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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    Poppen is ineligible, since he just went on the 60-day DL on Sep. 1st.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    That post was incorrect. Pineda is eligible for the 2020 postseason. In fact, because his suspension was reduced, he would have even been eligible for the 2019 postseason if he had been able to serve his full 60 game suspension before then. Page 44 here: http://www.mlb.com/pa/pdf/jda.pdf "2. Any Player who is suspended for a violation of Sections 7.A, 7.E, 7.F, or 7.G.2 involving a Performance Enhancing Substance, or Section 7.B.3 or 7.B.4 involving a Stimulant, shall be barred from participating in the post-season (including, without limitation, being in uniform during his Club’s post-season games) during the season in which his suspension commenced even after completion of his suspension. A Player who began serving a 162-game suspension for a violation involving a Performance Enhancing Substance on the first day of a championship season also will be ineligible to participate in any tie-breaker games during that season after the completion of his suspension. Any Player who is suspended for a violation of the Minor League Drug Program involving a Performance Enhancing Substance that is also banned under the Program and is subsequently promoted to the 40-man roster is barred from participating in the Major League post-season that follows the season in which his suspension under the Minor League Drug Program commenced, even after completion of his suspension. Notwithstanding the foregoing, a Player will be permitted to participate in the post-season during the season in which his suspension commenced if the Arbitration Panel reduced the length of a Player’s suspension pursuant to Section 8.B.4 below based on its determination that the Player’s positive test result was not the result of his significant fault or negligence."
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    I think the postseason ineligibility only applies to the season in which the suspension starts. (This Twitter link to the agreement says "commenced") https://twitter.com/dohyoungpark/status/1170444742833954816?s=20 Although since he had the suspension reduced, he actually could have been eligible for this postseason, if he was able to serve his 60 days prior. Apparently the extra postseason ineligibility only applies to full 80 game, non-reduced suspensions?
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    Severino will be in the pen, or a short starter (opener type). Although they have the bullpen quality to perhaps make up for that, especially if Betances comes back strong too -- although they're running out of time to find out, as both are just now making their season debuts in minor league rehab games.
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    Per Spotrac, the Twins have the 3rd fewest IL days of all MLB teams: https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/disabled-list/cumulative-team/ I guess that wouldn't count Hildenberger (AAA IL). But most of these IL days belong to Astudillo, Mejia, Wade, Reed, Magill, and Moya -- hardly key pieces. I'd say the Twins have been rather fortunate in terms of health in 2019. The Yankees IL number certainly gets inflated by Ellsbury, Tulowitzki, and Greg Bird, but they've lost Severino and Betances for the whole season so far, plus Stanton and Andujar for virtually the whole season so far too, plus Gregorious and Hicks for half the season, Judge for almost half, etc. I think those kind of lengthy, overlapping absences would be more damaging than consistently being at 80-90% strength.
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    In modern MLB, you might need that many relievers. Especially if a game goes extra innings.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    Well, it's only been a little over a month that we've had Romo. I don't deny Rogers is our closer, and I don't think matchups will determine his usage much, except perhaps if/when Rogers enters in the 8th inning. But I think if Rogers goes 4+ outs in a game, or if (heaven forbid) Rogers struggles in a game, we might see Romo in a save opportunity the next night.
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    Interesting. I know that comment came after a minor league game, but Graterol has yet to reach 100 MPH in either of his MLB appearances so far, per Gameday (Statcast). Topped out at 99.6 vs Detroit, then 99.5 last night vs Boston. Brooks Baseball (PitchF/X) has him hitting 100.0 exactly in his first and last pitches in the Detroit game, averaging 99.4, but only reaching 99.6 vs Boston with an average of 98.8. http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/pfx.php?s_type=3&sp_type=1&batterX=0&year=2019&month=9&day=04&pitchSel=660813.xml&game=gid_2019_09_04_minmlb_bosmlb_1/&prevGame=gid_2019_09_04_minmlb_bosmlb_1/
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    I agree with this. The SP will probably get pulled even more aggressively in the postseason, leaving more innings for the bullpen.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    FWIW, Romo has 3 saves since we acquired him, including one where Rogers pitched the 8th inning ahead of him.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    So I assume the extra-innings-runner-starts-on-second rule doesn't apply to the minor league playoffs?
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    And in his debut, Jaylin Davis was replaced in a double-switch by Taylor Rogers' twin brother Tyler, who eventually got his first major league win (albeit by allowing inherited runners to score and blowing the lead).
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    Follow-up on Jeffress: MLBTR reports some interest in him, which is surprising to me: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/09/jeremy-jeffress-rumors-reds-mets-phillies-rays-brewers.html Of course, all of the clubs mentioned except the Rays have less than 10% postseason odds at this point per Fangraphs, so they might be looking to shift gears towards 2020 planning.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Carrasco already pitched since he came off the IL -- Sunday at Tampa, he faced the top of the Rays lineup for an inning (albeit when trailing by 3 runs, instead of up 3).
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    The Yankees actually have a higher HR rate on the road this season -- and the Twins have a much *lower* HR rate at home. But the biggest mitigating factor, by far, is that the Yankees don't have any more games remaining vs Baltimore! They had 7 in the last 30 days. Using their non-Baltimore rate from the last 30 days, they are still gaining on the Twins, but at a much, much lower rate, which projects them to still finish 9 back.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    Well, the Yankees trail in HR by 10. But over the last 30 calendar days, the Yankees have out-homered the Twins by 20. Even accounting for the 2 extra games, they could make that up over the remaining 26 days. They don't have a tough schedule either. I guess I'd agree it's unlikely, but maybe not "very" unlikely. If those last-30-days HR rates continue over the remaining games, it could basically be a photo finish! (Twins 319, Yankees 317)
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    They could, but he'd be ineligible for the postseason because he wasn't in the org on Sep. 1st, and he'd be a free agent again at the end of the season anyway because he's past 6 years service time. So signing him right now would basically just be helping him audition for his next contract this offseason. (He was also on the injured list when the Brewers released him -- presumably it wasn't serious and he could be activated now, but his recent poor performance might be the more serious concern!)
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    I'll echo the others, thanks for the minor league reports!
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    You mean for next season, I presume?
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    Also worth remembering that Romero already got stiffed on a September call-up last year -- likely due to innings, but still. Also, unlike 2012 and 2018, this year's Twins are in a pennant race in September, so it's more of a "all hands on deck" situation.
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Ah yes, Allan Anderson! I believe I attended his last MLB game in the '91 season finale. I quickly found a news item dated Sep. 2nd, 1991 that has the Twins optioning both Anderson and Tom Edens to single-A Kenosha, at the same time they made a bunch of September call-ups. Both Anderson and Edens then appeared for the Twins on Sep. 4, presumably after being recalled: https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/sports/1991/09/02/around-the-majors/91055000-87ed-4a56-b049-6d525966f9d2/ Here's a remarkable YouTube video that suggests the last Kenosha Twins game of 1991 was on August 28: Today's rules definitely don't allow players to be optioned to minor league teams whose seasons have ended. Frankly I'm not sure why they'd have to be optioned at all after MLB rosters expanded. Might require further research... Edit: this was back when the August 31st 25-man roster was the postseason roster. So I suspect Anderson and Edens were optioned on August 31, replaced by Jarvis Brown and Paul Sorrento, for postseason purposes. Must have had some rule at the time that allowed them to be sent to Kenosha and recalled just a couple days later. From the Star Tribune, Sep. 5 , 1991: "The Twins added a fifth starter Wednesday, and they didn't have to go far to get him. Tom Edens and Allan Anderson, who were optioned to Class A Kenosha on Saturday when the Twins added hitters Paul Sorrento and Jarvis Brown to the postseason roster, were activated yesterday, with Edens designated the No. 5 starter."
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    Liam Hendriks shows his Twins heritage: he entered today vs Yankees with his team leading by 3 runs, and yielded 4 runs (2 inherited) for a walk-off Yankees win.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Here's our answer: https://twitter.com/LaVelleNeal/status/1168246545893998592?s=20 When you select someone's contract (add them to the 40-man roster), and it's during the 25-man roster portion of the season (from opening day through Aug. 31), you have to either add them to the 25-man or option them immediately. And once optioned, they have to spend 10 days on optional assignment. That means Miller isn't technically postseason eligible yet either. I guess we could petition to use Gordon's spot and Gonsalves' spot to make both Miller and Graterol postseason eligible? Assuming Gonsalves doesn't get activated himself (he is on rehab right now). Of course, we could have added and optioned Graterol/Miller on Aug. 22nd, and recalled them 10 days later on Sep. 1. Or done some DL stuff (Gibson/Gonzalez?). But I guess if there's a zero percent chance we need the postseason eligibility petition for Alcala or whatever, it doesn't much matter.
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    You are wrong. September counts towards service time the same as any other month. The only difference is in determining rookie eligibility for the ROY award.
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    I understand that Graterol can still be eligible for the playoffs -- but what's the reason for waiting until today? Couldn't they have just as easily put Poppen on the 60-day DL before midnight August 31, add Graterol and Miller then, and not trouble with petitioning the commissioner for postseason eligibility later? Theoretically, that would also save the Gordon petition gambit to be applied to someone else, if necessary. (Not that there are a lot of other options.)
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