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Hawkeye Bean Counter

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Everything posted by Hawkeye Bean Counter

  1. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    So if outfielders collide and are both down, the runners just stop right????? Silliest argument ever heard on this board.
  2. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    The slider is wicked. Right now it his best pitch by far and the best locating it. The fastball doesn't ride much, but has elite velocity, does struggle a bit with command. Hovers 97 to 98 can push to 100. He really needs a 3rd pitch, add that with a little better command of the fastball with a little more movement and you are set. His focus has not been baseball til this year. I thought we would have seen a bigger jump lately. The real question isn't so much if the command will improve I think it will. Its if he is a reliever or a starter. Yes I wouldn't be surprised if someone picks him before us but my guess is he is still there unless he tears up for the rest of the season. I do agree there should be some very solid bats available at our pick as well. Brecht has potential #1 ability though with his 2 pitches, if he can find a usable 3rd with slightly better command, he will really boost the pipeline. As an aside the team has been picking more players with command issues just look at last years draft. Several with command issues, granted they weren't picked in the early rounds LOL.
  3. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    For comparisons sake this was against the following vaunted teams, Rutgers, Nebraska (best of the bunch, 3rd in B1G) and Northwestern (awful).
  4. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    McCusker I think got stung a bit by the Covid draft, never was able to get into an organization. We picked him up last year. Doing what he is doing in AA is impressive. Yes he is older, but he wasn't really a prospect. I don't think we can hold age against him in this case, other than it will take some of prime years away if he does make it. He has gone from no reasonable shot at being a major leaguer to he is now on the radar. For him it is a heck of an accomplishment. 2023 - Independent leagues, A, High A 2024 - AA, maybe AAA Could be in the big leagues next year if keeps improving.
  5. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    As shown, Arraez value is extremely tied to be an elite contact hitter as he offers very little else on defense or in power. For San Diego this was a luxury trade, they really don't need more offense, but a great table setter even as a DH is useful. He is also a nice fill in at 2nd base if an injury occurs. As shown San Diego paid very little in the grand scheme of things. Compared to Pablo, it was a massive loss for the marlins. The other issue is Arraez camp is clear they are looking for max dollars. No extensions, challenging arbitration. They are being extremely aggressive. I wish Arraez the best.
  6. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    I have seen 2 drafts where he has dropped to 23 to 24, however against weaker competition, he has dominated the last 3 weeks. Struck out 36 in 22 2/3rds innings and only 2 earned runs during those 3 games. Before that stretch he was struggling and looking more like a 2nd round pick. He his so tantalizing yet at other times struggles to get through 3-4 innings. I think he is likely a top 20 pick but still some one to keep an eye on.
  7. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    If there were ever a fanbase or an organization that would love the hitting style of Luis Arraez, its the Padres. He is the closest thing to Tony Gwynn since the former quit playing.
  8. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Its really a .8 War for 17 games, as he was a -.2 War to start the season.
  9. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    He has effectively been at this pace since last July. He is making more contact and better contact. The current approach is so much better than previously.
  10. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Just as a follow up. Kepler this season had a rough start to the season, but since coming back has been on a tear. For the Year a slash line of .293/.364/.812 134 OPS+ The last 2 weeks .421/.500/1.147 231 OPS+ He is hitting the ball confidently to all fields, waiting on outside pitches and slapping them into left field. The home runs are a little light which is to be expected with cooler temps, but I would gladly take this version of Kepler any day of the week. At .6 War for a little over 1 month, he is on a good start to have a heck of a season, and continue the discussion on whether he will get a qualifying offer or not 😉.
  11. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    We have beat up on 2 poor teams, lost to a few decent teams early while still trying to find a footing with all the injuries. I understand the consternation or elation of the fanbase over a few wins or losses is meaningless. That is essentially my point, it is the absurdity of getting in a tizzy over an extremely small sample size of what is a very long season. the 25% mark of games is where I think you can begin to make some decent observations of the team. As to what if games, are we 10 games over .500 if we don't have the injuries early. Also the white sox are a decent team, the issue is their bullpen. If they can find 2-3 decent arms to add to the bullpen they will actually put up a fight in most games. I am glad we faced them when we did.
  12. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Things are actually pretty good. There is a very strong contingent of posters, and article writers that seem to love it when the Twins are struggling to come bash ownership, management, the team or players. Its not just this websites issue it just seems many enjoy to be negative. There were multiple articles on what was going wrong. We have gotten a sausage article on what has gone right 😉. Negativity sells I guess.
  13. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    bunt every ball, and he will get on a base a hell of a lot more 😉
  14. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    I am patiently waiting for the OP's article on how the front office management has led to this 9 game winning streak and brought us within 3 games of the lead. SSS are SSS. Making significant claims based off of 20 games is silly. Let alone when having several with injuries that were short term. Now we will see how we do against better teams, which is Chpettit argument.
  15. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    What is weird is how much worse our bullpens have been this year vs last year. Not sure why they just fell apart. Even still as stated before this is not an area I am concerned about. Wish it were better for team success at each level, but matters little to the organization. 2 big observations on players - 1st Festa is dealing, and looking to be an option for the #5 spot. 2nd Winokur now with his BA up to .270 and it continuing to rise. OPS and power not quite there (slightly below .800) but as long as getting the hits sooner or later the power will translate. I have been very impressed with him so far. He was a bit of a lottery ticket in the 3rd round and so far is looking like an excellent pick. Add in his steals, and that he tends to be clutch in big moments (isn't afraid of the bright light) is very promising. If he continues to knock the ball around look for a promotion some time this year to A+ ball if there is an opening.
  16. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    The bullpen is beginning to round into form, and looks like you will have ample reliable arms to count on in games. Disappointing we will likely lose Bowman, but he is literally just an arm. A ground ball pitcher that will struggle if teams get the ball in the air. For the dog days of summer we look set in the bullpen. Personal opinion is looks like we will be rotating arms at the #5 slot unless SWR grabs hold and never lets go. Need some time for the AA starters to round into form and give more options at AAA. So far, the plan for the season looks good, possibly trading for an arm later in the year, but looking good.
  17. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    When you look at the underlying stats very similar to last year. Personally not worried at all. Needs to get into a groove. Still our #1 pitcher and its not even a question.
  18. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Join what the majority of Iowa fans have been dealing with for the last several years. It sucks, and kills the possibility of growing your fanbase.
  19. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Never mind after watching the White Sox bullpen somebody is going to pick him up . . . White Sox anybody LOL.
  20. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    A down turn is one thing, but both of those stocks are up significantly over the last several years. NVDA if you have been invested since the beginning of 2023 is up 400% LOL. Having a pullback was guaranteed. No different than my MSTR pulling back nearly 50%. As I stated earlier, I knew the stock was overvalued almost 200%. I wasn't going to chase it. You can still make massive returns in the market. Just need to be patient, not chase stocks,
  21. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    I don't think its a guarantee he gets pick up but is a likely scenario. In either case he is an arm to throw out there, that gave us 7 solid innings. Ultimately can't complain with that. He performed well. Whether here or another team, he will likely get another opportunity.
  22. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Lots of the premium starting to come out of the stock market. My stock MSTR has dropped from nearly $2000 to a low of around $1070 today. I had June $750 calls, so the drop allowed me to roll out to January 2025 $1300. I had to add some cash to the transaction, but very happy with the increase in the strike. Before it looked like $1150 to $1200 was going to be where I rolled to with a higher price on the stock. Will have to wait and see if this plays out in my favor but I am fairly confident. Short interest is increasing and the price is getting much closer to the 100 and 200 day moving averages. I am not calling a bottom but today was a good opportunity for me to take advantage of lower prices. Good Luck.
  23. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Leaving Miranda at 3rd is a good spot for him. Correa likes him as well, not that it is a difference maker, but I do think those 2 will communicate well on that side while we wait for Lewis.
  24. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    As I stated last week, I still think injuries was our biggest issue in the lopsided record last week, along with some poor early season performances. We seem to be rounding into form. I think we have a solid 4 man starting rotation, hopefully SWR or Varland can lock down that #5 position. The hitters, some of our forgotten prospects or bottom of the MLB teams players are starting off well, including Kiriloff, Larnach and Miranda. If we have those 3 and Julien doing well, we are set up really well this year and for the future if they can keep it up. Really looking forward to the bullpen getting Duran and Topa back. Our best arm and another top 4 arm will really deepen the bullpen.
  25. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Langenberg, is one I was optimistic about. Obviously being a Hawkeye I'm rooting for his success. I do think he is a little further down on the 2023 draft prospects with the best chance to succeed, but he has enough talent to continue to improve and be a back end of the rotations starter. He seemed a little off to start the season. This is a good bounce back start after taking a week or two off and working in the development complex. So far Soto, Pasqualotto, Dunn and Langenberg Lee have done well or appear to be improving. Hall has struggled a bit, but I still have high expectations for him. Either due to injury or continue to wok on stuff, Stoffal, Dougherty, and Questad have not pitched yet this year.
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