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Everything posted by Cody Christie
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Minnesota’s starting rotation projects to be one of the team’s strengths, with a combination of established veterans and young pitchers with upside. Did their decisions at last week's tender deadline change any of that? Image courtesy of Matt Krohn and Jeffrey Becker–Imagn Images The Minnesota Twins tendered contracts to all 11 arbitration-eligible players, solidifying the roster for the upcoming season. With those decisions in place, the focus shifts to shaping the 2025 starting rotation, a key element in the team's pursuit of postseason success. The Twins boast an intriguing mix of proven veterans and young arms, but questions remain about how the pieces will fall into place. Twins Projected Opening Day Rotation Pablo López and Bailey Ober sit atop the projected rotation, providing stability and differing skill sets. López has been the staff ace since arriving from Miami in the Luis Arraez trade. Last season, he struggled in the first half, but he had a 12-game stretch in the second half wherein he posted a 2.11 ERA, with opponents being held to a .638 OPS. The Twins need more of the second-half performance for López to live up to his salary jump this season ($21.75 million). Ober offers pinpoint control and an uncanny ability to suppress hard contact. Last season, he posted a 104 ERA+ with a career-high 9.6 K/9. In 2022, he posted a .464 xSLG, which ranked in the bottom 6% of the league. He’s made strides over the last two seasons, though, to the point where he had a career-best .371 xSLG. Workload management has become less of an issue in recent seasons after consecutive years of increased innings. Joe Ryan slots in as a strong mid-rotation option with the upside of being a playoff-caliber starter. After a season of refining his secondary pitches and improving his fastball velocity, Ryan looks poised to take another step forward in 2025. He ranked in the league’s top 9% in xwOBA, BB%, and xERA. An argument can be made that Ryan should throw his fastball more regularly with his jump in velocity and unique arm angle. His aggressive approach on the mound complements López and Ober's styles, giving the Twins a diverse top three. Simeon Woods Richardson projects as the fourth starter, with the former top prospect finally ready to solidify his role in the big leagues. He saved the Twins rotation last season after posting a 3.51 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and .642 OPS allowed in the first half. He struggled more in the second half as he shot past his career high in innings pitched. While his 2024 campaign had its ups and downs, Woods Richardson is entering a season where he needs to solidify his long-term potential with the club. The fifth spot currently belongs to Chris Paddack, but there’s an asterisk attached. Paddack’s $7.5 million contract makes him a potential trade candidate, especially as the Twins look to allocate resources wisely. Last season, he posted an 83 ERA+ in 88 1/3 innings in his first year back from Tommy John surgery. If he remains, he provides veteran depth, but if moved, some of the other options below offer tantalizing upside as long-term rotational options. Beyond Opening Day: Upside and Flexibility David Festa, Zebby Matthews, Marco Raya, Travis Adams, and Matt Canterino are the other starting pitchers on the 40-man roster, though their roles could shift depending on team needs. Festa was the team’s top pitching prospect at this point last season and showed some positive signs during his rookie season. He ranked in the 82nd percentile or higher in value added via breaking balls; chase rate; and strikeout rate. Festa currently projects to start the year at Triple-A, but a Paddack trade could open a rotation spot. Matthews was the biggest riser in the Twins farm system last year, moving from High-A to the MLB level. He is a strike-throwing machine, with only seven walks in 97 minor-league innings. His numbers with the Twins were pedestrian (6.69 ERA, 1.65 WHIP), but he pitched more innings than in any other season and flew through the upper levels of the minors. The Twins will need Matthews at some point this season, but they would likely want him to establish himself at Triple-A before a call-up. Raya has some of the best stuff among Twins pitching prospects, but the team’s handling of him has been confusing. The Twins have moved him quickly through the system while limiting his workload. Last season, he pitched nearly the entire year at Double-A, where he was over three years younger than the average age of the competition. He only completed six innings in one appearance and was limited to five other appearances where he made it through the fifth inning. In June, I argued that it was time for the Twins to change their plan with Raya, and they allowed him to pitch later in games as the season ended. Adams and Canterino are still viewed as starters, but their best path to impacting the big-league roster could be in a bullpen role. Adams was a surprise addition to the team’s 40-man roster. His durable frame and ability to induce weak contact make him an ideal multi-inning option. Canterino, finally healthy after years of battling injuries, could be a late-inning weapon if his elite stuff plays up in shorter stints. The Twins have the luxury of depth, but that also positions them to be active in trade discussions. Paddack’s salary could free up valuable payroll space, and the front office might explore packaging a young arm like Matthews or Raya in a deal for offensive reinforcements. Regardless of potential moves, the Twins enter 2025 with a rotation brimming with potential. With López, Ober, and Ryan anchoring the staff and Woods Richardson and Festa providing upside, Minnesota appears well-equipped to contend in the AL Central. The team's ability to maximize its depth and make shrewd off-season moves will determine just how far this group can take them. What do you think about the Twins' current rotation? Should the team explore trading Paddack, or does his experience make him too valuable to let go? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
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Ranking the Top Prospects in Minnesota Twins History: 6-10
Cody Christie posted an article in Minor Leagues
Over the years, the Minnesota Twins have developed an impressive list of prospects who arrived in the big leagues with sky-high expectations. From hometown heroes to international sensations, the hype around these players has shaped the franchise's identity and captured the hearts of Twins Territory. Baseball America was the first national outlet to authoritatively rank prospects in 1990, and coverage of the minor leagues has expanded significantly since that time. Here's a ranking of the top prospects in Twins history, factoring in their tools and potential at the time they were in the minor leagues. Honorable Mentions Jason Kubel: A sweet-swinging outfielder whose injuries curtailed what could have been a more impactful career as a five-tool talent. He peaked at number 17 on top-100 lists. Michael Cuddyer: Known for his versatility and leadership, Cuddyer blossomed into a key contributor for the Twins. He peaked at number 17 on top-100 lists. Aaron Hicks: A first-round pick with immense tools, Hicks flashed brilliance but didn’t fully realize his potential until leaving Minnesota. He peaked at number 19 on top-100 lists. 10. David McCarty (1991 - 3rd Overall Pick) Top-100 Peak: 16 After finishing in last place in 1990, the Twins selected McCarty with the third overall pick in the 1991 Draft. Minnesota fast-tracked him, starting his professional career at High-A and advancing him to Double-A by season's end. His collegiate experience at Stanford contributed to an impressive .907 OPS, earning him recognition as baseball's 22nd-best prospect by Baseball America heading into 1992. McCarty reached Triple-A the following year, posting a combined .284/.370/.448 slash line with 39 extra-base hits across 136 games. However, his major-league career fell short of expectations, ending with a .676 OPS and -2.1 WAR over 11 seasons. 9. Justin Morneau (1999 - 3rd Round) Top-100 Peak: 14 The Twins selected Morneau in the third round of the 1999 draft, but it took a few seasons for him to emerge as a standout prospect. His breakout came in 2001, when he posted an impressive .886 OPS across three minor-league levels, catching the attention of Baseball America. Over the next three offseasons, they ranked Morneau among their top 25 prospects: #21 heading into 2002, #14 in 2003, and #16 in 2004. During that time, he also showcased his talent by appearing in two Futures Games. Morneau went on to become one of the most pivotal players in Twins history, playing a key role in multiple division-winning teams. Since joining the television broadcast team, he has helped to bring a fresh perspective to viewers even after retiring. 8. Willie Banks (1987 - 3rd Overall Pick) Top-100 Peak: 13 Banks might be a lesser-known name to younger Twins fans, but Minnesota selected him with the third overall pick in the 1987 draft. His professional debut was rough, as he allowed 51 earned runs over 65 2/3 innings. However, he rebounded strongly the next season, posting a 3.72 ERA with 113 strikeouts in 125 2/3 innings. When Baseball America released its first-ever top-100 prospect list in 1990, Banks ranked 13th overall. He continued to improve in 1990, lowering his ERA by more than a full run and reducing his WHIP from 1.72 to 1.20 while splitting time between High-A and Double-A. Banks went on to pitch nine seasons in the majors, playing for seven different organizations. 7. Todd Walker (1994 - 8th Overall Pick) Top-100 Peak: 7 The Twins selected Todd Walker with the eighth overall pick in the 1994 MLB Draft out of LSU. He consistently ranked among baseball's top 40 prospects throughout his minor-league career, but his 1996 season was particularly remarkable. In 135 games at Triple-A, he posted an incredible .339/.400/.599 slash line, with 28 home runs, 41 doubles, and nine triples. Across his entire minor-league career, Walker maintained an impressive .905 OPS, though he couldn't quite replicate that success at the major-league level. Even so, he put together a solid 12-year MLB career, hitting .289/.348/.435 in an admittedly high-offense era. 6. Francisco Liriano (Acquired via Trade in 2003) Top-100 Peak: 6 Francisco Liriano joined the Twins as part of one of the most lopsided trades in franchise history. He was already a top-100 prospect heading into the 2003 season, but his 2005 minor-league performance cemented his status as a rising star. At just 21 years old, he dominated at Double-A and Triple-A, posting a 2.63 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, and an impressive 11 strikeouts per nine innings. Liriano's early MLB career was electric, earning him an All-Star nod in 2006. Unfortunately, his momentum was derailed when he suffered an elbow injury that ended his 2006 season and sidelined him for all of 2007. Some argue that with Johan Santana and Liriano anchoring the rotation, the 2006 Twins could have made a serious push for a World Series title. Out of this group, Morneau went on to have the most accolades in his career, but they all got to the big leagues with hopes of an impactful career intact. Some players ran into injury issues, while others failed to find sustained success. Not every top prospect can turn into a superstar. Should one of the honorable mentions have made the top-10? What do you remember about the prospects above? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.- 2 comments
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Prospect rankings have garnered more attention than ever in recent years, with more availability of data on top prospects. So, who have been the best prospects in Twins history? Image courtesy of © Jason Bridge-Imagn Images Over the years, the Minnesota Twins have developed an impressive list of prospects who arrived in the big leagues with sky-high expectations. From hometown heroes to international sensations, the hype around these players has shaped the franchise's identity and captured the hearts of Twins Territory. Baseball America was the first national outlet to authoritatively rank prospects in 1990, and coverage of the minor leagues has expanded significantly since that time. Here's a ranking of the top prospects in Twins history, factoring in their tools and potential at the time they were in the minor leagues. Honorable Mentions Jason Kubel: A sweet-swinging outfielder whose injuries curtailed what could have been a more impactful career as a five-tool talent. He peaked at number 17 on top-100 lists. Michael Cuddyer: Known for his versatility and leadership, Cuddyer blossomed into a key contributor for the Twins. He peaked at number 17 on top-100 lists. Aaron Hicks: A first-round pick with immense tools, Hicks flashed brilliance but didn’t fully realize his potential until leaving Minnesota. He peaked at number 19 on top-100 lists. 10. David McCarty (1991 - 3rd Overall Pick) Top-100 Peak: 16 After finishing in last place in 1990, the Twins selected McCarty with the third overall pick in the 1991 Draft. Minnesota fast-tracked him, starting his professional career at High-A and advancing him to Double-A by season's end. His collegiate experience at Stanford contributed to an impressive .907 OPS, earning him recognition as baseball's 22nd-best prospect by Baseball America heading into 1992. McCarty reached Triple-A the following year, posting a combined .284/.370/.448 slash line with 39 extra-base hits across 136 games. However, his major-league career fell short of expectations, ending with a .676 OPS and -2.1 WAR over 11 seasons. 9. Justin Morneau (1999 - 3rd Round) Top-100 Peak: 14 The Twins selected Morneau in the third round of the 1999 draft, but it took a few seasons for him to emerge as a standout prospect. His breakout came in 2001, when he posted an impressive .886 OPS across three minor-league levels, catching the attention of Baseball America. Over the next three offseasons, they ranked Morneau among their top 25 prospects: #21 heading into 2002, #14 in 2003, and #16 in 2004. During that time, he also showcased his talent by appearing in two Futures Games. Morneau went on to become one of the most pivotal players in Twins history, playing a key role in multiple division-winning teams. Since joining the television broadcast team, he has helped to bring a fresh perspective to viewers even after retiring. 8. Willie Banks (1987 - 3rd Overall Pick) Top-100 Peak: 13 Banks might be a lesser-known name to younger Twins fans, but Minnesota selected him with the third overall pick in the 1987 draft. His professional debut was rough, as he allowed 51 earned runs over 65 2/3 innings. However, he rebounded strongly the next season, posting a 3.72 ERA with 113 strikeouts in 125 2/3 innings. When Baseball America released its first-ever top-100 prospect list in 1990, Banks ranked 13th overall. He continued to improve in 1990, lowering his ERA by more than a full run and reducing his WHIP from 1.72 to 1.20 while splitting time between High-A and Double-A. Banks went on to pitch nine seasons in the majors, playing for seven different organizations. 7. Todd Walker (1994 - 8th Overall Pick) Top-100 Peak: 7 The Twins selected Todd Walker with the eighth overall pick in the 1994 MLB Draft out of LSU. He consistently ranked among baseball's top 40 prospects throughout his minor-league career, but his 1996 season was particularly remarkable. In 135 games at Triple-A, he posted an incredible .339/.400/.599 slash line, with 28 home runs, 41 doubles, and nine triples. Across his entire minor-league career, Walker maintained an impressive .905 OPS, though he couldn't quite replicate that success at the major-league level. Even so, he put together a solid 12-year MLB career, hitting .289/.348/.435 in an admittedly high-offense era. 6. Francisco Liriano (Acquired via Trade in 2003) Top-100 Peak: 6 Francisco Liriano joined the Twins as part of one of the most lopsided trades in franchise history. He was already a top-100 prospect heading into the 2003 season, but his 2005 minor-league performance cemented his status as a rising star. At just 21 years old, he dominated at Double-A and Triple-A, posting a 2.63 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, and an impressive 11 strikeouts per nine innings. Liriano's early MLB career was electric, earning him an All-Star nod in 2006. Unfortunately, his momentum was derailed when he suffered an elbow injury that ended his 2006 season and sidelined him for all of 2007. Some argue that with Johan Santana and Liriano anchoring the rotation, the 2006 Twins could have made a serious push for a World Series title. Out of this group, Morneau went on to have the most accolades in his career, but they all got to the big leagues with hopes of an impactful career intact. Some players ran into injury issues, while others failed to find sustained success. Not every top prospect can turn into a superstar. Should one of the honorable mentions have made the top-10? What do you remember about the prospects above? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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- david mccarty
- justin morneau
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In recent seasons, Brent Rooker has been one of the AL’s most feared sluggers. Why didn’t he get a more extended look with the Twins? The answer is complicated. Image courtesy of Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports In April 2022, Opening Day for most MLB teams, the Minnesota Twins made a significant trade, sending All-Star closer Taylor Rogers and outfielder Brent Rooker to the San Diego Padres in exchange for Chris Paddack, Emilio Pagán, and a player to be named later (Brayan Medina). While the deal was primarily framed around the acquisition of Paddack’s addition to the starting rotation and Pagán’s ability to slot into the bullpen, Rooker’s inclusion in the trade barely made headlines. Fast-forward to 2024, and Rooker just finished a season where he landed in the Top 10 of MVP voting, thanks to his breakout performance with the Oakland Athletics. For the Twins, his departure raises questions: Why did Rooker never find success in Minnesota, and what changed to allow him to flourish elsewhere? A Limited Opportunity in Minnesota Drafted 35th overall in 2016, Brent Rooker was always projected as a bat-first prospect with power to spare. His minor league numbers supported this profile as he slugged his way through the system. Baseball America ranked him among their top 100 prospects leading into 2018. Then in 2019, he destroyed Triple-A by hitting .281/.398/.535 (.933) with 16 doubles and 14 home runs in 65 games. However, breaking into the big-league lineup proved difficult. The Twins’ roster construction played a significant role in this. From 2019 to 2021, Nelson Cruz dominated the DH role, leaving Rooker limited to corner outfield opportunities, where his defensive limitations were apparent. Minnesota also boasted a deep lineup during those years, featuring sluggers like Miguel Sanó, Eddie Rosario, and Max Kepler, further complicating Rooker’s path to regular playing time. When Rooker did get chances in Minnesota, he struggled to gain traction. In 65 games across parts of two seasons, he posted a 96 OPS+ and struck out in over 32% of his plate appearances. While he showed flashes of his power potential, the strikeouts and a lack of defensive versatility likely pushed the Twins’ front office to view him as expendable. To be fair, other teams also came to view him this way. A Journey of Change Following the trade to San Diego, Rooker’s nomadic journey continued. The Padres sent him to Kansas City during the 2022 season, where he received minimal playing time before being designated for assignment. The Oakland Athletics selected him off waivers in November 2022, giving him a fresh start with a rebuilding club, and that’s where things began to click. With the A’s, Rooker finally got consistent at-bats, which allowed him to refine his approach at the plate. He reduced his strikeout rate (28.8% in 2024), improved his ability to hit breaking pitches (.540 SLG in 2024), and became one of the league’s premier sluggers. His 2024 season saw him mash 39 home runs while posting a 166 OPS+, numbers that earned him MVP votes despite playing on a below .500 team. He had the AL’s eighth-highest WAR total among position players while not providing any defensive value. So, why did it take so long for Rooker to unlock his potential? The answer lies in a mix of opportunity, adjustments, and time. Consistent Playing Time: Oakland’s lack of offensive depth gave Rooker an everyday role, something he never had in Minnesota. This consistent exposure allowed him to make adjustments and build confidence against big-league pitching. A Refined Approach: Reports from Oakland suggested that Rooker worked tirelessly to shorten his swing and focus on making contact earlier in counts. This evolution helped him reduce strikeouts while still tapping into his raw power. Defensive Flexibility Irrelevant: The A’s used Rooker almost exclusively as a DH, allowing him to focus entirely on his offensive game. While Minnesota might not have had room for another bat-only player during the Cruz era, Rooker thrived in the role when given the chance. The Twins’ Perspective Looking back, Rooker’s inclusion in the Paddack-Rogers trade feels like a misstep, but it’s essential to consider the context. At the time, Rooker was viewed as a fringe roster piece with limited upside. The Twins had a crowded outfield, and the DH spot was locked up. Trading him allowed the team to address areas of greater need. Still, his late-career breakout highlights the importance of opportunity and fit. The Twins’ inability to unlock Rooker’s potential is reminiscent of other cases, with David Ortiz’s departure to Boston being the most infamous example. For Minnesota, it’s a reminder that development isn’t always linear and that patience can sometimes pay off in unexpected ways. Rooker’s journey from trade throw-in to down-ballot MVP candidate is a testament to perseverance and finding the right situation. While the Twins likely regret letting him go for so little, his success also serves as a fascinating “what if” scenario. What could he have accomplished in Minnesota with the right opportunity? Ultimately, it’s a lesson for all teams: Sometimes, all a player needs is a chance. Should the Twins have hung on to Rooker? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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In a farm system with its share of ups and downs, Luke Keaschall emerged as one of the brightest surprises for the Minnesota Twins in 2024. Get to know more about his meteoric rise. Image courtesy of Ed Bailey, Wichita Wind Surge Age: 22 (DOB: 8/15/2002) 2024 Stats (High-A, Double-A): 102 G, .303/.420/.483 (.903), 21 2B, 15 HR, 23 SB, 62 BB, 80 K ETA: 2026 2024 Ranking: 11 National Top 100 Rankings BA: 48 | MLB: 63 | ATH: NR | BP: NR What's to Like A 2023 second-round pick out of Arizona State, Luke Keaschall quickly climbed the organizational ranks with his blend of athleticism, defensive versatility, and offensive potential. There have been comparisons between Keaschall and former Red Sox star Dustin Pedroia, because they attended the same college and are both short. Defensively, he has been capable of playing multiple positions, but an elbow injury this season limited the way the organization could use him. Offensively, Keaschall made significant strides in 2024. Minnesota had Keaschall begin this season in Cedar Rapids, since he had limited at-bats at that level until the end of last season. He was a monster in the Kernels lineup, hitting .335/.457/.544 with 12 doubles and seven home runs in 44 games. At the end of May, the Twins promoted him to Double-A, where he was over three years younger than the average age of the competition. In 58 games, he posted a respectable .832 OPS with 18 extra-base hits and a 51-to-32 strikeout-to-walk ratio. In 2024, he only faced younger pitchers in 28 plate appearances. Against older pitchers, he hit .302/.424/.483 with 61 walks and 79 strikeouts. Although he's a right-handed hitter, he posted reverse splits, with his OPS being over 100 points higher against righties. He did all of this while knowing that he was going to need elbow surgery at some point. What's Left to Work On Like many young hitters, Keaschall still has work to do against advanced pitching. At times in Double-A, he struggled against high-quality off-speed offerings, leading to a slightly elevated strikeout rate. His swing mechanics are solid, but he could benefit from minor tweaks to better handle breaking balls on the outer half of the plate. He also needs to prove that his offensive improvements were legitimate, which can be challenging while recovering from surgery. “I work my tail off in the weight room,” Keaschall said during the season. “At the end of the day, I'm still growing, I'm still maturing, I'm still getting bigger and stronger and better at the game and refining my swing and mechanics. I think just over time, becoming a better baseball player, maturing a little bit more.” While Keaschall is an aggressive runner on the base paths, he could improve his success rate on stolen base attempts. MLB Pipeline and FanGraphs give him a 55 grade on his running ability, which is slightly above average on the 20-80 scouting scale. Refining his baserunning instincts will make his speed an even greater weapon. The most significant question mark is, of course, his recovery from Tommy John surgery. Although position players typically recover faster than pitchers, there’s always some uncertainty surrounding a player’s throwing mechanics and arm strength post-surgery. Last winter, he went to Driveline to work on his arm action from multiple defensive positions. The Twins will likely ease him back into defensive work during spring training. What's Next The Twins are optimistic that Keaschall will be ready for full participation in spring training. With his rapid ascent through the system, he is poised to start the season at Double-A, though a strong spring performance could accelerate his timeline. If Keaschall continues to refine his approach at the plate and shows no lingering effects from his surgery, he could be knocking on the door of a major-league debut by late 2025. His combination of defensive versatility and offensive potential gives him a real shot to be a pivotal contributor to the Twins’ roster in the near future. As one of the fastest risers in the system, Keaschall has already proven he belongs on the radar of Twins fans. Now, the next chapter of his journey hinges on how he bounces back from adversity, which his fiery playing style suggests he’ll handle easily. Do you agree with Keaschall’s ranking? What are your expectations for Keaschall in 2025? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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Twins Daily 2025 Top Prospects: #3 Luke Keaschall, INF
Cody Christie posted an article in Minor Leagues
Age: 22 (DOB: 8/15/2002) 2024 Stats (High-A, Double-A): 102 G, .303/.420/.483 (.903), 21 2B, 15 HR, 23 SB, 62 BB, 80 K ETA: 2026 2024 Ranking: 11 National Top 100 Rankings BA: 48 | MLB: 63 | ATH: NR | BP: NR What's to Like A 2023 second-round pick out of Arizona State, Luke Keaschall quickly climbed the organizational ranks with his blend of athleticism, defensive versatility, and offensive potential. There have been comparisons between Keaschall and former Red Sox star Dustin Pedroia, because they attended the same college and are both short. Defensively, he has been capable of playing multiple positions, but an elbow injury this season limited the way the organization could use him. Offensively, Keaschall made significant strides in 2024. Minnesota had Keaschall begin this season in Cedar Rapids, since he had limited at-bats at that level until the end of last season. He was a monster in the Kernels lineup, hitting .335/.457/.544 with 12 doubles and seven home runs in 44 games. At the end of May, the Twins promoted him to Double-A, where he was over three years younger than the average age of the competition. In 58 games, he posted a respectable .832 OPS with 18 extra-base hits and a 51-to-32 strikeout-to-walk ratio. In 2024, he only faced younger pitchers in 28 plate appearances. Against older pitchers, he hit .302/.424/.483 with 61 walks and 79 strikeouts. Although he's a right-handed hitter, he posted reverse splits, with his OPS being over 100 points higher against righties. He did all of this while knowing that he was going to need elbow surgery at some point. What's Left to Work On Like many young hitters, Keaschall still has work to do against advanced pitching. At times in Double-A, he struggled against high-quality off-speed offerings, leading to a slightly elevated strikeout rate. His swing mechanics are solid, but he could benefit from minor tweaks to better handle breaking balls on the outer half of the plate. He also needs to prove that his offensive improvements were legitimate, which can be challenging while recovering from surgery. “I work my tail off in the weight room,” Keaschall said during the season. “At the end of the day, I'm still growing, I'm still maturing, I'm still getting bigger and stronger and better at the game and refining my swing and mechanics. I think just over time, becoming a better baseball player, maturing a little bit more.” While Keaschall is an aggressive runner on the base paths, he could improve his success rate on stolen base attempts. MLB Pipeline and FanGraphs give him a 55 grade on his running ability, which is slightly above average on the 20-80 scouting scale. Refining his baserunning instincts will make his speed an even greater weapon. The most significant question mark is, of course, his recovery from Tommy John surgery. Although position players typically recover faster than pitchers, there’s always some uncertainty surrounding a player’s throwing mechanics and arm strength post-surgery. Last winter, he went to Driveline to work on his arm action from multiple defensive positions. The Twins will likely ease him back into defensive work during spring training. What's Next The Twins are optimistic that Keaschall will be ready for full participation in spring training. With his rapid ascent through the system, he is poised to start the season at Double-A, though a strong spring performance could accelerate his timeline. If Keaschall continues to refine his approach at the plate and shows no lingering effects from his surgery, he could be knocking on the door of a major-league debut by late 2025. His combination of defensive versatility and offensive potential gives him a real shot to be a pivotal contributor to the Twins’ roster in the near future. As one of the fastest risers in the system, Keaschall has already proven he belongs on the radar of Twins fans. Now, the next chapter of his journey hinges on how he bounces back from adversity, which his fiery playing style suggests he’ll handle easily. Do you agree with Keaschall’s ranking? What are your expectations for Keaschall in 2025? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. -
Johan Santana and Joe Nathan were two of the best pitchers of their era. Now, they have a second chance at redemption with the potential to be enshrined in the National Baseball Hall of Fame. Image courtesy of Jeffrey Becker/Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports Next December, two of the greatest Minnesota Twins players of the 21st century, Johan Santana and Joe Nathan, will once again be considered for baseball's ultimate honor, induction into the National Baseball Hall of Fame. Their names can appear on the ballot for the Contemporary Baseball Era Players Committee, which evaluates players whose primary contributions to the game occurred from 1980 to the present day. This process offers a new opportunity for players overlooked in their initial Hall of Fame eligibility window, giving fans and analysts a fresh reason to debate their legacies. The committee consists of 16 members, including Hall of Fame players, veteran media members, and baseball executives. These voters will evaluate Santana and Nathan's candidacies, weighing their statistical dominance, postseason impact, and overall contribution to the game. Here’s an in-depth look at their cases and what fans should watch for as this pivotal vote approaches. Johan Santana: The Case for Dominance Few pitchers in the 2000s were as dominant as Johan Santana during his peak. He won two Cy Young Awards (2004 and 2006), finished in the top five of Cy Young voting five times, and led the American League in ERA and strikeouts three times each. From 2004 to 2008, Santana's 1,189 strikeouts, 2.82 ERA, and 29.8 WAR led all qualified starters, solidifying his status as the best pitcher of his generation during that stretch. Santana's postseason resume is limited, but he delivered memorable performances, such as his seven shutout innings in the 2004 ALDS against the Yankees. Injuries cut short his career at age 33, leaving him with 139 career wins and 1,988 strikeouts. Unfortunately, those numbers pale in comparison to Hall of Fame standards but reflect his brilliance when healthy. Pros - Peak dominance rivaled any pitcher of his era. - Advanced metrics, such as ERA+ (136), paint him as a generational talent. - Historical comparisons to Sandy Koufax, who also had a short, brilliant career. Cons - Short career with no significant late-career accomplishments. - Lack of postseason longevity or a defining October moment. Joe Nathan: A Closer with Hall-Worthy Credentials? Joe Nathan was one of baseball’s most dominant closers during his career. His 377 saves rank tenth all-time, and he maintained a career ERA of 2.87 over 16 seasons. From 2004 to 2009, Nathan posted a 1.87 ERA with 246 saves, 518 strikeouts, and a 0.93 WHIP. This is one of the most dominant stretches in baseball history for a relief pitcher. Like many relievers, Nathan's postseason resume has highs and lows because of the small sample sizes involved. While his overall playoff numbers are not standout (9 ER in 10 IP), his regular-season dominance puts him in a class with other great closers like Trevor Hoffman and Billy Wagner. Nathan’s candidacy might be closely tied to how Wagner fares in his final year of eligibility with the Baseball Writers' Association of America (BBWAA) this winter. Wagner has a comparable resume: 422 saves, a 2.31 ERA, and a 0.99 WHIP. Wagner’s final year on the BBWAA ballot is this winter, where he has steadily gained support in recent years. As of 2024, he sits at 74.1% of the vote, just shy of the 75% threshold required for induction. If Wagner is elected, it could set a precedent for Nathan, whose stats are slightly below Wagner’s but within a comparable range. If Wagner is elected, Nathan’s case becomes stronger by association, as the Hall of Fame continues to evolve its standards for relievers. Pros - Dominant peak among the best closers in MLB history. - Consistency and longevity despite a role with high attrition. - Statistical comparability to Hall of Famers Hoffman and (potentially) Wagner. Cons - Relievers remain underrepresented in the Hall, with few gaining serious consideration. - Limited playoff success and lack of a signature October moment. What to Expect Santana and Nathan’s cases reflect two different paths to potential enshrinement. Santana relies on his short but brilliant peak, comparable to other pitchers with truncated careers, while Nathan’s resume hinges on a dominant run as a closer in an era where relievers are gaining more recognition. The vote by the Contemporary Baseball Era Players Committee could redefine how these players are remembered. While their cases have hurdles, both have compelling arguments that make them worthy of this second chance. For Twins fans, it’s an opportunity to celebrate two of the franchise's most iconic players and hope that Cooperstown will one day call their names. Does Santana or Nathan deserve to be enshrined in Cooperstown? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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Johan Santana and Joe Nathan: A Second Shot at Cooperstown in 2025
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
Next December, two of the greatest Minnesota Twins players of the 21st century, Johan Santana and Joe Nathan, will once again be considered for baseball's ultimate honor, induction into the National Baseball Hall of Fame. Their names can appear on the ballot for the Contemporary Baseball Era Players Committee, which evaluates players whose primary contributions to the game occurred from 1980 to the present day. This process offers a new opportunity for players overlooked in their initial Hall of Fame eligibility window, giving fans and analysts a fresh reason to debate their legacies. The committee consists of 16 members, including Hall of Fame players, veteran media members, and baseball executives. These voters will evaluate Santana and Nathan's candidacies, weighing their statistical dominance, postseason impact, and overall contribution to the game. Here’s an in-depth look at their cases and what fans should watch for as this pivotal vote approaches. Johan Santana: The Case for Dominance Few pitchers in the 2000s were as dominant as Johan Santana during his peak. He won two Cy Young Awards (2004 and 2006), finished in the top five of Cy Young voting five times, and led the American League in ERA and strikeouts three times each. From 2004 to 2008, Santana's 1,189 strikeouts, 2.82 ERA, and 29.8 WAR led all qualified starters, solidifying his status as the best pitcher of his generation during that stretch. Santana's postseason resume is limited, but he delivered memorable performances, such as his seven shutout innings in the 2004 ALDS against the Yankees. Injuries cut short his career at age 33, leaving him with 139 career wins and 1,988 strikeouts. Unfortunately, those numbers pale in comparison to Hall of Fame standards but reflect his brilliance when healthy. Pros - Peak dominance rivaled any pitcher of his era. - Advanced metrics, such as ERA+ (136), paint him as a generational talent. - Historical comparisons to Sandy Koufax, who also had a short, brilliant career. Cons - Short career with no significant late-career accomplishments. - Lack of postseason longevity or a defining October moment. Joe Nathan: A Closer with Hall-Worthy Credentials? Joe Nathan was one of baseball’s most dominant closers during his career. His 377 saves rank tenth all-time, and he maintained a career ERA of 2.87 over 16 seasons. From 2004 to 2009, Nathan posted a 1.87 ERA with 246 saves, 518 strikeouts, and a 0.93 WHIP. This is one of the most dominant stretches in baseball history for a relief pitcher. Like many relievers, Nathan's postseason resume has highs and lows because of the small sample sizes involved. While his overall playoff numbers are not standout (9 ER in 10 IP), his regular-season dominance puts him in a class with other great closers like Trevor Hoffman and Billy Wagner. Nathan’s candidacy might be closely tied to how Wagner fares in his final year of eligibility with the Baseball Writers' Association of America (BBWAA) this winter. Wagner has a comparable resume: 422 saves, a 2.31 ERA, and a 0.99 WHIP. Wagner’s final year on the BBWAA ballot is this winter, where he has steadily gained support in recent years. As of 2024, he sits at 74.1% of the vote, just shy of the 75% threshold required for induction. If Wagner is elected, it could set a precedent for Nathan, whose stats are slightly below Wagner’s but within a comparable range. If Wagner is elected, Nathan’s case becomes stronger by association, as the Hall of Fame continues to evolve its standards for relievers. Pros - Dominant peak among the best closers in MLB history. - Consistency and longevity despite a role with high attrition. - Statistical comparability to Hall of Famers Hoffman and (potentially) Wagner. Cons - Relievers remain underrepresented in the Hall, with few gaining serious consideration. - Limited playoff success and lack of a signature October moment. What to Expect Santana and Nathan’s cases reflect two different paths to potential enshrinement. Santana relies on his short but brilliant peak, comparable to other pitchers with truncated careers, while Nathan’s resume hinges on a dominant run as a closer in an era where relievers are gaining more recognition. The vote by the Contemporary Baseball Era Players Committee could redefine how these players are remembered. While their cases have hurdles, both have compelling arguments that make them worthy of this second chance. For Twins fans, it’s an opportunity to celebrate two of the franchise's most iconic players and hope that Cooperstown will one day call their names. Does Santana or Nathan deserve to be enshrined in Cooperstown? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. -
Lew Ford might be among the few baseball players who defeated Father Time. Unfortunately, his playing days might have finally come to an end despite playing baseball into his mid-40s. Image courtesy of Long Island Ducks For years, Lew Ford has been the embodiment of a baseball lifer. Once a staple in the Minnesota Twins' outfield during the mid-2000s, Ford carved out a niche as a player who could do a little bit of everything. He hit for average, provided speed on the bases, and flashed a reliable glove. However, while his days as a big-league regular ended in 2007, Ford’s passion for the game never did. Fast forward nearly two decades, and Ford, now 47 years old, might finally be hanging up his playing spikes. Since 2009, he has been a fixture for the Long Island Ducks of the Independent Atlantic League, transitioning into a player-coach role while still putting up numbers that defy logic. His 2023 campaign was no exception: a .340/.389/.460 slash line in 100 at-bats, complete with nine doubles and a home run. Those are remarkable totals for a player 17.6 years older than the average age of the competition in his league. Still, the 2024 season became the first since 1999 where he didn’t register one professional at-bat. After all, it’s not every day that a player in his mid-40s maintains such production while balancing the responsibilities of coaching. He was named the Ducks' manager last winter, which might have been the tipping point for his playing days to end. A Career of Resilience Ford’s MLB career might not jump off the page. He hit .268/.345/.399 (.744) across six seasons, with his best campaign coming in 2004 when he slashed .299/.381/.446 (.827) with 15 home runs and 20 steals. Still, his hustle and versatility made him a fan favorite in Minnesota, where he was affectionately dubbed “Lewww!” by the Metrodome faithful. When his time in the majors ended, Ford didn’t stop playing. Instead, he became a journeyman, suiting up for teams in Japan, Mexico, and Venezuela before landing with the Ducks. Over 14 seasons in Long Island, he became a cornerstone of the franchise, earning the Atlantic League Player of the Year award in 2014 and helping the team to multiple championships. He holds the team record for hits and is third all-time in the Atlantic League, ranking second in team history with a .318 batting average. Defying Father Time Ford’s ability to perform well into his 40s has been nothing short of remarkable. While many players struggle to stay productive into their early 30s, Ford adapted his game to stay relevant while providing his teammates with a positive role model. His 2023 numbers, albeit in a smaller sample size, reflect a player who still understands how to hit and, perhaps more importantly, still loves to hit. It’s not just his stats that stand out. Ford has been a mentor to younger players, many of whom use the Atlantic League as a springboard to return to affiliated ball. He helped Jordany Valdespin (2018) and Steve Lombardozzi (2021) earn Atlantic League Player of the Year honors. His dedication to teaching the next generation while remaining competitive on the field underscores his enduring love for the sport. What’s Next for Ford? If Ford does decide to step away as a player, his future in baseball seems secure. In his first season as manager, the Ducks fought for a playoff spot until the season’s final weekend and finished with a winning record for the ninth time in the last ten seasons. Long Island had ten players whose contracts had been purchased by Major League organizations or foreign professional leagues. The Twins signed two Ducks to contracts, outfielder Tyler Dearden and infielder Rixon Wingrove. Still, knowing Ford, there’s always a chance he could step back into the batter's box. After all, baseball has been his life for over 30 years, and the Atlantic League wouldn’t feel the same without him playing regularly. As fans, we can only marvel at what Ford has accomplished and appreciate the joy he’s brought to every field he’s graced. Whether 2023 was his final hurrah or just another chapter in a never-ending story, one thing is certain: Lew Ford’s legacy as baseball’s ageless wonder is secure. What’s your favorite memory of Ford? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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Lew Ford: Could This Be the End of Baseball's Ageless Wonder?
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
For years, Lew Ford has been the embodiment of a baseball lifer. Once a staple in the Minnesota Twins' outfield during the mid-2000s, Ford carved out a niche as a player who could do a little bit of everything. He hit for average, provided speed on the bases, and flashed a reliable glove. However, while his days as a big-league regular ended in 2007, Ford’s passion for the game never did. Fast forward nearly two decades, and Ford, now 47 years old, might finally be hanging up his playing spikes. Since 2009, he has been a fixture for the Long Island Ducks of the Independent Atlantic League, transitioning into a player-coach role while still putting up numbers that defy logic. His 2023 campaign was no exception: a .340/.389/.460 slash line in 100 at-bats, complete with nine doubles and a home run. Those are remarkable totals for a player 17.6 years older than the average age of the competition in his league. Still, the 2024 season became the first since 1999 where he didn’t register one professional at-bat. After all, it’s not every day that a player in his mid-40s maintains such production while balancing the responsibilities of coaching. He was named the Ducks' manager last winter, which might have been the tipping point for his playing days to end. A Career of Resilience Ford’s MLB career might not jump off the page. He hit .268/.345/.399 (.744) across six seasons, with his best campaign coming in 2004 when he slashed .299/.381/.446 (.827) with 15 home runs and 20 steals. Still, his hustle and versatility made him a fan favorite in Minnesota, where he was affectionately dubbed “Lewww!” by the Metrodome faithful. When his time in the majors ended, Ford didn’t stop playing. Instead, he became a journeyman, suiting up for teams in Japan, Mexico, and Venezuela before landing with the Ducks. Over 14 seasons in Long Island, he became a cornerstone of the franchise, earning the Atlantic League Player of the Year award in 2014 and helping the team to multiple championships. He holds the team record for hits and is third all-time in the Atlantic League, ranking second in team history with a .318 batting average. Defying Father Time Ford’s ability to perform well into his 40s has been nothing short of remarkable. While many players struggle to stay productive into their early 30s, Ford adapted his game to stay relevant while providing his teammates with a positive role model. His 2023 numbers, albeit in a smaller sample size, reflect a player who still understands how to hit and, perhaps more importantly, still loves to hit. It’s not just his stats that stand out. Ford has been a mentor to younger players, many of whom use the Atlantic League as a springboard to return to affiliated ball. He helped Jordany Valdespin (2018) and Steve Lombardozzi (2021) earn Atlantic League Player of the Year honors. His dedication to teaching the next generation while remaining competitive on the field underscores his enduring love for the sport. What’s Next for Ford? If Ford does decide to step away as a player, his future in baseball seems secure. In his first season as manager, the Ducks fought for a playoff spot until the season’s final weekend and finished with a winning record for the ninth time in the last ten seasons. Long Island had ten players whose contracts had been purchased by Major League organizations or foreign professional leagues. The Twins signed two Ducks to contracts, outfielder Tyler Dearden and infielder Rixon Wingrove. Still, knowing Ford, there’s always a chance he could step back into the batter's box. After all, baseball has been his life for over 30 years, and the Atlantic League wouldn’t feel the same without him playing regularly. As fans, we can only marvel at what Ford has accomplished and appreciate the joy he’s brought to every field he’s graced. Whether 2023 was his final hurrah or just another chapter in a never-ending story, one thing is certain: Lew Ford’s legacy as baseball’s ageless wonder is secure. What’s your favorite memory of Ford? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. -
Joe Ryan’s most significant flaw in the minors was his reliance on his fastball. Has he flipped the script, to the point where he should use his fastball more regularly at the big-league level? Image courtesy of © John Froschauer-USA TODAY Sports Joe Ryan’s ascension to big-league success revolved around his fastball. It’s a pitch that baffled hitters in the minors, even as scouts questioned whether his heater-heavy approach could translate to the majors at a non-overpowering velocity. As he prepares for his fourth full season in the big leagues, Ryan faces a unique challenge: finding the right balance between increased velocity and pitch usage to maximize his effectiveness. The Fastball: A Foundation of Success When Ryan debuted with the Twins in 2021, his fastball averaged around 91-92 mph. Despite its modest velocity, the pitch played up thanks to Ryan’s exceptional command and the deceptive release angle generated by his unorthodox arm slot. In the minors, Ryan threw his fastball over 70% of the time, and scouts raised questions about how that mix would survive the escalating difficulty involved in going from even the high minors to facing big-leaguers. Their doubts seemed valid early on, as hitters posted a .461 xSLG during his debut season when facing his fastball, with a 20.3 Whiff%. In his first two seasons (2021-22), he threw his fastball over 60% of the time, and it didn’t generate as many swings and misses as in the minor leagues. He was going to need to adjust his approach to find more success. A Velocity Boost and Reduced Reliance Over the past three seasons, Ryan has added velocity to his fastball, which now sits around 94-95 mph and occasionally touches the upper 90s. The increased speed has made the pitch more formidable, but Ryan has paradoxically leaned on it less. In 2024, he threw his fastball just 48.5% of the time, a significant reduction compared to his minor-league days. He posted career-best totals in Put Away % (23.4), xBA (.191), and xSLG (.354) when throwing his four-seamer. The adjustment reflects Ryan’s effort to develop a more diverse arsenal, which now includes an improved slider and a sweeper he introduced in 2023. Last season, his sweeper had a 33.7 Whiff% and a .164 xBA, the best total of any of his pitches. However, Ryan might have unintentionally neutralized one of his greatest strengths by relying less on his signature pitch. The Path Forward: Using the Fastball More Ryan’s increased velocity raises the question: should he use his fastball more often? The data suggests he should. Even in 2024, his fastball generated a 27.5 Whiff% and a 23.4 Put Away%. That Put Away % was as high as his sweeper, despite the sweeper having a higher Whiff%. It’s possible that reintroducing a higher fastball usage rate could help him keep hitters off-balance, especially early in counts when they might be sitting on his secondary pitches. Additionally, Ryan’s fastball uniquely plays well in the upper part of the strike zone, where its “rising” effect can induce swings and misses. Big-league hitters can square up a straight fastball, but his is unique enough that it can still be a weapon. Incorporating more high fastballs into his game plan might also help him avoid the middle of the plate, where home runs have been an issue. For example, his splitter was used 22.2% of the time last season, but he allowed six home runs with that pitch in 122 plate appearances. In his current mode, Ryan sometimes doubles up with the splitter, or throws that pitch on the heels of his sweeper or slider. As you'd expect based on the action of the pitches in question, though, the splitter is most effective when it's playing off the fastball. Here are the splits for the pitch's performance last season based on the pitch type of the previous offering in the at-bat. Previous Pitch Type Whiff % Exit Vel. GB % HR % wOBA Fastballs 26.1 89.0 64.9 3.5 .206 Sweepers/Sliders 26.5 92.8 40.0 5.6 .466 Splitter 21.9 87.2 62.1 7.9 .251 It sounds hopelessly old-fashioned, but there might still be value in establishing the fastball and forcing hitters to hunt it, in order to get the most out of non-fastballs. A Balancing Act The challenge for Ryan heading into 2025 will be striking the right balance. While the development of his secondary pitches has been crucial to his growth as a pitcher, the fastball remains the backbone of his repertoire. If he can find a way to increase its usage without becoming overly reliant on it, Ryan could take another step toward being a true top-of-the-rotation arm. Rocco Baldelli and the Twins' coaching staff will undoubtedly help Ryan fine-tune his pitch mix. With the team looking to rebound from a disappointing 2024 season, Ryan’s ability to harness his improved fastball while maintaining a diverse arsenal could be a critical factor in their success. As he continues to evolve, leaning back into that strength while embracing his newfound tools can be the key to unlocking his full potential. Should Ryan use his fastball more regularly? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
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How Joe Ryan's Fastball Evolution Can Define His 2025 Season
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
Joe Ryan’s ascension to big-league success revolved around his fastball. It’s a pitch that baffled hitters in the minors, even as scouts questioned whether his heater-heavy approach could translate to the majors at a non-overpowering velocity. As he prepares for his fourth full season in the big leagues, Ryan faces a unique challenge: finding the right balance between increased velocity and pitch usage to maximize his effectiveness. The Fastball: A Foundation of Success When Ryan debuted with the Twins in 2021, his fastball averaged around 91-92 mph. Despite its modest velocity, the pitch played up thanks to Ryan’s exceptional command and the deceptive release angle generated by his unorthodox arm slot. In the minors, Ryan threw his fastball over 70% of the time, and scouts raised questions about how that mix would survive the escalating difficulty involved in going from even the high minors to facing big-leaguers. Their doubts seemed valid early on, as hitters posted a .461 xSLG during his debut season when facing his fastball, with a 20.3 Whiff%. In his first two seasons (2021-22), he threw his fastball over 60% of the time, and it didn’t generate as many swings and misses as in the minor leagues. He was going to need to adjust his approach to find more success. A Velocity Boost and Reduced Reliance Over the past three seasons, Ryan has added velocity to his fastball, which now sits around 94-95 mph and occasionally touches the upper 90s. The increased speed has made the pitch more formidable, but Ryan has paradoxically leaned on it less. In 2024, he threw his fastball just 48.5% of the time, a significant reduction compared to his minor-league days. He posted career-best totals in Put Away % (23.4), xBA (.191), and xSLG (.354) when throwing his four-seamer. The adjustment reflects Ryan’s effort to develop a more diverse arsenal, which now includes an improved slider and a sweeper he introduced in 2023. Last season, his sweeper had a 33.7 Whiff% and a .164 xBA, the best total of any of his pitches. However, Ryan might have unintentionally neutralized one of his greatest strengths by relying less on his signature pitch. The Path Forward: Using the Fastball More Ryan’s increased velocity raises the question: should he use his fastball more often? The data suggests he should. Even in 2024, his fastball generated a 27.5 Whiff% and a 23.4 Put Away%. That Put Away % was as high as his sweeper, despite the sweeper having a higher Whiff%. It’s possible that reintroducing a higher fastball usage rate could help him keep hitters off-balance, especially early in counts when they might be sitting on his secondary pitches. Additionally, Ryan’s fastball uniquely plays well in the upper part of the strike zone, where its “rising” effect can induce swings and misses. Big-league hitters can square up a straight fastball, but his is unique enough that it can still be a weapon. Incorporating more high fastballs into his game plan might also help him avoid the middle of the plate, where home runs have been an issue. For example, his splitter was used 22.2% of the time last season, but he allowed six home runs with that pitch in 122 plate appearances. In his current mode, Ryan sometimes doubles up with the splitter, or throws that pitch on the heels of his sweeper or slider. As you'd expect based on the action of the pitches in question, though, the splitter is most effective when it's playing off the fastball. Here are the splits for the pitch's performance last season based on the pitch type of the previous offering in the at-bat. Previous Pitch Type Whiff % Exit Vel. GB % HR % wOBA Fastballs 26.1 89.0 64.9 3.5 .206 Sweepers/Sliders 26.5 92.8 40.0 5.6 .466 Splitter 21.9 87.2 62.1 7.9 .251 It sounds hopelessly old-fashioned, but there might still be value in establishing the fastball and forcing hitters to hunt it, in order to get the most out of non-fastballs. A Balancing Act The challenge for Ryan heading into 2025 will be striking the right balance. While the development of his secondary pitches has been crucial to his growth as a pitcher, the fastball remains the backbone of his repertoire. If he can find a way to increase its usage without becoming overly reliant on it, Ryan could take another step toward being a true top-of-the-rotation arm. Rocco Baldelli and the Twins' coaching staff will undoubtedly help Ryan fine-tune his pitch mix. With the team looking to rebound from a disappointing 2024 season, Ryan’s ability to harness his improved fastball while maintaining a diverse arsenal could be a critical factor in their success. As he continues to evolve, leaning back into that strength while embracing his newfound tools can be the key to unlocking his full potential. Should Ryan use his fastball more regularly? Leave a comment and start the discussion. -
The Minnesota Twins face critical decisions ahead of Friday’s non-tender deadline. With an eye on maintaining flexibility while maximizing roster value, the front office must determine whether several borderline contributors warrant another season on the payroll. Let’s break down four potential non-tender candidates: Brent Headrick, Ronny Henriquez, Michael Tonkin, and Justin Topa. Brent Headrick, RP MLBTR Projected Contract: Not Arbitration Eligible Pros: Headrick flashed potential as a versatile left-hander capable of handling multi-inning relief or spot starts. His ability to miss bats with a slider-heavy repertoire makes him intriguing, particularly in a bullpen seeking reliability against left-handed hitters. Additionally, with controllable years remaining, Headrick could develop into a more prominent contributor if he refines his command. Cons: Headrick missed most of the 2024 season with a left forearm strain, so it’s hard to read too much into his numbers. He struggled with consistency at Triple-A in 2023, particularly with walks (3.1 BB/9) and keeping the ball in the yard (1.3 HR/9). With a WHIP hovering near 1.30 and a subpar strand rate, the Twins might view him as a replaceable option, especially if his pitch mix doesn’t evolve further. Given the Twins’ pitching depth, they may feel his role could be filled internally or via a minor-league signing. Why Keep Him? Left-handed relievers with strikeout upside don’t grow on trees. Headrick has shown enough to warrant a more extended look, particularly if the Twins believe in their development system’s ability to iron out his control issues. Why Pass? if Headrick can’t stick in a bullpen role and doesn’t show starter viability, his roster spot may be better allocated to someone with a more straightforward path to impact. Ronny Henriquez, RP MLBTR Projected Contract: Not Arbitration Eligible Pros: Henriquez offers intriguing upside as a young, high-velocity arm. He remains an interesting project at just 24 years old, particularly given his ability to work in both long relief and as a one-inning option. Last season, he posted a 130 ERA+ with a 1.29 WHIP in 19 1/3 innings with the Twins. He posted a 9.7 K/9 at Triple-A, so there have been signs of his strikeout potential. Cons: Henriquez has struggled with command issues, which continued to limit his effectiveness in 2024. His career 4.02 FIP is significantly higher than his 2.90 ERA, pointing to possible regression in the future. His 7.0 K/9 at the big-league level is too low to be a consistent threat out of the bullpen. He’s out of minor-league options, which makes it impossible to move him up and down from Triple-A. With more polished arms in the pipeline, Henriquez could be squeezed out of future plans. Why Keep Him? The Twins invested in Henriquez as part of the Mitch Garver trade, and his raw tools remain tantalizing. Moving on could result in another organization reaping the benefits of his potential breakout. Why Pass? His inability to control the strike zone and the lack of sustained success at the MLB level could make him a non-tender candidate, particularly if the Twins prioritize immediate contributors. Michael Tonkin, RP MLBTR Projected Contract: $1.5 million Pros: The 34-year-old Tonkin made a remarkable return to MLB in 2023 with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in 80 innings for the Braves. He proved he could still contribute in a middle-relief role. Tonkin’s splitter remains an effective weapon (26.6 Whiff%). His veteran presence and ability to eat innings helped stabilize the bullpen in stretches where others faltered. Cons: At this stage of his career, Tonkin’s ceiling is limited, with him hitting the waiver wire multiple times in 2024. His inability to handle high-leverage situations or consistently generate strikeouts puts him firmly in the replacement-level category. Additionally, his declining velocity makes him expendable. The Twins front office also doesn’t spend much on the bullpen, and his price tag might be out of the team’s budget. Why Keep Him? Dependable veterans are valuable in a bullpen, and Tonkin’s leadership and willingness to fill any role make him a reliable depth piece. Why Pass? With younger, higher-upside relievers pushing for opportunities, the Twins may opt to allocate his roster spot to someone with more significant long-term potential. His projected contract is high for a waiver claim from last season. Justin Topa, RP MLBTR Projected Contract: $1.3 million Pros: Topa came to the Twins in the Jorge Polanco trade with the Twins hoping he could fill a high-leverage relief role. In 2023, he posted a 2.61 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a 61-to-18 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Minnesota needs more late-inning options, and Topa can provide veteran experience that was missing in 2024. Cons: Injuries have dogged Topa throughout his career, and his durability remains a question mark heading into 2025. He missed nearly the entire 2024 season with a knee injury. With arbitration raising his cost, the Twins may view him as a luxury they can’t afford amid other roster needs. Why Keep Him? Topa has proven he can succeed in high-leverage situations, and his ground-ball profile complements the Twins’ infield defense. If he stays healthy, he could be a valuable bridge to the late innings. Why Pass? Health concerns and escalating arbitration costs make Topa a risky bet, particularly if the Twins need payroll space for more pressing needs. The Twins’ decisions on these four players will hinge on their evaluation of upside versus immediate value. While keeping depth is essential, the front office must also balance budgetary constraints and developmental opportunities. Which of these players do you think should stay in a Twins uniform? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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Many MLB teams have tough decisions before Friday’s cutoff for clubs to tender contracts to arbitration-eligible players. Here are four names the Twins might consider non-tendering. Image courtesy of © Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images The Minnesota Twins face critical decisions ahead of Friday’s non-tender deadline. With an eye on maintaining flexibility while maximizing roster value, the front office must determine whether several borderline contributors warrant another season on the payroll. Let’s break down four potential non-tender candidates: Brent Headrick, Ronny Henriquez, Michael Tonkin, and Justin Topa. Brent Headrick, RP MLBTR Projected Contract: Not Arbitration Eligible Pros: Headrick flashed potential as a versatile left-hander capable of handling multi-inning relief or spot starts. His ability to miss bats with a slider-heavy repertoire makes him intriguing, particularly in a bullpen seeking reliability against left-handed hitters. Additionally, with controllable years remaining, Headrick could develop into a more prominent contributor if he refines his command. Cons: Headrick missed most of the 2024 season with a left forearm strain, so it’s hard to read too much into his numbers. He struggled with consistency at Triple-A in 2023, particularly with walks (3.1 BB/9) and keeping the ball in the yard (1.3 HR/9). With a WHIP hovering near 1.30 and a subpar strand rate, the Twins might view him as a replaceable option, especially if his pitch mix doesn’t evolve further. Given the Twins’ pitching depth, they may feel his role could be filled internally or via a minor-league signing. Why Keep Him? Left-handed relievers with strikeout upside don’t grow on trees. Headrick has shown enough to warrant a more extended look, particularly if the Twins believe in their development system’s ability to iron out his control issues. Why Pass? if Headrick can’t stick in a bullpen role and doesn’t show starter viability, his roster spot may be better allocated to someone with a more straightforward path to impact. Ronny Henriquez, RP MLBTR Projected Contract: Not Arbitration Eligible Pros: Henriquez offers intriguing upside as a young, high-velocity arm. He remains an interesting project at just 24 years old, particularly given his ability to work in both long relief and as a one-inning option. Last season, he posted a 130 ERA+ with a 1.29 WHIP in 19 1/3 innings with the Twins. He posted a 9.7 K/9 at Triple-A, so there have been signs of his strikeout potential. Cons: Henriquez has struggled with command issues, which continued to limit his effectiveness in 2024. His career 4.02 FIP is significantly higher than his 2.90 ERA, pointing to possible regression in the future. His 7.0 K/9 at the big-league level is too low to be a consistent threat out of the bullpen. He’s out of minor league options, which makes it impossible to move him up and down from Triple-A. With more polished arms in the pipeline, Henriquez could be squeezed out of future plans. Why Keep Him? The Twins invested in Henriquez as part of the Mitch Garver trade, and his raw tools remain tantalizing. Moving on could result in another organization reaping the benefits of his potential breakout. Why Pass? His inability to control the strike zone and the lack of sustained success at the MLB level could make him a non-tender candidate, particularly if the Twins prioritize immediate contributors. Michael Tonkin, RP MLBTR Projected Contract: $1.5 million Pros: The 34-year-old Tonkin made a remarkable return to MLB in 2023 with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in 80 innings for the Braves. He proved he could still contribute in a middle-relief role. Tonkin’s splitter remains an effective weapon (26.6 Whiff%). His veteran presence and ability to eat innings helped stabilize the bullpen in stretches where others faltered. Cons: At this stage of his career, Tonkin’s ceiling is limited, with him hitting the waiver wire multiple times in 2024. His inability to handle high-leverage situations or consistently generate strikeouts puts him firmly in the replacement-level category. Additionally, his declining velocity makes him expendable. The Twins front office also doesn’t spend much on the bullpen, and his price tag might be out of the team’s budget. Why Keep Him? Dependable veterans are valuable in a bullpen, and Tonkin’s leadership and willingness to fill any role make him a reliable depth piece. Why Pass? With younger, higher-upside relievers pushing for opportunities, the Twins may opt to allocate his roster spot to someone with more significant long-term potential. His projected contract is high for a waiver claim from last season. Justin Topa, RP MLBTR Projected Contract: $1.3 million Pros: Topa came to the Twins in the Jorge Polanco trade with the Twins hoping he could fill a high-leverage relief role. In 2023, he posted a 2.61 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a 61-to-18 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Minnesota needs more late-inning options, and Topa can provide veteran experience that was missing in 2024. Cons: Injuries have dogged Topa throughout his career, and his durability remains a question mark heading into 2025. He missed nearly the entire 2024 season with a knee injury. With arbitration raising his cost, the Twins may view him as a luxury they can’t afford amid other roster needs. Why Keep Him? Topa has proven he can succeed in high-leverage situations, and his ground-ball profile complements the Twins’ infield defense. If he stays healthy, he could be a valuable bridge to the late innings. Why Pass? Health concerns and escalating arbitration costs make Topa a risky bet, particularly if the Twins need payroll space for more pressing needs. The Twins’ decisions on these four players will hinge on their evaluation of upside versus immediate value. While keeping depth is essential, the front office must also balance budgetary constraints and developmental opportunities. Which of these players do you think should stay in a Twins uniform? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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Two Trade Scenarios for the Twins to Acquire Miami’s Jesús Luzardo
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
The Minnesota Twins find themselves in a familiar position this offseason, looking to solidify their starting rotation. After missing the playoffs in 2024, bolstering the rotation with a high-upside left-hander like Miami’s Jesús Luzardo could be a game-changer. The Twins and Marlins have successfully pulled off major trades in the past—most notably the Luis Arráez-for-Pablo López deal, which provided benefits for both clubs. Could these teams connect again for Luzardo? Injuries limited Luzardo to 12 starts during the 2024 campaign; that could make him a buy-low candidate. He is under team control through 2026 and is projected to earn $6 million in arbitration. When healthy, the 27-year-old lefty has shown the ability to be a top-of-the-rotation arm. He posted a 3.58 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP across 178 2/3 innings in 2023. From 2022-23, he maintained a strikeout rate just under 29%, with a 129 ERA+ and a 3.40 FIP. Minnesota has a lot of young pitching options, but depth is essential to this front office. Adding Luzardo would likely be one piece in an offseason that includes multiple trades. Here are two potential trade scenarios to bring Luzardo to Target Field: Trade 1: Established Talent for Immediate Impact Twins Receive: LHP Jesús Luzardo, C Joe Mack, INF Gage Miller Marlins Receive: INF Royce Lewis Lewis represents the perfect blend of offensive production and defensive versatility for Miami. Injuries have limited Lewis to 152 games in his first three big-league seasons, but his upside is substantial if he can stay healthy. Lewis ended the year on a sour note with a second-half offensive slump (.620 OPS in 58 G), along with being vocal about his dislike of moving to second base. Perhaps he’s burned too many bridges, and the Twins want to shake up the team's core. This deal would sting for Twins fans, as Lewis has the potential to be a franchise cornerstone. However, adding Luzardo would give Minnesota a legitimate playoff-caliber starter to pair with Pablo López, Joe Ryan, and Bailey Ober. Without Lewis, extra pressure would be placed on the team’s other young infielders like Brooks Lee, Jose Miranda, and Edouard Julien. Mack adds catching depth to the organization with the potential to impact the big-league roster next season. In 125 games last season, he posted a .807 OPS with 30 doubles and 24 home runs in the minors. Miller was a third-round pick in 2024 and had a .603 OPS in 104 AB during his pro debut. However, he hit .381/.474/.702 with 32 extra-base hits in 55 games during his final collegiate season. Trade 2: Young Pitcher-for-Hitter Swap Twins Receive: LHP Jesús Luzardo Marlins Receive: OF Trevor Larnach Miami’s pitching pipeline remains one of baseball’s best, so they may be willing to trade a starting pitcher to help bolster their lineup. Last season, the Rockies were the only NL offense with a wRC+ lower than the Marlins. Larnach, a controllable outfielder with power potential, could address the Marlins’ offensive needs, especially after a breakout 2024 season. Last year, he posted a 116 OPS+ despite battling a leg injury for much of the second half. His most significant improvement came against breaking pitches, as his xSLG increased from .195 in 2023 to .385 in 2024. For the Twins, this move consolidates their young outfield depth into a proven commodity. Top prospects Emmanuel Rodriguez and Walker Jenkins have a chance to debut in 2024, which makes Larnach more expendable. Luzardo’s ceiling is a playoff-caliber starter, and with Larnach struggling to find a long-term role in Minnesota’s crowded outfield, this deal makes sense for both sides. The Twins’ offseason moves will undoubtedly be influenced by their disappointing 2024 campaign. Adding Luzardo would give Minnesota a proven, high-upside arm to stabilize their rotation, but it would likely be only the beginning of a busy offseason. While the cost to acquire him won’t be cheap, the history between the Twins and Marlins shows that a mutually beneficial deal can be struck. Which trade would you make? Leave a comment and start the discussion.- 36 comments
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The Twins and Marlins have matched up on a significant trade, fairly recently. Could another starting pitcher be on Minnesota’s offseason radar? Image courtesy of © David Frerker-USA TODAY Sports The Minnesota Twins find themselves in a familiar position this offseason, looking to solidify their starting rotation. After missing the playoffs in 2024, bolstering the rotation with a high-upside left-hander like Miami’s Jesús Luzardo could be a game-changer. The Twins and Marlins have successfully pulled off major trades in the past—most notably the Luis Arráez-for-Pablo López deal, which provided benefits for both clubs. Could these teams connect again for Luzardo? Injuries limited Luzardo to 12 starts during the 2024 campaign; that could make him a buy-low candidate. He is under team control through 2026 and is projected to earn $6 million in arbitration. When healthy, the 27-year-old lefty has shown the ability to be a top-of-the-rotation arm. He posted a 3.58 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP across 178 2/3 innings in 2023. From 2022-23, he maintained a strikeout rate just under 29%, with a 129 ERA+ and a 3.40 FIP. Minnesota has a lot of young pitching options, but depth is essential to this front office. Adding Luzardo would likely be one piece in an offseason that includes multiple trades. Here are two potential trade scenarios to bring Luzardo to Target Field: Trade 1: Established Talent for Immediate Impact Twins Receive: LHP Jesús Luzardo, C Joe Mack, INF Gage Miller Marlins Receive: INF Royce Lewis Lewis represents the perfect blend of offensive production and defensive versatility for Miami. Injuries have limited Lewis to 152 games in his first three big-league seasons, but his upside is substantial if he can stay healthy. Lewis ended the year on a sour note with a second-half offensive slump (.620 OPS in 58 G), along with being vocal about his dislike of moving to second base. Perhaps he’s burned too many bridges, and the Twins want to shake up the team's core. This deal would sting for Twins fans, as Lewis has the potential to be a franchise cornerstone. However, adding Luzardo would give Minnesota a legitimate playoff-caliber starter to pair with Pablo López, Joe Ryan, and Bailey Ober. Without Lewis, extra pressure would be placed on the team’s other young infielders like Brooks Lee, Jose Miranda, and Edouard Julien. Mack adds catching depth to the organization with the potential to impact the big-league roster next season. In 125 games last season, he posted a .807 OPS with 30 doubles and 24 home runs. Miller was a third-round pick in 2024 and had a .603 OPS in 104 AB during his pro debut. However, he hit .381/.474/.702 (1.176) with 32 extra-base hits in 55 games during his final collegiate season. Trade 2: Young Pitcher-for-Hitter Swap Twins Receive: LHP Jesús Luzardo Marlins Receive: OF Trevor Larnach Miami’s pitching pipeline remains one of baseball’s best, so they may be willing to trade a starting pitcher to help bolster their lineup. Last season, the Rockies were the only NL offense with a wRC+ lower than the Marlins. Larnach, a controllable outfielder with power potential, could address the Marlins’ offensive needs, especially after a breakout 2024 season. Last year, he posted a 116 OPS+ despite battling a leg injury for much of the second half. His most significant improvement came against breaking pitches, as his xSLG increased from .195 in 2023 to .385 in 2024. For the Twins, this move consolidates their young outfield depth into a proven commodity. Top prospects Emmanuel Rodriguez and Walker Jenkins have a chance to debut in 2024, which makes Larnach more expendable. Luzardo’s ceiling is a playoff-caliber starter, and with Larnach struggling to find a long-term role in Minnesota’s crowded outfield, this deal makes sense for both sides. The Twins’ offseason moves will undoubtedly be influenced by their disappointing 2024 campaign. Adding Luzardo would give Minnesota a proven, high-upside arm to stabilize their rotation, but it would likely be only the beginning of a busy offseason. While the cost to acquire him won’t be cheap, the history between the Twins and Marlins shows that a mutually beneficial deal can be struck. Which trade would you make? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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The 2025 National Baseball Hall of Fame BBWAA ballot will be sent to voters this week, with some strong first-time candidates joining holdovers from previous seasons. Ichiro Suzuki and CC Sabathia are likely to be elected on the first ballot, while Billy Wagner finished just five votes shy of induction and will be on the ballot for the final time. Voters will make some tough decisions as they approach the 10-player limit on their ballots, and one of those decisions will revolve around former Twin Torii Hunter. Hunter spent 19 seasons dazzling fans with his acrobatic catches, infectious energy, and clubhouse leadership. His career is a tale of two extremes, with undeniable highs and frustrating lows. Hunter's case for Cooperstown hangs by a thread as he enters another year on the Hall of Fame ballot. With just 7.8% of the vote in 2024, he narrowly avoided falling off the ballot, staying above the 5% threshold. Let’s examine his résumé and why his Hall of Fame case has sparked debate. The Case For Hunter Hunter’s defensive brilliance is his calling card. Known as “Spider-Man” for his ability to rob home runs with jaw-dropping leaps at the wall, he won nine Gold Gloves over a 10-year span. His defensive impact in center field helped define his era, a rare achievement in a sport increasingly driven by offense. He is one of seven players in MLB history with 350+ home runs and 9+ Gold Gloves. Offensively, Hunter’s career totals are solid, with 353 home runs, 498 doubles, and over 2,400 hits. He added value as a baserunner with 195 stolen bases, and his knack for timely hitting earned him two Silver Slugger awards. His ability to blend power, speed, and defense makes him one of the most complete outfielders of his generation. Hunter was also a five-time All-Star, splitting his peak years between the Twins, the Los Angeles Angels, and the Detroit Tigers. Beyond the numbers, Hunter’s leadership and charisma left an indelible mark on the game. Teammates and opponents respected his passion and work ethic, further bolstering his case as an all-time great. The Case Against Hunter While Hunter’s peak seasons were elite, his overall career numbers fall short of traditional Hall of Fame benchmarks. His career .277/.331/.461 slash line is respectable, but it's far from the elite levels often expected of Hall of Fame outfielders. His OPS+ (a metric that adjusts for era and ballpark factors) stands at 110, meaning he was just 10% better than the league average across his career. While strong in his prime, Hunter's defensive metrics became less favorable in his later years. From 2006 to 2014, Hunter was a below-average defender by the numbers, even as he moved to a corner outfield spot. Due to his defensive decline, his Defense Rating (Fielding and Positional Adjustment combined) was -7.9 for his career. Hunter had some strong defensive seasons, but over the second half of his career, he was hardly the elite defender Twins fans remember. His postseason track record didn’t produce the game-changing moments that can bolster a Cooperstown resume. In 48 playoff games, Hunter hit .274/.340/.414 with 12 doubles and four home runs. Three of his four home runs came in a Twins uniform, but he also missed some defensive plays that cost the Twins games in October. In the postseason, some players can impact the game on both sides of the ball, and Hunter failed to meet the moment. Jekyll and Hyde: A Career Defined by Extremes Hunter’s career can be divided into two distinct phases. From 1997-2007, he was one of baseball’s premier center fielders, blending highlight-reel defense with above-average offensive production (104 OPS+). However, from 2008-2015, his defensive skills waned, and while his offensive numbers improved (116 OPS+), he no longer stood out as a true two-way player. Hall of Fame voters often struggle with players whose careers feature such stark contrasts. While Hunter’s peak is Hall-worthy, his decline phase leaves his overall career value a bit shy of the standard. One Hall of Fame metric, JAWS, is the career WAR averaged with their 7-year peak WAR. Hunter currently ranks 35th among center fielders in JAWS, behind players like Curtis Granderson, Bernie Williams, and Andrew McCutchen. Those players don’t stand out as strong Hall of Fame candidates, and that view will impact Hunter’s candidacy. Granderson is now on the ballot, too, and could soak up some of what was previously Hunter's support. The Hall of Fame ballot is notoriously competitive, and Hunter’s path to induction remains steep. However, with continued support and a push from voters who value his all-around contributions to the game, there’s still hope that “Spider-Man” could one day swing his way into Cooperstown. What’s your take on Torii Hunter’s Hall of Fame case? Is his peak enough to overcome the inconsistencies in his career? Leave a comment and start the discussion.
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He was a fan favorite throughout his Twins tenure, but does the high-flying center fielder's résumé have enough to garner the support of the Hall of Fame electorate? Image courtesy of Jason Bridge-USA TODAY Sports The 2025 National Baseball Hall of Fame BBWAA ballot will be sent to voters this week, with some strong first-time candidates joining holdovers from previous seasons. Ichiro Suzuki and CC Sabathia are likely to be elected on the first ballot, while Billy Wagner finished just five votes shy of induction and will be on the ballot for the final time. Voters will make some tough decisions as they approach the 10-player limit on their ballots, and one of those decisions will revolve around former Twin Torii Hunter. Hunter spent 19 seasons dazzling fans with his acrobatic catches, infectious energy, and clubhouse leadership. His career is a tale of two extremes, with undeniable highs and frustrating lows. Hunter's case for Cooperstown hangs by a thread as he enters another year on the Hall of Fame ballot. With just 7.8% of the vote in 2024, he narrowly avoided falling off the ballot, staying above the 5% threshold. Let’s examine his résumé and why his Hall of Fame case has sparked debate. The Case For Hunter Hunter’s defensive brilliance is his calling card. Known as “Spider-Man” for his ability to rob home runs with jaw-dropping leaps at the wall, he won nine Gold Gloves over a 10-year span. His defensive impact in center field helped define his era, a rare achievement in a sport increasingly driven by offense. He is one of seven players in MLB history with 350+ home runs and 9+ Gold Gloves. Offensively, Hunter’s career totals are solid, with 353 home runs, 498 doubles, and over 2,400 hits. He added value as a baserunner with 195 stolen bases, and his knack for timely hitting earned him two Silver Slugger awards. His ability to blend power, speed, and defense makes him one of the most complete outfielders of his generation. Hunter was also a five-time All-Star, splitting his peak years between the Twins, the Los Angeles Angels, and the Detroit Tigers. Beyond the numbers, Hunter’s leadership and charisma left an indelible mark on the game. Teammates and opponents respected his passion and work ethic, further bolstering his case as an all-time great. The Case Against Hunter While Hunter’s peak seasons were elite, his overall career numbers fall short of traditional Hall of Fame benchmarks. His career .277/.331/.461 slash line is respectable, but it's far from the elite levels often expected of Hall of Fame outfielders. His OPS+ (a metric that adjusts for era and ballpark factors) stands at 110, meaning he was just 10% better than the league average across his career. While strong in his prime, Hunter's defensive metrics became less favorable in his later years. From 2006 to 2014, Hunter was a below-average defender by the numbers, even as he moved to a corner outfield spot. Due to his defensive decline, his Defense Rating (Fielding and Positional Adjustment combined) was -7.9 for his career. Hunter had some strong defensive seasons, but over the second half of his career, he was hardly the elite defender Twins fans remember. His postseason track record didn’t produce the game-changing moments that can bolster a Cooperstown resume. In 48 playoff games, Hunter hit .274/.340/.414 with 12 doubles and four home runs. Three of his four home runs came in a Twins uniform, but he also missed some defensive plays that cost the Twins games in October. In the postseason, some players can impact the game on both sides of the ball, and Hunter failed to meet the moment. Jekyll and Hyde: A Career Defined by Extremes Hunter’s career can be divided into two distinct phases. From 1997-2007, he was one of baseball’s premier center fielders, blending highlight-reel defense with above-average offensive production (104 OPS+). However, from 2008-2015, his defensive skills waned, and while his offensive numbers improved (116 OPS+), he no longer stood out as a true two-way player. Hall of Fame voters often struggle with players whose careers feature such stark contrasts. While Hunter’s peak is Hall-worthy, his decline phase leaves his overall career value a bit shy of the standard. One Hall of Fame metric, JAWS, is the career WAR averaged with their 7-year peak WAR. Hunter currently ranks 35th among center fielders in JAWS, behind players like Curtis Granderson, Bernie Williams, and Andrew McCutchen. Those players don’t stand out as strong Hall of Fame candidates, and that view will impact Hunter’s candidacy. Granderson is now on the ballot, too, and could soak up some of what was previously Hunter's support. The Hall of Fame ballot is notoriously competitive, and Hunter’s path to induction remains steep. However, with continued support and a push from voters who value his all-around contributions to the game, there’s still hope that “Spider-Man” could one day swing his way into Cooperstown. What’s your take on Torii Hunter’s Hall of Fame case? Is his peak enough to overcome the inconsistencies in his career? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
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Minnesota’s current front office regime has focused on college bats in recent MLB Drafts. Their most recent first-round pick offers much to be excited about after a solid pro debut. Image courtesy of William Parmeter Age: 21 (DOB: 12/29/2002) 2024 Stats (Low- and High-A): 26 G, .242/.330/.394, 4 2B, 3 HR, 11 BB, 15 K ETA: 2027 2024 Ranking: NR National Top 100 Rankings BA: NR | MLB: NR | ATH: NR | BP: NR What’s To Like? Kaelen Culpepper was drafted out of Kansas State University with the 21st overall pick in the 2024 MLB Draft. Culpepper brings a blend of athleticism, versatility, and approach that could make him a key asset for the Twins' future. Known for his defensive prowess, Culpepper is most comfortable at third base but has demonstrated enough range and arm strength to hold down shortstop and second base when needed. Offensively, Culpepper offers a balanced skill set that combines contact and occasional power. During his final collegiate season, he hit .328/.419/.574 with 32 extra-base hits in 61 games. After turning pro, he showcased his ability to drive the ball into the gaps for power. In his very short time at Fort Myers, his 90th-percentile EV was 102.6 mph. He was also a patient hitter with a mature understanding of the strike zone, with 11 walks in 112 plate appearances. As he physically matures, the Twins can continue to refine his swing to build on his impressive exit velocities from pro debut. What’s Left To Work On? Despite his many strengths, Culpepper still has areas to refine. The most significant developmental focus will likely be his power potential. He currently lacks the raw power seen in some of his peers. Some scouts describe his swing as being “flat,” which doesn’t allow him to drive the ball in the air. Even as a right-handed hitter, he struggled to hit lefties consistently, going 3-for-16 (.188) with one double and four strikeouts. The Twins' coaching staff may work with him to adjust his swing mechanics, to tap into more power without sacrificing his contact skills. MLB Pipeline grades Culpepper as having 50 run grade (on the 20-80 scouting scale), while FanGraphs puts his speed at slightly above average (55). In his pro debut, he went 12-for-16 in stolen base attempts, but his running skills are likely going to show up outside the stolen base column. Yes, Culpepper has the potential to steal 15+ bases, but his speed will be more important in taking extra bases and turning singles into doubles. There is also a chance that he loses a step as he matures physically but that is something players sacrifice for more power. What’s Next? Culpepper’s future is bright, and his path to the majors looks promising. With his defensive versatility and high baseball IQ, he projects as a player who could move quickly through the Twins' system. He finished the 2024 season at High-A, so he is projected to start the season back at that level. Players can prove a lot in the first full professional season and a lot of eyes will be on Culpepper as a former first round pick. In the best-case scenario, Culpepper could join the big-league roster in the next two years. His ceiling is as a Gold-Glove caliber third baseman, but he must continue to add power to stick at the hot corner. If Culpepper fails to stick on the left-side of the infield, he has more than enough defensive skills to slide over to second base. For a late first round pick, Culpepper offers a lot to be excited about. Do you agree with Culpepper’s ranking? What are your expectations for Culpepper in 2025? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
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Twins Daily 2025 Top Prospects: #8 Kaelen Culpepper, SS
Cody Christie posted an article in Minor Leagues
Age: 21 (DOB: 12/29/2002) 2024 Stats (Low- and High-A): 26 G, .242/.330/.394, 4 2B, 3 HR, 11 BB, 15 K ETA: 2027 2024 Ranking: NR National Top 100 Rankings BA: NR | MLB: NR | ATH: NR | BP: NR What’s To Like? Kaelen Culpepper was drafted out of Kansas State University with the 21st overall pick in the 2024 MLB Draft. Culpepper brings a blend of athleticism, versatility, and approach that could make him a key asset for the Twins' future. Known for his defensive prowess, Culpepper is most comfortable at third base but has demonstrated enough range and arm strength to hold down shortstop and second base when needed. Offensively, Culpepper offers a balanced skill set that combines contact and occasional power. During his final collegiate season, he hit .328/.419/.574 with 32 extra-base hits in 61 games. After turning pro, he showcased his ability to drive the ball into the gaps for power. In his very short time at Fort Myers, his 90th-percentile EV was 102.6 mph. He was also a patient hitter with a mature understanding of the strike zone, with 11 walks in 112 plate appearances. As he physically matures, the Twins can continue to refine his swing to build on his impressive exit velocities from pro debut. What’s Left To Work On? Despite his many strengths, Culpepper still has areas to refine. The most significant developmental focus will likely be his power potential. He currently lacks the raw power seen in some of his peers. Some scouts describe his swing as being “flat,” which doesn’t allow him to drive the ball in the air. Even as a right-handed hitter, he struggled to hit lefties consistently, going 3-for-16 (.188) with one double and four strikeouts. The Twins' coaching staff may work with him to adjust his swing mechanics, to tap into more power without sacrificing his contact skills. MLB Pipeline grades Culpepper as having 50 run grade (on the 20-80 scouting scale), while FanGraphs puts his speed at slightly above average (55). In his pro debut, he went 12-for-16 in stolen base attempts, but his running skills are likely going to show up outside the stolen base column. Yes, Culpepper has the potential to steal 15+ bases, but his speed will be more important in taking extra bases and turning singles into doubles. There is also a chance that he loses a step as he matures physically but that is something players sacrifice for more power. What’s Next? Culpepper’s future is bright, and his path to the majors looks promising. With his defensive versatility and high baseball IQ, he projects as a player who could move quickly through the Twins' system. He finished the 2024 season at High-A, so he is projected to start the season back at that level. Players can prove a lot in the first full professional season and a lot of eyes will be on Culpepper as a former first round pick. In the best-case scenario, Culpepper could join the big-league roster in the next two years. His ceiling is as a Gold-Glove caliber third baseman, but he must continue to add power to stick at the hot corner. If Culpepper fails to stick on the left-side of the infield, he has more than enough defensive skills to slide over to second base. For a late first round pick, Culpepper offers a lot to be excited about. Do you agree with Culpepper’s ranking? What are your expectations for Culpepper in 2025? Leave a comment and start the discussion. -
The Twins had three rookie pitchers debut in the rotation last season, each showcasing various levels of upside. Would the front office trade a pitcher from this group for a young hitter? Image courtesy of © Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports The Minnesota Twins have spent years cultivating a young core of pitchers to carry the team through the next era of competitive baseball. With the big-league club on the brink of reshaping its roster, now might be the time to consider trading from this depth. Simeon Woods Richardson, David Festa, and Zebby Matthews represent promising arms with varying levels of MLB experience, and each could be an intriguing trade chip this offseason. With the Twins' recent commitment to a pitching pipeline, the front office won’t easily part with these young arms. But if the team is looking to address offensive needs, trading one of these pitchers for a young, controllable hitter could be a wise move. Simeon Woods Richardson, RHP Pros: Woods Richardson won the team’s Rookie of the Year honors in 2024 and showed flashes of why he’s so highly regarded. Known for a solid three-pitch mix, he’s shown he can efficiently get through lineups. The 23-year-old finished the 2024 campaign with a 4.17 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a 117-to-48 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 133 ⅔ innings. He saved the team’s rotation in the first half (3.51 ERA) and showed increased velocity on all his pitches. The Twins value his maturity on the mound and his ceiling as a middle-of-the-rotation starter. Cons: Woods Richardson’s journey to the majors has dealt with ups and downs. He struggled at times with consistency in Triple-A, and his strikeout rate (7.9 K/9) is significantly lower than what teams want from a starting pitcher. Without a strikeout pitch, he gets into long counts, which limits his ability to get through the lineup more than two times. The Twins could be hesitant to trade someone already proven at the big-league level, but for the right return, they could be persuaded. David Festa, RHP Pros: Festa has arguably the highest upside of this trio. He has the tools to be a true strikeout artist with a fastball that reaches the upper 90s and a slider that’s shown significant bite. His slider (29.1 Whiff%) and changeup (39.4 Whiff%) were dominant pitches at the big-league level. The 24-year-old made strides in Triple-A this past season, posting an impressive strikeout rate (13.3 K/9) while limiting hard contact. Festa’s ceiling as a potential No. 2 or No. 3 starter gives him immense trade value, especially for teams needing a young arm with high upside. Cons: Festa’s downside lies in his occasional lack of control and consistency. Last season, he posted a BB/9 of 3.0 or higher at Triple-A and in the big leagues. As a flyball pitcher, he combined for 1.3 HR/9 in 2024, a number he will want to reduce as he gets more experience at baseball’s highest level. If the Twins want to capitalize on his upside, now may be the time to trade him, but they would need an impressive return. Zebby Matthews, RHP Pros: Matthews may not have the same high-octane stuff as Festa, but he’s a control artist. He flew through the Twins farm system last season, moving from High-A to the MLB level. He pitched 97 innings in the minors with a 2.60 ERA, a 0.87 WHIP, and 114 strikeouts. Matthews also showed impeccable control by limiting batters to seven walks (no, that’s not a typo). In an era where pitching depth is essential, Matthews’ ability to control the strike zone could be highly appealing to a contender or rebuilding team. Cons: Matthews doesn’t have the same high-ceiling appeal as Festa, which could limit his trade value. He struggled at the big-league level last season (6.69 ERA, 1.65 WHIP), but that can be expected after how quickly he moved through the team’s upper levels. The Twins might hesitate to deal him as he provides depth and insurance against rotation injuries, but for the right young bat, Matthews could be a trade candidate. Young Hitters the Twins Could Target in a Trade If the Twins are willing to part with one of these arms, they’ll likely want an immediate impact bat in return. Here are a few rookie hitters from the 2024 season who could make sense in a one-for-one deal. 1. Everson Pereira (Yankees): The Yankees’ young outfielder has shown power potential with solid defensive skills. Pereira’s right-handed bat would immediately impact Minnesota’s corner outfield depth, especially since the team needs more righties. His 2024 season ended early with surgery to repair the UCL in his right elbow, but he is expected to be ready for 2025. 2. Ceddanne Rafaela (Red Sox): Known for his dynamic speed and defensive versatility, Rafaela provides a utility option for the infield or outfield. He posted an 82 OPS+ last season but played over 600 innings at shortstop and center field. With his potential to play center field and offer speed at the top of the lineup, he’d fit well into Minnesota’s future mix. 3. Jordan Westburg (Orioles): With the Orioles loaded in infield depth, Westburg could be attainable, especially since he is entering his age-26 season. Last year, he had a 129 OPS+ and was named a first-time All-Star. He offers power, versatility, and infield depth the Twins could use, especially with Kyle Farmer headed to free agency and Alex Kirilloff’s retirement. 4. Curtis Mead (Rays): The Rays have an embarrassment of riches in the infield, and Mead’s bat is MLB-ready. He could slot in at first base or third, filling a potential need for Minnesota, particularly with first-base depth being a priority for the Twins. Last season, he had a .839 OPS in over 90 Triple-A games, but he’s struggled to translate that power to the big-league level. Should the Twins Pull the Trigger? Each of these pitchers could help fill different roles for the Twins in 2025 and beyond, making the decision to trade them challenging. However, with a young core that’s ready to contribute and some promising young hitters available, Minnesota may be able to address their lineup needs while still maintaining a solid pitching foundation. The right deal could provide the Twins with the balance they need to return to contention, but it will require careful consideration of each pitcher’s long-term potential. Should the Twins deal one of their rookie pitchers? Which young hitter should the Twins try to target? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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The Minnesota Twins have spent years cultivating a young core of pitchers to carry the team through the next era of competitive baseball. With the big-league club on the brink of reshaping its roster, now might be the time to consider trading from this depth. Simeon Woods Richardson, David Festa, and Zebby Matthews represent promising arms with varying levels of MLB experience, and each could be an intriguing trade chip this offseason. With the Twins' recent commitment to a pitching pipeline, the front office won’t easily part with these young arms. But if the team is looking to address offensive needs, trading one of these pitchers for a young, controllable hitter could be a wise move. Simeon Woods Richardson, RHP Pros: Woods Richardson won the team’s Rookie of the Year honors in 2024 and showed flashes of why he’s so highly regarded. Known for a solid three-pitch mix, he’s shown he can efficiently get through lineups. The 23-year-old finished the 2024 campaign with a 4.17 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a 117-to-48 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 133 ⅔ innings. He saved the team’s rotation in the first half (3.51 ERA) and showed increased velocity on all his pitches. The Twins value his maturity on the mound and his ceiling as a middle-of-the-rotation starter. Cons: Woods Richardson’s journey to the majors has dealt with ups and downs. He struggled at times with consistency in Triple-A, and his strikeout rate (7.9 K/9) is significantly lower than what teams want from a starting pitcher. Without a strikeout pitch, he gets into long counts, which limits his ability to get through the lineup more than two times. The Twins could be hesitant to trade someone already proven at the big-league level, but for the right return, they could be persuaded. David Festa, RHP Pros: Festa has arguably the highest upside of this trio. He has the tools to be a true strikeout artist with a fastball that reaches the upper 90s and a slider that’s shown significant bite. His slider (29.1 Whiff%) and changeup (39.4 Whiff%) were dominant pitches at the big-league level. The 24-year-old made strides in Triple-A this past season, posting an impressive strikeout rate (13.3 K/9) while limiting hard contact. Festa’s ceiling as a potential No. 2 or No. 3 starter gives him immense trade value, especially for teams needing a young arm with high upside. Cons: Festa’s downside lies in his occasional lack of control and consistency. Last season, he posted a BB/9 of 3.0 or higher at Triple-A and in the big leagues. As a flyball pitcher, he combined for 1.3 HR/9 in 2024, a number he will want to reduce as he gets more experience at baseball’s highest level. If the Twins want to capitalize on his upside, now may be the time to trade him, but they would need an impressive return. Zebby Matthews, RHP Pros: Matthews may not have the same high-octane stuff as Festa, but he’s a control artist. He flew through the Twins farm system last season, moving from High-A to the MLB level. He pitched 97 innings in the minors with a 2.60 ERA, a 0.87 WHIP, and 114 strikeouts. Matthews also showed impeccable control by limiting batters to seven walks (no, that’s not a typo). In an era where pitching depth is essential, Matthews’ ability to control the strike zone could be highly appealing to a contender or rebuilding team. Cons: Matthews doesn’t have the same high-ceiling appeal as Festa, which could limit his trade value. He struggled at the big-league level last season (6.69 ERA, 1.65 WHIP), but that can be expected after how quickly he moved through the team’s upper levels. The Twins might hesitate to deal him as he provides depth and insurance against rotation injuries, but for the right young bat, Matthews could be a trade candidate. Young Hitters the Twins Could Target in a Trade If the Twins are willing to part with one of these arms, they’ll likely want an immediate impact bat in return. Here are a few rookie hitters from the 2024 season who could make sense in a one-for-one deal. 1. Everson Pereira (Yankees): The Yankees’ young outfielder has shown power potential with solid defensive skills. Pereira’s right-handed bat would immediately impact Minnesota’s corner outfield depth, especially since the team needs more righties. His 2024 season ended early with surgery to repair the UCL in his right elbow, but he is expected to be ready for 2025. 2. Ceddanne Rafaela (Red Sox): Known for his dynamic speed and defensive versatility, Rafaela provides a utility option for the infield or outfield. He posted an 82 OPS+ last season but played over 600 innings at shortstop and center field. With his potential to play center field and offer speed at the top of the lineup, he’d fit well into Minnesota’s future mix. 3. Jordan Westburg (Orioles): With the Orioles loaded in infield depth, Westburg could be attainable, especially since he is entering his age-26 season. Last year, he had a 129 OPS+ and was named a first-time All-Star. He offers power, versatility, and infield depth the Twins could use, especially with Kyle Farmer headed to free agency and Alex Kirilloff’s retirement. 4. Curtis Mead (Rays): The Rays have an embarrassment of riches in the infield, and Mead’s bat is MLB-ready. He could slot in at first base or third, filling a potential need for Minnesota, particularly with first-base depth being a priority for the Twins. Last season, he had a .839 OPS in over 90 Triple-A games, but he’s struggled to translate that power to the big-league level. Should the Twins Pull the Trigger? Each of these pitchers could help fill different roles for the Twins in 2025 and beyond, making the decision to trade them challenging. However, with a young core that’s ready to contribute and some promising young hitters available, Minnesota may be able to address their lineup needs while still maintaining a solid pitching foundation. The right deal could provide the Twins with the balance they need to return to contention, but it will require careful consideration of each pitcher’s long-term potential. Should the Twins deal one of their rookie pitchers? Which young hitter should the Twins try to target? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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Earlier this week, the Twins announced multiple roster moves. Among them were the official departures of two players for whom there were once fairly high hopes, but who never did make substantial contributors to the big-league team. Image courtesy of © Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports In a disappointing offseason for some of the Minnesota Twins' once-promising prospects, Josh Winder and Yunior Severino were removed from the 40-man roster earlier this week. Their paths from potential future impact players to being outrighted and released remind us of the tough realities of baseball development. These two players, who once showed potential to contribute in significant ways, faced setbacks that eventually led to their fading from the Twins’ long-term plans. Josh Winder: The Starter Who Never Found His Stride Once a solid starting pitching prospect in the Twins’ system, Winder showed flashes of brilliance in the minors. With a big arm, excellent pitch mix, and potential to carve out a role in the middle of the rotation, Winder’s path initially looked promising. In 2021, he impressed while posting a 2.63 ERA with a 0.94 WHIP in 72 innings in the upper minors. Injuries, however, became his constant companion. Shoulder issues, in particular, began to sideline him, stalling his development and pushing the Twins to consider alternative ways to keep him healthy and effective. The team eventually moved Winder from a starting role into the bullpen. This was a similar path to the one that worked wonders for Cole Sands, who became one of the Twins' most reliable relievers last season. For Winder, though, the bullpen transition didn’t lead to the breakthrough the team hoped he would achieve. He allowed a .761 OPS as a starter and a .749 OPS as a reliever, with nearly identical strikeout rates. While Winder occasionally flashed the raw talent that once made him a prospect to watch, he struggled to consistently stay in the strike zone or execute his pitches with the precision required at the big-league level. Ultimately, Winder’s combination of injuries and command issues made him a challenging fit for the Twins’ future bullpen plans. Although his talent was undeniable, the team had to make a tough decision, especially with younger pitchers emerging and others adapting more successfully to the bullpen role. Yunior Severino: Power Potential That Couldn’t Keep Pace Just a year ago, Severino was considered a potential power bat for the future. In 2023, he was among the most productive hitters in the Twins’ farm system. In 120 games, he hit .272/.352/.546 with 35 home runs, leading the minor leagues in home runs. His breakout performance forced the Twins’ hand to add him to the 40-man roster to avoid losing him in the Rule 5 Draft. But as 2024 rolled around, Severino’s promising power seemed to vanish. Unlike Winder, Severino didn’t face a series of injuries. Instead, his performance declined, and his OPS dropped by 123 points. His swing, which had generated home runs at an impressive rate the previous year, looked overmatched against higher-level pitching in 2024. The International League, especially CHS Field, is very hitter-friendly, so his offensive decline was unexpected. Opposing pitchers exploited his tendency to chase, and his home run production evaporated as he struggled to find his timing and balance at the plate. Given his quick fall from grace, the Twins faced a difficult decision with Severino. He was still young enough to turn things around, but with his struggles this past season, Minnesota opted to clear space on the 40-man roster. Severino chose to elect free agency instead of sticking in the organization as a minor-league depth option, signaling his intent to find a fresh start elsewhere. For both Winder and Severino, the trajectory from promising prospect to 40-man roster castoff was swift and disappointing. Winder’s journey was hampered by health issues and an inability to adapt to a relief role, while Severino’s power surge was unsustainable. It’s not uncommon for highly-touted prospects to face unexpected setbacks, but these two cases emphasize the razor-thin margin between success and disappointment in MLB. The Twins, meanwhile, continue to search for ways to strengthen their roster as they look to contend in 2025. For Winder and Severino, the next chapter remains uncertain, but both have shown enough in the past to attract attention from other teams. If they can stay healthy and rediscover their strengths, perhaps another organization will find a way to unlock the potential that once made them two of the more intriguing names in Minnesota’s system. Did the Twins make the correct decision with Winder and Severino? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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In a disappointing offseason for some of the Minnesota Twins' once-promising prospects, Josh Winder and Yunior Severino were removed from the 40-man roster earlier this week. Their paths from potential future impact players to being outrighted and released remind us of the tough realities of baseball development. These two players, who once showed potential to contribute in significant ways, faced setbacks that eventually led to their fading from the Twins’ long-term plans. Josh Winder: The Starter Who Never Found His Stride Once a solid starting pitching prospect in the Twins’ system, Winder showed flashes of brilliance in the minors. With a big arm, excellent pitch mix, and potential to carve out a role in the middle of the rotation, Winder’s path initially looked promising. In 2021, he impressed while posting a 2.63 ERA with a 0.94 WHIP in 72 innings in the upper minors. Injuries, however, became his constant companion. Shoulder issues, in particular, began to sideline him, stalling his development and pushing the Twins to consider alternative ways to keep him healthy and effective. The team eventually moved Winder from a starting role into the bullpen. This was a similar path to the one that worked wonders for Cole Sands, who became one of the Twins' most reliable relievers last season. For Winder, though, the bullpen transition didn’t lead to the breakthrough the team hoped he would achieve. He allowed a .761 OPS as a starter and a .749 OPS as a reliever, with nearly identical strikeout rates. While Winder occasionally flashed the raw talent that once made him a prospect to watch, he struggled to consistently stay in the strike zone or execute his pitches with the precision required at the big-league level. Ultimately, Winder’s combination of injuries and command issues made him a challenging fit for the Twins’ future bullpen plans. Although his talent was undeniable, the team had to make a tough decision, especially with younger pitchers emerging and others adapting more successfully to the bullpen role. Yunior Severino: Power Potential That Couldn’t Keep Pace Just a year ago, Severino was considered a potential power bat for the future. In 2023, he was among the most productive hitters in the Twins’ farm system. In 120 games, he hit .272/.352/.546 with 35 home runs, leading the minor leagues in home runs. His breakout performance forced the Twins’ hand to add him to the 40-man roster to avoid losing him in the Rule 5 Draft. But as 2024 rolled around, Severino’s promising power seemed to vanish. Unlike Winder, Severino didn’t face a series of injuries. Instead, his performance declined, and his OPS dropped by 123 points. His swing, which had generated home runs at an impressive rate the previous year, looked overmatched against higher-level pitching in 2024. The International League, especially CHS Field, is very hitter-friendly, so his offensive decline was unexpected. Opposing pitchers exploited his tendency to chase, and his home run production evaporated as he struggled to find his timing and balance at the plate. Given his quick fall from grace, the Twins faced a difficult decision with Severino. He was still young enough to turn things around, but with his struggles this past season, Minnesota opted to clear space on the 40-man roster. Severino chose to elect free agency instead of sticking in the organization as a minor-league depth option, signaling his intent to find a fresh start elsewhere. For both Winder and Severino, the trajectory from promising prospect to 40-man roster castoff was swift and disappointing. Winder’s journey was hampered by health issues and an inability to adapt to a relief role, while Severino’s power surge was unsustainable. It’s not uncommon for highly-touted prospects to face unexpected setbacks, but these two cases emphasize the razor-thin margin between success and disappointment in MLB. The Twins, meanwhile, continue to search for ways to strengthen their roster as they look to contend in 2025. For Winder and Severino, the next chapter remains uncertain, but both have shown enough in the past to attract attention from other teams. If they can stay healthy and rediscover their strengths, perhaps another organization will find a way to unlock the potential that once made them two of the more intriguing names in Minnesota’s system. Did the Twins make the correct decision with Winder and Severino? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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In an intriguing hypothetical blockbuster, the Minnesota Twins could send Pablo López, Jorge Alcala, and prospect Dameury Peña to the Boston Red Sox in exchange for top shortstop prospect Marcelo Mayer and left-handed reliever Brennan Bernardino. The deal offers both risk and reward for both clubs. From each team's perspective, let’s dive into the pros and cons of such a move. Why the Twins Would Consider This Deal The Twins have seen incredible value in López since acquiring him from Miami, as he evolved into an ace-caliber starter. López’s electric stuff and steady presence atop Minnesota’s rotation give the team a dependable frontline starter. However, with López’s increasing salary and the team’s payroll limitations, the front office might be tempted to sell high if they can acquire cornerstone talent. Pro: Marcelo Mayer’s Upside Marcelo Mayer is Minnesota's main attraction in this deal. The 21-year-old is one of baseball’s premier shortstop prospects, offering high offensive potential and defensive chops. MLB Pipeline currently ranks him as baseball’s seventh overall prospect. Last season, he hit .307/.370/.480 with 28 doubles and eight homers in 77 games at Double-A. The Twins’ infield depth has been a strength, but with Carlos Correa locked in at shortstop, Mayer would have time to develop and eventually transition into an impact player. For Minnesota, acquiring Mayer would mean securing their long-term infield future and adding depth for when Correa might need to move to another defensive home. Pro: Filling the Need for a Left-Handed Reliever Brennan Bernardino, a durable left-handed reliever, fills an area of need for the Twins with Caleb Thielbar slated to be a free agent. While they have talent in their bullpen, they lack consistency from the left side, making Bernardino a valuable addition. Last season, he held lefties to a .291 OBP and struck out 33 batters in 118 PA. Bernardino has not reached arbitration, putting him under team control through 2029. He could slot into middle relief immediately and be a long-term fixture for a team that wants to avoid bullpen struggles late in the year. Con: Risk in Moving Pablo López Moving López would leave a sizable hole in Minnesota’s rotation. While the team has depth, none of the current starters can replicate López’s dominance and durability, especially against high-caliber teams. Letting go of López means the Twins would be banking on young arms like Joe Ryan and Bailey Ober to lead the staff, and they’d need breakout seasons from prospects like David Festa and Zebby Matthews. Losing López could add pressure to the front office to find rotation help in free agency or through another trade. Con: Bullpen Depth Takes a Hit Alongside López, the Twins would also lose Jorge Alcalá, a promising, high-upside bullpen arm. Though Alcalá has faced injury setbacks, he showed flashes of being a reliable late-inning reliever. Trading him in this deal, along with López, weakens the rotation and bullpen, making it challenging for the Twins to contend if they don’t find immediate replacements. However, he is only under team control for one more year, so it might be the right time to cash in his remaining value. Why the Red Sox Would Consider This Deal This deal could represent a win-now move for the Red Sox that dramatically boosts their starting rotation and bullpen. Pro: Adding an Ace to the Rotation Boston struggled to find reliable rotation pieces last season, and Pablo López would be a game-changer. With López’s experience and pitch arsenal, he could quickly establish himself as the Red Sox’s ace. Boston is looking to compete in the highly competitive AL East, and adding López to their rotation provides a significant upgrade that could help them contend for the postseason in the near term. Pro: Bolstering the Bullpen Alcalá’s addition would help round out Boston’s bullpen. Alcalá could thrive in a late-inning role with his power arm if he remains healthy. His fastball-slider combination has always been compelling. The Twins have used Alcalá in puzzling ways in recent seasons, and it might be in his best interest to go to a new organization. Boston’s relief corps has had its ups and downs, and Alcalá’s upside makes him an appealing addition, especially if the Red Sox believe they can keep him healthy. Con: Losing a Future Star in Mayer Parting with Mayer is a significant gamble for Boston. Mayer has the potential to be a franchise cornerstone, with many expecting him to quickly impact the big-league roster. Trading him would mean Boston prioritizes immediate success over their long-term future at shortstop, potentially leaving a gap if their infield depth doesn’t materialize as expected. They would have to believe that current options or future shortstop prospects can fill the void Mayer leaves. Con: A Big Bet on the Current Roster The Red Sox are a team in transition, and giving up a top prospect like Mayer would signal a strong commitment to contending in the immediate term. If they fall short of a playoff berth, this trade could look like a misstep in hindsight, as they would be sacrificing Mayer’s long-term value for the here and now. Expectations are always high for the Red Sox, and their fan base will hardly forget this trade if Mayer turns into a star. For the Twins, moving López and Alcalá is no small decision, and it would require a serious belief in Mayer’s upside and Bernardino’s ability to make an impact. Minnesota would be banking on the long-term benefits of securing a premier shortstop talent in Mayer while bolstering their left-handed relief options. Boston, meanwhile, would acquire the impact arm they desperately need at the top of their rotation. However, sacrificing Mayer’s immense potential is a steep price and would represent a win-now mindset. They’d have to contend seriously for this trade to make sense, with Alcalá’s health and López’s performance playing crucial roles in their success. Would Minnesota be willing to part with one of its top starting pitchers? Would Boston really let go of Mayer, one of baseball’s best prospects? These questions make this deal intriguing, but it’s a fascinating potential trade to explore that would send shockwaves across both fan bases. Which front office says no to this trade? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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