JD-TWINS
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Everything posted by JD-TWINS
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Most walks in the League in September - bodes well for patience, driving pitch counts up, & overall good AB’s!!
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- johan santana
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Playoff schedule, and it Sucks for the Twins
JD-TWINS replied to mrtwinsfan's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Not sure how you rationalize the West Coast Mariners & the East Coast Jays games with Twins would be played at the same time? You must have some reasoning - not sure where the symmetry comes into play? -
Twins Playoff Roster: Starting Rotation
JD-TWINS replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Can’t imagine/agree that anybody is starting on 3 days rest with our starter depth. Ober would start game 1 on Saturday if WC goes 3 games….,then Lopez on normal rest Sunday……Gray on an extra day’s rest Tuesday……….Ryan at home in game 4…….Game 5, on road, Maeda to start if he’s fresh & then the kitchen sink in order to advance.- 22 replies
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- pablo lopez
- sonny gray
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Twins Playoff Roster: Bullpen
JD-TWINS replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I might take the option of 2nd lefty & guy with many more innings this year in Funderburk over Paddack. PEN: Jax - Pagan - Thielbar - Funderburk - Duran - Varland - Stewart - Maeda…….5 guys that throw 97 plus. Really, this is as good of a bullpen that one could draw up within any organization! Maeda & Varland have middle relief under control in the short series, Paddack probably not needed. Assuming we move on from WC and we play another round (4th game) ………it’s possible we only play 2 games in first round…….Ryan opens 2nd round on a Saturday & then back to Lopez & Gray for Sunday & Tuesday. Ober on Wednesday of 2nd series. Ryan or Maeda along with all hands on deck for game 5, if needed. Probably Maeda on the road, if he’s fresh. If we go 3 games first round & advance, Ober opens the 2nd series on Saturday.- 41 replies
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Twins Playoff Roster: Starting Rotation
JD-TWINS replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
IMO, it seems obvious it’s Lopez - Gray - Ryan…..the first two slots are because it’s the way their natural rest lines them up. Lopez will throw Wednesday v. Oakland & Gray Thursday. Lopez has Thursday - Monday off and would be up to throw next Tuesday on 4 days rest. Ditto for Gray the following day. Ryan will get the nod ahead of Ober. Rocco has already stated Maeda will go to the Pen later this week. Ober & Kuechel won’t be rostered for WC series. They seem sold on Paddack for long relief in October. Varland - Maeda long guys as well. All 3 will be used as needed.9 Honestly, I think Paddack gets innings in one of first two games if ahead by a few or behind. He’s there to stretch the Pen by eliminating innings pitched by others. Can’t imagine high leverage situations for him.- 22 replies
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- pablo lopez
- sonny gray
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Gotta use some logic & not 100% emotion, IMO. Solano & Farmer don’t play in the OF so they aren’t displacing Wallner. Doubtful Larnach nor Stevenson are on the October roster. If Stevenson starts in a game we are toast!! I like the bunt move to get things going from a run scoring standpoint! ……………….. Is Sonny Gray our MVP is the question? If Lewis’ 50 plus games is not enough to be considered for this honor then I struggle with Gray’s 31 games being more valuable. Has Gray performed “closest to expectations” or has he “outperformed expectations” ……I grant those. He’s been healthy as well - that’s a big deal! We took off early when Kirilloff showed up & he stabilizes the middle of this line-up. Not enough time in the line-up for MVP. Honestly, the only guy worthy of this & a guy that has affected enough games/played enough games is one I screamed for to be DFA’d in middle of June. Max Kepler. If he doesn’t turn it around Big Time, we are not where we’ve ended up. Since July 1 he’s been one of the best all-around RF in the game. Him gathering himself after a terrible start…..terrible first 80 games, earns him this honor.
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If Paddack has enough command to make the roster it’s a big deal for the Pen! (35 - 50 pitches) Varland looks very sharp for 1-2 inning stints! (35 - 50 pitches) Maeda is a solid option! (60 pitches) If Stewart gets rostered & pitches this week our Pen is loaded on paper!!! (15 - 25 pitches) Pagan - Jax - Thielbar - Duran Funderburk may stick for spot duty v. LH hitters.
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Have 5 good arms……Maeda’s experience makes me want to lean toward him for game 3. Good note from someone yesterday showing Ryan’s very positive splits at home & Maeda’s success on the road. Sure sounds like organization has made the decision & Maeda is in the Pen. Paddack worries me - he needs to get on the mound soon to see where he’s at with his head & command. I like keeping Funderburk in Pen for spot uses v. lefty batters. Kuechel will probably get a start on the weekend in Colorado but I think he’s done after that point. Looks like Twins are leaning toward a Pen consisting of these guys: Jax - Pagan - Paddack - Duran - Thielbar - Maeda - Varland - (Funderburk &/or Stewart) Could only roster 3 starters for WC & carry 11 or 12 pitchers……..14 or 15 bats? How the guys pitch remains to be seen & it could be good or bad………however, I don’t think anybody in the Post-Season has a better 8 or 9 guys in their Pen! CC - Lewis - Castro - Buxton need to get healthy this week.
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So resting guys - starting a lesser line-up, is not unusual. Not pinch hitting later in the game, after guys didn’t come through with bases loaded in first & second, was strange. Out of character for Baldelli. The thing I was bothered by was when Farmer got hit to lead off the 9th & Taylor came up with no outs (with a bench full of potential pinch hitters) & he didn’t BUNT to get tying run to 2B with less than two outs. Why are we not playing for a tie at home???? It’s 1-0, if we tie, anything can happen. Go extras & we have a shot with a bit of momentum going to 10th. Did not - do not understand!!
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- sonny gray
- kyle farmer
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I was at Cincinnati game in RF seats, Wednesday afternoon & the ball that was hit for a triple off the base of the wall v. Winder should have been caught by Taylor. It was waist high on the wall…..Taylor called off Kepler. Not running real well since back. Does seem off. Swinging through a lot of pitches.
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Didn’t read any other responses, so this may be redundant? Can’t say Lee has a .608 OPS v. LH pitching & then later say he mashes SOUTHPAWS. Southpaws are LH pitchers. A mistake, no big deal. He hits RH pitching better than Farmer. Get it. Farmer was earmarked to be our starting SS in ‘23 until Lewis/Lee or another would be ready to take over in ‘24 sometime. Farmer has played well……..a rational mind doesn’t go away from experience and a solid capability to “see how things work out” with a kid that was in AA until 5 weeks ago. I believe Lee will be a long time starter and big time performer for the Twins in the future, but making line-up/roster changes with 7 days left in the season ………particularly with a clubhouse “glue guy” like Farmer doesn’t make good sense. Should/could Lee be on September roster instead of Stevenson - YES…..would love to see him get some play this coming week with CC & Lewis down! Do not think there will be room for him on October roster regardless of others health.
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Game 3 Starter Home Road Splits Should not be Ignored!
JD-TWINS replied to Trov's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
In my mind it was Maeda for the 3rd game of the Playoffs, regardless of where. Ober then being the 4th starter. Your analysis on location splits is obviously valid and am sure management will consider. Overall, I had been thinking Ryan was the best of our lower 3 starters to be used in the Pen. Uses fastball lots and might gain a couple ticks only going one or two innings in relief? If your numbers are what you say they are, I agree that Ryan should be considered for a home start in one of the first 2 series. -
The Front Office Was Right to Bet on Their Roster
JD-TWINS replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The article makes sense - did the FO think things through to get to this Division winning end or did they just get lucky? One has to assume they were conscious of the circumstances around them, since it’s their job. They moved Jorge Lopez and remedied a bad situation. Cleveland was the only team near us July 25-31. They traded Josh Bell - traded Civale - Bieber & McKenzie on 60 day IL until September 15. No reason to fear them if one has any confidence in the Twins roster. Guardians gave up! Not getting relief pitching seemed crazy to me at the time but I had crossed Stewart out for balance of the year and I didn’t realize Funderburk could be as effective as he’s been. With Ryan & Varland ……the core 4 there now……adding Funderburk & Stewart to our October Pen puts us in a very good spot!! Balazovic - Alcala - Headrick - Henriquez - Moran are all 2024 options in the Pen. We are not in a baron situation. I think FO see this and managed the situation accordingly. 1/2 the guys I thought they should try to sign as FA in January-March had terrible years or got hurt……1/2 we’re pretty effective. To me, the 5 guys above that are on our 40 man have similar chances for success in 2024……they just need seasoning/experience. 4 good starters - 8 competent guys in the Pen………….really nothing to complain about from my view!- 34 replies
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The Front Office Was Right to Bet on Their Roster
JD-TWINS replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I only read your last sentence…….who hired the players that made a difference in the second half?- 34 replies
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Also, an assumption would be that Varland would give up dingers to a squad that had been up once already or studying him for a few batters. The jump from 94-95 to 97-99 on the four-seam is big but the 91-93 cutter to go with it, makes him tough to feel good about hitting, if he’s only facing 3-5 of your guys at a time. It’s intriguing. The real attraction is that he throws his fastball the proper amount v. Duran. Varland is up around 60% while Duran is around 46%. 46% of your pitches - with 1/2 of them wildly high out of the zone does not do his fastball justice! He needs to throw for more strikes & more frequently! He’s still pitching like he’s a starter as a closer. Great curve - really good split - outstanding fastball…………gotta pitch to get ahead & not to look cool. Understand it’s gratifying fooling guys with the curve or to get a swing & miss on a splitter. Getting guys out is the job - 102-103Mph is flashy enough!!!
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Maybe in a Playoff Series going forward if Duran is spent. Interesting thought for ‘24 & beyond……the “bulldog” attitude fits a closer mentality. With those 2 guys alternating the mental challenges of Closer with Jax complementing would be really something to see………..similar to the Reds Pen of ‘90…..nasty boys!
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The Astros are Not the Juggernaut You Remember
JD-TWINS replied to Adam Friedman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Don’t like their starting pitching…..meaning they can be good! Valdez - Javier - (3rd guy?) - Brown in the 4th spot……….they can all be dominant when they are on - not just decent - dominant. -
Q: Is Luplow an option to bring back for October if Buxton cannot contribute. His .250 Average & .795 OPS is something that we should consider from a depth standpoint. Carrying 15 bats - we’ll probably have teams target lefties against us to neutralize our LH hitters - Luplow may be a valuable option? I’d rather have his RH bat v. Stevenson from the left side.
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Jorge Polanco 2.0: A Hitter Reimagined
JD-TWINS replied to Matthew Trueblood's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Glad we have his glove at 2nd while Julien develops………may need it at 3B if Royce is out very long. Solid hitter that extends our line-up with other competent guys like Kirilloff - Solano - etc. -
Fire Tingler and the Trainer IMMEDIATELY
JD-TWINS commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM
I was in 7th row off 3rd base dirt and he looked fine. This was after the run down to 1B where it did look like some lower body problem. The heel - then hamstring explanation makes perfect sense. He was riding bike and apparently comfortable doing so on Wednesday pre-game. He sits the Angels Series and re-evaluate this weekend for last handful of games. -
Gotta start somewhere. Mildly encouraging. Him DHing v. LH bat & being a PH is worthwhile. Needs to be effective. Easily fits on roster if we carry 15 bats in WC round. Depending upon his health, along with CC & Lewis, he may stick in 2nd round. If we get to AL Championship he’ll have to have contributed or he’ll be dropped as we will go to at least 12 pitchers in a 7 game series……..no deadwood at this point. He could be a nice surprise but he’s not needed for us to succeed - it’s not Byron or else.
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TWINS fan - live in Cincinnati - was at the game. Great win for the Club with broad contributions! Greene deserved a win.
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- willi castro
- jorge polanco
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That was great - I was in Great American & was laughing big time when we pulled the double-steal. David Bell must have nearly had a stroke. Aggressive move - not sure we do that if Rocco’s in the dugout? Big win! Jax needs to trust his stuff!! Can’t come into games & walk guys.
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- willi castro
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