history for the Twins. He had already hit one home run early in the series and was getting on base over 44% of the time in the seven-game set. Killebrew had ten plate appearances against Koufax in his career and went 4-for-9 (.444 BA) with one walk and one strikeout. It could have provided a Hall of Fame moment for the two players who eventually ended up in Cooperstown. 1987 World Series, Game 7 Bottom of the 5th, 1 Out The Twins ran into multiple outs during the bottom of the fifth inning as the team tried to take the lead in a winner-take-all Game 7. Greg Gagne knocked a one-out single to get the inning started before Kirby Puckett drove him in with a double. Gary Gaetti followed with a walk to put two base runners on with one out. In the game, Don Baylor was batting, and Puckett was thrown out while trying to steal third. Baylor singled later in the at-bat, but Gaetti was thrown out trying to score from second. The scoring opportunity died on the bases, and the Twins had to find other ways to score in the late innings. Since Danny Cox, a right-handed hitter, was on the mound, the Twins could have used the Golden Batter rule to allow Kent Hrbek to bat in place of Baylor. Baylor had a tremendous World Series, going 5-for-13 (.385 BA) with a home run. However, the Twins could have played the platoon advantage with Hrbek, who hit a grand slam in Game 6. Perhaps using the Golden Batter rule would have stopped the Twins from running their batters into the outs during that inning. 1991 World Series, Game 7 Bottom of the 2nd, 2 Outs Game 7 of the 1991 World Series is arguably one of baseball’s greatest games. However, the Golden Batter rule could have changed the outcome in favor of either team. It was only going to take one run to win this game, so both teams would have used the Golden Batter rule at some point. Some of Minnesota’s biggest moments in the game came in the bottom of the 8th or the bottom of the 10th inning. However, one moment earlier in the game might have produced a golden opportunity. In the bottom of the second inning, Brian Harper and Shane Mack had back-to-back singles with two outs in the frame. Third baseman Mike Pagliarulo, the number eight hitter, was due up next and the Twins could have substituted another hitter in his place. Minnesota could have played the platoon advantage or sent up their best hitter. Puckett had his signature moment in Game 6 with the walk-off home run, but this would have given him an opportunity in Game 7. Tom Kelly could use the Golden Batter rule and never look back from the team’s second World Series title. Game 163 (2009) Bottom of the 9th, 2 Outs The Twins were going to send the Metrodome out with a bang, and that happened in one of the most dramatic ways. The Twins and Tigers battled back and forth for twelve innings before Minnesota came out on top. Alexi Casilla drove in Carlos Gómez with a single in extra-innings, and over 50,000 Twins fans exploded as Gómez slid headfirst into home plate. However, the Golden Batter rule could have saved some late-inning heroics. Minnesota had a chance to win the game in the bottom of the ninth with two outs. Nick Punto had walked to start the inning before moving to second on a Denard Span bunt. Joe Mauer was intentionally walked with first base open, so Gómez stepped up with a chance to end the game. It would be interesting to see how this rule could be used in this situation. It would make the most sense for the Twins to have Mauer bat again since he was the eventual AL MVP. Minnesota only needed a single to let Punto score from second. Bring Mauer up to end the game. Many lifelong baseball fans will be trepidatious about any rule change. However, it's fun to look back at Twins history and see how moments could have changed with a different batter at the plate. What other moments from Twins history would have been altered by this rule change? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
  12. When the Minnesota Twins signed Carlos Correa to a six-year, $200 million contract before the 2023 season, it marked the largest free-agent deal in franchise history. For a team in a mid-market like Minnesota, making such a significant commitment was a bold statement of intent. Now, two years into the deal, it's fair to ask: does the front office have any regrets? The Market for Shortstops To evaluate Correa’s contract, it helps to compare it to recent deals signed by similar players. This winter, Willy Adames agreed to a seven-year, $182 million contract with the San Francisco Giants. Adames is one year younger than Correa, but his offensive and defensive profile fall short of Correa’s overall value. Adames has averaged a 108 OPS+ over the last three seasons, while Correa has a 124 OPS+ during that same period. From this perspective, Correa’s deal looks better than ever. The Twins secured a player with a proven track record of postseason success, leadership qualities, and a balanced skill set at a premium position. Correa has a guaranteed $104.7 million remaining on the final four years of his deal. Even as contracts across MLB continue to escalate, Correa's $33.3 million average annual value (AAV) remains reasonable for a player of his caliber. Trade Rumors and Scott Boras’s Reassurances Despite the contract’s apparent value, trade rumors have swirled around Correa this winter. With Minnesota looking to trim payroll after a disappointing 2024 season, moving Correa’s $33.3 million AAV would create significant financial flexibility. However, such a trade is easier said than done. Correa’s full no-trade clause gives him complete control over his destination, and his agent, Scott Boras, has publicly stated that Correa is happy in Minnesota. “The last time I talked to him, he told me the fishing was good,” Boras told reporters during the Winter Meetings. “So, yeah, he’s happy there.” This loyalty is a double-edged sword. While it reinforces Correa’s dedication to the organization, it also complicates trade negotiations. If Correa were to waive his no-trade clause, it would likely require assurances that he’d land in a situation he views as favorable. That’s also assuming the Twins could find a partner willing to take on the remaining four years of his deal. It still seems more likely than not that Correa will remain in a Twins uniform for Opening Day 2025. The Optics of a Trade Trading Correa so soon after signing him would raise significant questions about the team’s ability to attract future free agents. A move like this could signal to top-tier players that Minnesota isn’t a stable long-term destination, making it harder for the Twins to secure premium talent in upcoming offseasons. Minnesota signed Josh Donaldson to a significant contract and traded him with multiple years remaining on the deal. The franchise already faces challenges competing with larger markets, and dealing Correa could exacerbate those issues. The Twins have also positioned Correa as the face of the franchise. His on and off the field leadership has been praised, and he’s served as a mentor for the team’s younger players. Removing that presence could create a leadership void that would be difficult to fill. The Case for Keeping Correa While Correa’s performance has had its ups and downs, his 2024 season offered a glimpse of why the Twins made such a substantial investment. He was the team’s MVP for the first half of the year, posting one of the best stretches of his career before a late-season injury derailed his momentum. If healthy, Correa remains a player capable of anchoring the lineup and delivering elite defense at shortstop. Furthermore, with Adames’ contract setting a new market baseline, Correa’s deal no longer feels like an overpay. As the Twins navigate a tricky financial situation, keeping Correa may actually represent stability in a volatile landscape. While there are legitimate reasons for the Twins to explore trading Correa, the complications surrounding such a move outweigh the potential benefits. His full no-trade clause, leadership value, and market-relative contract make him a key piece of Minnesota’s roster, and he’d be challenging to replace. Moreover, trading Correa could harm the Twins’ reputation in future free-agent negotiations, which would be a steep price to pay for immediate payroll relief. For now, the Twins appear committed to their decision from two years ago. And while there may be moments of second-guessing, Correa remains a cornerstone of the team’s plans. He is a bet they hope will pay off in the coming years. Do the Twins regret the Correa signing? Leave a comment and start the discussion.
  13. Two years ago, the Twins signed Carlos Correa to the largest contract in franchise history. Does the front office have any regrets about this massive deal? The answer is more complicated than it seems. Image courtesy of Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports When the Minnesota Twins signed Carlos Correa to a six-year, $200 million contract before the 2023 season, it marked the largest free-agent deal in franchise history. For a team in a mid-market like Minnesota, making such a significant commitment was a bold statement of intent. Now, two years into the deal, it's fair to ask: does the front office have any regrets? The Market for Shortstops To evaluate Correa’s contract, it helps to compare it to recent deals signed by similar players. This winter, Willy Adames agreed to a seven-year, $182 million contract with the San Francisco Giants. Adames is one year younger than Correa, but his offensive and defensive profile fall short of Correa’s overall value. Adames has averaged a 108 OPS+ over the last three seasons, while Correa has a 124 OPS+ during that same period. From this perspective, Correa’s deal looks better than ever. The Twins secured a player with a proven track record of postseason success, leadership qualities, and a balanced skill set at a premium position. Correa has a guaranteed $104.7 million remaining on the final four years of his deal. Even as contracts across MLB continue to escalate, Correa's $33.3 million average annual value (AAV) remains reasonable for a player of his caliber. Trade Rumors and Scott Boras’s Reassurances Despite the contract’s apparent value, trade rumors have swirled around Correa this winter. With Minnesota looking to trim payroll after a disappointing 2024 season, moving Correa’s $33.3 million AAV would create significant financial flexibility. However, such a trade is easier said than done. Correa’s full no-trade clause gives him complete control over his destination, and his agent, Scott Boras, has publicly stated that Correa is happy in Minnesota. “The last time I talked to him, he told me the fishing was good,” Boras told reporters during the Winter Meetings. “So, yeah, he’s happy there.” This loyalty is a double-edged sword. While it reinforces Correa’s dedication to the organization, it also complicates trade negotiations. If Correa were to waive his no-trade clause, it would likely require assurances that he’d land in a situation he views as favorable. That’s also assuming the Twins could find a partner willing to take on the remaining four years of his deal. It still seems more likely than not that Correa will remain in a Twins uniform for Opening Day 2025. The Optics of a Trade Trading Correa so soon after signing him would raise significant questions about the team’s ability to attract future free agents. A move like this could signal to top-tier players that Minnesota isn’t a stable long-term destination, making it harder for the Twins to secure premium talent in upcoming offseasons. Minnesota signed Josh Donaldson to a significant contract and traded him with multiple years remaining on the deal. The franchise already faces challenges competing with larger markets, and dealing Correa could exacerbate those issues. The Twins have also positioned Correa as the face of the franchise. His on and off the field leadership has been praised, and he’s served as a mentor for the team’s younger players. Removing that presence could create a leadership void that would be difficult to fill. The Case for Keeping Correa While Correa’s performance has had its ups and downs, his 2024 season offered a glimpse of why the Twins made such a substantial investment. He was the team’s MVP for the first half of the year, posting one of the best stretches of his career before a late-season injury derailed his momentum. If healthy, Correa remains a player capable of anchoring the lineup and delivering elite defense at shortstop. Furthermore, with Adames’ contract setting a new market baseline, Correa’s deal no longer feels like an overpay. As the Twins navigate a tricky financial situation, keeping Correa may actually represent stability in a volatile landscape. While there are legitimate reasons for the Twins to explore trading Correa, the complications surrounding such a move outweigh the potential benefits. His full no-trade clause, leadership value, and market-relative contract make him a key piece of Minnesota’s roster, and he’d be challenging to replace. Moreover, trading Correa could harm the Twins’ reputation in future free-agent negotiations, which would be a steep price to pay for immediate payroll relief. For now, the Twins appear committed to their decision from two years ago. And while there may be moments of second-guessing, Correa remains a cornerstone of the team’s plans. He is a bet they hope will pay off in the coming years. Do the Twins regret the Correa signing? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
  14. Yes, I don't think there is any reason to rush him. Let him get comfortable at each level while continuing to work on his swing.
  15. That would be a great long-term comp. Hopefully, Amick continues to develop. I don't think he has the skill set to hit for as high of an average as Molitor.
  16. I think the Twins feel like Lee will be the team's current third base plan. I also think there might be a time in the coming years where Correa needs to move off of shortstop and third base is a logical next step. Amick will likely get opportunities at multiple positions as he climbs the organizational ladder.
  17. Minnesota’s current front office regime has focused on certain player types in the MLB Draft. These picks have included using mid-round picks on right-handed college pitchers and focusing on college bats with higher floors. Billy Amick fits this mold. The Twins took him with their second-round pick in 2024 from the University of Tennessee, and he made a strong impression during his professional debut. Amick put himself on the draft board map during his junior season, as he had a power explosion. In 65 games, he hit .306/.387/.639, with 14 doubles and 26 home runs. He had 53 strikeouts in 255 at-bats, but drew 29 walks—10 more than in any other college season. He played the majority of his defensive innings at third base, but he’s also seen time at first base and second base. Plenty of strong signs pointed to teams being interested in him as an early-round draft pick. Potential Hidden Upside Amick’s professional career began in the Florida State League. Over 18 games with Fort Myers, the 21-year-old slashed .222/.351/.413, with three doubles and three home runs. He showcased a well-rounded offensive profile, including nearly as many walks (12) as strikeouts. Even as a right-handed batter, he performed better against righties with a .853 OPS, nearly 350 points higher than against lefties. His sample size was small against southpaws (19 PA), so there is room for him to improve in 2025. Some of those numbers might be underwhelming, but they matter only insofar as they prove his skill set as a general concept. What truly stood out during his debut was his hard-hit rate. According to Statcast data, Amick’s 104 MPH exit velocity ranked in the 90th percentile, a remarkable feat for a player fresh out of college. He also posted a 70.1 Contact%, 18.0 In Zone Whiff%, 25.0 Chase%, and 55.0 Ground%. His bat-to-ball skills will be something to monitor next season, but there is room for optimism. Around 43% of Amick’s batted balls have been hit 95 mph or harder, close to 10% above average for A-ball. Scouts rave about his compact swing, which generates both line-drive power and the potential for 20-plus home runs annually. College Experience: A Fast-Track Asset Amick’s three years of collegiate experience positioned him to become a fast-moving prospect in the Twins' system. Unlike many younger draftees who require extended time in the minors to adjust to professional pitching, Amick has already demonstrated he can handle advanced competition. His maturity at the plate, combined with an excellent defensive foundation, makes it plausible for him to start next season at High-A, despite only 63 at-bats as a professional. Once Amick opens the season with the High-A Cedar Rapids Kernels, there is the potential for a midseason promotion to Double-A Wichita if he continues to hit as expected. While there’s no need to rush his development, the Twins might see Amick as a legitimate option to debut in the majors by early 2026. His college experience makes him a low-risk, high-reward prospect, capable of contributing sooner rather than later. The Road to Third Base Stardom Third base has been a revolving door for the Twins in recent years, with players like José Miranda and Royce Lewis providing mixed results. With no clear long-term solution at the hot corner, Amick has a real opportunity to solidify himself as the future of the position. His strong arm, soft hands, and solid lateral quickness make him a dependable defender, while his offensive tools point to an above-average regular. Amick’s rise mirrors those of other polished college hitters who have ascended prospect rankings in recent years. MLB Pipeline currently lists him outside baseball’s top-100 prospects but listed him as the 10th-best third base prospect near the season’s end. A strong 2025 campaign could move him up that list, with a chance to be a borderline top-100 prospect. Amick is the kind of player every organization covets, one with both a high floor and an enticing ceiling. With a blend of power, plate discipline, and defensive acumen, he has all the tools to be an impact player at the major-league level. Keep an eye on Amick as he progresses through the Twins' system. What are your initial impressions of Amick? Is he one of baseball’s top third-base prospects? Leave a comment and start the discussion.
  18. Lots of shuffling happens on baseball’s top prospect lists in the cold winter months. Does one recent Twins draft pick already rank among baseball’s best third-base prospects? Image courtesy of Fort Myers Mighty Mussels (Photo of Billy Amick) Minnesota’s current front office regime has focused on certain player types in the MLB Draft. These picks have included using mid-round picks on right-handed college pitchers and focusing on college bats with higher floors. Billy Amick fits this mold. The Twins took him with their second-round pick in 2024 from the University of Tennessee, and he made a strong impression during his professional debut. Amick put himself on the draft board map during his junior season, as he had a power explosion. In 65 games, he hit .306/.387/.639, with 14 doubles and 26 home runs. He had 53 strikeouts in 255 at-bats, but drew 29 walks—10 more than in any other college season. He played the majority of his defensive innings at third base, but he’s also seen time at first base and second base. Plenty of strong signs pointed to teams being interested in him as an early-round draft pick. Potential Hidden Upside Amick’s professional career began in the Florida State League. Over 18 games with Fort Myers, the 21-year-old slashed .222/.351/.413, with three doubles and three home runs. He showcased a well-rounded offensive profile, including nearly as many walks (12) as strikeouts. Even as a right-handed batter, he performed better against righties with a .853 OPS, nearly 350 points higher than against lefties. His sample size was small against southpaws (19 PA), so there is room for him to improve in 2025. Some of those numbers might be underwhelming, but they matter only insofar as they prove his skill set as a general concept. What truly stood out during his debut was his hard-hit rate. According to Statcast data, Amick’s 104 MPH exit velocity ranked in the 90th percentile, a remarkable feat for a player fresh out of college. He also posted a 70.1 Contact%, 18.0 In Zone Whiff%, 25.0 Chase%, and 55.0 Ground%. His bat-to-ball skills will be something to monitor next season, but there is room for optimism. Around 43% of Amick’s batted balls have been hit 95 mph or harder, close to 10% above average for A-ball. Scouts rave about his compact swing, which generates both line-drive power and the potential for 20-plus home runs annually. College Experience: A Fast-Track Asset Amick’s three years of collegiate experience positioned him to become a fast-moving prospect in the Twins' system. Unlike many younger draftees who require extended time in the minors to adjust to professional pitching, Amick has already demonstrated he can handle advanced competition. His maturity at the plate, combined with an excellent defensive foundation, makes it plausible for him to start next season at High-A, despite only 63 at-bats as a professional. Once Amick opens the season with the High-A Cedar Rapids Kernels, there is the potential for a midseason promotion to Double-A Wichita if he continues to hit as expected. While there’s no need to rush his development, the Twins might see Amick as a legitimate option to debut in the majors by early 2026. His college experience makes him a low-risk, high-reward prospect, capable of contributing sooner rather than later. The Road to Third Base Stardom Third base has been a revolving door for the Twins in recent years, with players like José Miranda and Royce Lewis providing mixed results. With no clear long-term solution at the hot corner, Amick has a real opportunity to solidify himself as the future of the position. His strong arm, soft hands, and solid lateral quickness make him a dependable defender, while his offensive tools point to an above-average regular. Amick’s rise mirrors those of other polished college hitters who have ascended prospect rankings in recent years. MLB Pipeline currently lists him outside baseball’s top-100 prospects but listed him as the 10th-best third base prospect near the season’s end. A strong 2025 campaign could move him up that list, with a chance to be a borderline top-100 prospect. Amick is the kind of player every organization covets, one with both a high floor and an enticing ceiling. With a blend of power, plate discipline, and defensive acumen, he has all the tools to be an impact player at the major-league level. Keep an eye on Amick as he progresses through the Twins' system. What are your initial impressions of Amick? Is he one of baseball’s top third-base prospects? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
  19. For multiple reasons, the Twins weren’t expected to be active during MLB’s Winter Meetings. The team is in a tight financial situation, so there is little room to add players in free agency. Also, the front office has tended to use a patient approach to trading and signing players, which has pros and cons. Minnesota has one of the highest floors among AL teams entering the offseason, with their roster projected as the league’s fourth-best. However, many fans are clamoring for change after the team’s disastrous collapse to finish the 2024 campaign. With that as a backdrop, here are three questions that the front office will need to answer in the coming months. Each answer will have long-term ramifications. 1. Will the Team Trade Carlos Correa? Rumors around the Twins taking calls on Correa were the most significant news out of the meetings. Correa has proven himself to be one of the team’s most valuable players when he has been healthy, but plantar fasciitis has limited him over the last two seasons. His $30+ million per-season salary is an albatross for an ownership group that dropped payroll last season and is expected to stay around $130 million for the whole roster next year. When the Twins signed Correa, the team’s payroll was rising every season, to the point where it should have been between $165 million and $180 million entering next year. There was room in that expected payroll for Correa, but that might not be the case anymore. Correa has a full no-trade clause, but the Twins might be able to convince him that the team is entering a soft rebuild, and a trade will put him in a better position to win now. It seems likely that the Twins would need to be overwhelmed by a return for Correa to make a deal come to fruition, though. 2. How Can the Front Office Cut Payroll? FanGraphs currently projects the Twins to have a payroll of around $142 million, with arbitration estimates added to the team’s guaranteed contracts. Reports this winter have the Twins' ownership group pushing for the payroll to be closer to $130 million. The most straightforward moves for the Twins are to trade Chris Paddack, Christian Vázquez, and Willi Castro. Those three players could save the Twins around $18 million, but the Twins would likely need to pay part of Vázquez’s salary based on what free-agent catchers have been getting this winter. The Twins can also make a more significant move to free up payroll space. Correa’s contract is the biggest on the team, and his trade situation is mentioned above. Another option is trading Pablo López because he doesn’t have a no-trade clause and is set to make over $21 million next season. The free-agent pitching market has been higher than expected this winter, which might force contending teams to get creative. López would have been a free agent this winter if the Twins hadn’t extended him, and he’d likely get a deal for seven or eight years and over $150 million. Instead, he is due only $21.75 million per season for the next three years. He will have excess value on the trade market, which the front office must consider. 3. How Can the Front Office Improve the Team Despite Payroll Limitations? Derek Falvey made it clear that there are a few ways the team can make improvements, even with the ownership’s payroll limitations. Health has been a significant focus for the Twins in recent years, and that continues to be the crucial question with the team’s three biggest hitters (Correa, Bryon Buxton, and Royce Lewis). Minnesota has also found ways to improve the team’s depth in recent years, so if there are injuries, capable players are on the roster to fill the void. Losing veteran players like Carlos Santana, Max Kepler, and Kyle Farmer are holes that must be filled this winter. The Twins have one of baseball’s strongest farm systems, so they may be able to fill these holes with internal options. Among Twins Daily’s top-20 prospects, 10 players finished at Double or Triple A last season. Many of these players have an opportunity to impact the big-league roster next season. Minnesota also has other young players who played last season, such as Brooks Lee, David Festa, Zebby Matthews, and Austin Martin. This group of players offers another layer of depth, even with questions about their performance from last year. Minnesota's front office is in a challenging spot. Do they trade their superstar player? Can they find wiggle room in the payroll? Is there enough internal depth to be competitive? The answers aren't straightforward, and it's shaping up to be a complex winter for the Twins. How will the Twins’ front office answer these questions? Leave a comment and start the discussion.
  20. MLB’s Winter Meetings are coming to a close, and the Twins created more questions than answers during their time in Dallas. Here are three questions that remain as the team’s offseason begins. Image courtesy of Matt Blewett-Imagn Images For multiple reasons, the Twins weren’t expected to be active during MLB’s Winter Meetings. The team is in a tight financial situation, so there is little room to add players in free agency. Also, the front office has tended to use a patient approach to trading and signing players, which has pros and cons. Minnesota has one of the highest floors among AL teams entering the offseason, with their roster projected as the league’s fourth-best. However, many fans are clamoring for change after the team’s disastrous collapse to finish the 2024 campaign. With that as a backdrop, here are three questions that the front office will need to answer in the coming months. Each answer will have long-term ramifications. 1. Will the Team Trade Carlos Correa? Rumors around the Twins taking calls on Correa were the most significant news out of the winter meetings. Correa has proven himself to be one of the team’s most valuable players when he has been healthy, but plantar fasciitis has limited him over the last two seasons. His $30+ million contract per season is an albatross for an ownership group that dropped payroll last season and is expected to stay around $130 million next year. When the Twins signed Correa, the team’s payroll was rising every season to the point where it should have been between $165-180 million entering next year. There was room in that expected payroll for Correa, but that might not be the case anymore. Correa has a full no-trade clause, but the Twins might be able to convince him that the team is entering a soft rebuild, and a trade will put him in a better position to win now. It seems likely that the Twins would need to be overwhelmed by a return for Correa to make a deal come to fruition. 2. How Can the Front Office Cut Payroll? FanGraphs projects the Twins to have a current payroll of around $142 million, with arbitration estimates added to the team’s current guaranteed contracts. Reports this winter have the Twins ownership group pushing for the payroll to be closer to $130 million. The most straightforward moves for the Twins are to trade Chris Paddack, Christian Vázquez, and Willi Castro. Those three players could save the Twins around $18 million, but the Twins would likely need to pay half of Vázquez’s salary based on what free-agent catchers have been getting this winter. The Twins can also make a more significant move to free up payroll space. Correa’s contract is the biggest on the team, and his trade situation is mentioned above. Another option is trading Pablo López because he doesn’t have a no-trade clause and is set to make over $21 million next season. The free-agent pitching market has been higher than expected this winter, which might force contending teams to get creative. López would have been a free agent this winter (if the Twins hadn’t extended him) and he’d likely get a deal for five years and over $100 million. Instead, he is due only $21.75 million per season for the next three years. He will have excess value on the trade market, which the front office must consider. How Can the Front Office Improve the Team Based on Payroll Limitations? Falvey made it clear at the winter meetings that there are a few ways the team can make improvements, even with the ownership’s payroll limitations. Health has been a significant focus for the Twins in recent years, and that continues to be a focus with the team’s three biggest hitters (Correa, Bryon Buxton, and Royce Lewis). Minnesota has also found ways to improve the team’s depth in recent years, so if there are injuries, capable players are on the roster to fill the void. Losing veteran players like Carlos Santana, Max Kepler, and Kyle Farmer are holes that must be filled this winter. The Twins also have one of baseball’s strongest farm systems, so they may be able to fill these holes with internal options. Among Twins Daily’s top-20 prospects, ten players finished at Double- or Triple-A last season. Many of these players have an opportunity to impact the big-league roster next season. Minnesota also has other young players who played last season, such as Brooks Lee, David Festa, Zebby Matthews, and Austin Martin. This group of players offers another layer of depth, even with questions about their performance from last year. Minnesota's front office is in a challenging spot. Do they trade their superstar player? Can they find wiggle room in the payroll? Is there enough internal depth to be competitive? The answers aren't straightforward, and it's shaping up to be a complex winter for the Twins. How will the Twins’ front office answer these questions? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
  21. The Twins are in an intriguing opportunity space this offseason, with a veteran core and young talent emerging in the high minors. What could the team’s lineup look like in 2028? Image courtesy of © Orlando Ramirez-USA Today Sports The Twins roster disappointed in 2024, but gave opportunities for young players to get their feet wet at the big-league level. Many of the team’s top-ranked prospects played in the high minors last season, so there’s a chance for even more young talent to impact the team next year. The future is full of promise, but there is still development that must happen from key players. Below, you will see Minnesota’s projected lineup and each player’s age during the 2028 campaign. Catcher: Ryan Jeffers (31) Jeffers is coming off a season wherein he played a career-high 122 games, while hitting .226/.300/.432 with a 103 OPS+. Fans know his totals don’t tell the story of his full season. He destroyed the ball in the season’s first two months with a .892 OPS and 26 extra-base hits in his first 51 games. His OPS dipped to .687 in June and July, however, before he reemerged with a .926 OPS in August. Then he ended the year with his worst month (.463 OPS). Jeffers needs to find more consistency at the plate so the team can invest in him long-term. He is only under team control for the next two seasons, so the Twins must extend him before 2028. Other catching options in the organization include Jair Camargo, Ricardo Olivar, and others in the lower minors. First Base: Luke Keaschall (25) Keaschall emerged as one of the organization’s top prospects in 2024, despite playing through an elbow injury that led to Tommy John surgery. In 102 games, he hit .303/.420/.483, with 21 doubles and 15 home runs. Defensively, the Twins had to manage where he played on the field because of his elbow issues. This injury might have been a blessing in disguise, as he was exposed to some positions he hadn’t played regularly, including first base. The Twins value defensive flexibility, so Keaschall won’t be locked into one position. However, first base could be his long-term spot with the players in the team’s long-term plans. The Twins expect Keaschall to be ready for spring training, and he should debut at some point in 2025. Second Base: Royce Lewis (29) The Twins started to get Lewis some reps at second base last season and he is expected to get more time at the position in the coming years. Lewis started the year with a bang with a home run on Opening Day, but he left that game in the third inning with a right quad injury. When he returned, he struggled for the first time in his career, including a .620 OPS in the second half. Minnesota still believes in Lewis as part of the team’s long-term core, but injuries have clearly impeded his development at the big-league level. Lewis will be in his final year of team control in 2028, so it will be interesting to see how he continues to develop and how much he will earn through arbitration. Third Base: Brooks Lee (27) Lee was ranked as one of the team’s top prospects before making his big-league debut last season. He dealt with multiple injuries, including shoulder soreness that led to an IL stint in August due to bicep tendonitis. He was known for his strong offensive approach in the minors, including an .841 OPS in nearly 200 games. Those offensive numbers didn’t follow him to the big-league level, though, as he hit .221/.265/.320 with 10 extra-base hits in 50 games. Some of his struggles could have been tied to his injury issues, but his track record in the minors points to him being an above-average hitter at the big-league level. Lee seems like a prime candidate for the team’s long-term solution at third base, with solid instincts, good hands, and a strong arm. Shortstop: Carlos Correa (33) The 2028 season will be Correa’s final guaranteed year on his contract, with the 2029-32 seasons being team options. Correa’s ongoing issues with plantar fasciitis could make it tough to stick at shortstop when he is 33 years old. Minnesota could switch Correa to third base and Lee to shortstop by 2028 if Correa has lost a step. In 2024, Correa showed he could continue to handle shortstop while providing tremendous offensive value. He hit .308/.377/.520, with 31 extra-base hits in 75 games, and he was selected to his first All-Star Game with the Twins. A full season of Correa playing at that level would put him in the AL MVP conversation. This winter, there has been some conversation about the Twins listening to trade offers for Correa, but the Twins value what he brings to the team, and he has a full no-trade clause, making it likely that he will be around in 2028. Left Field: Emmanuel Rodriguez (25) Rodriguez finished the 2024 season at Triple A, despite being limited to 37 games at Double A because of a thumb injury that led to offseason surgery. He continues to be electric when he is on the field, with an extremely patient approach at the plate and strong defensive ability at multiple outfield positions. In 47 games, he hit .280/.459/.567 with 25 extra-base hits and a 62-to-51 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Rodriguez has played a lot of center field during his professional career, so there is a chance that he will stick at that position over some of the organization’s other options. He will begin the 2025 season at Triple A, and there is a strong chance the Twins will need him early in the season. Center Field: Walker Jenkins (23) Jenkins is one of the top prospects in Twins history, which puts him in the same territory as Joe Mauer and Byron Buxton. Scouts rave about his advanced hit tool, left-handed power, and all-around athleticism. In 2024, he hit .282/.394/.439, with 32 extra-base hits in 82 games while making it from Low A to Double A. The only thing to slow him down during the 2024 campaign was a leg injury suffered on defense in his first game of the season. He and Rodriguez both have a chance to stick in center field, but Jenkins is younger, so he might have a slight advantage in 2028. Realistically, the Twins will be satisfied with whatever position he is playing, but his career should start in center. There is a chance he debuts during the 2025 campaign, while only being 20 years old. Right Field: Matt Wallner (30) Wallner’s 2024 season started disastrously, as he went 2-for-25 with 17 strikeouts in his first 33 plate appearances. The Twins sent him to Triple A to reset his swing, and he returned to the big leagues with renewed energy. After doing so, he hit .282/.386/.559 with 16 doubles and 12 home runs in 62 games. Max Kepler’s departure in right field gives Wallner a defensive home where his elite throwing arm can be a weapon. There will be some streakiness with a power hitter like Wallner, but he has shown the ability to refine his swing. Wallner will go through tough stretches, but his elite power-hitting ability can make him a strong complementary player for the team over the next half-decade. Designated Hitter: Byron Buxton (34) Like Correa, Buxton will enter the 2028 season as the last with guaranteed money on his extension. He is coming off a season in which he played over 100 games for only the second time in his big-league career. He also returned to center field for 94 games, after not playing an inning in the outfield in 2023. Offensively, he hit .279/.335/.524 with a 137 OPS+ that ranked among the league’s best center fielders. Buxton proved some of his doubters wrong last season by providing the Twins with excess value, even with some time missed due to injury. As Buxton starts to lose a step, Minnesota will have young options to fill the outfield. He could split time in a corner outfield spot. He’s also entering an offseason healthy for the first time in six years, which can help his performance next season. A lot can happen between now and 2028, but the Twins have the right combination of star players, complimentary veterans, and emerging prospects. Who do you think fits into the team’s 2028 lineup? Leave a comment and start the discussion. PREVIOUS YEARS' PREDICTIONS — 2025 Lineup — 2026 Lineup — 2027 Lineup View full article
  22. The Twins roster disappointed in 2024, but gave opportunities for young players to get their feet wet at the big-league level. Many of the team’s top-ranked prospects played in the high minors last season, so there’s a chance for even more young talent to impact the team next year. The future is full of promise, but there is still development that must happen from key players. Below, you will see Minnesota’s projected lineup and each player’s age during the 2028 campaign. Catcher: Ryan Jeffers (31) Jeffers is coming off a season wherein he played a career-high 122 games, while hitting .226/.300/.432 with a 103 OPS+. Fans know his totals don’t tell the story of his full season. He destroyed the ball in the season’s first two months with a .892 OPS and 26 extra-base hits in his first 51 games. His OPS dipped to .687 in June and July, however, before he reemerged with a .926 OPS in August. Then he ended the year with his worst month (.463 OPS). Jeffers needs to find more consistency at the plate so the team can invest in him long-term. He is only under team control for the next two seasons, so the Twins must extend him before 2028. Other catching options in the organization include Jair Camargo, Ricardo Olivar, and others in the lower minors. First Base: Luke Keaschall (25) Keaschall emerged as one of the organization’s top prospects in 2024, despite playing through an elbow injury that led to Tommy John surgery. In 102 games, he hit .303/.420/.483, with 21 doubles and 15 home runs. Defensively, the Twins had to manage where he played on the field because of his elbow issues. This injury might have been a blessing in disguise, as he was exposed to some positions he hadn’t played regularly, including first base. The Twins value defensive flexibility, so Keaschall won’t be locked into one position. However, first base could be his long-term spot with the players in the team’s long-term plans. The Twins expect Keaschall to be ready for spring training, and he should debut at some point in 2025. Second Base: Royce Lewis (29) The Twins started to get Lewis some reps at second base last season and he is expected to get more time at the position in the coming years. Lewis started the year with a bang with a home run on Opening Day, but he left that game in the third inning with a right quad injury. When he returned, he struggled for the first time in his career, including a .620 OPS in the second half. Minnesota still believes in Lewis as part of the team’s long-term core, but injuries have clearly impeded his development at the big-league level. Lewis will be in his final year of team control in 2028, so it will be interesting to see how he continues to develop and how much he will earn through arbitration. Third Base: Brooks Lee (27) Lee was ranked as one of the team’s top prospects before making his big-league debut last season. He dealt with multiple injuries, including shoulder soreness that led to an IL stint in August due to bicep tendonitis. He was known for his strong offensive approach in the minors, including an .841 OPS in nearly 200 games. Those offensive numbers didn’t follow him to the big-league level, though, as he hit .221/.265/.320 with 10 extra-base hits in 50 games. Some of his struggles could have been tied to his injury issues, but his track record in the minors points to him being an above-average hitter at the big-league level. Lee seems like a prime candidate for the team’s long-term solution at third base, with solid instincts, good hands, and a strong arm. Shortstop: Carlos Correa (33) The 2028 season will be Correa’s final guaranteed year on his contract, with the 2029-32 seasons being team options. Correa’s ongoing issues with plantar fasciitis could make it tough to stick at shortstop when he is 33 years old. Minnesota could switch Correa to third base and Lee to shortstop by 2028 if Correa has lost a step. In 2024, Correa showed he could continue to handle shortstop while providing tremendous offensive value. He hit .308/.377/.520, with 31 extra-base hits in 75 games, and he was selected to his first All-Star Game with the Twins. A full season of Correa playing at that level would put him in the AL MVP conversation. This winter, there has been some conversation about the Twins listening to trade offers for Correa, but the Twins value what he brings to the team, and he has a full no-trade clause, making it likely that he will be around in 2028. Left Field: Emmanuel Rodriguez (25) Rodriguez finished the 2024 season at Triple A, despite being limited to 37 games at Double A because of a thumb injury that led to offseason surgery. He continues to be electric when he is on the field, with an extremely patient approach at the plate and strong defensive ability at multiple outfield positions. In 47 games, he hit .280/.459/.567 with 25 extra-base hits and a 62-to-51 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Rodriguez has played a lot of center field during his professional career, so there is a chance that he will stick at that position over some of the organization’s other options. He will begin the 2025 season at Triple A, and there is a strong chance the Twins will need him early in the season. Center Field: Walker Jenkins (23) Jenkins is one of the top prospects in Twins history, which puts him in the same territory as Joe Mauer and Byron Buxton. Scouts rave about his advanced hit tool, left-handed power, and all-around athleticism. In 2024, he hit .282/.394/.439, with 32 extra-base hits in 82 games while making it from Low A to Double A. The only thing to slow him down during the 2024 campaign was a leg injury suffered on defense in his first game of the season. He and Rodriguez both have a chance to stick in center field, but Jenkins is younger, so he might have a slight advantage in 2028. Realistically, the Twins will be satisfied with whatever position he is playing, but his career should start in center. There is a chance he debuts during the 2025 campaign, while only being 20 years old. Right Field: Matt Wallner (30) Wallner’s 2024 season started disastrously, as he went 2-for-25 with 17 strikeouts in his first 33 plate appearances. The Twins sent him to Triple A to reset his swing, and he returned to the big leagues with renewed energy. After doing so, he hit .282/.386/.559 with 16 doubles and 12 home runs in 62 games. Max Kepler’s departure in right field gives Wallner a defensive home where his elite throwing arm can be a weapon. There will be some streakiness with a power hitter like Wallner, but he has shown the ability to refine his swing. Wallner will go through tough stretches, but his elite power-hitting ability can make him a strong complementary player for the team over the next half-decade. Designated Hitter: Byron Buxton (34) Like Correa, Buxton will enter the 2028 season as the last with guaranteed money on his extension. He is coming off a season in which he played over 100 games for only the second time in his big-league career. He also returned to center field for 94 games, after not playing an inning in the outfield in 2023. Offensively, he hit .279/.335/.524 with a 137 OPS+ that ranked among the league’s best center fielders. Buxton proved some of his doubters wrong last season by providing the Twins with excess value, even with some time missed due to injury. As Buxton starts to lose a step, Minnesota will have young options to fill the outfield. He could split time in a corner outfield spot. He’s also entering an offseason healthy for the first time in six years, which can help his performance next season. A lot can happen between now and 2028, but the Twins have the right combination of star players, complimentary veterans, and emerging prospects. Who do you think fits into the team’s 2028 lineup? Leave a comment and start the discussion. PREVIOUS YEARS' PREDICTIONS — 2025 Lineup — 2026 Lineup — 2027 Lineup
  23. Since his debut, Bailey Ober has emerged as a starting rotation mainstay for the Twins. He’s starting to get more expensive in the arbitration process. Is now the time to lock him up for the long term? Image courtesy of David Richard-USA TODAY Sports The Minnesota Twins face a crucial offseason, filled with decisions about shaping the future of their rotation. Bailey Ober is one name that stands out as a long-term investment candidate. With three years of team control remaining, now is the perfect time for the Twins to lock up Ober to a contract extension, ensuring stability in their starting rotation for years to come. Here’s why extending Ober makes sense from both the team’s perspective and the player's. Ober’s Track Record of Success Ober has quietly developed into one of the most dependable arms in the Twins’ rotation. Since his MLB debut in 2021, Ober has consistently demonstrated a rare combination of control and efficiency. Across 88 big-league starts, he has posted a 3.76 ERA (112 ERA+) with a 1.07 WHIP and 25.6% strikeout rate. In 2024, Ober took a significant leap forward, proving he’s more than just a mid-rotation starter. Over 178 2/3 innings, he posted a 3.98 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and career-high 191 strikeouts. His increased reliance on a devastating changeup paired with his deceptive fastball has helped him keep hitters off-balance, leading to one of the lowest hard-hit rates among American League starters (83rd percentile). His xSLG on the changeup dropped from .346 in 2023 to .263 last season. It was a huge step forward for Ober’s development. The Case for an Extension With three years of arbitration eligibility remaining, the Twins can capitalize on Ober’s current team control to craft a team-friendly deal. Extending Ober not only buys out his arbitration years, but potentially secures his services into his early free-agent seasons. For context, look at comparable pitchers who signed extensions with similar service time. Logan Webb (San Francisco Giants): Entering 2023, Webb agreed to a five-year, $90-million extension with the Giants. This deal covers his remaining arbitration years and extends into his free-agent eligibility, ensuring his presence in the Giants' rotation through at least the 2028 season. Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): On Feb. 10, 2023, the Astros signed Javier to a five-year, $64-million extension. This contract encompasses his arbitration years and includes additional seasons, reflecting the team's commitment to him as a key rotation member. Unfortunately, he underwent Tommy John surgery last season. Mitch Keller (Pittsburgh Pirates): Keller and the Pirates agreed to a five-year, $77-million extension on Feb. 22, 2024. He was coming off an All-Star season, but was two years younger than Ober at the time of the deal. This extension covers his arbitration period and secures his role with the team into his early free-agent years. For Ober, a deal in the range of five years and $65-$85 million, with a possible team option for a sixth year, could provide security for both sides. He will likely earn more than $4 million this season and $18-21 million over the two thereafter. On the high end, he will already earn $25 million in arbitration. From the team’s perspective, it’s a gamble worth taking. Pitchers are inherently risky investments, but Ober’s increased workload and performance last season might make him worth the risk. The Long-Term Rotation Outlook Extending Ober also aligns with the Twins' long-term rotation strategy. The team has promising young arms like Simeon Woods Richardson, David Festa, and Zebby Matthews on the horizon, but prospects come with uncertainty. Ober provides a proven presence in the rotation, complementing Pablo López and Joe Ryan to form a reliable trio. By securing Ober now, the Twins would avoid the potential escalation of arbitration costs and the risk of losing him to free agency at a time when reliable starters are fetching exorbitant prices. Additionally, locking up Ober allows the front office to focus on other areas of need, knowing that a key piece of the rotation is already in place. A Win-Win Scenario For Ober, the security of a long-term deal offers peace of mind. As a late bloomer who didn’t receive a substantial signing bonus when drafted in the 12th round, a guaranteed multi-million-dollar contract provides life-changing financial stability. For the Twins, it’s a move that reflects foresight and commitment to maintaining a competitive window. In an era where pitching is the backbone of any postseason contender, extending Ober is a step toward ensuring the Twins keep their winning window open as long as possible. Ober has proven he belongs in the Twins' future plans. With his unique skill set, consistent production, and the ability to provide innings at a high level, the time is right to reward him with a contract extension. Doing so would send a clear message: the Minnesota Twins are serious about building a sustainable winner. Should the Twins attempt to extend Ober? How much would the team offer? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
  24. The Minnesota Twins face a crucial offseason, filled with decisions about shaping the future of their rotation. Bailey Ober is one name that stands out as a long-term investment candidate. With three years of team control remaining, now is the perfect time for the Twins to lock up Ober to a contract extension, ensuring stability in their starting rotation for years to come. Here’s why extending Ober makes sense from both the team’s perspective and the player's. Ober’s Track Record of Success Ober has quietly developed into one of the most dependable arms in the Twins’ rotation. Since his MLB debut in 2021, Ober has consistently demonstrated a rare combination of control and efficiency. Across 88 big-league starts, he has posted a 3.76 ERA (112 ERA+) with a 1.07 WHIP and 25.6% strikeout rate. In 2024, Ober took a significant leap forward, proving he’s more than just a mid-rotation starter. Over 178 2/3 innings, he posted a 3.98 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and career-high 191 strikeouts. His increased reliance on a devastating changeup paired with his deceptive fastball has helped him keep hitters off-balance, leading to one of the lowest hard-hit rates among American League starters (83rd percentile). His xSLG on the changeup dropped from .346 in 2023 to .263 last season. It was a huge step forward for Ober’s development. The Case for an Extension With three years of arbitration eligibility remaining, the Twins can capitalize on Ober’s current team control to craft a team-friendly deal. Extending Ober not only buys out his arbitration years, but potentially secures his services into his early free-agent seasons. For context, look at comparable pitchers who signed extensions with similar service time. Logan Webb (San Francisco Giants): Entering 2023, Webb agreed to a five-year, $90-million extension with the Giants. This deal covers his remaining arbitration years and extends into his free-agent eligibility, ensuring his presence in the Giants' rotation through at least the 2028 season. Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): On Feb. 10, 2023, the Astros signed Javier to a five-year, $64-million extension. This contract encompasses his arbitration years and includes additional seasons, reflecting the team's commitment to him as a key rotation member. Unfortunately, he underwent Tommy John surgery last season. Mitch Keller (Pittsburgh Pirates): Keller and the Pirates agreed to a five-year, $77-million extension on Feb. 22, 2024. He was coming off an All-Star season, but was two years younger than Ober at the time of the deal. This extension covers his arbitration period and secures his role with the team into his early free-agent years. For Ober, a deal in the range of five years and $65-$85 million, with a possible team option for a sixth year, could provide security for both sides. He will likely earn more than $4 million this season and $18-21 million over the two thereafter. On the high end, he will already earn $25 million in arbitration. From the team’s perspective, it’s a gamble worth taking. Pitchers are inherently risky investments, but Ober’s increased workload and performance last season might make him worth the risk. The Long-Term Rotation Outlook Extending Ober also aligns with the Twins' long-term rotation strategy. The team has promising young arms like Simeon Woods Richardson, David Festa, and Zebby Matthews on the horizon, but prospects come with uncertainty. Ober provides a proven presence in the rotation, complementing Pablo López and Joe Ryan to form a reliable trio. By securing Ober now, the Twins would avoid the potential escalation of arbitration costs and the risk of losing him to free agency at a time when reliable starters are fetching exorbitant prices. Additionally, locking up Ober allows the front office to focus on other areas of need, knowing that a key piece of the rotation is already in place. A Win-Win Scenario For Ober, the security of a long-term deal offers peace of mind. As a late bloomer who didn’t receive a substantial signing bonus when drafted in the 12th round, a guaranteed multi-million-dollar contract provides life-changing financial stability. For the Twins, it’s a move that reflects foresight and commitment to maintaining a competitive window. In an era where pitching is the backbone of any postseason contender, extending Ober is a step toward ensuring the Twins keep their winning window open as long as possible. Ober has proven he belongs in the Twins' future plans. With his unique skill set, consistent production, and the ability to provide innings at a high level, the time is right to reward him with a contract extension. Doing so would send a clear message: the Minnesota Twins are serious about building a sustainable winner. Should the Twins attempt to extend Ober? How much would the team offer? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
  25. The Minnesota Twins' bench is light on right-handed hitters for the 2025 season. Can one platoon outfielder fill the void left by departing free agents? Image courtesy of © Katie Stratman-Imagn Images As the Minnesota Twins retool for the 2025 season, adding a player like Randal Grichuk could be a savvy move to balance their lineup. The Twins’ corner outfield situation features two promising left-handed hitters, Trevor Larnach and Matt Wallner. While both have shown flashes of their potential, the team lacks a reliable right-handed complement, especially after Kyle Farmer and Carlos Santana departed via free agency. Grichuk, with his proven ability to mash left-handed pitching, could fill that void perfectly. Grichuk’s Success Against Southpaws In 2024, Grichuk was one of the league’s most effective hitters against left-handed pitching. Spending the year with the Arizona Diamondbacks, he posted a robust .914 OPS in 184 plate appearances versus southpaws. In 163 at-bats, he hit 21 extra-base hits and posted a 28-to-16 strikeout-to-walk ratio. His OPS versus righties was still over .800, but Arizona limited him to fewer than 100 such plate appearances. His addition could be a game-changer for a Twins team that often struggled against left-handers last season. Minnesota posted a 107 wRC+ against lefties, which ranked 11th in MLB. However, healthier seasons from Carlos Correa and Royce Lewis could have helped that number improve. Grichuk’s power to all fields would make him an ideal fit in the middle of the Twins’ lineup against lefty starters. Roster Fit with Larnach and Wallner Larnach and Wallner are expected to handle most of the corner outfield duties in 2025, but their splits suggest the need for a complementary bat. Larnach, while showing improved plate discipline, still struggles against lefties, managing just a .579 OPS against them in 2024. That’s a drop of over 200 points compared to his OPS versus righties. Similarly, Wallner provided inconsistent results against left-handed pitching. He had a .953 OPS against righties and a .611 OPS versus lefties. Adding Grichuk would allow manager Rocco Baldelli to consistently seize a platoon advantage, creating a well-rounded outfield unit. Filling a Right-Handed Power Void The losses of Farmer and Santana further depleted the Twins’ already-thin group of right-handed hitters. Farmer had a .751 OPS versus lefties, while Santana destroyed southpaws with a .934 OPS. With Correa and Lewis coming off seasons impacted by injury, the Twins can’t afford to rely solely on them to anchor the lineup from the right side. Byron Buxton played in over 100 games for only the second time in his career. However, there are questions about whether or not he can continue that trend moving forward. Grichuk’s ability to provide consistent power makes him an appealing option. Defensive Flexibility Grichuk’s defensive versatility is another plus. Though primarily a corner outfielder, he’s previously played center field, offering a backup option at all three outfield spots. Last season, he played nearly 300 innings in right field and another 90 innings in left field. His last action in center field came with the Rockies and Angels in 2023. Even if Grichuk doesn’t see time in center, his bat is more than enough to carry his offensive profile when giving Larnach or Wallner a day off. Grichuk’s profile suggests he won’t require a long-term commitment or a high salary, making him an attractive option for a team facing payroll constraints. He turned down a $2 million mutual option at the offseason’s start. A short-term deal would allow the Twins to maintain flexibility while addressing a pressing need. There has been talk of the Twins adding a right-handed bench bat for multiple seasons, but nothing has ever come to fruition—nothing, at least, as robust as Grichuk would be. Adding Grichuk could be one of the offseason’s most underrated moves for the Twins. His ability to crush left-handed pitching, complement Larnach and Wallner, and provide veteran depth makes him a near-perfect fit for Minnesota’s 2025 roster. With the AL Central up for grabs, acquiring a proven hitter like Grichuk might be the boost the Twins need to return to playoff contention. Should the Twins target Grichuk? What other right-handed hitters would be good fits for the roster? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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