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August J Gloop

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Everything posted by August J Gloop

  1. August J Gloop
    This is what happens to all old markets. They fight change rather than innovate. The music industry fought like hell against digital distribution and now makes more money on music than they ever did. But it wasn't the consumers they were fighting but the artists. They squeezed consumers for napstering, sure. The real fight was in proving to the artists that they were going to have to accept .0000000002 cents per stream. And now the industry has a situation where like 25% of the people in the word just give them $25 a month automatically. That's never going to happen for sports. Too few people are actually involved in the distribution of the product for that large scale squeeze to take place.
  2. August J Gloop
    You do know that mlb.tv isn't PPV? The current model that most of the teams are executing is not aimed at growing the fan base. It is aimed off profiting from that fandom. Which is why it's been stagnant, ultimately not as valuable. If they wanted the TV games to be fan recruitment, they'd move it internally to advertising budget and understand it as a money loss.
  3. August J Gloop
    Technically I do get better service (for now) on FUBO. If I were on comcast right now all the work I did to get the cable installed would be for naught. On Saturday, I probably have to get another provider to watch the wolves. But this is the magic of the capitalist. They get the consumers to fight with each other over (often fabricated) scarcity.
  4. August J Gloop
    Because you don't root for the executives? Insanely short sighted. But doing any business with Bally's falls in the same myopic category. They were free of this mess. Yet they chose to dive right back in.
  5. August J Gloop
    Those teams just see the value of the stream differently (correctly?). I'm not saying I agree with the Twins being cheap on streaming, but I do understand why they didn't let Bally's get everything they wanted just to have it.
  6. August J Gloop
    The NHL and NBA don't have a wildly successful competing streaming platform like mlb.tv. Stream rights are MLB collective so the Twins couldn't just give them away. Bally's probably asked for free rights or to lock in something with AMZN, so they couldn't (didn't) agree to it. It's a huge mess, but this part at least kind of makes sense.
  7. August J Gloop
    I mean who knows? Comcast might take this to the next level, as they could theoretically argue that they don't have access to the feed so they can't broadcast it. But technically their extra innings package is to provide the out of market broadcasts. They broadcast other feeds that don't appear on comcast, so it seems unlikely they would go there.
  8. August J Gloop
    My bad. You’re in NJ. You’ll be fine.
  9. August J Gloop
    Directv is definitely their next target. The deals they made with Directtv and charter are provisional, not signed. There is no telling what kind of 30 day riders they might have put in them. It wouldn’t shock me if they use this failure with Comcast to fold the other two deals and on June 1st be completely dark during the MLB season.
  10. August J Gloop
    You will be blacked out now. You could only watch them because they were on Comcast. You won’t be able to watch the other teams feed either. Comcast will be forced to adhere to that rule on the extra innings package.
  11. August J Gloop
    Hello Ballyzon! It’s pretty shocking that Ballys would be this brazen about their attempt to force their way onto prime. I figured that they’d make it look more like the other side’s fault. This was 100% always the plan, which is why they forced the no streaming partners language into the agreement for 2024. The teams can’t even offer an mlb.tv option to iced out customers. Bally’s will cry hardship now and suggest they can’t make payments. The teams (who have no other streaming option set up) will agree to tearing up the existing agreements for less favorable terms on Prime. Since it’s now that or hope they can convince people to buy Fubo or directtv.
  12. August J Gloop
    My guess is that the backs aren’t going to see much profit from db.tv since to get near the twins bad deal in income they’d have to get 650,000 subs. Arizona has like 2.5 million households, so that’s a sizable chunk of the people in AZ. Don’t forget that the backs need to produce the games, and we know that isn’t free or even cheap. They’re likely to break even or lose money on tv. Maybe AZ is letting the cat out of the bag that tv revenue =\= money available for payroll. We also would need to know how the rest of their organization is paid relative to other mid markets. There are plenty of ways to cut payroll other than not getting the most expensive players.
  13. August J Gloop
    Why on earth did this end up in an email? Carl and (apparently) Joe are clearly not fans of baseball, but let’s not make it normal to toss around the word poverty in this incorrect context.
  14. August J Gloop
    That's not even Margot in the article about him. You can see the first letters on his back are AR.
  15. August J Gloop
    Because the players work hard for their craft. They spend long hours for years getting great at baseball. Joe Pohlad is a rich person who was born rich and is obviously not very good at the job he was gifted. Not hard to figure out why one would inspire support and the other derision. The rangers won the flippin world series and are slashing payroll. Winning isn't actually that valuable to the bottom line in the end.
  16. August J Gloop
    Turns out the Twins thought that Bubba Thompson was the prospect with taking a flyer on. He's got two option years left. Makes sense.
  17. August J Gloop
    Oscar Gonzalez is a better yankee DFA. Last year was rough but he was good in 2022.
  18. August J Gloop
    As far as league minimum corner outfielders, they'd be better off to go with Oscar Gonzalez who was even more recently DFA'd by the Yankees than Hicks. He's young and has some upside past just OK. Or Alexander Canario who is out of options with the cubs. He looks like a solid fielder with some pop in his bat, but the Cubs may DFA him for roster reasons. Either of these RH corner bats could provide more than an aging Hicks and would be league minimum.
  19. August J Gloop
    I wouldn't be shocked to find out that Luzardo and Alcantra have been tied together all off season in potential trades. The Twins would absolutely deal for "Sandy Luzardo" if the Fish were just looking to discharge payroll. No chance that kindof move nets the Fish much in the line of prospects since it's basically all risk right now. Luzardo, the asset gets the other team to take on Alcantra, the likely ruined pitcher who will be owed 43 M. All teams have to write off players who undergo TJS, until they can prove they are coming back (and while the success rate is getting better, it's not good enough for the Marlins to bank that cash on). He went under the knife in October, so he won't pitch a full season in '25 even. It will be much like Kenta's last year. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8209837/ If they were willing to absorb the Alcantra deal on the 80% chance he'll be 80% of who he was before the surgery, the Twins could get that deal done with Kepler. Maybe even AK. Which is why they won't do it, by the way. Much too risky for the Twins.
  20. August J Gloop
    Every time we bring up Polo and Kep, it needs to be restated that it's up to the Twins if they want to eat the salary and turn both into much more desirable assets. For the Ms and other Ms, that results in free production plus something to flip at the deadline. For real contenders like ATL and PHI, it opens the door to getting under the Luxury Tax threshold if they're just over it. That's the main impetus behind what I would think will drive a Max Fried trade in ATL. It will likely be after whatever fan fest ATL runs, to limit the season ticket blowback. A reasonable fan knows ATL will win the division with or without Fried, so getting under the tax threshold is probably worth it. This would be ATLs 2nd consecutive year over it, and that's where scores really add up. Kep plus a middle top prospect helps ATL out both in the field at at the bank. For the Twins it essentially would be 25M for 1 season of Fried and a comp pick. Would be a definite yes, even in this economy. The only problem could be the quality of the prospect. Might be too much closer to top than middle for comfort.
  21. August J Gloop
    Let's play this out. Ballyzon gets their faux-mini-merger. AMZN now has the stream rights for 5 teams. Those 5, plus 6 more have existing Bally's linear deals. 5 teams are with out any deal. The other 14 have some sort of Linear deal and likely some complicated blackout encumbered streaming situation due to their linear deals (like NESN and YES - have to have cable to get the online option). AMZN doesn't get anything out of Bally's being on cable or satellite. They actively don't want it on youtubeTV or fubo. We have to ask how is 600 Million enough to run 14 networks (the 11 plus TEX, CLE, MIN) for a month, let alone a whole baseball season? Consider that 500 million is for the 'separation from Sinclair', which definitely means a large chunk is going to executive bonuses. They essentially are guaranteeing that they'll operate at a loss again or that they have the capability to negotiate long term deals worthy of funding 4.7 BILLION DOLLARS in debt (which they don't). RSNs don't work anymore. It's just basic math. AMZN knows this and is clearly positioning to shut down MLBs ability to even televise half the league at all as early as this season, unless their streaming demands are met. That doesn't sound like even a near term good for anyone.
  22. August J Gloop
    Outside of Philly, Hoskins is a very average hitter. If his power is at all sapped by the injuries, he's basically not roster worthy. Let someone else find out on that one.
  23. August J Gloop
    If he's up for a NRI to spring training, sure.
  24. August J Gloop
    It sounds to me more like bus throwing by the Pohlads. What might be is that Ryan would be proud of feeling like he'd kept a little in the tank to be able to add at the deadline. But most likely he would spend his paltry budget, the team would come up short, and then it was framed that he had more money to spend and just chose not to. Why would he be proud of it? They never won anything in his tenure so the plan didn't exactly work. It wasn't his money and he didn't get bonuses for undercutting the budget. That sort of deal would have been leaked by now. Terry did put together some pretty decent teams on limited budgets, though. He can be proud of that.
  25. August J Gloop
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