Cody Christie

Rocco Baldelli has consistently used platooning throughout his time as Twins manager. Is it time for the team to reassess the amount of platooning they do? Image courtesy of Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images As the Minnesota Twins head into the 2025 season, the team faces critical decisions about its roster construction and game-day strategies. Platooning has been a cornerstone of Rocco Baldelli’s managerial approach. However, with the departures of Kyle Farmer, Carlos Santana, and Max Kepler in free agency, the team’s personnel may demand a reassessment of this strategy. During the Winter Meetings, Derek Falvey offered insight into the organization’s perspective on platooning: With that in mind, let’s dive into the pros and cons of platooning and how it could shape the Twins’ success in the upcoming season. The Pros of Platooning 1. Maximizing Matchups: Platooning allows managers to exploit favorable matchups by using hitters who excel against specific handedness. For example, Kyle Farmer thrived against left-handed pitching, providing balance in the lineup. His .751 OPS versus lefties last season was over 200 points higher than he hit against righties. Farmer’s role will likely be filled by an internal option for next season, so Baldelli must find the best right-handed fit. By leveraging these strengths, the Twins could optimize offensive production without requiring every player to be a five-tool contributor. 2. Managing Player Workloads: The grind of a 162-game season takes its toll, especially on veteran players. Platooning offers built-in rest days for players, keeping them fresh and reducing injury risk. Players like Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton bring immense value to the Twins, but injuries have sidelined them for parts of the last two seasons. Veteran players need rest days to avoid extended IL trips, and sitting the team’s stars against tough right-handed pitchers could help them manage their workload. 3. Building Depth: Platooning necessitates a deep bench of versatile players, which can strengthen a team throughout the season. Players like Willi Castro and Austin Martin, who offer positional flexibility, could thrive in a system designed around platooning. The Twins also have Triple-A players, like Michael Helman and DaShawn Kiersey Jr., who will be trying to earn more permanent roles at the big-league level. These options also provide insurance against injuries or slumps. The Cons of Platooning 1. Inconsistent Roles: While some players adapt well to platooning, others struggle with inconsistent playing time. Younger players, in particular, may find it challenging to develop rhythm and confidence if they’re not playing every day. Matt Wallner and Trevor Larnach are projected to be the team’s corner outfielders and can serve as the strong side of the platoon with their powerful left-handed swings. Last season, Wallner had a .611 OPS versus lefties, while Larnach finished with a .579 OPS. There could be some concern that platooning could hinder their development as they play more regularly at the big-league level. 2. Limited Roster Spots: Carrying a platoon-heavy roster can constrain roster flexibility. The need for multiple players at the same position limits the ability to carry extra pitchers or specialists. For multiple years, the Twins have seemed to need a right-handed hitting corner outfielder to platoon with the team’s young lefty sluggers. However, that hasn’t been a priority for the front office. With MLB’s 13-pitcher roster cap, every bench spot is valuable. 3. Vulnerability to Opponent Adjustments: Savvy opposing managers can exploit a platooning strategy by deploying reverse split pitchers or making mid-game adjustments. Teams have used an opener to get the opposing manager to load his lineup with one-handedness of batters before removing the starter after one or two innings. This strategy can force the manager to burn his bench before the middle innings. If the Twins rely too heavily on platooning, they risk being outmaneuvered late in games when matchup options become limited. What’s Next for the Twins? With Farmer, Santana, and Kepler gone, the Twins must reassess how they deploy their roster. Larnach and Wallner are penciled in as corner outfield starters, but both hit left-handed, creating a potential need for a right-handed complement. Randal Grichuk, who posted a .914 OPS against lefties in 2024, could be an ideal fit or the team could target another right-handed hitting outfielder. In the infield, Castro, Martin, and Helman’s versatility might provide the flexibility required for match-up-based usage. Ultimately, the success of platooning depends on the personnel available and the willingness of players to buy into the system. Falvey’s comments clarify that these decisions fall squarely on Baldelli’s shoulders. As the Twins look to rebound from a disappointing 2024 season, finding the right balance between platooning and stability could be a key factor in their return to contention. Platooning has its merits, but it’s not a one-size-fits-all solution. As Falvey noted, “It depends on the personnel.” For the Twins, the departure of key veterans means the team must carefully evaluate whether a platoon-heavy approach aligns with their 2025 roster. With young players eager for opportunities and veterans seeking consistent roles, Baldelli’s ability to navigate these dynamics will be crucial to the team’s success. Should the Twins reassess how much they platoon? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

The Twins have plenty of prospects poised to impact the big-league roster in 2025. So, let’s look into the crystal ball and see who will be at the top of the team’s prospect rankings one year from now. Image courtesy of William Parmeter (photo of Brandon Winokur) The Minnesota Twins farm system continues to evolve, and looking ahead to 2025, it’s time to highlight the future stars who could top the organization’s prospect rankings. Some of the team’s top prospects are expected to graduate from prospect lists next season such as Emmanuel Rodriguez, Luke Keaschall, and Andrew Morris. Let’s count down from No. 5 to No. 1 to see who will be at the top of the farm system’s rankings one year from now. 5. Marco Raya, RHP Raya’s electric arm has kept him on the radar despite the organization being aggressive and cautious with him simultaneously. By the end of 2024, the Twins pushed him all the way to Triple-A, where he was six years younger than the average age of the competition. However, the Twins continue to limit his innings, with him only pitching more than five innings in one appearance last season. His fastball, which sits in the mid-90s, pairs well with a devastating slider. In 2024, he improved his strikeout rate at the Double-A level from 8.1 in 2024 to 9.6 K/9. If he can continue to refine his command and stay healthy, Raya has the potential to develop into a mid-rotation starter or even an elite bullpen weapon if the Twins decide to go that route. Now that he’s close to the big leagues, the Twins must allow Raya to pitch deeper into games and prove his stuff can handle a starter's workload. 2025 Prediction: Raya will pitch the majority of 2025 at Triple-A while pitching a career-high in innings. 4. Brandon Winokur, SS/3B/OF Winokur’s raw athleticism and power have been turning heads since he was drafted in the third round in 2023. In 2024, he played the entire season at Low-A as a 19-year-old. He slashed .249/.327/.434 (.761) with 36 extra-base hits in 94 games. He made significant strides at the plate, cutting down on strikeouts, with his strikeout rate dropping over 4% and his walk rate increasing by 2.7% compared to his pro debut. He also showcased the bat speed that could make him a cornerstone for the Twins. Winokur also offers positional flexibility, splitting time between shortstop, third base, and the outfield, though he may ultimately settle in a corner outfield spot. He has the tools that make scouts drool over his future potential. MLB Pipeline ranks him above average in Power (55), Run (60), and Arm (60). His blend of speed and power makes him an exciting prospect to watch as he rises through the system. In 2025, he is a player who can take a big step forward and potentially be a Top 100 prospect. 2025 Prediction: Winokur will spend 2025 in Cedar Rapids before moving to Double-A during his age-20 season. 3. Charlee Soto, RHP Soto, the Twins’ first-round pick (competitive balance) in 2023, has quickly established himself as one of the most promising arms in the system. His 2024 season showcased his ability to handle advanced competition while being 18 years old for most of the season. In 21 games (74 IP), he posted a 5.23 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP and an 87-to-33 strikeout-to-walk ratio. His 10.6 K/9 was very good, but he allowed 9.5 H/9 and 4.0 BB/9. Soto only faced younger batters in 10 plate appearances for the entire season and held them to one hit and four strikeouts. He has a fastball that touches 98 mph and a sinker and cutter that have good movement to keep batters off-balance. While he’s still refining his breaking ball, Soto’s poise on the mound and elite velocity have scouts projecting him as a future ace. He is a power pitcher, and many scouts believe he can throw strikes consistently as he learns to be a full-time pitcher. If he can continue his development path, he’ll be knocking on the door of the majors by 2027. 2025 Prediction: Soto will pitch the entire season at Cedar Rapids while still being a teenager. Look for him to pitch over 100 innings for the first time in his career while continuing to refine his secondary pitches. 2. Kaelen Culpepper, 3B/SS Last week, I wrote about why Culpepper deserves more respect on Twins prospect lists. Minnesota took him with their first-round draft pick in 2024, so he had limited time to help his prospect stock during his professional debut. In 26 games, he hit .242/.330/.394 (.724) with eight extra-base hits. In his very short time at Fort Myers, his 90th-percentile exit velocity was 102.6 miles per hour. He was also a patient hitter with a mature understanding of the strike zone, with 11 walks in 112 plate appearances. Culpepper combines a solid hit tool with surprising pop for his size, making him a threat in the middle of any lineup. His defense is another strength, as he’s capable of playing both third base and shortstop at a high level. He’ll likely start the year in High-A Cedar Rapids, where he ended the 2024 season. At that level, he can build on the adjustments he began to make late in his pro debut. A midseason promotion to Double-A Wichita could be on the horizon if he performs well. Success at that level would firmly establish him as one of the Twins’ top prospects and put him on the radar for a 2026 big-league debut. 2025 Prediction: Culpepper will enter next winter as a global Top 100 prospect. 1. Walker Jenkins, OF It’s no surprise that Jenkins takes the top spot on this list. The fifth overall pick in the 2023 MLB Draft has lived up to the hype. Jenkins’ smooth left-handed swing generates both average and power, making him a future anchor in the Twins’ lineup. In 2024, he continued to crush minor league pitching while improving his defense and baserunning. Jenkins finished the year at Double-A as a 19-year-old while hitting .282/.394/.439 (.833) with 32 extra-base hits in 82 games. More impressively, he coaxed more walks (56) than strikeouts (47) while facing older pitchers in all but eight of his at-bats. Scouts rave about his makeup and leadership qualities, adding to his superstar potential. The Twins have continued to use him in center field because of his athleticism and strong arm. MLB Pipeline’s scouting grades include a 60 for hit, power, and arm. If everything goes as planned, Jenkins could be a mainstay in the Twins’ outfield for the next decade. 2025 Prediction: Jenkins will be considered baseball’s top overall prospect by the season’s end. The Twins’ system is in excellent shape, with these five players leading the way. As the organization looks to return to playoff contention, the contributions of these rising stars will be crucial to their success in the years ahead. What stands out about the five names mentioned above? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Few players can produce at top performance for multiple seasons in a row. Baseball is a game where age, injuries, and streakiness can hamper performance. So, which Twins might be heading for regression in 2025? Image courtesy of Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports As the Minnesota Twins look to rebound in 2025, their success hinges on several key players replicating their standout performances from a year ago. However, regression is a natural part of baseball, and some players are more likely to take a step back than others. Here are three Twins who could be candidates for regression in the upcoming season and why their performance trends are worth monitoring. Carlos Correa: Can He Stay Dominant? Correa was the Twins' best position player during the first half of the 2024 season, earning All-Star honors and putting up numbers that rivaled the best stretches of his career. In 75 games, he hit .308/.377/.520 (.896) with 13 home runs and 16 doubles. His power surged, his glove remained elite, and he lived up to his status as the team’s highest-paid player. Unfortunately, plantar fasciitis sidelined him for the second half of the year, leaving questions about his ability to sustain such a high production level over a full season. Regression isn’t about Correa falling off a cliff but about him leveling out. His first-half numbers were well above his career averages in several categories, and expecting him to maintain that level over 162 games might be unfair. His SLG had the highest difference on the team compared to his xSLG.The Twins need him to be productive, but they’ll also need to manage his workload to keep him healthy and impactful deep into the season. There have been rumors about the Twins potentially trading Correa, but that would be a lose-lose proposition for the front office. Byron Buxton: Health Remains the X-Factor Buxton proved some of his doubters wrong in 2024 by playing over 100 games for just the second time in his career. He returned to centerfield after being a full-time DH in 2023 and hit .279/.335/.524 (.859) with a 137 OPS+ and 48 extra-base hits. For the first time in six seasons, he is having a healthy offseason where he doesn’t need surgery or rehab. It gives hope that he can repeat that availability in 2025. But Buxton’s history of injuries cannot be ignored, and the Twins need to be realistic about the potential for setbacks. If Buxton misses time, the team’s depth in centerfield will be tested. Minnesota has used players like Willi Castro and Austin Martin in center field, but neither match Buxton’s potential to impact the game on both sides of the ball. The Twins certainly hope Buxton will be able to play in 100 games for a second consecutive season, but that seems unlikely with his track record. Insurance plans will be critical to sustaining success if regression strikes in the form of missed games. Matt Wallner: Feast or Famine? Wallner emerged as one of the Twins’ best hitters in 2024, providing a powerful left-handed bat that could change the game with one swing. In 75 games, he hit .259/.372/.523 (.894) with a 149 OPS+ and 31 extra-base hits. However, his player profile comes with inherent risks. Wallner’s high strikeout rate (36.4 K%) and streaky nature make him prone to slumps, and opposing pitchers may adjust to exploit his weaknesses after parts of three seasons at the big-league level. Wallner’s raw power is undeniable, and his ability to barrel up the ball makes him a valuable asset. Yet, if his plate discipline falters or pitchers learn how to neutralize him, his offensive production could take a significant hit. Among Twins hitters, his SLG was +.055 higher than his xSLG, the second-highest total on the team behind Correa. The Twins will likely live with his streakiness, but they’ll need other players to step up when Wallner hits the inevitable cold spells. The Twins enter 2025 with high expectations, and these three players are vital to the team’s success. While regression is possible for Correa, Buxton, and Wallner, it doesn’t mean they won’t still be key contributors. The challenge for the Twins will be maximizing their strengths while mitigating the risks of natural performance dips. Smart roster management and a deep bench could help the team weather any storms that come their way. Which player should the Twins be most worried about for 2025? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

As the calendar turns to 2025, let’s reflect on the Twins’ best performance from 2024. What game stands out from 2024, and who led the way for Minnesota in that contest? Image courtesy of © D. Ross Cameron-Imagn Images On June 22, the Twins were in the thick of the AL playoff race with the league’s fifth-best record. Cleveland was up over seven games in the division, and the Royals were hot on Minnesota’s heels for second place. The Twins had lost three straight games and entered play needing a strong start that day's starter, Bailey Ober. He ended up turning in a masterful performance that was one for the record books. 1st Inning Ober’s first inning wasn’t indicative of the performance he would have on this day. JJ Bleday, the second batter of the inning, smacked a solo home run to tie the game. He was looking for a fastball and put it into the seats on the first pitch. Ober settled in and retired the next two batters on a groundout and a fly ball. Even with the home run, Ober made it out of the first inning by only throwing 11 pitches, with six of them coming against Brent Rooker for the frame’s last out. 2nd Inning Ober got a long rest in the top of the second inning as the Twins sent 12 batters to the plate and pushed across seven runs. Manuel Margot had the biggest hit of the inning with a three-run shot that would put the Twins in front for good. Ober’s first at-bat of the inning didn’t go as well. He allowed a solo home run to Tyler Soderstrom, another first-pitch fastball. The home run seemed to wake him up. He made it through the inning on 13 pitches and struck out two batters. 3rd Inning Ober found his groove in the third inning and made it out of the frame on eight pitches. Kyle McCann singled to start the inning, but Ober quickly erased the runner by coaxing a double-play from Max Schuemann. Bleday was the inning’s third batter, and Ober avenged the homer by striking him out on four pitches. 4th Inning In the fourth, Ober allowed a one-out double to Rooker, but it ended up being the only damage of the frame. It was the final Oakland batter to reach base during the game. Despite the hit, Ober escaped the inning on 12 pitches with two flyouts and a ground out. The Twins had a commanding 9-2 lead, and Ober knew he could pound the strike zone and get his teammates back in the dugout. 5th Inning Ober had another efficient inning, with him only needing eight pitches. Lawrence Butler flew out on two pitches before Zack Gelof lined out on three pitches. Kyle McCann saw three sliders in his at-bat and missed all three for another Ober strikeout. 6th Inning Ober started the sixth frame with a four-pitch strikeout of Schuemann, including another swinging K on his slider that was down in the zone. Bleday lined out to second base on the first pitch of his at-bat and was followed by a two-pitch infield flyout by Miguel Andujar. It was another inning where Ober threw fewer than ten pitches and was rolling into the late frames. 7th Inning Rooker had some of the best at-bats against Ober all day, but the Twins righty got the best of him in the seventh. Ober used three changeups on the first four pitches of the at-bat to get Rooker off balance. Then he finished him off with a four-seam fastball on the outer part of the plate for a foul tip strikeout. Soderstrom flew out on three pitches, and Tyler Nevin flew out on one pitch to end the inning. It was another single-digit pitch inning. "I knew my pitch count was low just because there were a lot of fast innings,” Ober said. “But after the seventh inning, I walked past [pitching coach Pete Maki] and said, ‘I'm finishing this thing.’" 8th Inning Ober could see the finish line in the eighth, especially since the Twins continued to have a big lead. He was masterful in this frame with three strikeouts. Butler struck out on four pitches, including a fastball at his eyes for a swinging K. Gelof also struck out on four pitches with three swinging strikes on breaking pitches low in the zone. McCann was the final strikeout victim. Ober got him to swing at three different pitches and struck him out on a slider low and away. 9th Inning In the final frame, Ober took the mound with 81 pitches, so the Twins had no reason to have anyone up in the bullpen. Schuemann started the inning with a five-pitch strikeout, including a fastball down the middle that he took for a called strike three. Armando Alvarez got a cutter on his first pitch and grounded out softly to first baseman Carlos Santana. Daz Cameron was the game’s last batter as he grounded out to shortstop on the second pitch he saw. It was the first time in 19 years that a Twins pitcher threw a complete game in fewer than 90 pitches. Ober tied his career high with 10 strikeouts in the game. The only other outing of 90 or fewer pitches and 10 or more strikeouts in a nine-inning complete game since pitch counts started being tracked in 1988 was David Cone’s perfect game on July 18, 1999. Ober retired the final 17 batters of the game, including four consecutive strikeouts in the final two innings. He threw single-digit pitches in five of the nine innings and never threw more than 13 in a frame. "Me and Joe [Ryan] have talked about it -- throwing a Maddux is under 100,” Ober said. “It's something we've talked about. A little personal goal to get a CG under 100 feels pretty good." It should feel pretty good. It was a tremendous performance and one that should be a highlight of the Twins’ 2024 season. What do you remember about Ober’s performance? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

The Twins had a disappointing end to the 2024 season, but there were indeed some exciting moments throughout the season. Here’s a breakdown of the team’s five hardest-hit balls this season. Image courtesy of Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports MLB’s Statcast Era has allowed fans a deeper understanding of some of the nuances associated with baseballs hit at incredible speeds. Now, fans can immediately access the hit’s exit velocity, launch angle, distance, bat speed, and expected batting average. Minnesota has a young core and multiple veterans who can hit the ball with authority. So, which sluggers cracked the team’s top five hardest-hit balls in 2024? September 10, 2024 Batter: Matt Wallner Hit Stats: 114.1 Exit Velo, 30 LA, 444 Hit Distance, 77.6 Bat Speed, 1.000 xBA Wallner is already well known in Twins Territory for his mammoth home runs. This rocket from late in the 2024 campaign might have been missed by some fans who tuned out in the middle of the team’s collapse. In the bottom of the third, the Twins were already winning 4-0 before Wallner tattooed this pitch onto the Target Field Plaza. Wallner struggled to start the 2024 campaign, but he refined his swing at Triple A and was one of the team’s best hitters when he returned to the majors. As Justin Morneau said on the broadcast, “That was a bomb.” August 28, 2024 Batter: Matt Wallner Hit Stats: 114.2 Exit Velo, 13 LA, 242 Hit Distance, 82.6 Bat Speed, .830 xBA Not every hard-hit ball ends up in the seats, and Wallner proved that with this double during a second-half game versus the visitors from suburbs somewhere in Georgia. Minnesota trailed 5-1 in the ninth inning before Wallner pounded a double down the right-field line. For some context, Statcast considers a 75 mph bat speed to be a fast swing, so Wallner clearly teed off on this pitch. Because of its location, it was hard for him to get under the ball and drive it over the fence. Instead, he got a hustle double to keep the game interesting for the Twins. August 7, 2024 Batter: Matt Wallner Hit Stats: 114.4 Exit Velo, 16 LA, 354 Hit Distance, 83.3 Bat Speed, .810 xBA Aug. 7 is a game that will be remembered for all the wrong reasons in Twins Territory. Joe Ryan left the game with right triceps tightness, which was eventually diagnosed as a Grade 2 teres major strain behind his right shoulder. His season was done. During the game, though, Wallner destroyed a double to the gap in right-center, one-hopping the wall and driving in Trevor Larnach. It was a solid start to the game for the Twins, but it ended up being known for Ryan’s injury. July 8, 2024 Batter: Matt Wallner Hit Stats: 116.7 Exit Velo, 21 LA, 389 Hit Distance, 79.5 Bat Speed, .980 xBA This home run for Wallner was a two-run shot that helped the Twins to score four runs in the seventh inning and come back in this game. Wallner got a 98-mph fastball right down the middle and pulled it strongly down the line. Earlier, Wallner destroyed a double in the third inning, the second hardest-hit ball in this game. With this hit, Wallner joined an elite list of players to hit multiple balls at 116 mph or harder this season. It’s also fun that it was one of the games where Marney Gellner was on the play-by-play call for the Twins. July 7, 2024 Batter: Matt Wallner Hit Stats: 116.8 Exit Velo, 11 LA, 260 Hit Distance, 79.5 Bat Speed, .830 xBA It might be disappointing for some fans that the team’s highest exit velocity this season came on a single. However, it points to how locked-in Wallner was in the middle of the season. After being demoted in April, this game was his first back in the big leagues. Over the next 24 games, he slashed .351/.455/.743 (1.198), with nine doubles, one triple, and six home runs. There can be some streakiness with sluggers like Wallner, but he might be the team’s most exciting hitter when he's going well. Wallner is clearly at another level regarding the exit velocities he can produce with his elite bat speed. There were disappointing moments during the 2024 season, but Wallner’s development is certainly something to look forward to in 2025 and beyond. Which of these hits do you remember the most? What are your expectations for Wallner in 2025? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article

Rickey Henderson was a generational talent who will be remembered for his long-term impact on the entire game. However, his numbers against the Minnesota Twins were some of the best against any franchise. Image courtesy of © Imagn Images The baseball world was shaken to its core on Saturday, by the news of Rickey Henderson's unexpected passing at 65. Known as the “Man of Steal,” Henderson revolutionized the game with his electrifying speed, unmatched swagger, and a relentless ability to impact every facet of the sport. As the baseball world reflects on his greatness, it’s clear his legacy will endure as one of the most iconic players in baseball history. Henderson’s resume reads like a myth: MLB’s all-time leader in stolen bases (1,406), runs scored (2,295), and leadoff home runs (81). A 10-time All-Star, two-time World Series champion, and the 1990 American League MVP, he was a first-ballot Hall of Famer who played the game with a style and grace that was unique. Yet, for fans of the Minnesota Twins, Henderson was more than a legendary opponent because he was a constant thorn in their side. Rickey Henderson vs. the Twins Henderson’s exploits against the Twins throughout his career showcased his five-tool talent. In 198 games, he hit .298/.411/.458 (.869) with 64 extra-base hits and 148 runs scored. His OPS against the Twins was his second-highest among American League teams, trailing only the Cleveland Indians. His 148 runs scored were his fourth-most against any opponent, underscoring his ability to dominate over nearly two decades. But it was Henderson’s baserunning that truly left an indelible mark against the Twins. He swiped 110 bases versus Minnesota, the most he recorded against any team. Whether it was a well-timed steal of second, an audacious dash for third, or a game-changing run home, Henderson’s speed and instincts created chaos for opposing defenses. He destroyed the Twins during his 1990 MVP season. In 12 games, he hit .333/.417/.619, with four doubles, one triple, two home runs and six stolen bases. Henderson’s mastery wasn’t limited to stealing bases. He consistently found ways to disrupt Minnesota’s pitching, combining patience at the plate with an uncanny knack for hitting in big moments. His 64 extra-base hits against the Twins included 36 doubles and five triples that showcased his speed and aggression. His 23 home runs against Twins pitching were the third-most he had against any AL team. Henderson’s player type was perfect for some of the quirks involved with the Metrodome. His .910 OPS in Minnesota’s home park was 90 points higher than his career total. He stole 59 bases in the Dome, the most he had at any ballpark that wasn’t his home park at any point in his career. For many Twins fans, memories of Henderson racing around the bases or scoring on plays others wouldn’t dare attempt remain etched in their minds. A Legacy Beyond the Stats While Henderson’s numbers are staggering, his impact on the game went far beyond the box score. He embodied the joy and unpredictability of baseball, playing with a flair that made every game feel like a must-watch event. Henderson’s iconic headfirst slides, signature crouched batting stance and trademark confidence endeared him to fans and cemented his status as a cultural icon. Henderson’s influence is evident in today’s game, especially with MLB changing rules, making it easier to steal bases. Many current players have embraced the multi-dimensional skill set that Henderson pioneered. His ability to blend power, speed, and plate discipline remains the gold standard for leadoff hitters and baserunners. Henderson’s death is a profound loss for the baseball community. For Twins fans, he was an unforgettable adversary who brought out the best in their team and provided countless memories, even if many of those memories involved watching him wreak havoc on the base paths. As we celebrate his life, we remember a player who changed the game and inspired future generations. Rest in peace, Rickey. The Man of Steal may be gone, but his legend will run forever. What memories do you have of Henderson versus the Twins? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

I believe in Kaelen Culpepper, and you can, too. Here’s why the Twins’ 2024 first-round pick deserves more respect in prospect circles. Image courtesy of © Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images Twins fans examine the team’s minor-league system every offseason for prospects poised for big seasons. Among the rising stars is Kaelen Culpepper, the team’s 2024 first-round draft pick. With his combination of college experience, athleticism, and early professional success, Culpepper is already showing why he deserves to climb higher on prospect rankings, and why he could be a key contributor to the Twins’ future. A Solid Start to His Pro Career Culpepper made an immediate impact in his professional debut. Assigned to Low-A Fort Myers, he wasted no time showcasing his skills, posting an 82% contact rate in just nine games. Even more impressive was his discipline and pitch recognition. As Jamie Cameron wrote, he didn’t swing and miss at a single pitch in the strike zone during that stretch. Such advanced plate skills are rare for a player fresh out of college and speak to his ability to adjust quickly to professional pitching. The quick promotion to High-A Cedar Rapids reflects the Twins’ confidence in Culpepper. Though his numbers dipped in his 17 games at that level, with a .616 OPS, that small-sample struggle shouldn’t overshadow his potential. In his very short time at Fort Myers, his 90th-percentile exit velocity was 102.6 miles per hour. He was also a patient hitter with a mature understanding of the strike zone, with 11 walks in 112 plate appearances. As he physically matures, the Twins can continue to refine his swing to build on his impressive exit velocities from his pro debut. His advanced approach should help him as he climbs the organizational ladder in 2025. Prospect Rankings: Room for Improvement Currently, Twins Daily ranks him as the organization’s eighth-best prospect, behind players like Marco Raya, Andrew Morris, and Charlee Soto. This ranking, though respectable, might still undervalue his potential. His blend of athleticism, defensive versatility, and contact-oriented approach at the plate gives him a high floor as a prospect. An argument can be made for him to be the team’s fourth-best prospect, behind only Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, and Luke Keaschall. With continued development (particularly in the power department), Culpepper has the tools to become a regular contributor at the major-league level. What Makes Culpepper Stand Out? College Experience: Culpepper’s time in college prepared him well for the challenges of professional baseball. He improved during each college season and hit .328/.419/.574 during his junior season. He arrived in the Twins’ system as a polished hitter with a solid approach at the plate, giving him an edge over younger, less experienced prospects. Athleticism: Culpepper’s athleticism enables him to play multiple positions, though he’s primarily been used as an infielder. Some scouts have been surprised by his ability to handle shortstop, but third base might be his long-term home. His range, arm strength, and overall defensive instincts could make him a valuable asset wherever he’s needed. Usually, you accept a bit less athletic upside when you focus on drafting college players in the latter part of the first round, but Culpepper is an exception. Plate Discipline: His contact skills and ability to recognize pitches are above-average for his age and experience level. The lack of swings and misses in the zone during his pro debut is a testament to his advanced approach; his control of the strike zone is impressive. What’s Next for Culpepper? The 2025 season will be a pivotal one. He’ll likely start the year in High-A Cedar Rapids, where he ended the 2024 season. At that level, he can build on the adjustments he began to make late in his pro debut. If he performs well, a midseason promotion to Double-A Wichita could be on the horizon. Success at that level would firmly establish him as one of the Twins’ top prospects and put him on the radar for a 2026 big-league debut. To take the next step, Culpepper will need to focus on: Consistent Power Production: Developing more pop in his bat will raise his profile as a prospect and make him a more well-rounded offensive threat. That 90th-percentile exit velocity we mentioned in Fort Myers is fine, but not especially impressive, given his age. Handling Advanced Pitching: Adjusting to the quality of pitching at higher levels is critical for any prospect. His early struggles at High-A suggest this will be an area of growth. Culpepper may not yet be a household name among Twins fans, but his performance and tools demand attention. His ability to hit for contact, his defensive versatility, and his athleticism provide a foundation for a promising career. While he has some areas to improve, particularly in developing his power, the early returns on his professional career suggest Culpepper has the makeup to rise through the system quickly. As the 2025 season approaches, Twins fans should watch Culpepper closely. He’s already shown flashes of the player he could become, and with continued growth, he might force his way into the Twins’ long-term plans sooner than expected. What are your initial impressions of Culpepper? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Speculation has swirled this offseason about the Twins potentially trading Carlos Correa. It’s becoming clear that a trade involving Correa is unlikely, and that might be the smartest move the front office can make this winter. Image courtesy of © Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports There has been little to discuss with the Twins this winter for multiple reasons. The team is above their owner-imposed payroll limit, so many expect the front office to shed the salaries of veterans like Chris Paddack, Christian Vázquez, and Willi Castro. However, Derek Falvey and the current front office regime have shown remarkable patience in previous offseasons to let the market play out before making any significant moves. With minimal team updates, it becomes easy to focus on hypotheticals, and that’s why many have focused on a potential Carlos Correa trade. Last week, La Velle E. Neal III reported on the Correa trade rumors and stated that the shortstop is unlikely to leave Minnesota. Neal had spoken to a Twins official who spoke candidly about the situation. “No team has called the Twins about Correa. And the Twins have not reached out to any team about moving Correa. This came after Juan Soto signed his $765 million megadeal with the Mets, forcing the teams who lost the bidding war to explore Plan B. As of this writing, Correa had not been anyone’s plan B.” Obviously, there is a lot of offseason left for the front office to make significant moves. Other high-profile free agents might be the plan B for teams that missed out on Soto. Still, it seems most likely for the Twins to head to spring training with Correa still on the roster. From the front office’s perspective, there is likely no way for the Twins to gain value in a trade involving their best player. So, let’s look at the two paths to a Correa trade and why it becomes a lose-lose situation for the Twins. Path 1: Trading Correa for a Prospect Package Prospects are the currency of the baseball landscape, similar to how the other major sports treat draft picks. The Twins could trade Correa for a significant prospect package that would improve an already strong farm system. Adding prospects theoretically allows the front office to extend the team’s winning window while removing significant salary from the payroll for multiple years. In 2025, the team would be in a worse position unless the front office turned around and made a second trade to add immediate talent. However, Falvey has never made a “rebuilding” trade during the offseason. He sold on players like José Berríos and Nelson Cruz at the trade deadline, but in both instances, the team underachieved in the first half. Many projection systems have the Twins with one of the AL’s best rosters so selling a rebuild will be tough. The AL Central is more competitive than this time last season, but it is still a wide-open race where the Twins might end up having the division’s highest payroll. Path 2: Trading Correa for MLB Talent These types of trades can be complex because of the types of teams and players that would need to be involved. Entering the 2023 season, the Twins traded Luis Arráez to Miami for Pablo López in a deal involving two young but established MLB players. Both teams were trying to trade from areas of depth on their roster while continuing to be competitive in their divisions. The results have worked out well for the Twins, but the Marlins have gone in a different direction. In recent seasons, there were rumors every year that the Twins were considering trading Max Kepler. Minnesota had other young outfielders ready to supplant Kepler in right field, but a deal never came to fruition. The front office thought highly of Kepler’s value and wanted to trade him for other players that could impact the Twins’ current roster. These are complicated deals to find because they have to be done with a competitive team with excess depth at another position. Correa’s Value to the Twins Correa led the Twins in WAR last season despite being on the injured list for most of the second half. If healthy, Correa is projected to be a 6 WAR player, which borders on MVP caliber. Minnesota could attempt to replace him with two 3 WAR players, but that comes with its own share of hurdles. The front office has little money to spend on free agency, even if Correa’s salary was off the books. The Twins would also need a replacement at shortstop, which would likely put pressure on a young player like Brooks Lee to take over the starting role. There is a non-zero chance that a Correa trade will happen this winter, but it seems unlikely and highly unadvisable. His value to the Twins is too high and trading him for prospects or MLB talent won’t make the team better for 2025. For better or worse, the Twins and Correa are tied to each other. Is there any way for the Twins to gain value in a Correa trade? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Last season, the Twins saw Zebby Matthews rise from High-A to the big-league level. So, which pitching prospects have a chance to follow in his shoes for next season? I’m glad you asked. Image courtesy of Ed Bailey, Wichita Wind Surge (photo of CJ Culpepper) Minnesota’s front office has been tasked with creating a pitching pipeline since Derek Falvey stepped into the team’s top baseball operations role in 2016. The Twins saw that pipeline come to fruition last season, with multiple rookie pitchers impacting the big-league roster, including Simeon Woods Richardson, David Festa, and Zebby Matthews. After their debuts, there were some inconsistent performances, but the team’s future looks bright if the farm system continues producing quality talent. Out of the rookie trio, Matthews was an out-of-nowhere story. The Twins took Matthews in the eighth round of the 2022 MLB Draft out of Western Carolina University. During the 2023 season, he posted a 3.84 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and 9.6 K/9 while pitching at Low- and High-A. These totals were good, but it didn’t establish him as one of the team’s top pitching prospects. In 2024, he put up video game numbers at High-A and Double-A with a sub 2.00 ERA and sub 0.76 WHIP. He continued to perform as he moved up the organizational ladder, and the Twins needed him in the second half as injuries impacted the big-league roster. So, what pitchers could be set up to follow in Matthews’s footsteps next season? Here are three options to consider. C.J. Culpepper, RHP Culpepper has already put himself on the radar of Twins fans since being drafted in the 13th round of the 2022 MLB Draft. He didn’t start games in college until his junior season but performed well enough to catch the Twins’ attention. In his first full professional season, he posted a 3.56 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and 9.3 K/9 in 86 innings between Low-A and High-A. It was a strong enough performance for some national prospect lists to include Culpepper in the Twins’ top 20 prospects entering the 2024 season. (Twins Daily had him 13th.) The Twins sent Culpepper to Cedar Rapids to start last season, and he posted a 2.89 ERA with 10.4 K/9 in 37 1/3 innings. However, he dealt with a forearm strain and was sidelined for approximately two months. The Twins promoted him to Double-A in the middle of August, so he only made six appearances with Wichita before the season ended. Minnesota will have him start the 2025 campaign at Double-A, and he will need to build up his workload since he pitched limited innings last season. He’s already ahead of where Matthews was last season, which could put him on a path to the majors. Connor Prielipp, LHP Twins fans have heard a lot about Prielipp since the Twins took him in the second round of the 2022 MLB Draft. Entering the draft cycle, Prielipp was considered one of the best pitching prospects, but he fell to the second round after having Tommy John surgery. In 2023, Prielipp suffered another injury setback as he required surgery last July to address a torn UCL in his left elbow. His injury limited him to 6 2/3 innings during his first professional action. He opened the 2024 campaign on the IL with the Cedar Rapids Kernels. Injuries have defined his baseball playing career, but the Twins continue to be excited about his potential upside. The 2025 season will be critical for Prielipp and his future impact on the big-league roster. First, he needs to prove he can stay healthy, and then he needs to build up his workload to stick as a starter. It’s easy to look at his injury history and suggest he would be better suited to a relief role. However, the Twins will continue to give him opportunities to start with the potential to shift to a bullpen role in the second half. His electric pitch-mix has made him a prospect to watch and could make him a fast riser in 2025. Jeremy Lee, RHP Lee might be an unfamiliar name to Minnesota fans, but Matthews was also an unfamiliar name entering last season. The Twins took Lee in the 13th round of the 2023 MLB Draft, and he split last season between Low-A and High-A. In 79 1/3 innings, he posted a 4.42 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. He allowed 11 earned runs in his final 8 1/3 innings, which impacted his overall season totals. Left-handed batters did the bulk of the damage against him with an OPS that was nearly 150 points higher than versus righties. Lee had elbow surgery in college, so his stuff might continue to improve as he gets further away from that operation. He has a four-pitch mix including a fastball, slider, curveball, and changeup. He didn’t find much success in Cedar Rapids last season, so there is a good chance the Twins will have him start 2025 at the same level. However, there is a chance he will move quickly based on his college experience and pitch mix. The Twins are hoping they won’t need to move a pitcher quickly through the upper minors in 2025. On paper, the team has starting pitching depth at the big-league level, but few teams have enough pitching depth when it comes to the rigors of the MLB season. Culpepper, Prielipp, and Lee must continue to develop in the minors and could get an opportunity to impact the Twins sooner rather than later. Which pitchers from the low minors will you be watching this year? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Some players fail to meet expectations every season, and the Twins had three key hitters who struggled in 2024. Here is why there are plenty of reasons for optimism with this trio. Image courtesy of Brian Bradshaw Sevald-Imagn Sports The 2024 season was filled with sky-high expectations for Edouard Julien, Brooks Lee, and Royce Lewis, but each fell short of delivering the production the Minnesota Twins needed. While their individual struggles were disappointing, there are plenty of reasons to believe that all three are primed for a bounce-back season in 2025. Let’s break down what went wrong and why the future looks brighter for this trio. Edouard Julien: Rebounding After the Sophomore Slump 2024 Recap: Julien entered the season following a stellar rookie campaign in 2023 that saw him post a 130 OPS+ while improving significantly with his second base defense. However, 2024 was a tale of regression with a 74 OPS+ that led to a trip back to Triple-A. His strikeout rate jumped from 31.4% to 33.9%, and pitchers adjusted by attacking him with a steady diet of high fastballs and breaking pitches down and away. His OPS dropped by over 200 points, leaving many to wonder if his rookie season was a fluke. Why 2025 Looks Promising: Julien’s struggles were primarily driven by adjustments he will undoubtedly work to counteract. Julien has shown elite plate discipline throughout his career, posting walk rates over 19% at every minor league level. His ability to identify pitches and lay off borderline offerings remains a strength, and he is likely spending the offseason fine-tuning his approach to combat high heat and breaking pitches. Additionally, his underlying metrics suggest some bad luck in 2024. His .351 xSLG was 28 points higher than his actual SLG. Expect regression to the mean and a more balanced offensive approach to pay dividends for Julien in 2025. Brooks Lee: Adjusting to the Big Leagues 2024 Recap: Lee was one of the Twins’ top prospects entering 2024, but he experienced a rocky rookie season. Lee, who had looked polished in the minors, struggled to adjust to major-league pitching. His .221/.265/.320 (.585) slash line was well below expectations. He often looked overmatched against breaking pitches, with eight strikeouts and two extra-base hits in 39 PA. Defensively, he also struggled with a -2 OAA at shortstop and a -1 OAA at third base. His college experience and minor league performance were supposed to help him adjust to the MLB level, but that didn’t happen. Why 2025 Looks Promising: Transitioning to the majors is rarely seamless, even for top prospects. Lee’s track record as a hitter suggests that 2024 was more of a learning curve than an indicator of long-term issues. He excelled at making contact in the minors by slashing .290/.362/.480 (.841), and his compact swing remains a significant asset. In addition, Lee is known for his high baseball IQ and relentless work ethic, qualities that should help him make the necessary adjustments at the plate. With a full offseason to study big-league pitchers and work with the Twins’ coaching staff, Lee is well positioned to tap into his potential and emerge as a cornerstone infielder in 2025. Royce Lewis: Health and Consistency Are Key 2024 Recap: Royce Lewis’s 2024 season was a rollercoaster. Lewis was limited to 23 games in the first half due to multiple injuries, but he posted a 1.039 OPS and 10 home runs in 99 PA. He struggled mightily when he returned for the second half, posting a .620 OPS in his final 58 games. Lewis’s strikeout rate ballooned, and he looked uncharacteristically tentative at the plate. His late-season slump overshadowed what had been an electric beginning to the year. Why 2025 Looks Promising: Lewis’s talent is undeniable, and health has always been the key to unlocking his potential. Entering 2025, fully healthy, Lewis will have the opportunity to regain his confidence and rhythm. Despite his second-half struggles, Lewis still showcased elite performance early in 2024. His ability to rise to big moments suggests that his ceiling remains high. Furthermore, the Twins hired Matt Borgschulte as hitting coach, and he’s worked with Lewis during his previous stint in the organization. With a more stable role and a clean bill of health, expect Lewis to return to the dynamic player fans saw flashes of in 2024. The 2024 season didn’t go as planned for Julien, Lee, or Lewis. However, it’s far too early to write off their potential. Each player faced unique challenges last season, and each has the tools and mindset to overcome them. Julien’s plate discipline, Lee’s prospect pedigree, and Lewis’ athleticism and resilience provide plenty of reasons for optimism. If they can make the necessary adjustments and stay healthy, these three players could form the core of a Twins team poised to contend in 2025 and beyond. Which player is poised for the best season in 2025? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Many of the Twins’ top young players are inching closer to free agency. This winter might be the best time to sign Joe Ryan to a team-friendly extension, before he breaks out in 2025. Image courtesy of © John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports The Minnesota Twins have a solid rotation foundation heading into 2025, but stability can be fleeting. Injuries, inconsistency, and expiring contracts can quickly turn strengths into question marks. Joe Ryan has emerged as one of the club's most reliable arms when healthy. With three years of team control remaining, the Twins face a familiar question: Should they look to extend Ryan beyond the 2027 season? The Twins acquired Ryan from the Tampa Bay Rays for Nelson Cruz’s expiring contract in 2021, and that deal is shaping up to be one of the most lopsided trades in team history. Ryan has emerged as an effective big-league starter with the potential to still develop into an ace. Young, controllable starting pitching can be the lifeblood of a competitive organization, and that’s why it makes sense for the Twins to consider Ryan for an extension. Last season, Ryan posted a 3.60 ERA (115 ERA+) with a 0.96 WHIP and a 27.3% strikeout rate. It was arguably his best season at the big-league level, thanks especially to his emerging ability to fill up the strike zone; he walked a career-low 4.3% of opposing batters. In early August, though, he left a start against the Chicago Cubs with a Grade 2 teres major strain behind his right shoulder. The injury ended his season, which meant the Twins were forced to rely on three rookie starters for the remainder of the second half. Extending Ryan wouldn’t be about locking down an ace, but solidifying a durable piece of the rotation puzzle. Ryan debuted during his age-25 season, so the Twins already have him under team control into his early 30s. With the growing cost of free-agent pitching, the Twins could strike early and save themselves significant financial headaches in future seasons. A few recent deals stand out as comparable to what Ryan might look for in an extension: Logan Webb (San Francisco Giants): Entering 2023, Webb agreed to a five-year, $90-million extension with the Giants. This deal covers his remaining arbitration years and extends into his free-agent eligibility, ensuring his presence in the Giants' rotation through at least the 2028 season. Luis Castillo (Seattle Mariners): After acquiring him at the 2022 trade deadline, the Mariners locked up Castillo on a five-year, $108-million deal with a vesting option for a sixth year. Castillo was a year closer to free agency than Ryan is, but the example is illustrative, especially because Castillo is a fellow low-slot slinger with a riding fastball and a tight slider. Mitch Keller (Pittsburgh Pirates): Keller and the Pirates agreed to a five-year, $77-million extension on Feb. 22, 2024. He was coming off an All-Star season and is only a couple months older than Ryan. This extension covers his arbitration period and secures his role with the team into his early free-agent years. Why Joe Ryan Would Want to Sign an Extension While some players prefer to bet on themselves in arbitration, Ryan has compelling reasons to consider an early deal: Injury Concerns: Ryan has missed time in the last two seasons, including extended IL stints. An extension would provide financial security in case future injuries derail his trajectory. Age: Ryan is older than most players with his level of service time, due to his non-traditional path to the majors. He would hit free agency in his early 30s, a risky age for pitchers seeking long-term deals. Rising Market for Starters: Extensions are increasingly popular among pitchers looking to avoid the uncertainty of arbitration and free agency. A deal now could offer Ryan both stability and a fair value for his contributions. Why the Twins Would Want to Sign Him Long-Term For Minnesota, an extension for Ryan makes sense for several reasons: Cost Certainty: By locking Ryan in now, the Twins can avoid escalating arbitration salaries and secure a predictable payroll figure for years to come. Rotation Stability: Minnesota has helped Ryan develop into a playoff-caliber starter, and the club will need long-term solutions in the rotation. While prospects like David Festa and Simeon Woods Richardson offer promise, Ryan provides proven value. Team-Friendly Upside: If Ryan continues to improve, especially as he refines his fastball usage, the Twins could benefit from significant surplus value on an early extension. He’s already shown a knack for missing bats and generating weak contact, two hallmarks of a reliable starter. Avoiding the Free Agent Market: Finding dependable mid-rotation arms in free agency can be expensive. Ryan’s potential free-agent price tag could exceed what the Twins are willing to pay, making an extension a proactive move. The Twins have no immediate pressure to extend Ryan, but waiting could be costly. If Ryan stays healthy and continues to perform, his arbitration salaries will rise, and his free-agent value will soar. An extension would allow Minnesota to mitigate that risk while rewarding one of their most productive pitchers. For Ryan, an early deal offers financial security and the chance to be a cornerstone of the Twins’ rotation. For Minnesota, it’s an opportunity to lock in a reliable starter at a manageable price, which is a move that has paid dividends for other organizations. The Twins could also approach Bailey Ober with a similar contract extension. If the Twins believe Ryan can anchor their rotation for the next several years, a well-timed extension could be a win-win for both sides. Should the Twins extend Ryan? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Baseball has seen a trend in recent years, with some teams locking up their top prospects to long-term deals before the players debuted. Would the Twins consider a similar strategy with one of their top prospects? Image courtesy of Rob Thompson / St. Paul Saints (Photo of Emmanuel Rodriguez) This strategy might make sense for the Minnesota Twins as they evaluate the future of potential cornerstone prospects like Walker Jenkins and Emmanuel Rodriguez. While this approach comes with risk, it also provides an opportunity for long-term cost control and stability for key pieces of a team’s future core. Recent Precedents Around Baseball Locking up players early in their careers is no longer revolutionary. Several teams have handed out lucrative contracts to prospects with little or no major-league experience. Most recently, the Tigers signed Colt Keith to a six-year, $28.6-million deal, securing a highly regarded young infielder before his debut. Last season, he was a global top-30 prospect and posted a 96 OPS+ in 148 games. Keith's contract reflects a growing willingness by teams to bet on their scouting and development systems to avoid escalating arbitration costs down the road. Another high-profile example came from the Milwaukee Brewers, who signed Jackson Chourio, one of baseball's top outfield prospects, to an eight-year, $82 million deal. Chourio was entering his age-20 season and was considered one of baseball’s top prospects. In 2024, he hit .275/.327/.464 with a 117 OPS+, helping him finish in third place for the NL Rookie of the Year. For a small-market team like Milwaukee, his long-term deal provides some stability for a team that wants to stay competitive. These signings follow earlier deals like the White Sox extending Luis Robert Jr. for six years and $50 million before his rookie season and the Astros’ infamous Jon Singleton contract, which netted him $10 million over five years despite limited production. While the Singleton deal remains a cautionary tale, some other contracts provide a model for teams like the Twins to consider extending their most promising talent. The Twins’ Duo of Potential Future Stars For Minnesota, the thought of extending one of their top prospects before a big-league debut starts with two names: Walker Jenkins and Emmanuel Rodriguez. Each player represents a potential building block for a team that must maximize its resources to compete in the AL Central for years. Walker Jenkins: Following the Chourio Model Jenkins, the Twins’ 2023 first-round pick, has perhaps the highest upside in the organization. As a left-handed hitting outfielder, he possesses a rare mix of power, athleticism, and makeup that has scouts dreaming of his five-tool talent. Jenkins finished last season at Double A, and his talent puts him in conversations with Chourio and other generational prospects. MLB Pipeline already ranks Jenkins as baseball’s No. 2 prospect, and that’s the same spot Chourio occupied last season. The Twins could see Jenkins as the perfect candidate for a Chourio-style deal because his talent warrants early investment. In 2024, he missed time with a leg injury at the beginning of the season, but that was the only thing that slowed him down. In 82 games, he hit .282/.394/.439, with 32 extra-base hits and more walks (56) than strikeouts (47). Betting on his ceiling now would involve risk, but it could also solidify Jenkins as the centerpiece of the franchise without having to navigate escalating costs later. Emmanuel Rodriguez: Following the Robert Jr. Model Rodriguez would be the top prospect in a lot of other farm systems, and he might be the Twins’ most intriguing prospect. His raw tools are undeniable, with elite on-base skills, plus power, and solid defensive ability in center field. He’s gotten on base over 42% of the time during his professional career, and last season, he slashed .280/.459/.567 in 47 games. Injuries have slowed his ascent, but when healthy, he’s been one of baseball’s most exciting prospects. Rodriguez’s profile resembles that of Luis Robert Jr. at a similar stage, with the enormous caveat that whereas Robert is one of baseball's most aggressive hitters, Rodriguez is one of its most passive. If the Twins believe in Rodriguez’s ability to remain healthy and develop into a top-tier outfielder, a pre-debut extension could provide tremendous value. Robert’s was a six-year, $50-million deal, with club options for two additional years at $20 million per season. With Rodriguez’s injury history, the Twins might be able to work out a similar deal with the budding outfielder, despite the plate discipline that sets his floor much higher. Risks and Rewards for the Twins For a mid-market team like Minnesota, cost certainty is everything. Signing a player like Rodriguez or Jenkins to a long-term deal before they debut may seem risky, but it allows the team to secure future stars at a fraction of what they might cost after breakout seasons. Early extensions also provide stability for the players, who receive life-changing money while forfeiting some financial upside. Of course, extending players before they’ve proven themselves comes with its share of risks. Injuries, stalled development, or unexpected struggles could leave the team on the hook for millions of dollars. Singleton’s deal with Houston remains a prime example of how this strategy can backfire. Also, Keith’s deal in Detroit didn’t pay off in its first season. However, the Twins have shown confidence in their player development system under Derek Falvey and Jeremy Zoll. If they believe in the futures of Jenkins and Rodriguez, locking them up early might be worth the gamble. The key variable in cases like these is always leverage, and there we find the separator between Jenkins and Rodriguez. Just 17 months ago, Jenkins was the fifth overall pick in the MLB Draft. The Twins shelled out a $7.14 million as a signing bonus, meaning that if has spent $5 every minute since he signed, he still has over $3.4 million in the bank. He is, although not generationally and ostentatiously so quite yet, very rich. Rodriguez, by contrast, got a bonus of $2.75 million from the Twins as a teenager, in 2019. That still makes a person rich, but unless he was very, very smart with that money, he's not anywhere near as comfortable as Jenkins. A long-term deal, with its guarantees and some upfront cash as a signing bonus, is likely to have more appeal to Rodriguez. That works out nicely, too, because he's the one positioned to contribute to the Twins almost right away. Signing Jenkins or Rodriguez to a pre-debut extension would make headlines, while signaling the Twins’ belief in their young core and commitment to building a sustainable winner. While the risks are real, so are the rewards. If Minnesota plays its cards right, these deals could set the foundation for long-term success. Which prospect makes the best extension candidate? Are the risks worth the reward? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article